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David Gonos

Cleaning out the Fantasy closet

I was going through the storage closet in my head and came across a number of things I've wanted to get out for a while now, but I just haven't had the time. Consider this a Fantasy piece for those with short attention spans.

Heralded Felix Pie might finally stick with the Cubbies. (AP)  
Heralded Felix Pie might finally stick with the Cubbies. (AP)  
Felix Pie was red hot earlier this month. Has he finally figured this game out? How many times have we heard the Corey Patterson comparison with him? He has been the promising prospect that just can't put it together in the majors. But after getting sent down in early May, he went on to post solid numbers in 20 games at Triple-A Iowa: .367, two homers, 18 RBI, 15 runs scored and four SBs. And once he returned to the Cubs in early June, he hit safely in seven straight games, boosting his average up 64 points to .288. Then he went 0-for-7 in his past two games. There's no doubt he's a talent, but he still strikes out way more than he walks. Rotisserie owners will benefit the most from his speed right now. He hasn't solved the game yet, but when you consider he's still only 22 years old, you'll agree that he has a chance to be something special sooner than later.

Have you noticed the new "Recent Trades" section on player profile pages? Pick a player, any player, then look in the bottom left of his page, under his comparisons to other players at his position. Then click on the "More trades" link to see all of the recent trades that this player was involved in. You'll see that each trade is categorized as a Rotisserie or Head-to-Head league trade and whether or not the trade happened in a pay league or one of SportsLine's free ones. (The reasoning there, right or wrong, is that people assume trades made in pay leagues are between two owners that are paying attention and without collusion. Some free leagues might even have one person owning multiple teams in the same league. If you are such an owner, please go play in heavy traffic.)

I don't want to hear about how the ending to The Sopranos was good because it leaves it up to your imagination to decide what Tony's future is. In my imagination, Tony Soprano never leaves The Bada-Bing Club ... ever. That's why I pay HBO each month, so they can fill my mind with endings to stories I've followed for a decade -- not a "To be continued" that never arrives. I think I'm going to go rip the last chapter out of every book I own now.

In Rotisserie leagues, some owners want to improve certain categories of their team, hoping to climb five or six points. Many look at the players that are struggling in batting average and they think, "I need to rid my team of this guy because he's dragging my team average down." But make sure the guys you trade are ones that usually have bad batting averages and aren't just guys that are off to a slow start. Look at their career averages opposite their current averages. Use your highly tuned baseball acumen to decipher if someone's current bad average likely won't improve much over the next four months (Jason Kendall, Khalil Greene or Melvin Mora), or if they have the potential to rebound over the second half (Michael Young, Julio Lugo or Ryan Zimmerman). Don't trade away a struggling batter whose career averages show that a rebound is imminent. Why give your opponent Young's second half, when he'll likely hit over .315, rather than keep it for yourself?

The second base position has received a huge boost in talent this season, with the strong surges from B.J. Upton, Kelly Johnson, Orlando Hudson, Aaron Hill, Ian Kinsler and even Brendan Harris. Some of these players might be up and down on the stats roller coaster, but for the most part, each of them are making this position a much deeper one than it once was. And look at Dan Uggla. He started the year slowly, hitting with plenty of power, but with just a .217 batting average in April. He now has 25 doubles in 64 games, setting him on pace for 64 doubles this year, which would match Joe "Ducky" Medwick for most ever. He had 13 doubles in May alone. I think we should all make a concerted effort to start calling him Dan "Ducky" Uggla.

Another new item on our site is our "Most Traded Players" list. Go to the top bar on your league pages, mouse-over "Stats," then click on "Roster Trends". On the top right side of the "Roster Trends" page, click on "Most Traded." This gives you an excellent idea of some players that more owners are growing tired of and are ready to move. The types of players on this list are intriguing. There are those players whose owners feel are no longer playing above their true value (J.J. Hardy and Daisuke Matsuzaka). Then there are players whose owners appear to have washed their hands with (Carlos Zambrano, Mariano Rivera and Vernon Wells). Also on this list are players traded because they are hot (Roger Clemens, Alfonso Soriano and Albert Pujols). And there are the players that some owners are betting will shake poor starts and explode (Johan Santana, Lance Berkman and Andruw Jones). Take a look at the top players on this page and find the owner in your league that has him. There's a good chance he is as ready to move him as these other owners. One way to get the trade to go through is to offer the owner a player that is also on this list. Remember that these players aren't just ones people want to get rid of, but obviously there's a market with people wanting them just as much.

