Week 17 Fantasy Football Matchups

Senior Fantasy Writer

We've seen Ryan Fitzpatrick flounder after a hot start and the Patriots pass defense slump for pretty much the entire season. They renew their matchup in Week 17 when the Patriots play for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and the Bills hope to land their second win in nine games (and second in a row).

The Patriots have been very generous to opposing quarterbacks. As an example, they've afforded Vince Young, Dan Orlovsky, Rex Grossman, Tim Tebow and Matt Moore to average 23.4 Fantasy points per week over their last five. Four of those quarterbacks connected for two or more touchdowns either through the air or on the ground while Young had one with 400 yards and 40 rush yards. And yet, the Patriots are 5-0 in those games.

No one's expecting the Bills to win (then again, no one did back in Week 3 either), but should Fitzpatrick come up with a huge stat line just because he's taking on the Patriots. In theory, the answer is a resounding yes, but his play has been anything but consistent. Since that game against the Patriots, Fitzpatrick has posted one excellent stat line since, and it came at the Jets! He's had three other games where he's connected for two touchdowns, and the other eight matchups he's had -- against some easy opponents -- have been very disappointing.

The three factors in Fitzpatrick's decline have involved the Bills' run game being successful (thus him not having to throw as much), the Bills' pass game being predictable and the Bills' receiving corps battling injuries. Offensive line issues have also hampered Fitzpatrick though he's been sacked a total of six times in his last four. And while he's slid, many other quarterbacks have stepped up, making him easy to pass over.

But here's a correlation you can feel good about: In the six games this season when Fitzpatrick has attempted over 34 passes, he's averaged 285.0 yards and 1.83 touchdowns. Only once did he come away with no touchdowns or less than 250 yards, and it happened in the same game (a forgettable effort at Miami).

And here's another: Had an owner merely started the quarterback playing the Patriots in each of the last five weeks, he would have registered more Fantasy points collectively than Tony Romo, Eli Manning, Philip Rivers or Tim Tebow. So obviously there's something to starting a passer against these guys.

Sure, Fitzpatrick has been inconsistent over the course of the season, but in a matchup where he's expected to throw a lot while playing from behind against a Patriots defense that's struggled to get to the quarterback, it's impossible to think he'll be flat-out awful. If you've been flipping through quarterbacks -- perhaps you used Grossman or Moore when they played against the Patriots recently -- it's time to take a look Fitzpatrick in Week 17.

  Go deeper into the week's matchups with our Interactive Fantasy Matchup Magnifier!

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Paul Brown Stadium
Baltimore Ravens
QBJoe FlaccoExpect the Ravens to use this game to fine-tune offense in advance of playoffs. Flacco has 2+ TDs in each of last three with 250+ yards in each of last two but only two of the last 13 QBs to face Bengals have thrown multiple TDs.
RBRay RiceRice has crushed the Bengals, scoring 2 TDs in each of last three vs. Cincy with 90+ yards! Bengals' run defense has been good (one rush TD allowed in last six) but Rice's history and re-invigorated role in the offense can't be ignored.
WRTorrey SmithCincy allowing 145.7 yards per game to WRs over its last three with a TD to WR in each. The Ravens should keep taking shots downfield with Smith.
WRAnquan BoldinAssuming his shoulder is OK, Boldin sizes up to be a good flex option. Boldin has 90 yards and/or 1+ TD in three of last four. Has 6+ targets in each of last two since Jim Caldwell became Ravens' play caller.
TEDennis PittaHas a TD in three of last five and scored on Bengals back in Week 1. He's one of five TEs to score on Bengals, who haven't allowed 75 yards to a TE in seven straight.
DSTRavensThe last four DSTs vs. Cincy have posted 11+ Fantasy points. Each of the last three defenses have sacked Andy Dalton at least five times.
Cincinnati Bengals
QBAndy DaltonRavens have allowed 2 TDs to one QB in their last six and Dalton's stats have come back to earth since Mohamed Sanu injury (four straight with 1 or no pass TDs). Dalton has never passed for 2+ TDs vs. Ravens.
RBBenJarvus Green-EllisRavens run defense isn't scary: 137.0 total yards per game to RBs over last three with four rush TDs. Green-Ellis romped on this defense back in Week 1 but it wouldn't be a surprise to see his reps limited in this one.
