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Eric Mack

Draft prep: This year's 27-year-old class

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


The Rockies were surprising World Series participants. The Red Sox were surprisingly dominant from start to finish.

Yet, we were not surprised how everything was decided last year.

Rocco Baldelli can be a steal in the late rounds this spring. (US Presswire)  
Rocco Baldelli can be a steal in the late rounds this spring. (US Presswire)  
Josh Beckett won another postseason MVP award and would have won his first Cy Young if not for C.C. Sabathia winning his first. Burgeoning superstar Matt Holliday nearly rose up to win the NL MVP, leading his team -- along with ace Jeff Francis -- to a thrilling one-game playoff win and into the postseason, only to be outdone by Beckett's Red Sox.

Beckett, Sabathia and Holliday -- baseball heroes last season and breakthrough superstars that led their teams into the final four. They also had something more significant in common: They each were 27 years old. Francis, now 27 himself, was a starting pitcher in his third year.

They all performed better last year than we had seen them in years prior. The weight of past numbers is generally how the public rates players going into the next year (much to our dismay), when in actuality, you want to draft this year's Fantasy team, not last year's.

If you have followed our analysis on CBSSports.com in recent years, and yours truly in particular, you know we take great pride in uncovering players who haven't peaked. You also know plenty about why 27-year-olds and third-year starting pitchers are potential breakthrough candidates.

Those are the first two categories in our pre-draft series on sleepers and breakouts. We also outline the top rookies/prospects, overlooked sophomores and top free-agents-to-be as ways to uncover players who can outproduce their draft position. Injury questions can downgrade a player too low, too.

All-27 breakout team
POS Player TM
C Chris Snyder ARI
1B Ryan Garko CLE
2B Brandon Phillips CIN
3B Kevin Kouzmanoff SD
SS Felipe Lopez WAS
OF Alex Rios TOR
OF Curtis Granderson DET
OF Rocco Baldelli TB
SP Adam Wainwright STL
RP Pat Neshek MIN

This year's crop of 27-year-olds is as exciting as any. Below are our top 10 players in this category who have yet to show us their best and who we expect to do so this year. In many cases, like a stock that has yet to mature, picking these guys up on Draft Day will give you more bang for your buck.

If you need a refresher: The theory behind 27-year-old breakouts is based on medical research that suggests a man's body reaches its physical peak at that age. Also, after years of seasoning and pro experience everything comes together for career highs across the board.

Granted, there are exceptions to every rule. For instance: Bobby Crosby was 27 last year and arguably as worthless as we have ever seen him. Dan Johnson, Chad Tracy and Chris Burke were all 27, too, and nearly equally worthless.

But you can't argue with nature and science. The strategy of picking hitters entering their prime physical years is a great one when you are trying to choose between a veteran in decline (Gary Sheffield) or a comparable player, statistically, who is now just 27 and yet to look like an MVP (see No. 1 here).

Note: All of the players mentioned here are either 27 on opening day or will turn that age during the season.

1. Alex Rios

Outfielder | Toronto Blue Jays
Career highs: .302 AVG, 24 HR, 85 RBI, 114 R, SB 17

Unless you are a true prospect hound, you might not know, but Rios was once the best prospect in baseball and considered a 30-30 candidate. It has taken him four years to get to the .300-25-85-115-20 level. But, since he is 27 this spring, this should be the year he completely busts out.

We have seen glimpses of greatness, but a favorite theory of ours is that streaky young hitters become superstars. With age and experience, those hot streaks get longer and the short streaks get shorter.

And, if you have paid attention to detail, the "next Dave Winfield" has filled out on his 6-foot-5 frame. Once a tall, skinny outfielder who homered just one time in his first year (426 at-bats), Rios has become a behemoth -- and a Home Run Derby participant.

There was a very good reason the Giants actually were considering dealing Tim Lincecum for Rios this winter.

You might see a nice mid-round pick. We see a future MVP.

Like Holliday before him, Rios could wind up being a Fantasy first-rounder after his age-27 season.

2. Curtis Granderson

Outfielder | Detroit Tigers
Career highs: .302-23-74-122-26

Speaking of skinny outfielders with some outstanding projectability, we have Granderson, who set every one of his career highs last year. He was also just the third player in history to get at least 20 homers, 20 doubles, 20 triples and 20 stolen bases in a season.

And he is not done getting better.