Psssttt ... Not sure if you noticed or not, but we are currently in scoring period No. 11. Most Head-to-Head formats will be starting their playoffs around Week 23, which means we are basically at the halfway point of your regular season. It's time to assess your placement in the standings. If you are at the top of the standings, are you really a top team or do you just have a good record with a low points total? Mouse over the "Standings" and click on the "Power" link. That should give you a good idea where you stand, taking into account your record and points. Figure out if you need to make a trade to solidify your position. If you are in the middle of the pack, look at those who are your real competitors and those who are also decent, but not great. Try to make a trade with these owners specifically, so that your upswing could mean their downswing. Are you in a keeper league? If so, this might be the week to start trading your stars for stud youngsters -- or vice versa if you are in the running for a championship. Rotisserie owners still have a few more weeks before they hit the midway point.

My Top Five Under 25

These are the five players I consider the top performers that are still owned in 25 percent or less of CBS SportsLine leagues.

  1. Melky Cabrera, OF, NYY (21 percent)
  2. Brian Bannister, SP, KC (15)
  3. Cha Seung Baek, SP, SEA (3)
  4. Adam Lind, OF, TOR (15)
  5. Elijah Dukes, OF, TB (25)

Bleacher banter

Brad Osborne, Kingston, Ontario: How much is Barry Bonds worth? I've been trying to trade him in my Head-to-Head league for the past two years, but no one will take him. My outfield consists of Carl Crawford, Juan Pierre and Magglio Ordonez with Bonds at DH. But I also have Chone Figgins, Reggie Willits and Willy Taveras. As you can see, I like speed. What value should I be expecting for him? Do you think I'm riding off into the sun with him?

D.G.: Well, Brad (if that is your real name), let's take a gander at our new-fangled "Most recent trades" tab on Mr. Sunshine's player profile page. I'm going to discard any NL-only deals, multi-player deals and any deals in Rotisserie leagues. That leaves us with straight-up trades for players like Roger Clemens, Jermaine Dye, Todd Jones, J.J. Hardy, J.D. Drew, Braden Looper and Delmon Young (and that's just the trades that have happened since June 11). Looking at that list of players should help you gauge interest.

A fitting ending

And whatever you do, make sure you run out and get the greatest prospect in baseball. He should be available in your league and he'll turn your team into a champion. His name is ...

... Don't Stop Believing ...

Feel free to send me a question or a comment. Here are a few that you can just clip and paste. "Are you insane?" ... "What are you thinking?" ... "You're an idiot -- but can you tell me if I should make this trade?" ... "I have a beautiful sister that likes Fantasy dorks, want her number?" ... Send your comments, hate mail, credit card numbers and beautiful sister's phone numbers to me by clicking on my Columnist page and sending a note through the feedback form.

 
 
 
Player News
Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, then he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps this rumor regarding the Angels might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. The Angels could afford to trade Bobby Abreu to the Yankees, who are looking for DH. But this point is moot until Burnett agrees to waive his no-trade clause. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin fires back at GM
Jhoulys Chacin, SP, COL
12:07 PM
News: The Denver Post reports Rockies SP Jhoulys Chacin responded to comments made by GM Dan O'Dowd, who expressed concern recently about Chacin's offseason conditioning. "I came to Arizona this past Monday. I have not stopped training during the winter, both in my country and here," Chacin told Venezuelan newspaper Meridiano. "I have always done the best job I could all throughout these past few months. I don't know where these comments came from. I believe they're the result of what other people have told him, instead of his own personal evaluation. I am looking forward to meeting O'Dowd personally, and I am confident that he will have a different conclusion after a firsthand evaluation." O'Dowd made his comments after seeing Chacin at the team's Fanfest in January. "He looked OK. It wasn't as bad as I anticipated," O'Dowd said. "It's still not what it should be."
Analysis: O'Dowd believes Chacin needs to lose weight because the excess pounds affect the balance in his delivery and cause his fastball command to suffer. Chacin spent much of the winter working out in his native Venezuela after working out in Tucson previously. On Feb. 9, Chacin reportedly weighed 226 pounds but anticipates being close to the 218 pounds he was last spring when he reports to spring training on Feb. 19. Chacin went 8-7 with a 3.16 ERA in 18 pre-All Star break starts last year and went 3-7 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts after the break. Chacin struggled with walks in the second half and was much more hittable down the stretch than he was early in the season. This situation is clearly not the way Fantasy owners want to see Chacin kick off the 2012 season, but perhaps this will provide him with the motivation he needs to reach elite status. Look to Chacin as a mid-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Kosuke Fukudome
Fukudome lands on South Side
Kosuke Fukudome, RF, CLE
11:46 AM
News: Kosuke Fukudome is headed back to the Windy City, but this time he is going to call the South Side home. Fukudome agreed to a one-year, $1 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday. The deal also included a club option for the 2013 season.
Analysis: Fukudome played for the Cubs from 2008 to the trade deadline last season when he was shipped to Cleveland. He had his most disappointing campaign in the majors in 2011, which is why he probably stayed on the free-agent market longer than expected. The White Sox are expected to open 2012 with an outfield alignment of Alex Rios in center, Dayan Viciedo in right field and Alejandro De Aza in left field. Brent Lillibridge is considered a backup at all three outfield positions and now Fukudome joins the mix as another outfield body. However, since he likely won't begin the season as a starter, then Fukudome can be left undrafted in most Fantasy formats. Consider him at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve.

