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Eric Mack

Draft preview: Colorado Rockies outlook

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Team-by-team outlooks

The Rockies have been one of the best teams in Fantasy at providing us with rookies with big upside the past few years. Now, they have some of our favorite categories of players reaching or thriving in their prime.

Third-year starting pitchers (Jeff Francis), 27-year-olds (Garrett Atkins, Matt Holliday and Brad Hawpe) and an injury-risk sleeper (Brian Lawrence). Oh, and the slew of first-year starters and Rookie of the Year candidates are still mixed in: Troy Tulowitzki, Chris Iannetta, Jeff Baker and perhaps Jason Hirsh.

Atkins and Holliday are already Fantasy superstars sure to fly off the board in early rounds, but a few of the others above will be following suit this season in some way, if not to the level we saw from those two 2006 breakout players.

Spring position battles

Starting pitchers Nos. 3-5 -- Brian Lawrence, Rodrigo Lopez and Byung-Hyun Kim vs. Jason Hirsh, Josh Fogg, Taylor Buchholz and Denny Bautista

These options might not thrill you -- especially because they will pitch half of their games in the mile-high air -- but the Rockies have something they haven't had in years ... strike that ... something they have never had: strength in numbers. Lawrence is coming off surgery on a torn labrum, but he has a spot, if healthy. Lopez has the most experience of this group, while the big-time pitching prospect Hirsh has the most potential. All of the Rockies' back-end starters are nothing more than NL-only options on Draft Day, but that's far better than what we had to say about their options in the past. By the way, if Hirsh pitches his way into the rotation, you will want to consider him in mixed leagues. That's a big-time talent who was dominating Triple-A at the rate Cole Hamels, Jered Weaver and Jeremy Sowers were last season.

Right field -- Brad Hawpe vs. Jeff Baker

This is one of the most interesting battles to watch in spring training, because these are two potential mashers for any Fantasy roster this season. Hawpe is clearly the favorite because of his experience, but Baker terrorized the NL last September and certainly can take some at-bats from the lefty Hawpe. If a platoon results, Hawpe should get most of the at-bats in right, but Baker will also be spelling Todd Helton at first against some select lefties or in day games after night games. Baker's versatility could have him fill in for Holliday in left and Atkins at third, too. Consider the 27-year-old Hawpe a sleeper candidate for mixed leagues and look to Baker as a flier in deeper leagues.

Catcher -- Chris Iannetta vs. Javy Lopez and Yorvit Torrealba

This is a classic battle of the future at the catcher position for the Rockies against a one-time Fantasy MVP in Lopez. Coors Field is an ideal park for a slugger like Lopez, but we have no confidence in him being a regular catcher. Iannetta might not win the job outright, but his presence will make Lopez nothing more than a deeper NL-only option. Iannetta is one of our top 10 rookies to target on Draft Day and makes for a great pick with upside.

Shortstop -- Troy Tulowitzki vs. Clint Barmes

You wouldn't have thought this would be a position battle this spring, but the Rockies said recently Barmes will have an equal shot at beating out the top prospect. It's surprising to us, but it will only matter if the first-half 2005 Barmes shows up to camp this spring. He was cruising to NL Rookie of the Year honors before falling down a flight of stairs. Tulo should win the job, but you have to temper your willingness to pay top dollar until he officially is named the everyday shortstop. Tulo has solid run production potential in the mold of a Khalil Greene and Bobby Crosby, but you will have to pick those two 27-year-olds before taking the chance on a rookie at this point.

Second base -- Kaz Matsui vs. Jamey Carroll and Clint Barmes

Barmes' competing for the shortstop job likely rules him out of the second-base hunt now, unfortunately. Matsui found himself in his brief audition late last year, while Carroll had a career year that makes you think perhaps he's not a career utility man. Nope. He is, we say. Matsui is this one we would take a flier on in deeper leagues, because he trumps Carroll in the important Fantasy categories of double-digit homer and steals potential. Until Carroll's five homers last season, we might not have thought he would reach double-digit homers for his career. Players who rely solely on their batting average are not safe picks in Fantasy.