We would not be surprised to see Granderson rise to 30 homers, 30 doubles and 30 steals.

Throw in the fact the Tigers have added Miguel Cabrera and Edgar Renteria to their already stacked lineup and you have some very good reasons to take Granderson among the top 10 outfielders off the board on Draft Day, especially in Rotisserie leagues where speed-and-power players are at a premium.

3. Rocco Baldelli

Outfielder | Tampa Bay Rays
Career highs: .302-16-78-89-27

The player who has become known as Rocco Bal-DL-I enters another spring with uncertainty surrounding his health (mostly his legs, most recently his hamstring).

You see caution flags. We see a tremendous sleeper opportunity.

Like our theories on 27s and third-year starters, we also find diamonds in the rough on injury-risk sleepers like him. Someone in your league will reluctantly pick Baldelli after the 40-plus outfielders are off the board. That team just might have the key piece to win your league.

If Baldelli is healthy enough at 27, he can perform like a top-20 outfielder. He is capable of much more, a true high-reward guy available to you in the middle rounds.

4. Hank Blalock

Third baseman | Texas Rangers
Career highs: .300-32-110-107-4

Another player who will be seriously downgraded due to injury woes, Blalock seems like the oldest 27-year-old on the list. He has been around for six years and just turned 27 this November.

The question is how well did his shoulder surgery go last year?

Apparently, smashing. Blalock hit .313 with five homers, a .404 OBP and a .656 SLUG when he returned in September.

Shoulders are the trickiest and scariest injuries for a slugger. You can play with a sore shoulder. You won't be anywhere near your best, though.

Clearly, Blalock hasn't been since 2005, when he was once a lock for 25-plus homers, 90-plus RBI and 80-plus runs. He couldn't have possibly peaked at 23, could he?

5. Chris Duncan

Outfielder | St. Louis Cardinals
Career highs: .293-22-70-60-2

Yet another bad-news, good-news injury-risk sleeper.

Before coming down with a sports hernia that eventually required season-ending surgery, Duncan was hitting .294 on July 26 with 20 of his 21 homers. He played through the injury, sparingly, before shutting it down, hitting just .167 (15-for-90) in August and September. Duncan finished the first half .288-16-47-40 and came out of the break smoking hot.

Duncan will be the Cardinals' full-time left fielder with Rick Ankiel sharing center or right and top prospect Colby Rasmus working in the mix in center. Duncan has yet to play every day, since he tends to sit against left-handed pitching.

Also, we have yet to see him in a full season, so he could be a pleasant surprise for Fantasy owners this year.

6. Josh Hamilton

Outfielder | Texas Rangers
Career highs: .292-19-47-52-3

Someone with the Marlins told us last spring to watch out for Hamilton with the Reds. We said, sure, nice story of a Rule-5 pick coming out of drug addiction to have a nice spring and make the team. We even upgraded our projections some.

But we still fell short on what Hamilton accomplished as a rookie and that person above wound up laughing at us for not listening close enough. For our sake, Hamilton did slow down some due to injury (wrist and hamstring). But for yours, he will come cheaper than he should on Draft Day.

There was a very good reason Hamilton was the No. 1 overall pick in 1999. And he showed it in parts of last year, hitting 19 homers in just 298 at-bats. In his first full season of 500 at-bats, 25-30 homers is certainly reachable. He might even be capable of 40 homers, especially in that hitter's park and with the potential to rest his freak injuries as a DH.

7. Ryan Garko

First baseman | Cleveland Indians
Career highs: .292-21-61-62-0

What you have seen from Garko might not impress you much, especially at the deep first base position, but last year was ostensibly his rookie year. He still has plenty of room to grow into a Fantasy cornerstone.

Our optimistic projections rank him around the 15th best at his position. We would not be surprised to see him develop into a .300-30-100-100 thumper as soon as this year.

Garko's moderate run production last year will have him come cheap on Draft Day and he should easily beat his career bests in that productive Indians lineup.

8. Kevin Kouzmanoff

Third baseman | San Diego Padres
Career highs: .275-18-74-57-1

Like Hamilton and Garko (sort of), the Kouz is another category of sleeper we like: the overlooked sophomore. The theory there is we have seen something from a rookie, most of which didn't necessarily excite us, so we tend to undervalue their potential to improve dramatically in the second year.

