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Michael Hurcomb

Playing the Waiver Wire: A Ray of hope

By | Fantasy Writer


Edwin Jackson experienced a hard fall from grace.

A once highly-touted pitching phenom -- ranked the No. 1 Dodgers' prospect by Baseball America in 2004 -- Jackson eventually vanished from the limelight and wallowed into the abyss of baseball mediocrity. Now, he's back to redeem what's left of his past reputation.

Jackson entered this world on Sept. 9, 1983. Born in Neu-Ulm, Germany as his father -- a cook in the U.S. Army -- was stationed overseas, Jackson would make quite a statement two decades later. On his 20th birthday, Jackson -- in his Major League debut -- outdueled future Hall of Famer Randy Johnson for his first win. He allowed four hits, one run and struck out four in six innings. Jackson would finish out the 2003 season with three starts, a 2-1 record and 2.45 ERA. Touted in the mold of a Pedro Martinez, it appeared as though the Dodgers found their next burgeoning ace.

Could this be the year Edwin Jackson delivers on all of that potential? (AP)  
Could this be the year Edwin Jackson delivers on all of that potential? (AP)  
Jackson spent a great deal of his childhood and adolescent years in Columbus, Ga. He would later attend Shaw High School and star on the baseball team. His athleticism allowed him to roam the outfield as well as dazzle onlookers as the team's third starting pitcher. He had scouts drooling over his potential at the plate, but the Dodgers had other ideas. They envisioned him as a starting pitcher and eventually welcomed him to the family as their sixth-round pick in the 2001 amateur draft.

Los Angeles allowed Jackson to toil as a designated hitter in rookie ball when he wasn't honing his pitching skills, but by 2002 all his focus was on becoming a future ace. Jackson had little trouble at Class A (5-2, 1.97 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 85 Ks) in 2002 and breezed through Double-A in 2003 (7-7, 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 157 Ks) before making his unforgettable MLB debut. The scouting report on Jackson was that he had a solid mid-90s fastball with a slider that could make big league hitters run themselves into the ground. The only negative -- he lacked control.

It ended up being his unraveling.

Jackson failed to crack the Dodgers' rotation in the spring 2004, so it was off to Triple-A, where the results weren't very pleasant. He was 6-4, but boasted a 5.84 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. He also walked 55 batters in 91 innings. The Dodgers brought Jackson up three times that season, but they wished they didn't. In five starts and eight total appearances, he posted a 7.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.

The story didn't change much for Jackson in 2005 and 2006. He couldn't prove himself in spring training and the Dodgers couldn't afford to bring him to the majors. He was even demoted all the way to Double-A in '05 before tasting life in the majors again. By 2006, the Dodgers were fed up with Jackson's failed expectations and scouts began to wonder if he was destined for a role in middle relief. Oh yeah, he also unceremoniously lost his title of top prospect and fell off pretty much everyone's radar. Every one except the Tampa Bay Rays.

On Jan. 14, 2006, the Rays took a chance on Jackson by acquiring him in the deal that sent Danys Baez to L.A. Tampa Bay hoped they were getting that kid who had scouts cuckoo for Coco Puffs, and not the kid who made everyone lose their lunch. Unfortunately, the latter was evident in 2007.

Jackson opened his Rays career with an 0-3 record and 6.10 ERA in four April starts. He followed that with a 0-3 record and 8.06 ERA in five May starts. He was still hittable and issuing more free passes than a bouncer letting all the pretty girls pass by the eager clubgoers outside.

He finished 2007 with a 5-15 record and 5.76 ERA. His lone bright spot was a complete game shutout of the Rangers Aug. 11. You can imagine why so many Rays fans rolled their eyes when word spread last month that Jackson would round out the team's rotation while Scott Kazmir (elbow) opened on the DL. Well, after his first two starts, Jackson was the toast of the town and Fantasy leagues (he was the most added player as of Wednesday).

The once top prospect was flashing his mid-90s fastball and cutting slider, as if he transposed himself into the Big Unit's body. Jackson opened with an April 5 win against the Yankees and then an April 10 win against the Mariners. He sported a 0.64 ERA, but the 27th Germany-born major leaguer modestly admitted that he hasn't changed from when he was a struggling bush leaguer looking for his permanent ticket to the show.

"Same preparation, same routine," Jackson told the Tampa Tribune. "It's just now there's different results."

No kidding.

