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Scott White

Dear Mr. Fantasy: Controversies and scoring questions

By | Fantasy Writer


Now comes the fun part.

With the Red Sox and Athletics kicking off the season in Japan on Tuesday and Wednesday -- though probably a week earlier than most of us would like -- the questions weighing on Fantasy owners' minds shift from keepers and draft picks to lineup adjustments and trade proposals.

This week's Dear Mr. Fantasy reflects that transition as well by tackling a few early-raging battles in what sounds like some hotly contested leagues.

Come on, fellas. Let's play nice.

But before we get into those fun and games, let me first address the one quirk in our fun game that probably had more than a few Fantasy commissioners ripping out their hair this morning:

Is there something each commissioner must do in his or her league to make the Red Sox-Athletics games in Japan from Tuesday and Wednesday count in Fantasy? If not, when should we expect the stats and scores to show up? -- Paul Hartfiel, Cincinnati

SW: I'll give you the answer right here. Your commissioner might have entered the wrong "season start date" when setting up your league, and it's a pretty easy mistake to correct. If your commissioner goes to the "Setup" tab in your league and scrolls down to "Schedule & Playoffs," he'll see a pull-down tab for "Season starts on:." If he has the date set for March 30, he can change it to March 25, and the stats should appear on your league's scoreboard immediately.

Now that we've finished the housekeeping ...

I was wondering if I should trade Albert Pujols for Ryan Zimmerman and Jonathan Papelbon? I could move Alex Gordon or Ryan Garko to first base. -- Jason Monday, Greenwood, Ind.

SW: I don't have Pujols' elbow holding up through the full season, but let's not go crazy here, people. We're still talking first-round production for Prince Albert as long as he stays in the lineup. Let's put it this way: Half a season of Pujols and the other half of Garko is still way better than a full season of Zimmerman, and the addition of Papelbon isn't enough to offset the possibility that Pujols ends up playing the whole season. And if Gordon, who I assume you currently have manning third base, ends up having a better year than Zimmerman -- a distinct possibility, mind you -- you'll really have trouble justifying that deal.

Is it worth keeping Evan Longoria in a non-keeper league? (US Presswire)  
Is it worth keeping Evan Longoria in a non-keeper league? (US Presswire)  
I drafted both Jay Bruce and Evan Longoria in a non-keeper league. I need to drop one of them because I need the reserve room. Which one of them do you think will make it to the majors first? My outfield is pretty weak, so I'm leaning toward Bruce. -- Frank Smith, Kansas City, Mo.

SW: I'm going with Longoria here because I think the Rays, despite their claims otherwise, sent him down strictly so he wouldn't become a free agent until 2014. I figure he'll spend a few weeks in the minors making some final adjustments and then start manning third base on an everyday basis for the Rays. Bruce, on the other hand, I could actually see not reaching the majors at all this season. I'm not saying he absolutely won't, but I think him doing so depends just as much on Corey Patterson flopping as it does his own performance in the minors. And as little as I like Patterson, I see him doing enough to keep his job.

Hey Scott, there has been a controversial move in my league already, and I needed an expert's judgment. Here's the situation: I picked up Johnny Cueto off the waiver wire and put him in one of my minor-league slots. Because the latest player update says he is guaranteed a spot in the rotation, the commissioner of my league says it's not fair for me to use a minor-league slot on him even though he has yet to make a major-league appearance. What should be the ruling here? -- Adam Kinney

SW: The ruling itself doesn't matter nearly as much as the clarity and consistency of the ruling. If your commissioner decides that players who have at least verbally earned a spot on a major-league roster don't have minor-league eligibility, and the majority of owners support his decision, then so be it. You need to accept it and move on. Just make sure your commissioner adds a note to your league constitution making the rule clear and that he upholds the ruling in all future scenarios like yours. Conversely, if you remember a past scenario in which he ruled differently, you need to call him out on it. The same set of rules should apply to everyone. For the record, I'd probably take your side. Whether or not a player has appeared in a major-league game sounds like much less of a judgment call than whether or not his major-league team has assured him a roster spot.