WRA.J. GreenGreen has never scored on Ravens, something he could try for this week. Ravens have allowed four TDs to receivers in their last three, so there's a chance.
TEJermaine GreshamOnly four tight ends have posted 6+ Fantasy points on Ravens and only one has scored in their last eight. With zero TDs in four tries vs. BAL and under 70 yards in three straight, Gresham is a definite risk.
DSTBengalsBengals DST has scored at least 11 Fantasy points in seven straight with 24+ points in each of last two. Ravens' offense has some potential to go off so it's not a slam dunk but there's potential.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Carolina Panthers
QBCam NewtonExpect a lot of offense. Cam has six TDs in three career games vs. NO. Saints have allowed two QBs to throw 4 TDs each over their last three games and Cam's red hot.
RBDeAngelo WilliamsHas scored in 4 of last 5 against Saints including 69 yards & a TD in Week 2. New Orleans' run defense has improved over last two weeks and Williams is risky with or without Jonathan Stewart on the active roster.
WRSteve SmithHas 100 yards or a TD in each of last three vs. Saints, who allowed four TDs to WRs just last week. Smith also has 100 yards and/or a TD in four straight overall.
WRBrandon LaFellHad over 100 total yards in Week 2 game vs. Saints, his best outing in three tries against them. Saints have allowed a ridiculous 235.0 yards per game to WRs over their last three with seven TDs.
TEGreg OlsenOlsen's yardage has nudged its way to basically 50 yards per game over his last five with two TDs in that span. Expect him to get at least that statistically against the Saints.
DSTPanthers The Bucs and Cowboys DSTs totaled one point in their games against the Saints. Not much hope for the Panthers DST this week.
New Orleans Saints
QBDrew BreesBrees only had one TD at Carolina in Week 2 but has had 3+ TDs in 6 of 7 home games and scored five on the Panthers in Week 17 last year. He's also 219 yards shy of 5,000.
RBDarren SprolesHas 128 receiving yards against the Panthers in Week 2 and is coming off a 100-yard receiving game this week. Sproles has 10+ Fantasy points in each of his last three.
RBMark IngramCarolina's run defense has come alive, allowing just 48.7 rush yards per game to RBs over their last three. Ingram scored at Carolina in Week 2, has TDs in each of last two and 13+ carries in each of last three but could get lost in a shootout.
WRMarques ColstonOnly one of Colston's last seven vs. CAR has been real nice: In Week 17 at home last year. Panthers yielding 114.3 yards per game to WRs over their last three with two TDs. History's awful here but Colston too big a part of Saints offense to ignore.
WRLance MooreHas four catches and a TD in each of his past two overall. Hasn't scored on Panthers since 2010 but remains someone Drew Brees looks for in the red zone.
TEJimmy GrahamHas at least 10 Fantasy points in each of last four against Panthers. Carolina has allowed a TD to a TE in three of their last six and Graham's still playing a sizable role for the Saints.
DSTSaintsPanthers have held five of the last six DSTs they've faced to 6 Fantasy points or less. Forget about this defense.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Ford Field
Chicago Bears
QBJay CutlerCutler's first three vs. DET with Bears were great. The four since? 189.0 pass yards per game with 1 TD or less per game.
RBMatt ForteSays he'll play on sore ankle. Forte has 100+ total yards in seven of last eight vs. Lions and 9+ Fantasy points in each of those eight.
WRBrandon MarshallLions allowed three TDs and 230 yards to WRs last week! Expect Marshall to finish his career season strong.
DSTBearsDetroit has scored 20 points or less in 4 of last 5 vs. Bears and each of last three games. DSTs have put up 10+ Fantasy points in each of last three vs. DET.
Detroit Lions
QBMatthew StaffordIn five career meetings, Stafford has never posted 20+ Fantasy points vs. the Bears, who have allowed three 20+ Fantasy point QBs all season (and they've all come since Week 11). Stafford hasn't posted 20 Fantasy points in three straight.
RBMikel LeshoureBears have allowed 106.3 total yards per game to RBs over their last three with two TDs. Leshoure 65 total yards shy of 1,000, one TD shy of 10.