Colorado Rockies Outlook
Projected lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Willy Taveras CF 1 Jeff Francis LH
2 Todd Helton 1B 2 Aaron Cook RH
3 Garrett Atkins 3B 3 Brian Lawrence RH
4 Matt Holliday LF 4 Rodrigo Lopez RH
5 Brad Hawpe RF 5 Byung-Hyun Kim RH
6 Troy Tulowitzki SS Alt Jason Hirsh RH
7 Kaz Matsui 2B Top bullpen arms
8 Chris Iannetta C CL Brian Fuentes RH
Top bench options SU LaTroy Hawkins RH
R Jeff Baker RF RP Jeremy Affeldt LH
R Javy Lopez C RP Ramon Ramirez RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2006 high Destination
1 Troy Tulowitzki 22 SS Majors Majors
It didn't take long for this SS phenom to threaten Barmes' job
2 Chris Iannetta 23 C Majors Majors
Don't be J.D. Closser-shy here, Iannetta is better, we promise
3 Jeff Baker 25 OF Majors Majors
Will get his at-bats at RF-1B-3B-LF spelling middle of Rox order
4 Jason Hirsh 25 RH SP Majors Triple-A
Astros gave up on him way too soon, but he needs to earn spot
5 Ian Stewart 21 3B Double-A Triple-A
Injury-plagued '06 doesn't scare us; he's still future Fantasy star
Best of the rest: 1B Joe Koshansky, 24; OF Jeff Salazar, 26; 2B Jayson Nix, 24; C Alvin Colina, 25; RHP Ubaldo Jimenez, 23; RHP Juan Morillo, 23; LHP Franklin Morales, 21; OF Joe Gaetti, 25; OF Dexter Fowler, 21; OF Matt Miller, 24; 2B Eric O. Young Jr., 21; SS Chris Nelson, 21; SS Jonathan Herrera, 22; RHP Greg Reynolds, 21; OF Seth Smith, 24.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to dmfantasybaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Rockies outlook in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Joe Mauer
Mauer 'feels good' after workout
Joe Mauer, C, MIN
2:50 PM
News: The News-Press reports Twins C Joe Mauer took two rounds of batting practice and went through a set of conditioning drills around the base paths Monday, and he appeared to have no problems sprinting. Mauer battled leg injuries in 2011. “I feel good,” Mauer said. “It feels good to get back out here again.” Mauer also put to rest the rumors that he gained 30 pounds in the offseason. “I heard that, too, and I couldn’t believe it," he said. “It’s just how rumors start. There were a lot of things out there last year that weren’t true. I’m about 220, 225. I need to add a little more weight before we start.”
Analysis: While most players feel good when they arrive to camp, it's especially encouraging to hear Mauer say that since last season he was coming off knee surgery and wasn't ready for the start of spring training. Mauer will head into 2012 motivated after an injury-plagued 2011. There's no guarantee he is past his knee problems, but the Twins are going to do their best to make sure Mauer avoids the DL. There is obviously risk involved with drafting Mauer, but his potential to be an elite Fantasy option at catcher make it worth drafting him. An offseason of staying health could make Mauer a steal in the fifth or sixth round of mixed-league drafts.

Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels, Indians interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett. CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman said the Indians have also inquired about Burnett. The trade talks involve DH Travis Hafner, but Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade. The Yankees also don't mind the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps these rumors regarding the Angels and Indians might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Michael Pineda
Pineda 'excited' to be with Yanks
Michael Pineda, SP, NYY
3:15 PM
News: Michael Pineda started his New York Yankees' career a little early. The All-Star pitcher acquired from Seattle last month joined pre-spring training workouts Tuesday at the Yankees' minor league complex. "I'm excited because it's my first time," Pineda said. "I'm working hard to help my team make it to the playoffs." The Mariners and Yankees completed a four-player trade that sent promising slugger Jesus Montero and pitcher Hector Noesi to the Mariners for Pineda and pitching prospect Jose Campos. "My mom is excited because she has a lot of family in New York, and she's never come to America," said Pineda, who's mother lives in the Dominican Republic. "So this year, it's the first time she's coming to America. She's excited." Pineda and second baseman Robinson Cano are friends, which should help the pitcher's adjustment. "He talked to me, (and said) focus on the game, in your work," Pineda said. "Don't worry. I'll take care of you."
Analysis: The 23-year-old got off to a 6-2 start with a 2.16 ERA in his first season before finishing at 9-10 with a 3.74 ERA. He led the major leagues by holding right-handed batters to a .184 average, and he struck out 173 in 171 innings. Every Fantasy owner is looking toward Pineda in pinstripes. Had he been on a contender as a rookie in 2011, then he might have had a better record. He went 9-10 in 28 starts. Ivan Nova went 16-4 with the Yankees in 28 outings (27 starts) last season, which Fantasy owners would take any day given Pineda's upside. Consider Pineda a top 25 Fantasy SP on Draft Day. He was already a must-own Fantasy SP, but joining the Yankees makes him that much more valuable.