The Kouz's overall numbers among third baseman are average or below for most Fantasy leagues, but check out what he did in the second half and you might be more excited: .317-11-37-34-1 (.366 OBP, .524 SLUG). His second chance after the All-Star break showed dramatic improvement from his first trip around the league: .228-7-37-23-0 (.290-.384).

At 27 and a full year under his belt should mean even more strides to becoming a reliable Fantasy option for all leagues.

9. Chris Snyder

Catcher | Arizona Diamondbacks
Career highs: .277-13-47-37-0

We keep tying these together somehow and Snyder, like the Kouz, is another one who showed great promise in the second half. After another disappointing start to the year -- .212-7-16-19-0 (.298-.364) before the break -- we were about to give up on Snyder as a potential top-10 Fantasy catcher.

Rookie Miguel Montero, who has more power potential, was challenging him for at-bats and Snyder wasn't doing anything to pull away -- until after the All-Star break. He helped lead the D-Backs to the postseason, stabilizing the pitching staff and going .292-6-31-18-0 (.386-.503) in the second half.

Snyder is a big man with offensive potential that wasn't apparent to most of us until the final 8-10 weeks. Assuming his glove and handling of the staff keep him in the lineup more than Montero, Snyder can develop into that top-10 catcher we thought he could be.

10. Ryan Doumit

Catcher/outfielder | Pittsburgh Pirates
Career highs: .274-9-35-33-2

Doumit has no starting job, playing the role of backup catcher to fellow 27-year-old Ronny Paulino and part-time outfielder. But he retains catcher eligibility in Fantasy and has a great bat.

He went .305-6-21-22-1 (.381-.509) in the first half last year, before becoming a walking infirmary (hamstring, wrist and ankle injuries) and struggling to stay healthy and in the lineup after the break. His bad second half should bring down his value, but his offensive potential at a weak position will come in handy in many leagues this season.

The lowly Pirates need to play good players and Doumit is one of their better ones, so we think he will prove to be a full-timer before the end of the year.

Other 27s we haven't seen the best of yet and could be in line for career years: UTL Jeff Baker, COL; 3B Jose Bautista, PIT; OF Jason Botts, TEX; C John Buck, KC; OF Nelson Cruz, TEX; OF Jonny Gomes, TB; 2B Brendan Harris, MIN; 1B Mike Jacobs, FLA; OF Austin Kearns, WAS; 3B Dallas McPherson, FA; OF Cody Ross, FLA; 1B Chris Shelton, TEX; OF/1B Nick Swisher, CHW; OF Mark Teahen, KC; OF Shane Victorino, PHI.