RBJoique BellLooking better with 80+ total yards in three of his last four. If Lions are playing from behind, this is who will catch a bunch of short passes.
WRCalvin JohnsonBears have held Calvin Johnson to under 100 yards in five of their last six games. That's nice. Won't happen this time as Calvin's 108 yards from 2,000.
TETony SchefflerChicago hasn't allowed a touchdown to a tight end in four straight and Scheffler has grossly disappointed with Brandon Pettigrew sidelined.
DSTLionsEach of the last three DSTs vs. Chicago (GB, MIN, ARI) have posted at least 11 Fantasy points. But what happened the last time you trusted the Lions DST, perhaps in Week 15?

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Heinz Field
Cleveland Browns
QBThaddeus Lewis First NFL game with the Browns minus Trent Richardson playing at the Steelers? Um, no.
RBMontario HardestyHe's shown some flashes in limited reps this year but matchup is a tough one: Steelers have held RBs to 81.7 total yards per game over last three with one TD.
WRGreg LittleLittle actually played one more snap than Gordon last week. He has 7+ targets in each of last three but has no experience with Lewis.
WRJosh Gordon Gordon has fallen off the map over the last three weeks, totaling 120 yards with no scores. Can't see Lewis hitting him for deep gains.
DSTBrownsEven with Big Ben back DSTs vs. PIT are posting 10+ Fantasy points (eight straight). Roethlisberger has been sacked 10 times and picked off four times in three games. Browns a sleeper.
Pittsburgh Steelers
QBBen RoethlisbergerWithout Heath Miller and Mike Wallace, Ben Roethlisberger might not be able to take advantage of a defense that's allowed five passing TDs in their last two.
RBRashard MendenhallLooked like the best PIT RB last week, is a sleeper this week. Browns have allowed 167.3 total yards per game to RBs over last three with five rush TDs.
RBJonathan DwyerSave for two TDs, Dwyer's struggled over his last five in part because of inconsistent carries. He shouldn't be counted on in the finale with Mendenhall back.
WRAntonio BrownHas 27 targets in three games since Roethlisberger's return with a TD in each. Expect a lot of passes his way with Mike Wallace unlikely to play.
WREmmanuel Sanders Might be a deep sleeper if Joe Haden sticks on Brown all game long, but doesn't have the pedigree to hold up using in Fantasy unless desperate.
DSTSteelersThe Browns won't have Brandon Weeden or Trent Richardson in a meaningless game at Pittsburgh. Sounds like a good finale for the Steelers defense.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Lucas Oil Stadium
Houston Texans
QBMatt SchaubOnly two of last nine QBs vs. IND have posted 2+ TDs including Schaub at home back in Week 15. Schaub has only one career game with more than one passing TD vs. Colts!
RBArian FosterShould be good to go and he should dominate. Colts have allowed a ridiculous 192.0 total yards per game to RBs over their last three with a touchdown. Foster has 16+ Fantasy points in each of four career meetings vs. Colts.
WRAndre JohnsonLet's keep this simple: Andre has 90+ yards & a TD in each of last three vs. Indy. He's a great start.
TEOwen DanielsColts had been awful vs. TEs until they stopped Owen Daniels in Week 15 and held all Chiefs TEs out of the stat book last week. Daniels doesn't have a TD in each of last six vs. Indy.
DSTTexansTexans DST posted 19 Fantasy points on Luck's Colts in Week 15 thanks to touchdown, five sacks. Luck's been sacked at least three times in 4 of last 5. Colts have also posted under 300 yards of offense in three straight.
Indianapolis Colts
QBAndrew LuckLuck posted 186 yards and two TDs on Houston two weeks ago. Colts don't have anything to play for but Coach Chuck Pagano plans to play his starters in front of raucous home crowd.
RBVick BallardIn Week 15 Ballard was the first 100-yard rusher vs. Houston since Chris Johnson in Week 4. Texans run defense bounced back with good effort vs. Adrian Peterson last week, though. Think flex.
WRReggie WayneHas 10+ Fantasy points in two of his last three and typically plays better at home. He nearly extended his TD streak vs. HOU to six in Week 15 but had score called back due to penalty.
WRT.Y. HiltonHad a nice game (78 yards & TD) at Houston in Week 15. Texans have cleaned up vs. the pass but have still allowed 153.0 yards per game to WRs over their last three with 3 TDs (Hilton's included).