Call to the Bench -- We feel this player might be worthy of adding to Fantasy rosters for the long haul

Jose Lopez, 2B, Seattle
Owned: 70 percent of leagues
Analysis: Hitting near the bottom of the lineup in 2007 nearly destroyed Lopez's career. So M's skipper John McLaren put the second baseman back in the two-hole this season and the rest is history. Lopez is hitting .288 with two homers, 13 RBI, nine runs and two stolen bases through Wednesday. Lopez spent much of last season hitting eighth or ninth and produced a batting average around .250. This coming after he produced a career-high .282 average and 79 RBI in 2006. Lopez spent much of that season hitting second or third (117 games) and had a breakout campaign. Now that he is back in his comfort zone, Fantasy owners in larger leagues looking for help at second base or middle infield can rely on Lopez.

You're Out! -- We feel this player might have already peaked and their value could be on the decline, so Fantasy owners might want to cut bait ASAP

Aaron Rowand, OF, San Francisco
Owned: 84 percent of leagues
Analysis: I'm not wasting any time in ruffling the feathers and going out on a limb early in the season. You don't necessarily have to drop Rowand, but dealing him would be a wise move on your part. Rowand had the best year of his career in 2007 with Philadelphia for two reasons -- he had lineup protection and was playing for his next contract. Now that he is in San Francisco, he has his fat deal and doesn't have the likes of Jimmy Rollins, Chase Utley, Ryan Howard or Pat Burrell hitting around him. Rowand is now the top man on everyone's scouting report when they play San Francisco, and he can no longer hide. The same thing happened in 2004 when he hit 24 homers and .310 with the White Sox. Everyone began to take notice of Rowand, so he slumped to 13 homers and .270 in 2005.

GDIPs -- We feel this player might not warrant as much Fantasy consideration as they are receiving and should be avoided in most instances

Dana Eveland, SP, Oakland
Owned: 69 percent of leagues
Analysis: Eveland is much in the same mold of Edwin Jackson. A draft-and-follow project in the minors, Eveland didn't seem to have many problems pitching on the bus circuit. He always posted a sub-3.00 ERA and a WHIP to die for. So how come he could never materialize in the majors, similar to Jackson? Eveland has four solid pitches, including a low-90s fastball. However, the Brewers gave up on their 2002 16th round draft pick when they traded him to Arizona in 2007. The Diamondbacks didn't have much more success and packaged him to Oakland in the Dan Haren deal this offseason. Well, Eveland has had the last laugh thus far. He has a 1-1 record, 2.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 15 strikeouts in 18 innings. The White Sox were Paul Konerko's third team before he became an All-Star, but it's still too early to hitch your Fantasy championship to Eveland.

Scouting -- We feel this player is on the verge of being a Fantasy reliable option, but still needs to be monitored over the next few weeks

Eric Hinske, UTL/DH, Tampa Bay
Owned: 4 percent of leagues
Analysis: Let me be the first to mention that Hinske looks like his former Rookie of the Year self. You know the kid who hit .279 with 24 homers, 84 RBI, 99 runs and 13 stolen bases in 2002 with Toronto on his way to nabbing the AL's top honor for young whipper snapper? Hinske then struggled the next four seasons before completely falling off the map with Boston in 2007. Well, he is trying to make up for lost time with Tampa Bay. Hinske is hitting .333 with three homers and six RBI through Wednesday. The only reason we say proceed with caution is that Hinske is still not an everyday player. He is receiving more at-bats with Cliff Floyd (knee) on the DL, but will likely once again share time at DH and in right field with Floyd and Jonny Gomes as soon as everyone is healthy. Hinske is more of a stopgap solution more than anything right now.

Stopgap corner -- We feel this player might be worth using for the upcoming scoring period

Matt Chico, SP, Washington
Owned: 5 percent of leagues
Analysis: Having made his fourth start of the season Wednesday against the Mets, Chico (0-3) is next expected to take the hill Monday against the Braves. He is lining up to be a two-start pitcher Fantasy Week 4 (April 21-27) with his second start coming against the Cubs. Chico has had recent success against both teams. Although he took a loss April 11 against Atlanta, Chico went eight innings allowing five hits, one walk and one run. In 2007 against the NL East foe, Chico was 2-2 with a 2.70 ERA in five starts. In his lone start against the Cubbies last season, Chico blanked them for seven innings while allowing four hits and picking up the win. Chico is primarily a NL-only Fantasy option because he plays for the sub-.500 Nationals, but larger mixed league owners might want to use Chico if they are in need of a two-start option. He could post a decent ERA and WHIP.