27-year-old hitters stats
PlayerD.O.BGABAVGHRRBIRSBOBPSLG
Abercrombie, Reggie7/15/1980146331.2087295513.263.329
Adams, Russ8/30/1980278864.2481711312315.314.376
Anderson, Drew6/9/198199.1110030.200.111
Baker, Jeff6/21/1981115239.2551037362.315.469
Baldelli, Rocco9/25/19814191656.2824822124358.324.443
Barden, Brian4/2/19812335.1710060.216.200
Barker, Sean5/26/198032.0000000.333.000
Bautista, Jose10/19/19803341048.240311171429.329.395
Blalock, Hank11/21/19807222784.27311543140010.337.462
Botts, Jason7/26/198078244.242323311.329.336
Bowen, Rob2/24/1981179287.220834441.323.355
Broadway, Larry12/17/198000 0000 
Buck, John7/7/19804161357.237531751543.297.408
Buscher, Brian4/18/19813382.24421081.323.329
Chavez, Angel7/22/19811019.2630110.263.316
Crawford, Carl8/5/19818163343.29662377490277.331.439
Cruz, Nelson7/1/1980145442.2311556513.282.385
Davis, Rajai10/19/198095204.270193323.353.363
Denorfia, Chris7/15/198067144.27829222.358.382
Doumit, Ryan4/3/1981219632.2522184733.330.426
Duffy, Chris4/20/1980193681.2696499941.328.361
Duncan, Chris5/5/1981226665.272441161132.356.528
Fahey, Brandon1/18/1981131305.223224465.288.292
Fontenot, Mike6/9/198093236.275329365.341.398
Garko, Ryan1/2/1981189670.29028106900.358.479
Gathright, Joey4/27/1981303866.26617412757.333.314
Gomes, Jonny11/22/19803381110.2425816316322.335.465
Granderson, Curtis3/16/19813731395.2805016223235.343.493
Guzman, Freddy1/20/19813789.21316115.263.281
Hairston, Scott5/25/1980232637.2452467785.299.440
Hamilton, Josh5/21/198190298.2921947523.368.554
Hanigan, Ryan8/16/1980510.3000230.364.400
Hanson, Travis1/24/198100 0000 
Harris, Brendan8/26/1980189631.2731568824.331.418
Izturis, Maicer9/12/1980315986.2731311413934.340.386
Jacobs, Mike10/30/1980280995.268481541304.327.490
Johnson, Ben6/18/198198222.230726313.313.414
Jones, Garrett6/21/19813177.2082571.262.338
Kearns, Austin5/20/19806762392.2659537336524.359.450
Keppinger, Jeff4/21/1980122417.3091049594.367.439
Knoedler, Justin7/17/19801418.1110000.158.111
Kouzmanoff, Kevin7/25/1981161540.2692185611.324.452
Lewis, Fred12/9/198071168.298321395.379.417
Linden, Todd6/30/1980270502.231836648.303.335
Lopez, Felipe5/12/19807302720.25865288384101.328.396
McAnulty, Paul2/24/19815877.20828121.291.312
McPherson, Dallas7/23/1980117360.2471845505.294.461
Morgan, Nyjer7/2/198028107.29917157.359.430
Morneau, Justin5/15/19815692058.2761103942964.340.498
Olmedo, Ray5/31/1981198403.228226456.276.293
Ortmeier, Daniel5/11/198186191.267619213.307.445
Owens, Jerry2/16/1981105365.2681174833.324.315
Pagan, Angel7/2/1981148318.255939498.306.415
Paulino, Ronny4/21/1981264903.28717110942.338.392
Pena, Tony3/23/1981192553.264350705.282.354
Phillips, Brandon6/28/19814421618.2625320721561.306.419
Raburn, Ryan4/17/198161167.275428324.315.449
Reed, Jeremy6/15/1981239775.25396710117.314.366
Repko, Jason12/27/1980198406.23211466415.302.382
Riggans, Shawn7/25/19801339.1540340.233.179
Rios, Alex2/18/19815462000.2875225430861.338.453
Roberts, Ryan9/19/19801726.0771130.200.192
Rodriguez, Luis6/27/1980206445.243638503.311.339
Rogowski, Casey5/1/198100.0000000.000.000
Ross, Cody12/23/1980187486.2612691713.331.498
Rottino, Vinny4/7/19801723.2170411.250.304
Salazar, Jeff11/24/198057147.279218264.367.401
Shelton, Chris6/26/1980249807.281351091171.348.477
Shoppach, Kelly4/29/1980109286.2411046340.292.413
Snyder, Chris2/12/1981315932.23830122900.326.387
Swisher, Nick11/25/19804581617.251802552674.361.464
Teahen, Mark9/6/19813831384.2743218420830.340.429
Teixeira, Mark4/11/19807472840.28617055546411.371.539
Tracy, Chad5/22/19805181808.2886224023910.348.468
Victorino, Shane11/30/1980341961.2742010416148.336.405
Willits, Reggie5/30/1981164475.2910368631.393.339
Wilson, Josh3/26/1981116292.233224306.286.329
Zobrist, Ben5/26/198183280.200327184.234.275