TEDwayne AllenTraditional tight ends have scored four TDs on Houston over its last three games. Allen is a decent sleeper for Week 17.
DSTColtsThe Vikings were able to corral Arian Foster and hold the Texans to under 200 total yards of offense last week. They were the first DST in six weeks to post more than 8 Fantasy points on the Texans. I don't like the Colts' chances.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, LP Field
Jacksonville Jaguars
QBChad HenneTitans have allowed 19+ Fantasy points to 11 of 15 QBs, including Henne in Week 12. But without Cecil Shorts, there's just too much risk in Henne, who has 1 passing TD or less in each of last four.
RBMontell OwensDid you see what the Packers (the Packers!) did to the Titans run defense last week?! Rushers are enjoying 137.0 total yards per game vs. TEN over last three with 4 TDs scored. With a good rushing average in each of his last four, Owensis a legit sleeper.
WRJustin BlackmonHas 11+ targets and 6+ catches in each of last three games. Titans have allowed 7 TDs to WRs over last five including three last week.
WRJordan ShipleyHe's settled into Jacksonville, landing 7+ targets and 5+ catches in two of last three. Titans have allowed 139.3 yards to WRs over their last three.
DSTJaguarsSince Jake Locker returned opposing DSTs have posted 9+ Fantasy points in five of the last six. Jags defense is very tough to trust, however.
Tennessee Titans
QBJake LockerJaguars have allowed 2 TDs to opposing QBs in three of their last four games. Locker hasn't thrown two TDs in five straight and has under 200 yards in each of last two.
RBChris JohnsonMatchup's great, but he's not. Jags allowing 143.7 total yards per game over last three to RBs with four total TDs. Johnson averaging 80.4 total yards per game over his last five with one rush TD. Johnson had 109 total yards vs. JAC in Week 12 but has gone scoreless vs. Jags in last four matchups.
WRKenny BrittBritt has 100 yards or a TD in four of last five overall including one at Jags in Week 12. Jags have improved vs. pass, allowing 116.3 yards per game to WRs over last three games with one TD.
DSTTitansDSTs have put up 11+ Fantasy points in all but three games this year vs. Jaguars. Titans a decent desperation option.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Ralph Wilson Stadium
New York Jets
QBMark Sanchez No one can trust him even though Bills have allowed 7 TDs to QBs over their last three. Sanchez also has scored 7 TDs in last two vs. BUF.
RBShonn GreeneHad first TD vs. BUF in six tries back in Week 1. He scored twice last week, Bills have allowed a rush TD by a RB in three straight.
RBBilal PowellActually played one more snap than Greene last week, likely because Jets played from behind. Matchup is good but he's had under 60 total yards in three of last four.
DSTJetsFive of the last six DSTs vs. BUF have posted 15+ Fantasy points. With four straight weeks with 10+ Fantasy points, Jets are a good Week 17 option.
Buffalo Bills
QBRyan Fitzpatrick Has 2+ TDs in three of last four vs. NYJ including 3 TDs in each of last two (this is with Darrelle Revis playing). Too bad he has one game in his last six with multiple scores.
RBC.J. SpillerMotored over Jets for 194 total yards and a TD in Week 1 (F-Jax got hurt). Has 10+ Fantasy points in each of nine games with 10+ touches this year. He's a stud in 2013.
WRSteve JohnsonHas a TD in each of last two vs. Jets. He's also 65 yards shy of 1,000 on the season. Only one WR has had 65+ yards vs. the Jets in four games (one TD to WR vs. NYJ in last four too).
DSTBillsEight of the last nine DSTs vs. NYJ have scored 11+ Fantasy points. Chargers sacked McElroy 11 times last week! This is a decent sleeper.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, MetLife Stadium
Philadelphia Eagles
QBMichael VickTypically Vick has not fared well vs. Giants, but with New York's defense just as big of a mess as the Eagles, and with Vick auditioning for 2013, he could do well. High risk, high reward. Giants have allowed 933 pass yards and six pass TDs over their last three.
RBLeSean McCoyMcCoy has 110+ rush yards in four of last five vs. NYG. The Giants allowed 293 total yards to running backs last week! McCoy looked great in Week 16 and should finish strong.