Alex Liddi
Liddi to work at 1B in spring
Alex Liddi, 3B, SEA
3:09 PM
News: The Seattle Times reports Mariners manager Eric Wedge said 3B Alex Liddi will be playing first base for most of the spring. Liddi began taking grounders at first on Tuesday.
Analysis: It seems as though the Mariners want to see if they can find an alternative way to get Liddi on the roster in the event Kyle Seager and Chone Figgins prove to be viable options at third base. Liddi could be a backup to Justin Smoak at first base. However, it appears Liddi might only be vying for a backup role with Seattle, so unless he has an outstanding spring, then he should be left for AL-only Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Tsuyoshi Nishioka
Nishioka wants to be 'aggressive'
Tsuyoshi Nishioka, SS, MIN
2:58 PM
News: The News-Press reports Twins SS Tsuyoshi Nishioka arrived a week early to spring training so he could adjust to the time difference from Japan. He worked out Monday and said through a translator that adjusting to his first experience in the majors took its toll on him in 2011. “I want to be more aggressive,” Nishioka said. “Not knowing right from left, it was strange playing the sport of baseball. It’s difficult when you think about it. Driving a car, you drive on opposite sides of the road. Outside the ballpark, there were lifestyle adjustments, too. That made it pretty difficult.”
Analysis: It's good that Nishioka has come to camp with the right attitude. However, he is still looking at being a reserve after the team signed Jamey Carroll to start at shortstop. That's not to say Nishioka can't emerge as a starter at some point this season, but the Twins are going to make him earn it. Nishioka is at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve on Draft Day.

Mike Moustakas
Moustakas in great shape
Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC
12:48 PM
News: Royals manager Ned Yost had his contract option for the 2013 season picked up on Tuesday, but the Kansas City skipper seemed more interested in talking about his 2012 team. Yost was impressed with how many players have shown up for spring training early and is really blown away by the fitness level of a few of his players. "Billy Butler and Mike Moustakas -- I'm extremely proud of both of those guys," Yost told reporters. "They could be in the best shape they've been in their careers. Billy looks great, and I didn't even hardly recognize Moose he looks so good."
Analysis: While the fitness level doesn't necessarily mean a player will have success, it really can't hurt either. To hear Yost rave about Moustakas should get the attention of Fantasy owners. Moustakas, who is one of the Royals' top prospects, struggled when he first arrived in the majors last season. However, he seemed to have figured it out by season's end. Moustakas hit .352 with four homers and 12 RBI in his final 22 games last season. He is definitely one of the more intriguing Fantasy sleepers heading into 2012 and this latest report just adds to his appeal on Draft Day.

Jake Westbrook
Westbrook sheds 25 pounds
Jake Westbrook, SP, STL
2:11 PM
News: The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports Cardinals SP Jake Westbrook has shown up for spring training 25 pounds lighter than he was last season.
Analysis: This is the time of year where everyone seems to come to camp in better shape than they left last season. Hopefully for Westbrook it makes a difference in his game. He did go 12-9 in 2011, but he posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 33 starts. Westbrook can chew up innings, but he won't post impressive ERA, WHIP or strikeout total. Leave him for NL-only Fantasy formats.

 
 
 
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