Farm Boys -- This segment is for those long-term keeper owners looking for the next Fantasy superstar

Jeff Larish, 1B, Detroit
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Analysis: It's not like the Tigers need any more power hitters, but they have a top slugger waiting in the wings in Larish. The former Arizona State product continues to haunt minor league pitchers. He already has five homers through 12 games for Triple-A Toledo. This coming after he hit 28 homers and netted 101 RBI last season for Double-A Erie. Like all young sluggers, he strikes out a lot at the plate, but it doesn't overshadow the bombs he sends out of the park. He is part of the loaded 2005 draft class, and his power was being compared in that draft to the likes of Alex Gordon, Jeff Clement and Ryan Braun. We mention his name because he could be called to the show at a moment's notice. The Tigers proved last year with Cameron Maybin and Andrew Miller that they weren't afraid of bringing premier talent to the majors. Tigers 1B Carlos Guillen is already injured and DH Gary Sheffield also could go down at any time, which would open the door for Larish's bat.

Doctor's Report -- This segment highlights a player on the verge of coming off the DL and ready to make an immediate Fantasy impact.

Yovani Gallardo, SP, Milwaukee
Owned: 56 percent of leagues
Analysis: Fantasy owners better start putting in their waiver claims for Gallardo ASAP. He is ready to come off the 15-day DL. The young fireballer had to open on the injured list because of arthroscopic knee surgery in March, but he is ready to make his debut as early as Saturday. Don't be scared about his rehab numbers. He was 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA with Triple-A Nashville, but he also struck out 18 in 15 2/3 innings. He still has his dynamite fastball and is worth owning in all Fantasy formats when healthy.

You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Waiver Wire in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
A.J. Burnett
Yanks, Pirates still talking Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
2/12/2012
News: The New York Daily News reports the Yankees and Pirates continued to talk Sunday about completing a trade for A.J. Burnett, but a baseball source said the sides are still "a good ways away" from agreeing on the final terms. The source added the Pirates are willing to pay $10 million of the remaining $33 million Burnett is owed over the next two seasons, but Pittsburgh has offered "two borderline prospects" in return. The Yankees could be willing to pay more of Burnett's remaining contract if they receive a top-tier prospect from Pittsburgh. A person familiar with the Yankees' thinking believes there is enough common ground that a deal could be completed in the coming days. However, ESPN.com reports their source said the Yankees aren't desperate to make a trade and the team would go to spring training with Burnett if a deal isn't completed.
Analysis: Leaving the Yankees usually has a negative impact on a player's Fantasy value, but in Burnett's case it might be the opposite, especially if he moves to the NL. He has struggled to handle the pressure of pitching in New York and a fresh start could be what he needs. Burnett had some of his best years in the majors pitching in the NL. Still, Burnett would be nothing more than a risky late-round Fantasy pick in mixed leagues.

Josh Johnson
JJ continues to feel no discomfort
Josh Johnson, SP, MIA
2/12/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports Marlins SP Josh Johnson arrived to the team's spring training complex in Jupiter, Fla., on Feb. 9, more than a week ahead of the Marlins reporting date for pitchers and catchers. Johnson, who has been throwing off a mound near his home in Las Vegas, threw his first bullpen session of the year in Florida on Feb. 10. He felt no discomfort and expects to be ready for the first workouts on Feb. 22. He made only nine starts last year because of shoulder issues.
Analysis: Any encouraging news regarding JJ is welcomed. But Fantasy owners do have to be aware of the risk of drafting him. Of course his potential makes it worth it, but JJ has made it past 30 starts just once in his career. Look to Johnson as more of a No. 2 Fantasy SP on Draft Day, but clearly he has the potential to be your ace if he can stay healthy.

Hunter Pence
Pence likely to hit cleanup
Hunter Pence, RF, PHI
2/12/2012
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports Phillies manager Charlie Manuel has to find a cleanup hitter with Ryan Howard expected to miss the beginning of the season recovering from an Achilles injury, and he said his choice going into spring training is Hunter Pence.
Analysis: Pence either hit right in front of or right behind Howard after his acquisition from Houston last season and thrived in the Phillies lineup. He will miss Howard's lineup protection, but might only have to play a month without Howard. In the meantime, Pence should get plenty of RBI chances batting cleanup, and he will still have plenty of lineup protection without Howard. Look to Pence in the early rounds of Fantasy drafts.