WRJeremy MaclinGiants have allowed 188.3 yards per game to receivers over their last three with 3 TDs allowed. Maclin has as many TDs with Michael Vick this year (eight games) as he does with Nick Foles (seven).
DSTEaglesFive of the last seven DSTs to play the Giants have posted double-digit Fantasy points. The Eagles defense is the worst in Fantasy, however, and shouldn't be trusted.
New York Giants
QBEli ManningEach of the last nine QBs to play Philly have totaled 2+ TDs against them. Eli posted excellent stats in three of his last four vs. PHI, making him starter worthy in spite of his recent numbers.
RBAhmad BradshawThe last four starting RBs to play the Eagles have each had over 100 total yards and a TD. Bradshaw isn't 100 percent but he should have at least decent totals vs. this shoddy run defense.
WRVictor CruzPhilly has allowed at least one 10+ Fantasy point WR in eight of last nine games with two WRs to score last week (nine TDs to WRs in their last five). Cruz has over 100 yards & a TD in each of three career games vs. Philly.
WRHakeem NicksEli came out and said this week his timing with Nicks is off because of limited practice reps. Not sure he should be counted on in the finale, even with the favorable matchup.
TEMartellus BennettBennett had all of 2 yards at Philly back in Week 4. Eagles haven't allowed a TD to a TE in four straight. In his last eight games Bennett has under 50 yards in seven and no TDs in six.
DSTGiantsEagles have allowed 9+ Fantasy points to each of last 10 DSTs they've faced. Giants' track record vs. Vick is great but their pass rush is not producing these days.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Georgia Dome
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
QBJosh FreemanEven the Falcons backups might limit Freeman after he's thrown eight INTs over the last two weeks. He had three INTs (and 2 TDs) in Week 17 at Atlanta last year.
RBDoug MartinHis last two games have been underwhelming but Falcons have allowed 12+ Fantasy points to each of the last four RBs with 15+ carries they've faced.
WRVincent JacksonAlready has a career-high in receiving yards and is one TD away from tying career-high in that category. Falcons haven't allowed a WR TD in six straight but have allowed four to get 90+ yards in those six games.
WRMike WilliamsIs 69 yards short of 1,000. Seems like a cinch but Williams has topped 70 yards once in five games vs. ATL including 28 yards in Week 12.
TEDallas ClarkHad 65 yards on four catches vs. ATL in Week 12. Falcons have given up one score to tight ends over their last five games.
DSTBuccaneersEight of the last nine DSTs vs. Falcons posted 8 Fantasy points or fewer. Unless Matt Ryan is made inactive, the Bucs DST can't be trusted.
Atlanta Falcons
QBMatt RyanMight not play a full game but should still do well in limited action. Bucs have allowed 12 total TDs to QBs over last four games with over 1,100 pass yards.
RBJason SnellingFigures to be the Falcons' best running back if they pull their starters out. Bucs have allowed 100.3 total yards per game to RBs over last three with three total TDs.
RBMichael TurnerFalcons could hold him out to keep him fresh for the postseason but he's scored in 4 of last 5 vs. TB.
WRRoddy WhiteFalcons might choose to rest White with his knee not at 100 percent, though you could have fooled me last week. Bucs have allowed 179.3 yards to wideouts over their last three.
WRJulio JonesIn three games vs. the Bucs Jones has 16 catches for 338 yards and three scores. Could do damage in one half of play.
TETony GonzalezIf he's active and starts then he's a must: Bucs have allowed a TD to a TE in three straight.
DSTFalconsThree of the last four DSTs to play the Bucs have posted 11+ Fantasy points; the last two have notched 20+ Fantasy points. But with nothing to gain by playing their starters, the Falcons could roll with backups and that could limit their upside.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Candlestick Park
Arizona Cardinals
QBBrian Hoyer Can't expect much from Hoyer in his first NFL start. Niners have allowed just five QBs to throw 2 TDs against them all year.
WRLarry FitzgeraldHad 50 yards with Hoyer in less than a half last week. Fitz has a TD in three of last four vs. SF but was limited in Week 8 and has the obvious QB issue. Niners have allowed just eight TDs to WRs all season and two in their last four overall.