27-year-old pitchers stats
PlayerD.O.BGGSINNWLERASOBBWHIPBAA
Acosta, Manny5/1/198121023 2/3112.2822141.141.165
Asencio, Miguel9/29/19804230179 1/3785.1292891.606.286
Baek, Cha Seung5/29/19802723138 2/31084.8792381.341.268
Baker, Scott9/19/19815048280 2/317204.71196591.365.291
Bannister, Brian2/28/1981353320314103.9596661.261.247
Bautista, Denny8/23/19803521115 2/34106.9377551.729.307
Bayliss, Jonah8/13/198061064546.7554331.625.280
Beam, T.J.8/28/198020018208.501261.778.338
Beckett, Josh5/15/19801691661014 1/377523.749593371.228.238
Belisle, Matt6/6/19801263731215184.85216901.462.296
Bennett, Jeff6/10/198063284 1/3364.5959291.435.276
Bergmann, Jason9/25/19816528199 2/3885.00161801.372.256
Birkins, Kurt8/11/198054265 1/3646.6157301.638.289
Blanton, Joe12/11/198010298633 2/342344.103691671.313.271
Boyer, Blaine7/11/198150043 2/3423.7136191.489.275
Braun, Ryan7/29/198035050216.6630251.680.303
Brazelton, Dewon6/16/198063432718256.381451511.683.286
Brazoban, Yhency6/11/1980114011210124.6697521.402.254
Breslow, Craig8/8/198027028 1/3022.8626191.624.248
Brown, Andrew2/17/198142051 2/3334.3550251.335.232
Bullington, Bryan9/30/19806318 1/3035.89861.691.338
Burres, Brian4/8/19814817129685.72102671.651.283
Burton, Jared6/2/198147043422.5136221.163.187
Cabrera, Daniel5/28/1981117116661 1/340494.995563881.533.251
Capellan, Jose1/13/1981982121 1/3574.9096501.434.268
Casilla, Santiago7/25/198055061 2/3315.4060351.411.223
Cassel, Jack8/8/19806422 2/3113.971151.544.326
Cate, Troy10/21/198014016003.381291.688.290
Chacin, Gustavo12/4/19805858331 2/325154.181851181.381.268
Clarke, Darren3/19/1981201 1/3000.00112.250.333
Coffey, Todd9/9/198019601871294.48129571.583.310
Correia, Kevin8/24/19801452728811144.032231211.410.259
Coutlangus, Jon10/21/198064041424.3938271.585.250
Crain, Jesse7/5/19811830199 2/320123.16109631.197.238
Cruceta, Francisco7/4/19816314 1/30110.0511102.093.333
Day, Dewon9/29/1980130120111.25792.333.352
De La Rosa, Jorge4/5/1981974127415235.851961591.741.291
DeSalvo, Matt9/11/19807627 2/3136.1810181.880.304
Doyne, Cory8/13/1981503 2/30014.73232.727.412
Dumatrait, Phil7/12/198166180415.009122.833.448
Francis, Jeff1/8/1981106106634 2/347344.684422151.428.280
Garcia, Anderson3/23/198110 2/30013.50003.000.500
Gobble, Jimmy7/19/19811964339222214.942481401.449.278
Hampson, Justin5/24/198044165 1/3333.5843211.347.266
Haren, Dan9/17/1980130121781 1/349443.826061921.243.258
Henn, Sean4/23/198136557 1/3267.5338432.023.308
Hernandez, Yoel4/15/198014015 1/3005.281311.370.303
Hill, Shawn4/28/198125251436104.5391441.329.264
Huber, Jon7/7/198125028212.5719101.179.228
Janssen, Casey9/17/19818917166 2/38133.8983411.266.263
Jenks, Bobby3/14/198116501747103.26186591.172.227
Jimenez, Kelvin10/27/198034042307.5024171.738.320
Johnson, Tyler6/7/1981116077354.3265421.416.233
Kuo, Hong-Chih7/23/1981451195 1/32105.38108521.531.258
Lara, Juan1/26/19811006 1/3004.26421.263.250
Ledezma, Wilfredo1/21/198112734306 2/315205.281941381.575.285
Loe, Kameron9/10/1981934731318234.921601151.524.288
Lowry, Noah10/10/1980106100618 1/340314.034202491.383.259
Lugo, Ruddy5/22/19801020133 1/3844.3982741.478.247
Madson, Ryan8/28/198021918356 1/328194.142761171.384.274
Maine, John5/8/19815956324 2/323194.192761351.287.233
Mastny, Thomas2/4/198166074734.8666401.622.282
Matsuzaka, Daisuke9/13/19803232204 2/315124.40201801.324.246
McBeth, Marcus8/23/198023019 2/3325.951771.475.286
McClung, Seth2/7/1981993726317256.161871601.635.266
McLemore, Mark10/9/198029035303.8635181.600.270
Messenger, Randy8/13/19811480161 2/34115.01108751.676.304
Meyer, Dan7/3/19818318 1/3027.8512101.745.293
Misch, Patrick8/18/198119441 1/3044.1427121.476.299
Mitre, Sergio2/16/19817852310 2/310235.361881081.545.298
Muniz, Carlos3/12/1981202 1/3007.71221.286.125
Murphy, Bill5/9/19811006 1/3005.68272.526.346
Musser, Neal8/25/198017024 2/3014.3819141.865.314
Myers, Brett8/17/198019214392359474.347733251.351.260
Neshek, Pat9/4/19801060107 1/31142.68127330.932.181
Nippert, Dustin5/6/198141570236.4358361.557.264
O'Connor, Mike8/17/19802120105384.8059451.343.244
Orvella, Chad10/1/198069082 1/34105.7966531.870.297
Osoria, Franquelis9/12/198161075 2/3065.0041251.493.296
Papelbon, Jonathan11/23/19801353160 2/3861.62193450.921.180
Peavy, Jake5/31/19811721721087 1/376513.3110903481.187.232
Peguero, Jailen1/4/198118014 2/3109.209132.045.309
Perez, Oliver8/15/1981141140805 1/345534.438474231.430.242
Prior, Mark9/7/198010610665742293.517572231.225.235
Ramirez, Edwar3/28/198121021118.1431141.810.286
Ramirez, Ramon8/31/198183085654.4576331.318.248
Rapada, Clay3/9/1981502 2/30010.13421.875.273
Rasner, Darrell1/13/1981171052 1/3454.1326151.280.257
Ridgway, Jeff8/17/198030 1/300189.000124.000.875
Ring, Royce12/21/198052043 1/3123.1237301.385.194
Rosario, Francisco9/28/198040149 1/3156.0246291.764.294
Sabathia, C.C.7/21/19802192191406 1/3100633.8311424641.267.249
Sadler, Billy9/21/1981504006.75621.750.294
Sarfate, Dennis4/9/198115016 2/3102.702551.140.222
Saunders, Joe6/16/19813333187 1/31584.71124671.479.284
Slocum, Brian3/27/19818217 2/3005.601192.038.360
Stetter, Mitch1/16/1981605103.60420.800.133
Tata, Jordan9/20/198111328 2/3116.9114151.570.275
Tracey, Sean11/14/1980708003.38351.125.143
Van Benschoten, John4/14/1980171467 2/31108.7844482.010.321
Veras, Jose10/20/198021020 1/3004.8713121.279.194
Wainwright, Adam8/30/1981953227916133.61208931.330.259
Wassermann, Ehren12/6/198033023112.741471.174.238
White, Sean4/25/198115035 1/3115.6016201.557.261
Wilson, C.J.11/18/19801346160 2/35124.48136691.376.252
Wolfe, Brian11/29/198038045 1/3312.982290.993.224
Zambrano, Carlos6/1/19812011801193 1/382553.4110425481.285.226

