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David Gonos

Draft preview: Oakland Athletics outlook

Team-by-team outlooks

The A's might have changed skippers, but they'll likely try to do the same things they did last year on their way to the ALCS for the first time since 1992. Bob Geren takes over at the helm, who also lost their staff ace to cross-bay rival San Francisco.

They also replace on aging DH veteran (Frank Thomas) with another (Mike Piazza), but the latter's departure from behind the plate should mean a boon for his Fantasy stats. He'll no longer need to squat 150 times a game, deal with the tools of ignorance (mask, chest protector and shinguards) or call a game defensively with his pitching staff. Oakland is a pitcher's park with spacious foul territories, but Piazza should still be able to capitalize on his first season in the AL.

One important item to note is that the young pitching staff led by Rich Harden, Dan Haren and Joe Blanton will still be taught by pitching coach Curt Young for the fourth consecutive season. This staff loses Barry Zito and they chose to just move everyone in the rotation up one spot rather than bring in an expensive free agent ace. That means they need Harden to stay healthy -- not an easy feat for someone that has had oblique, back and elbow problems in recent years. In his four major-league seasons, Harden has thrown more than 130 innings only once (2004).

But Blanton is entering his third year as a starting pitcher. He actually took a step back last year, as many sophomore pitchers do after a successful rookie campaign. Normally, you'd shake it off as just a bump in the road. But his k/bb ratio (1.84) was bad and his ERA climbed more than a full run. Only gamble on him late in your mixed league drafts, but if he starts slow, feel free to cut him for a hot free agent.

Only seven teams stole fewer bases than the Athletics last year (61) and we don't expect that to change much under Geren. He was formerly Ken Macha's bench coach.

Milton Bradley enters his second season with Oakland, but shoulder tendinitis and other ailments limited him to under 100 games played for the second straight season. A healthy season from him could mean plenty to the hitters around him in this lineup.

Another A's hitter who could use a healthy season is shortstop Bobby Crosby. His talent promises plenty of upside, but he also hasn't played over 100 games since his rookie of the year effort in 2004. His penchant for landing on the DL puts him in the second tier of shortstops, which means you could score a solid middle infielder without risking much of a draft pick.

Shannon Stewart could end up playing left field if Dan Johnson is unable to rebound from his disappointing season last year. If that happens Nick Swisher would move back from left field to play first base again.

Spring position battles

Fifth starting pitcher -- Brad Halsey, Joe Kennedy vs. Jason Windsor

Most of the positions on this team have been solidified entering camp, but the exit of Zito opens up a rotation spot in the back end. The only Fantasy leaguers concerned over this battle should be AL-only owners. And even those owners are scraping the barrel.

Oakland Athletics Outlook
Projected lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Jason Kendall C 1 Rich Harden RH
2 Milton Bradley RF 2 Dan Haren RH
3 Nick Swisher LF 3 Joe Blanton RH
4 Mike Piazza DH 4 Esteban Loaiza RH
5 Eric Chavez 3B 5 Joe Kennedy LH
6 Bobby Crosby SS Alt Brad Halsey LH
7 Mark Kotsay CF
8 Dan Johnson 1B Top bullpen arms
9 Mark Ellis 2B CL Huston Street RH
Top bench options SU Justin Duchscherer RH
R Shannon Stewart OF RP Kiko Calero RH
R Marco Scutaro INF RP Jay Witasick RH
     
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2006 high Destination
1 Daric Barton 21 1B Triple-A Triple-A
Disastrous '06 in Triple-A means he won't challenge Dan Johnson
2 Travis Buck 23 OF Double-A Triple-A
Power isn't there yet, but he's not far from bigs and might pop
3 Javier Herrera 21 OF DNP Double-A
Made Andre Ethier expendable then lost '06 to elbow surgery
4 Ryan Goleski 24 OF Double-A Majors
Raw Rule-5er had awesome numbers and has to make roster
5 Kurt Suzuki 23 C Double-A Triple-A
Groomed to probably take over for Kendall in '08
Best of the rest: RHP Jason Windsor, 24; 2B Kevin Mellilo, 24; RHP Shane Komine, 26; OF Matt Sulentic, 19; 3B Myron Leslie, 24; OF Danny Putnam, 24.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to dmfantasybaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Athletics outlook in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, then he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps this rumor regarding the Angels might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. The Angels could afford to trade Bobby Abreu to the Yankees, who are looking for DH. But this point is moot until Burnett agrees to waive his no-trade clause. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin fires back at GM
Jhoulys Chacin, SP, COL
12:07 PM
News: The Denver Post reports Rockies SP Jhoulys Chacin responded to comments made by GM Dan O'Dowd, who expressed concern recently about Chacin's offseason conditioning. "I came to Arizona this past Monday. I have not stopped training during the winter, both in my country and here," Chacin told Venezuelan newspaper Meridiano. "I have always done the best job I could all throughout these past few months. I don't know where these comments came from. I believe they're the result of what other people have told him, instead of his own personal evaluation. I am looking forward to meeting O'Dowd personally, and I am confident that he will have a different conclusion after a firsthand evaluation." O'Dowd made his comments after seeing Chacin at the team's Fanfest in January. "He looked OK. It wasn't as bad as I anticipated," O'Dowd said. "It's still not what it should be."
Analysis: O'Dowd believes Chacin needs to lose weight because the excess pounds affect the balance in his delivery and cause his fastball command to suffer. Chacin spent much of the winter working out in his native Venezuela after working out in Tucson previously. On Feb. 9, Chacin reportedly weighed 226 pounds but anticipates being close to the 218 pounds he was last spring when he reports to spring training on Feb. 19. Chacin went 8-7 with a 3.16 ERA in 18 pre-All Star break starts last year and went 3-7 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts after the break. Chacin struggled with walks in the second half and was much more hittable down the stretch than he was early in the season. This situation is clearly not the way Fantasy owners want to see Chacin kick off the 2012 season, but perhaps this will provide him with the motivation he needs to reach elite status. Look to Chacin as a mid-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Kosuke Fukudome
Fukudome lands on South Side
Kosuke Fukudome, RF, CLE
11:46 AM
News: Kosuke Fukudome is headed back to the Windy City, but this time he is going to call the South Side home. Fukudome agreed to a one-year, $1 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday. The deal also included a club option for the 2013 season.
Analysis: Fukudome played for the Cubs from 2008 to the trade deadline last season when he was shipped to Cleveland. He had his most disappointing campaign in the majors in 2011, which is why he probably stayed on the free-agent market longer than expected. The White Sox are expected to open 2012 with an outfield alignment of Alex Rios in center, Dayan Viciedo in right field and Alejandro De Aza in left field. Brent Lillibridge is considered a backup at all three outfield positions and now Fukudome joins the mix as another outfield body. However, since he likely won't begin the season as a starter, then Fukudome can be left undrafted in most Fantasy formats. Consider him at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve.