WRAndre RobertsMight be a PPR sleeper: If the Niners build a lead and focus on Fitzgerald, Roberts could pick up a slew of catches on underneath routes.
DSTCardinals The last two DSTs to post over 10 Fantasy points on the Niners needed a touchdown. Cardinals defense has some talent but can't be trusted here.
San Francisco 49ers
QBColin KaepernickNiners have to play hard for chance at No. 2 seed. Arizona has allowed five pass TDs vs. 12 interceptions in its last six.
RBFrank GoreCardinals have allowed a ridiculous six TDs to RBs over last three games along with 182.3 total yards per game to RBs. Gore should be a monster.
WRMichael CrabtreeHad 2 TDs in Week 8 matchup with Cardinals and four games with 10+ Fantasy points in last six against them. He's a must.
WRRandy Moss Don't be so sure Moss will see huge bump in playing time just because Manningham is out. He has six targets or less in every single game this season. Cards allowing 117.0 total yards per game to WRs over their last three.
DST49ersAll but two DSTs all year vs. ARI has posted 10 or more Fantasy points. Niners had 16 Fantasy points on them in Week 8 and should contain Arizona's offense.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Mall of America Field
Green Bay Packers
QBAaron RodgersHas 3+ TDs in three of last four vs. MIN but only one in Week 13 meeting at home. Vikings' secondary is ailing a bit and Packers playing for a bye week. Expect another good one from Rodgers (3 TDs in each of last two).
RBRyan GrantVikings have allowed 10+ Fantasy points to four of last five RBs they've faced. Packers' three-headed run game is ugly but Grant could have clock-killing role.
WRJames JonesWith Nelson and Cobb out, expect Jones' targets to remain high. His last two games: 17 targets, 12 catches, 160 yards, four TDs. Also scored on the Vikings back in Week 13.
WRGreg JenningsThe TD last week was nice, but the seven catches was really an eye-opener. Jennings has a great track record vs. Vikings (at least 1 TD in five of his last six) and should be effective.
TEJermichael FinleyGot into the act with six catches for 60 yards against Minnesota in Week 13. He has 60+ yards in three of his last four but still not scoring.
DSTPackersFive of the last six DSTs vs. MIN have posted single-digit Fantasy points but Packers too strong of an option to sit.
Minnesota Vikings
QBChristian Ponder Nine of last 10 QBs vs. GB have posted 1 passing TD or less. That sounds perfect for Ponder, who hasn't thrown multiple touchdowns since Week 10.
RBAdrian PetersonHas a touchdown in 8 of last 9 vs. Green Bay and steamrolled them for 210 rush yards in Week 13. Even with the Packers allowing just 119.3 total yards per game to RBs over their last three with no TDs, Peterson still has sky-high expectations.
WRJarius Wright If you're desperate for a receiver, Wright is probably the Vikings' top playmaker (though we're using that term loosely). Packers allowing 109.0 yards per game to WRs over their last three.
TEKyle RudolphRudolph one of two TEs to score on Packers over last four weeks. Always a gamble with him but who else will Vikings throw to in the red zone?
DSTVikingsEleven of the last 12 DSTs to play the Packers have scored 10 Fantasy points or less. Hard to trust the Vikings even after their great outing against the Texans.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Kansas City Chiefs
QBBrady Quinn This might come to you as a surprise but Quinn was held to 126 yards and no touchdowns vs. Broncos back in Week 12. It would be stunning if he was significantly better this time.
RBJamaal CharlesDenver hasn't allowed a rush TD in seven straight and have held RBs to 98.4 total yards per game over that span. Charles was the last RB to have over 100 rush yards vs. DEN (last over 60 rush yards, actually).
TETony Moeaki Broncos have allowed a gross 11 touchdowns to tight ends this season including three in their last four games. Moeaki should be able to get at least 40 yards if not much more.
DSTChiefs Eight of the last nine DSTs vs. DEN have been held to single-digit Fantasy points. Can't trust this DST.
Denver Broncos
QBPeyton ManningKC has allowed 2+ passing scores in 10 games this season but none in its last three. Only one QB has topped 300 yards vs. KC and three total have 250+ yards all season. Peyton was one of the three with 250+ yards along with two scores in Week 12.
RBKnowshon MorenoChiefs allowing 154.0 total yards per game to RBs over its last three with two touchdowns. Moreno's been too effective to consider sitting.