Bud Norris
Norris focused on pitching 200 innings
Bud Norris, SP, HOU
12:34 PM
News: MLB.com reports one of Astros SP Bud Norris' goals for the 2012 season is reaching 200 innings for the first time in his MLB career. "I'm pretty happy with the strides I made last year and I'm continuing to move forward," he said. "The main goal for me is to play 10 years in the big leagues and hopefully get that World Series win. That's what it's all about. Another thing Roy (Oswalt) taught me before he left was to try to get to 200 innings. If you get to 200 innings, you're giving your team the best opportunity to win and I hope that I can get out there and do that."
Analysis: Norris hasn't had a winning season in the majors since he went 6-3 as a rookie in 2009. That might not change in 2012 because Houston isn't expected to contend. However, Norris had a career-best 3.77 ERA in 2011 and is still striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings in his MLB career. He flies under the radar in Fantasy because the lack of wins, but Norris is worth a look as a back-of-the-rotation arm in deep mixed Fantasy leagues.

Jose Veras
Veras loses arbitration case
Jose Veras, RP, MIL
12:01 PM
News: CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman reports Brewers RP Jose Veras lost his arbitration case. He will make $2 million in 2012 instead of the $2.375 million he sought in arbitration.
Analysis: Veras arrived in Milwaukee in December as part of the Casey McGehee trade with the Pirates. Veras went 2-4 with a 3.80 ERA in 71 innings for Pittsburgh last season. He won't be a closer with the Brewers and will work in middle relief. Veras is merely a low-end Fantasy RP.

Dillon Gee
Gee prepping for the long haul
Dillon Gee, SP, NYM
11:33 AM
News: Newsday reports Mets SP Dillon Gee is focusing on finishing out the 2012 season after he struggled in the second half in 2011. Gee admitted fatigue played a part in his ERA rising to 5.25 after the All-Star break. He had a 3.76 ERA in the first half. "As the months went on, my stuff just got kind of bland," Gee said. "I feel that comes from fatigue. As soon as your legs get tired, you start overcompensating one way or the other, maybe relaxing a little bit. That throws off your release point, and in the end, the movement on your pitches. Earlier in the year, when I was fresh, you could see a big difference in the video that I watched."
Analysis: Gee said he is looking "for nothing but improvement" in 2012. He clearly has figured out what his biggest hurdle is to make sure he has a successful campaign. "I've had bouts of inconsistency where I jumped a level because it's a different thing you never experienced," Gee said. "My first full year in the big leagues was a long season for me. I wasn't used to that. It's only a month longer than minor leagues, but mentally, it's challenging. Every start, you have to focus so much harder, and that drains you. So I think learning how to deal with that and knowing what to expect this next year." Gee finished 2011 with 13 wins, but it could be a little tougher for victories this season as the Mets aren't the same star-filled team they used to be. Gee is merely a late-round Fantasy flier.

Josh Beckett
Beckett throws with skipper watching
Josh Beckett, SP, BOS
11:26 AM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox SP Josh Beckett threw 20 pitches in a bullpen session Tuesday as new manager Bobby Valentine watched.
Analysis: After a disastrous 2010, Beckett stayed healthy for the most part in 2011 and was able to get back on track. He made 30 starts and posted a 2.89 ERA. He also had a 13-7 record and 1.03 WHIP. Beckett has had less than 10 wins in just one of his last seven seasons. The biggest risk with drafting Beckett is durability. But if he is healthy, then he can post big numbers. Look to Beckett in the early rounds on Draft Day.

 
 
 
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