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Player News
Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, then he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps this rumor regarding the Angels might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. The Angels could afford to trade Bobby Abreu to the Yankees, who are looking for DH. But this point is moot until Burnett agrees to waive his no-trade clause. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin fires back at GM
Jhoulys Chacin, SP, COL
12:07 PM
News: The Denver Post reports Rockies SP Jhoulys Chacin responded to comments made by GM Dan O'Dowd, who expressed concern recently about Chacin's offseason conditioning. "I came to Arizona this past Monday. I have not stopped training during the winter, both in my country and here," Chacin told Venezuelan newspaper Meridiano. "I have always done the best job I could all throughout these past few months. I don't know where these comments came from. I believe they're the result of what other people have told him, instead of his own personal evaluation. I am looking forward to meeting O'Dowd personally, and I am confident that he will have a different conclusion after a firsthand evaluation." O'Dowd made his comments after seeing Chacin at the team's Fanfest in January. "He looked OK. It wasn't as bad as I anticipated," O'Dowd said. "It's still not what it should be."
Analysis: O'Dowd believes Chacin needs to lose weight because the excess pounds affect the balance in his delivery and cause his fastball command to suffer. Chacin spent much of the winter working out in his native Venezuela after working out in Tucson previously. On Feb. 9, Chacin reportedly weighed 226 pounds but anticipates being close to the 218 pounds he was last spring when he reports to spring training on Feb. 19. Chacin went 8-7 with a 3.16 ERA in 18 pre-All Star break starts last year and went 3-7 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts after the break. Chacin struggled with walks in the second half and was much more hittable down the stretch than he was early in the season. This situation is clearly not the way Fantasy owners want to see Chacin kick off the 2012 season, but perhaps this will provide him with the motivation he needs to reach elite status. Look to Chacin as a mid-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Kosuke Fukudome
Fukudome lands on South Side
Kosuke Fukudome, RF, CLE
11:46 AM
News: Kosuke Fukudome is headed back to the Windy City, but this time he is going to call the South Side home. Fukudome agreed to a one-year, $1 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday. The deal also included a club option for the 2013 season.
Analysis: Fukudome played for the Cubs from 2008 to the trade deadline last season when he was shipped to Cleveland. He had his most disappointing campaign in the majors in 2011, which is why he probably stayed on the free-agent market longer than expected. The White Sox are expected to open 2012 with an outfield alignment of Alex Rios in center, Dayan Viciedo in right field and Alejandro De Aza in left field. Brent Lillibridge is considered a backup at all three outfield positions and now Fukudome joins the mix as another outfield body. However, since he likely won't begin the season as a starter, then Fukudome can be left undrafted in most Fantasy formats. Consider him at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve.