I am part of a Head-to-Head league, and I think my lineup is great. I have one problem, though. I have three outstanding catchers -- Victor Martinez, Russell Martin and Joe Mauer -- and I don't know which two to start. I can't place the third one at utility because I have Michael Young and Prince Fielder playing there. Should I trade the third catcher for an elite pitcher? -- Andrew Markaj, New York

SW: Well, you certainly don't need any of those three on your bench, so shopping one makes the most sense. Mauer is clearly the worst of the three -- in a whole separate tier, really -- but obviously, making a trade has just as much to do with what you can get back as what you can give up. If you can't land the pitcher you want for Mauer, try shopping Martinez or Russell instead.

Quick question: We have a points league with unlimited innings, so the entire bench is pitchers, meaning we have to really scour the waiver wire. I have to cut one of the following: Micah Owings, Homer Bailey, Clay Buchholz or Adam Loewen. I'm leaning toward Loewen. Who would you cut? -- Alejandro Sosa

SW: I'd probably say Loewen too if Homer didn't pull a big, fat "Doh!" this spring. His 5.21 ERA (including 16 walks in 19 innings -- ouch), combined with the emergences of Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez, all but assures Bailey a spot in Triple-A to open the season. In fact, he might already be there by the publication of this column. I'm not sticking a fork in Bailey, but I think he still has months of work ahead of him before he becomes an effective major-league pitcher. I wouldn't trust Loewen much either, though. He has control issues of his own.

Which of the following players do you think will most likely have a breakout season: Jay Bruce, Lastings Milledge, Justin Upton, Evan Longoria and Jacoby Ellsbury? How would you rank them in terms of potential production this year? What about for keeper leagues over the next few years? My sense is that Bruce and Upton have the biggest upside. -- Phaelen Parker, Sacramento

SW: Well, immediate and long-term production don't always coincide, so I kind of have to distinguish between the two. I think you probably hit the nail on the head with Bruce and Upton making the biggest impact long-term, but Longoria isn't too far behind. And ironically, those three are the ones I want least for this season. In the short term, Ellsbury looks like the safest pick because he'll almost surely help in batting average and stolen bases this season. I wonder about his power, though. I'd probably prefer to wait and take Milledge, as he's already weathered the obligatory rough stages of a budding major-league career and, after his great spring, looks primed to go 20-20 in his first year with Washington. On the other hand, if you want the best combination of helping this year and helping in the future, go with Upton.

I'm in a Head-to-Head league with daily lineup changes. The daily lineup changes are new to us this year. What is preventing a manager from picking up seven starting pitchers every day for a total of 49 starts per week? Can you help us out with this subject? -- Jeff, Stockton, Calif.

SW: Yeah, I'll help, but you might not like what I have to say. Nothing is stopping a manager from doing exactly what you suggest unless your league makes a rule preventing it. It's called streaming pitchers, and although it works in your format, it's not an accurate reflection of competitive baseball. Winning becomes more a matter of you and your leaguemates racing to a computer to claim that night's unowned starting pitchers than it does assessing talent and playing matchups. Most daily leagues set a rule limiting the number of starts or innings allowed per team either per week or per year, and I'd suggest instating such a rule for your league.

I have a problem, though I realize it's a good problem to have. I'm trying to decide which outfielder to start. I currently have Jason Bay, Andruw Jones and Nick Markakis starting, with Rick Ankiel and Johnny Damon on the bench. I'm leaning toward keeping it as it is, but Ankiel has been mashing the ball this spring. I also have the option of sliding Victor Martinez to first base, putting Carlos Ruiz behind the plate and Lance Berkman in the outfield. I probably can't go wrong either way, but I figure, "Why not ask a professional?" -- Dave White, Akron, Ohio

SW: I'll always take time to answer a question from my long lost cousin in Akron. Dave, you certainly can go wrong one way -- and that's by slotting Martinez at first base. Martinez only goes as high as he does in drafts because he plays catcher, the weakest position on the diamond. So if you draft him looking for an advantage at a weak position and then slot him at a strong position, you end up at a disadvantage, which you obviously don't want. I think you should avoid getting cute right now and stick with what you have. If Bay looks sluggish out of the gate, you can always slot in Ankiel later.