WRDemaryius ThomasOnly three WRs have posted 100+ yards on Chiefs all year. Demaryius had 82 yards with a touchdown against them in Week 12.
WREric DeckerDecker's last three games: 26 targets, 22 catches, 286 yards & 3 TDs. Impossible to resist him against the Chiefs.
DSTBroncosSave for the Panthers, every single defense that's played the Chiefs has posted at least 11 Fantasy points. The last three have 19+ points. The Broncos are gold.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Gillette Stadium
Miami Dolphins
QBRyan TannehillProbably too risky to go with. Pats have allowed just one QB to throw 2+ TDs over their last five games, Tannehill didn't throw a TD in Week 13 matchup but does have 2 TDs in each of last two.
RBReggie BushSeeing plenty of work these days, and that's led to some great stats. Should be OK vs. Pats defense that's allowed 143.7 total yards per game to RBs over their last three with one TD.
WRBrian HartlineTopped 1,000 yards on the season but hasn't had a TD in 11 games or over 90 yards in seven straight. Can't trust him.
DSTDolphins The Niners were the first DST to top 10 Fantasy points vs. the Patriots this year. The Dolphins won't be the second.
New England Patriots
QBTom BradyBrady has multiple touchdowns in 4 of last 6 vs. Miami but only threw one in Week 13. In fact, Dolphins have allowed just four QBs to toss 2+ TDs on them all year. Brady just 21 completions away from 400 on the year.
RBStevan RidleyFor the most part, Miami has struggled with good rushers and contained lesser ones. Ridley had 71 rush yards & a TD back in Week 13. The Dolphins were improved vs. the run until C.J. Spiller blasted them for 138 yards on the ground last week.
WRWes WelkerHas double-digit Fantasy points in four of last five vs. Miami including 103 yards and a score four weeks ago. But it's the last touchdown Miami has allowed to a receiver.
WRBrandon LloydWith a slow stat line in Week 16 and Rob Gronkowski on the way back, people are jumping off the Lloyd train. Matchup vs. Miami doesn't help either.
TERob GronkowskiA must-start if he plays: Has a TD in two of last three vs. Miami. Dolphins have been great vs. tight ends (none have even 10 Fantasy points against them) but Gronk is a beast.
TEAaron HernandezKind of alarming that he had just five targets last week after having 11+ in three previous games. If Gronk plays those targets could stay limited as they were back when both tight ends were healthy for the Pats.
DSTPatriotsDSTs vs. MIA have posted 10+ Fantasy points in five of last seven weeks. With the Patriots fighting for the playoffs, expect the defense to play well.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Qualcomm Stadium
Oakland Raiders
QBMatt Leinart Though the Chargers have allowed QBs to get 20+ Fantasy points in 5 of last 7, Leinart just can't be trusted.
RBDarren McFaddenChargers have allowed 128.3 total yards to RBs over last three with five total TDs. Every single RB w/ 15+ carries vs. SD has at least 9 Fantasy points & 7 of 8 have 11+ Fantasy points. DMC the only Raider you can trust.
WRDarrius Heyward-Bey With Leinart at quarterback DHB led the Raiders in targets but only had two catches. There's no good reason to start DHB.
DSTRaiders Six of the last seven DSTs to play the Chargers have posted 10+ Fantasy points. Raiders have 12+ Fantasy points in consecutive games, but no one's trusting them.
San Diego Chargers
QBPhilip RiversRaiders pass defense has allowed just one or zero TDs to opposing QBs over last four games (including Peyton & Cam). Rivers tough to trust but he might play big in Norv Turner's last game as coach.
RBJackie BattleAnother Charger tough to go with: Raiders run defense better of late with 102.0 total yards per game to RBs over their last three with just one TD allowed. Battle probable the safest bet of the Chargers rushers but still not ideal for Fantasy.
WRDanario AlexanderShould end the year with a bang. Raiders have allowed 120.3 yards per game to WRs over last three with a score. No. 1 WRs in 4 of last 5 have had at least 8 Fantasy points.
TEAntonio GatesDon't look now but the old man has scored in consecutive games and takes on a Raiders defense he's crushed for much of his career. Tight ends have posted 8+ Fantasy points in 5 of Raiders' last 7 games.