Junichi Tazawa
Tazawa being transitioned to RP
Junichi Tazawa, RP, BOS
12:39 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox pitching coach Bob McClure said the team plans to take a look at Junichi Tazawa as a reliever.
Analysis: Tazawa did make three relief appearances for Boston last season, but he mostly has started in the minors. However, he has struggled since returning from Tommy John surgery, which is why the Red Sox want to see if his new career path is as a reliever. If that's the case, then Tazawa's Fantasy value takes a hit for the time being. Continue to ignore him in all formats, including long-term keeper leagues.

Bud Norris
Norris focused on pitching 200 innings
Bud Norris, SP, HOU
12:34 PM
News: MLB.com reports one of Astros SP Bud Norris' goals for the 2012 season is reaching 200 innings for the first time in his MLB career. "I'm pretty happy with the strides I made last year and I'm continuing to move forward," he said. "The main goal for me is to play 10 years in the big leagues and hopefully get that World Series win. That's what it's all about. Another thing Roy (Oswalt) taught me before he left was to try to get to 200 innings. If you get to 200 innings, you're giving your team the best opportunity to win and I hope that I can get out there and do that."
Analysis: Norris hasn't had a winning season in the majors since he went 6-3 as a rookie in 2009. That might not change in 2012 because Houston isn't expected to contend. However, Norris had a career-best 3.77 ERA in 2011 and is still striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings in his MLB career. He flies under the radar in Fantasy because the lack of wins, but Norris is worth a look as a back-of-the-rotation arm in deep mixed Fantasy leagues.

Jose Veras
Veras loses arbitration case
Jose Veras, RP, MIL
12:01 PM
News: CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman reports Brewers RP Jose Veras lost his arbitration case. He will make $2 million in 2012 instead of the $2.375 million he sought in arbitration.
Analysis: Veras arrived in Milwaukee in December as part of the Casey McGehee trade with the Pirates. Veras went 2-4 with a 3.80 ERA in 71 innings for Pittsburgh last season. He won't be a closer with the Brewers and will work in middle relief. Veras is merely a low-end Fantasy RP.

Dillon Gee
Gee prepping for the long haul
Dillon Gee, SP, NYM
11:33 AM
News: Newsday reports Mets SP Dillon Gee is focusing on finishing out the 2012 season after he struggled in the second half in 2011. Gee admitted fatigue played a part in his ERA rising to 5.25 after the All-Star break. He had a 3.76 ERA in the first half. "As the months went on, my stuff just got kind of bland," Gee said. "I feel that comes from fatigue. As soon as your legs get tired, you start overcompensating one way or the other, maybe relaxing a little bit. That throws off your release point, and in the end, the movement on your pitches. Earlier in the year, when I was fresh, you could see a big difference in the video that I watched."
Analysis: Gee said he is looking "for nothing but improvement" in 2012. He clearly has figured out what his biggest hurdle is to make sure he has a successful campaign. "I've had bouts of inconsistency where I jumped a level because it's a different thing you never experienced," Gee said. "My first full year in the big leagues was a long season for me. I wasn't used to that. It's only a month longer than minor leagues, but mentally, it's challenging. Every start, you have to focus so much harder, and that drains you. So I think learning how to deal with that and knowing what to expect this next year." Gee finished 2011 with 13 wins, but it could be a little tougher for victories this season as the Mets aren't the same star-filled team they used to be. Gee is merely a late-round Fantasy flier.

 
 
 
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