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Scott White

Draft prep: Atlanta Braves outlook

By | Fantasy Writer


The Braves are clearly in a transitional phase. Now two years removed from the end of their run of 14 straight division titles, they have to face the harsh reality of coming up short, teetering on the divide between contending and rebuilding.

For now, they choose the former, even calling on one-time hero Tom Glavine to help return the present to their past. He anchors the third spot in the rotation behind clear aces John Smoltz and Tim Hudson, with the Braves hoping Mike Hampton returns healthy from a second elbow surgery to give them a clear top four on the starting staff.

The deadline deal for Mark Teixeira offers the Braves renewed hope offensively. He brings instant star power and, teaming up with fellow switch hitter Chipper Jones in the middle of the batting order, gives opposing managers matchup nightmares on a daily basis. The Braves will need his thunderous bat in the lineup too, to help soften the loss of Andruw Jones. The 30-year-old took his 10 Gold Gloves and 368 career home runs to Los Angeles for a bigger contract with the Dodgers.

Outfielder Jeff Francoeur and catcher Brian McCann give the Braves two cornerstone players around which to build the franchise. They, along with homegrown double-play combination Kelly Johnson and Yunel Escobar, have to usher in a new era of success with longtime general manager John Schuerholz already out the door and 66-year-old manager Bobby Cox soon to follow.

Spring position battles

Starting pitchers Nos. 4-5 -- Mike Hampton and Chuck James vs. Jair Jurrjens and Jo-Jo Reyes

If Hampton proves healthy this spring, he has a spot for sure. The Braves simply owe him too much money not to use him. Jurrjens, acquired from the Tigers in an offseason deal for Edgar Renteria, has the most upside of the group, but James stands as the favorite to win the No. 5 role based on his experience. Reyes is a dark horse who appeared overmatched in a few spot starts last season. Jurrjens deserves a roster spot in long-term keeper leagues, with James more of an NL-only pitcher with the upside to grow into more. Hampton is at best a late-round flier in Fantasy. A 2 1/2 year layoff from his last start doesn't bode well for his 2008 prospects.

Center field -- Mark Kotsay vs. Josh Anderson and Brandon Jones

The Braves acquired Kotsay to take over for Andruw Jones, but if he proves offensively inept or incapable of recovering from back surgery, Anderson, also acquired via offseason trade, stands to man the great expanse of Turner Field. Anderson would actually have more Fantasy value than Kotsay because of his ability to steal bases, though neither deserves a spot outside of NL-only leagues. The Braves could even use Jones in center field, though for defensive purposes, they'd probably prefer to keep him in left.

Left field -- Matt Diaz vs. Brandon Jones

Two straight seasons with a batting average over .325 likely earns Diaz the majority of at-bats in left field, though Jones, a rookie, stands to steal a few even if he doesn't make the roster out of spring training. This position could ultimately emerge as a lefty-righty platoon, but we still say the right-handed Diaz gets the better end of it. Consider him a sleeper, especially for NL-only leagues.

Atlanta Braves Outlook
Projected lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Yunel Escobar SS 1 John Smoltz RH
2 Kelly Johnson 2B 2 Tim Hudson RH
3 Chipper Jones 3B 3 Tom Glavine LH
4 Mark Teixeira 1B 4 Mike Hampton LH
5 Brian McCann C 5 Chuck James LH
6 Jeff Francoeur RF Alt Jair Jurrjens RH
7 Matt Diaz LF Top bullpen arms
8 Mark Kotsay CF CL Rafael Soriano RH
Top bench options SU Peter Moylan RH
R Brandon Jones OF RP Will Ohman LH
R Josh Anderson OF RP Royce Ring LH
R Omar Infante UTL RP Manny Acosta RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2007 high Destination
1 Brandon Jones 23 OF Majors Majors
Broke out in Triple-A last year; could open in platoon with Diaz.
2 Jair Jurrjens 22 RH SP Majors Triple-A
Acquired in Edgar Renteria trade; might make rotation out of spring.
3 Manny Acosta 26 RH RP Majors Majors
Stuff a half step behind closer Soriano's; might emerge as setup man.
4 Jordan Schafer 21 OF Class A Double-A
Talented hitter considered the long-term solution in center field.
5 Brent Lillibridge 24 SS Triple-A Triple-A
Solid all-around shortstop with nowhere to play; a bargaining chip?
Best of the rest: OF Josh Anderson, 25; 1B Kala Kaaihue, 23; SP Anthony Lerew, 25; C Clint Sammons, 24; SP Tommy Hanson, 21; 3B Eric Campbell, 22; 3B Van Pope, 24; SP Cole Rohrbough, 20; SP Jeffrey Locke, 20; OF Gorkys Hernandez, 20; OF Jason Heyward, 18.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to dmfantasybaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Braves outlook in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Joe Mauer
Mauer 'feels good' after workout
Joe Mauer, C, MIN
2:50 PM
News: The News-Press reports Twins C Joe Mauer took two rounds of batting practice and went through a set of conditioning drills around the base paths Monday, and he appeared to have no problems sprinting. Mauer battled leg injuries in 2011. “I feel good,” Mauer said. “It feels good to get back out here again.” Mauer also put to rest the rumors that he gained 30 pounds in the offseason. “I heard that, too, and I couldn’t believe it," he said. “It’s just how rumors start. There were a lot of things out there last year that weren’t true. I’m about 220, 225. I need to add a little more weight before we start.”
Analysis: While most players feel good when they arrive to camp, it's especially encouraging to hear Mauer say that since last season he was coming off knee surgery and wasn't ready for the start of spring training. Mauer will head into 2012 motivated after an injury-plagued 2011. There's no guarantee he is past his knee problems, but the Twins are going to do their best to make sure Mauer avoids the DL. There is obviously risk involved with drafting Mauer, but his potential to be an elite Fantasy option at catcher make it worth drafting him. An offseason of staying health could make Mauer a steal in the fifth or sixth round of mixed-league drafts.

Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels, Indians interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett. CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman said the Indians have also inquired about Burnett. The trade talks involve DH Travis Hafner, but Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade. The Yankees also don't mind the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps these rumors regarding the Angels and Indians might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Michael Pineda
Pineda 'excited' to be with Yanks
Michael Pineda, SP, NYY
3:15 PM
News: Michael Pineda started his New York Yankees' career a little early. The All-Star pitcher acquired from Seattle last month joined pre-spring training workouts Tuesday at the Yankees' minor league complex. "I'm excited because it's my first time," Pineda said. "I'm working hard to help my team make it to the playoffs." The Mariners and Yankees completed a four-player trade that sent promising slugger Jesus Montero and pitcher Hector Noesi to the Mariners for Pineda and pitching prospect Jose Campos. "My mom is excited because she has a lot of family in New York, and she's never come to America," said Pineda, who's mother lives in the Dominican Republic. "So this year, it's the first time she's coming to America. She's excited." Pineda and second baseman Robinson Cano are friends, which should help the pitcher's adjustment. "He talked to me, (and said) focus on the game, in your work," Pineda said. "Don't worry. I'll take care of you."
Analysis: The 23-year-old got off to a 6-2 start with a 2.16 ERA in his first season before finishing at 9-10 with a 3.74 ERA. He led the major leagues by holding right-handed batters to a .184 average, and he struck out 173 in 171 innings. Every Fantasy owner is looking toward Pineda in pinstripes. Had he been on a contender as a rookie in 2011, then he might have had a better record. He went 9-10 in 28 starts. Ivan Nova went 16-4 with the Yankees in 28 outings (27 starts) last season, which Fantasy owners would take any day given Pineda's upside. Consider Pineda a top 25 Fantasy SP on Draft Day. He was already a must-own Fantasy SP, but joining the Yankees makes him that much more valuable.

Alex Liddi
Liddi to work at 1B in spring
Alex Liddi, 3B, SEA
3:09 PM
News: The Seattle Times reports Mariners manager Eric Wedge said 3B Alex Liddi will be playing first base for most of the spring. Liddi began taking grounders at first on Tuesday.
Analysis: It seems as though the Mariners want to see if they can find an alternative way to get Liddi on the roster in the event Kyle Seager and Chone Figgins prove to be viable options at third base. Liddi could be a backup to Justin Smoak at first base. However, it appears Liddi might only be vying for a backup role with Seattle, so unless he has an outstanding spring, then he should be left for AL-only Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Tsuyoshi Nishioka
Nishioka wants to be 'aggressive'
Tsuyoshi Nishioka, SS, MIN
2:58 PM
News: The News-Press reports Twins SS Tsuyoshi Nishioka arrived a week early to spring training so he could adjust to the time difference from Japan. He worked out Monday and said through a translator that adjusting to his first experience in the majors took its toll on him in 2011. “I want to be more aggressive,” Nishioka said. “Not knowing right from left, it was strange playing the sport of baseball. It’s difficult when you think about it. Driving a car, you drive on opposite sides of the road. Outside the ballpark, there were lifestyle adjustments, too. That made it pretty difficult.”
Analysis: It's good that Nishioka has come to camp with the right attitude. However, he is still looking at being a reserve after the team signed Jamey Carroll to start at shortstop. That's not to say Nishioka can't emerge as a starter at some point this season, but the Twins are going to make him earn it. Nishioka is at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve on Draft Day.

Mike Moustakas
Moustakas in great shape
Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC
12:48 PM
News: Royals manager Ned Yost had his contract option for the 2013 season picked up on Tuesday, but the Kansas City skipper seemed more interested in talking about his 2012 team. Yost was impressed with how many players have shown up for spring training early and is really blown away by the fitness level of a few of his players. "Billy Butler and Mike Moustakas -- I'm extremely proud of both of those guys," Yost told reporters. "They could be in the best shape they've been in their careers. Billy looks great, and I didn't even hardly recognize Moose he looks so good."
Analysis: While the fitness level doesn't necessarily mean a player will have success, it really can't hurt either. To hear Yost rave about Moustakas should get the attention of Fantasy owners. Moustakas, who is one of the Royals' top prospects, struggled when he first arrived in the majors last season. However, he seemed to have figured it out by season's end. Moustakas hit .352 with four homers and 12 RBI in his final 22 games last season. He is definitely one of the more intriguing Fantasy sleepers heading into 2012 and this latest report just adds to his appeal on Draft Day.

Jake Westbrook
Westbrook sheds 25 pounds
Jake Westbrook, SP, STL
2:11 PM
News: The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports Cardinals SP Jake Westbrook has shown up for spring training 25 pounds lighter than he was last season.
Analysis: This is the time of year where everyone seems to come to camp in better shape than they left last season. Hopefully for Westbrook it makes a difference in his game. He did go 12-9 in 2011, but he posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 33 starts. Westbrook can chew up innings, but he won't post impressive ERA, WHIP or strikeout total. Leave him for NL-only Fantasy formats.

 
 
 
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