I am looking for AL pitchers who will step up their strikeouts this year. I can absorb poor ERA/WHIP numbers, but I need some cheap sources of strikeouts (and wins would be nice too). I am looking to target Boof Bonser and Scott Baker. Maybe you could provide a few other players to target? -- David Engh, Dallas

SW: I'd probably put Kevin Slowey on equal terms with Baker, but I'm not sure either of them really qualifies as strikeout pitchers. If you can really absorb a poor WHIP and ERA, then Daniel Cabrera sounds like a perfect candidate for your team. He'll get his strikeouts, but he could destroy you in everything else. If you want a few lesser-known names, I like Andy Sonnanstine and just about any other pitcher on the back end of Tampa Bay's staff. Jason Hammel and Edwin Jackson come to mind. I think Dana Eveland in Oakland might surprise. Same with Gio Gonzalez and Greg Smith, if the Athletics ever call them up. Obviously, any of the major pitching prospects around the league -- the Adam Millers, the Luke Hochevars -- could come up at some point during the season and make an immediate impact. And I think Kevin Millwood might have a rebound of sorts in Texas. He won't strike out 200 batters by any means, but 150 seems within reach.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Dear Mr. Fantasy in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we do not guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels, Indians interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett. CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman said the Indians have also inquired about Burnett. The trade talks involve DH Travis Hafner, but Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade. The Yankees also don't mind the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps these rumors regarding the Angels and Indians might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Mike Moustakas
Moustakas in great shape
Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC
12:48 PM
News: Royals manager Ned Yost had his contract option for the 2013 season picked up on Tuesday, but the Kansas City skipper seemed more interested in talking about his 2012 team. Yost was impressed with how many players have shown up for spring training early and is really blown away by the fitness level of a few of his players. "Billy Butler and Mike Moustakas -- I'm extremely proud of both of those guys," Yost told reporters. "They could be in the best shape they've been in their careers. Billy looks great, and I didn't even hardly recognize Moose he looks so good."
Analysis: While the fitness level doesn't necessarily mean a player will have success, it really can't hurt either. To hear Yost rave about Moustakas should get the attention of Fantasy owners. Moustakas, who is one of the Royals' top prospects, struggled when he first arrived in the majors last season. However, he seemed to have figured it out by season's end. Moustakas hit .352 with four homers and 12 RBI in his final 22 games last season. He is definitely one of the more intriguing Fantasy sleepers heading into 2012 and this latest report just adds to his appeal on Draft Day.

Jake Westbrook
Westbrook sheds 25 pounds
Jake Westbrook, SP, STL
2:11 PM
News: The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports Cardinals SP Jake Westbrook has shown up for spring training 25 pounds lighter than he was last season.
Analysis: This is the time of year where everyone seems to come to camp in better shape than they left last season. Hopefully for Westbrook it makes a difference in his game. He did go 12-9 in 2011, but he posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 33 starts. Westbrook can chew up innings, but he won't post impressive ERA, WHIP or strikeout total. Leave him for NL-only Fantasy formats.

Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin fires back at GM
Jhoulys Chacin, SP, COL
12:07 PM
News: The Denver Post reports Rockies SP Jhoulys Chacin responded to comments made by GM Dan O'Dowd, who expressed concern recently about Chacin's offseason conditioning. "I came to Arizona this past Monday. I have not stopped training during the winter, both in my country and here," Chacin told Venezuelan newspaper Meridiano. "I have always done the best job I could all throughout these past few months. I don't know where these comments came from. I believe they're the result of what other people have told him, instead of his own personal evaluation. I am looking forward to meeting O'Dowd personally, and I am confident that he will have a different conclusion after a firsthand evaluation." O'Dowd made his comments after seeing Chacin at the team's Fanfest in January. "He looked OK. It wasn't as bad as I anticipated," O'Dowd said. "It's still not what it should be."
Analysis: O'Dowd believes Chacin needs to lose weight because the excess pounds affect the balance in his delivery and cause his fastball command to suffer. Chacin spent much of the winter working out in his native Venezuela after working out in Tucson previously. On Feb. 9, Chacin reportedly weighed 226 pounds but anticipates being close to the 218 pounds he was last spring when he reports to spring training on Feb. 19. Chacin went 8-7 with a 3.16 ERA in 18 pre-All Star break starts last year and went 3-7 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts after the break. Chacin struggled with walks in the second half and was much more hittable down the stretch than he was early in the season. This situation is clearly not the way Fantasy owners want to see Chacin kick off the 2012 season, but perhaps this will provide him with the motivation he needs to reach elite status. Look to Chacin as a mid-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Kyle Seager
Seager gets work at first base
Kyle Seager, 3B, SEA
1:25 PM
News: The Seattle Times reports Mariners 3B Kyle Seager took grounders at first base Tuesday. Manager Eric Wedge said it was because of pitcher fielding drills Seager was at first base.
Analysis: It's interesting to see Seager working at another position in camp with Wedge calling him the front-runner for the third-base job. However, it appears clear that Seager was just needed as an extra body during fielding drills. Justin Smoak is still the team's first baseman and Mike Carp is his expected backup. Carlos Guillen can also play first base, so we can't look too much into Seager taking grounders at first. His main focus should be winning the 3B job over the likes of Alex Liddi and Chone Figgins. Consider Seager nothing more than a late-round, low-end Fantasy corner infielder on Draft Day. He does have some sleeper potential, but don't reach for him in drafts.

Travis Hafner
Hafner on Yankees radar?
Travis Hafner, DH, CLE
1:19 PM
News: CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman reports the Indians have inquired about Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, who has been heavily involved in trade rumors. The talks with the Indians revolve around a Burnett for DH Travis Hafner deal. However, Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade, and the Yankees also appear content with the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: This trade rumor is definitely interesting because a trade to the Yankees would immediately elevate Hafner's Fantasy appeal. He would end up going to a hitter's park and be inserted into one of the best lineups in baseball. That means a ton of chances to fill the stat sheet. However, it doesn't appear this deal is imminent, so Fantasy owners shouldn't get their hopes up. It's best to view Hafner as a low-end, injury-risk Fantasy option for the late rounds of deep formats on Draft Day. Hafner continues to post poor home run totals and hasn't played more than 100 games in three of his last four seasons.

Kosuke Fukudome
Fukudome lands on South Side
Kosuke Fukudome, RF, CLE
11:46 AM
News: Kosuke Fukudome is headed back to the Windy City, but this time he is going to call the South Side home. Fukudome agreed to a one-year, $1 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday. The deal also included a club option for the 2013 season. "Kosuke adds to our outfield depth and gives Robin (Ventura) another left-handed bat to mix into the lineup based on matchups," assistant general manager Rick Hahn said in a statement. "He can play center field and right and provides flexibility to our roster."
Analysis: Fukudome played for the Cubs from 2008 to the trade deadline last season when he was shipped to Cleveland. He had his most disappointing campaign in the majors in 2011, which is why he probably stayed on the free-agent market longer than expected. The White Sox are expected to open 2012 with an outfield alignment of Alex Rios in center, Dayan Viciedo in right field and Alejandro De Aza in left field. Brent Lillibridge is considered a backup at all three outfield positions and now Fukudome joins the mix as another outfield body. However, since he likely won't begin the season as a starter, then Fukudome can be left undrafted in most Fantasy formats. Consider him at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve.

 
 
 
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