DSTChargersShould be a rout for the Chargers, who registered 11 sacks last week and take on a punchless Raiders passing game. Oakland totaled just 189 total yards and six points last week.

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CenturyLink Field
St. Louis Rams
QBSam BradfordBradford was shut out against the Seahawks back in Week 4. Seattle's allowed only three QBs to throw multiple touchdowns against them through 15 games.
RBSteven JacksonSeahawks bottled up S-Jax for under 70 total yards back in Week 4. He wasn't on much of a roll then, though. Seahawks have allowed just 76.7 total yards to RBs over their last three with one rush TD.
WRDanny AmendolaTough call: Amendola scored and caught six passes for 55 yards on the Seahawks earlier this year but Seahawks have given up 113.0 yards to receivers over last three with one TD.
DSTRams Seven of the last eight DSTs vs. Seattle have posted 6 Fantasy points or less. Can't trust the Rams.
Seattle Seahawks
QBRussell WilsonWilson's last bad game was vs. SF in Week 7. Since then he's totaled 2+ TDs in 7 of 8 games. Rams' pass defense has allowed four passing scores over its last eight; Wilson went touchdownless in Week 4 at STL.
RBMarshawn LynchLynch has 80+ yards & TD in each of last three vs. Rams. St. Louis has allowed 145.7 total yards per game to RBs over its last three with a rushing score.
WRGolden TateRams pass defense got beat up last week as both Bucs WRs had over 100 yards. Tate's a threat deep but his numbers have slumped lately.
WRSidney RiceRice's last three games: 12 targets, 7 catches, 125 yards, no TDs. Seems like he's not 100 percent. Rice had just 41 yards & no TD vs. STL in Week 4.
DSTSeahawksFour of the last five DSTs vs. the Rams have posted single-digit Fantasy points. Seahawks had just 10 points at STL in Week 4 but have been playing too well to sit.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins -- Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, FedExField
Dallas Cowboys
QBTony RomoWhile the Redskins have limited quarterbacks to under 20 Fantasy points in three of their last four games, Romo's been too hot (757 yards, six TDs over last two games). Romo had 441 yards and 3 TDs with 2 INTs vs. WAS in Week 12. Expect a shootout.
RBDeMarco MurraySkins have allowed 136.0 total yards per game to RBs over last three with four rush TDs. Redskins have given up a rush TD to a RB in three straight. Murray should be fine.
WRDez BryantDez crushed the Skins for 145 yards and two TDs on Thanksgiving. And he's crushed everyone else too: TD in seven straight with 80+ yards in five of those seven.
WRMiles AustinRedskins have allowed 171.3 yards per game to WRs over their last three. They've also allowed multiple receivers to score 7+ Fantasy points in consecutive weeks and nine times over the year.
TEJason WittenHad nine grabs for 74 yards on Thanksgiving vs. Redskins. Washington has since allowed 59.3 yards per game to TEs with two TDs over four games.
DSTCowboysOnly three DSTs have topped 10 Fantasy points vs. WAS all year. Six straight have scored 6 Fantasy points or less. Forget the Cowboys defense.
Washington Redskins
QBRobert Griffin IIICowboys have allowed five pass TDs over their last two with 785 passing yards. RG3 had four touchdowns in spotlight on Thanksgiving but he seems more focused on passing than rushing. He's posted just under 20 Fantasy points in three straight.
RBAlfred MorrisMorris had 113 rush yards & a TD at Dallas on Thanksgiving. Since then he's scored in three of four and had 90+ yards in each game, and the Cowboys have allowed 180.8 total yards and five TDs in their last four.
WRPierre GarconNon-No. 1 WRs haven't scored on Dallas in last four games, but No. 1 WRs have had at least 90 yards in two straight. Meanwhile the Cowboys have allowed a TD to a WR in four straight. Garcon had 93 yards & a TD on Dallas in Week 12.
WRSantana MossHas 7+ Fantasy points in each of last five vs. Dallas including 42 yards & a TD on Thanksgiving. Moss is a great sleeper this week.
DSTRedskinsOnly two of the last eight DSTs to play the Cowboys have posted 11 Fantasy points. The other five have been in the single digits. That's probably where the Redskins are headed.

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