Junichi Tazawa
Tazawa being transitioned to RP
Junichi Tazawa, RP, BOS
12:39 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox pitching coach Bob McClure said the team plans to take a look at Junichi Tazawa as a reliever.
Analysis: Tazawa did make three relief appearances for Boston last season, but he mostly has started in the minors. However, he has struggled since returning from Tommy John surgery, which is why the Red Sox want to see if his new career path is as a reliever. If that's the case, then Tazawa's Fantasy value takes a hit for the time being. Continue to ignore him in all formats, including long-term keeper leagues.

Bud Norris
Norris focused on pitching 200 innings
Bud Norris, SP, HOU
12:34 PM
News: MLB.com reports one of Astros SP Bud Norris' goals for the 2012 season is reaching 200 innings for the first time in his MLB career. "I'm pretty happy with the strides I made last year and I'm continuing to move forward," he said. "The main goal for me is to play 10 years in the big leagues and hopefully get that World Series win. That's what it's all about. Another thing Roy (Oswalt) taught me before he left was to try to get to 200 innings. If you get to 200 innings, you're giving your team the best opportunity to win and I hope that I can get out there and do that."
Analysis: Norris hasn't had a winning season in the majors since he went 6-3 as a rookie in 2009. That might not change in 2012 because Houston isn't expected to contend. However, Norris had a career-best 3.77 ERA in 2011 and is still striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings in his MLB career. He flies under the radar in Fantasy because the lack of wins, but Norris is worth a look as a back-of-the-rotation arm in deep mixed Fantasy leagues.

Jose Veras
Veras loses arbitration case
Jose Veras, RP, MIL
12:01 PM
News: CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman reports Brewers RP Jose Veras lost his arbitration case. He will make $2 million in 2012 instead of the $2.375 million he sought in arbitration.
Analysis: Veras arrived in Milwaukee in December as part of the Casey McGehee trade with the Pirates. Veras went 2-4 with a 3.80 ERA in 71 innings for Pittsburgh last season. He won't be a closer with the Brewers and will work in middle relief. Veras is merely a low-end Fantasy RP.

Dillon Gee
Gee prepping for the long haul
Dillon Gee, SP, NYM
11:33 AM
News: Newsday reports Mets SP Dillon Gee is focusing on finishing out the 2012 season after he struggled in the second half in 2011. Gee admitted fatigue played a part in his ERA rising to 5.25 after the All-Star break. He had a 3.76 ERA in the first half. "As the months went on, my stuff just got kind of bland," Gee said. "I feel that comes from fatigue. As soon as your legs get tired, you start overcompensating one way or the other, maybe relaxing a little bit. That throws off your release point, and in the end, the movement on your pitches. Earlier in the year, when I was fresh, you could see a big difference in the video that I watched."
Analysis: Gee said he is looking "for nothing but improvement" in 2012. He clearly has figured out what his biggest hurdle is to make sure he has a successful campaign. "I've had bouts of inconsistency where I jumped a level because it's a different thing you never experienced," Gee said. "My first full year in the big leagues was a long season for me. I wasn't used to that. It's only a month longer than minor leagues, but mentally, it's challenging. Every start, you have to focus so much harder, and that drains you. So I think learning how to deal with that and knowing what to expect this next year." Gee finished 2011 with 13 wins, but it could be a little tougher for victories this season as the Mets aren't the same star-filled team they used to be. Gee is merely a late-round Fantasy flier.

 
 
 
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