Jason Vargas
Vargas expected to pitch in A's series
Jason Vargas, SP, SEA
2/12/2012
News: Mariners manager Eric Wedge hinted Sunday that ace Felix Hernandez and Jason Vargas are the leading candidates to start the team's first two games against the A's in Japan. "That's one of the reasons we're here early, to make sure we get Felix ready and we're probably looking at Vargas right now in regard to the first couple games," Wedge said, as reported by MLB.com. "It is a little odd, but that's OK. That's part of it. We're professionals here and we have to get multiple starters prepared for the regular season. It's not just about those two guys, it's about everybody else as well. We've got a lot of starting pitchers here in camp and we'll see how it plays out. I'm looking forward to the competition."
Analysis: Believe it or not, but Vargas is arguably the M's second-best pitcher heading into spring training. He has been a steady part of the M's rotation the last two seasons. He is 19-25 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 63 starts since the beginning of the 2010 campaign. However, he is not a dominant pitcher and has weak strikeout totals, so Vargas is nothing more than a low-end Fantasy SP on Draft Day.

Felix Hernandez
King Felix likely to start game in Japan
Felix Hernandez, SP, SEA
2/12/2012
News: Mariners manager Eric Wedge hinted Sunday that ace Felix Hernandez and Jason Vargas are the leading candidates to start the team's first two games against the A's in Japan. "That's one of the reasons we're here early, to make sure we get Felix ready and we're probably looking at Vargas right now in regard to the first couple games," Wedge said, as reported by MLB.com. "It is a little odd, but that's OK. That's part of it. We're professionals here and we have to get multiple starters prepared for the regular season. It's not just about those two guys, it's about everybody else as well. We've got a lot of starting pitchers here in camp and we'll see how it plays out. I'm looking forward to the competition."
Analysis: Hernandez didn't repeat as the AL Cy Young winner in 2011, but he still had another solid season for Seattle. He went 14-14 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. He also struck out 222 in 233 2/3 innings. His win-loss record would probably be way better on a top contender, but King Felix still does plenty for Fantasy owners to be considered a top 10 Fantasy SP on Draft Day.

Hisashi Iwakuma
Iwakuma says shoulder is fine
Hisashi Iwakuma, SP, SEA
2/12/2012
News: MLB.com reports Mariners SP Hisashi Iwakuma said his shoulder is fine after he was limited to 17 starts last season in Japan because of a sore right shoulder. "I talked to him at length a couple days ago," pitching coach Carl Willis said. "This is obviously all new to him being in the States for the first time, with a different routine pitching every fifth day instead of sixth or seventh. But he's not an 18-year-old kid either. He has a history of what he's done to get ready for a season and we'll talk daily. Really, at the outset it comes down to me listening to him, because he's the one who knows what he needs to do to get ready."
Analysis: Iwakuma had a 107-69 record in 226 career games in Japan. The right-hander was selected the 2008 Pacific League MVP and winner of the Eiji Sawamura Award (the equivalent of the Cy Young Award) after going 21-4 with a 1.87 ERA. Last season, Iwakuma went 6-7 with a 2.42 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 17 starts. While his numbers overseas are impressive, you know it has been hit or miss when it has come to Japanese pitchers in the majors. Even if Iwakuma lands a rotation spot with Seattle, you won't want to use more than a late-round flier on him.

Tim Hudson
Hudson cleared to increase throwing
Tim Hudson, SP, ATL
2/12/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves SP Tim Hudson, who is recovering from surgery to repair a disc in his back late in November, had been playing light catch in his yard until begin cleared by doctors this week to increase his throwing.
Analysis: The word around Braves camp is proceed with caution in regards to the veteran Hudson. Pretty much every important Braves official has said they won't rush the right-hander in his recovery, and Atlanta is willing to start the season without him if it comes to that. We will just have to see how he progresses this spring. Consider Hudson an injury-risk, mid-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Clearly, he can be a very productive Fantasy option when healthy.

Mike Minor
Minor having early control problems
Mike Minor, SP, ATL
2/12/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves SP Mike Minor, vying again this spring for the fifth starter's job, said, "All my pitches are everywhere right now." His says his arm feels good, but that it's lagging and he isn't following through. Fortunately, he knows the point of the Braves' early throwing program is to get these preseason inconsistencies out of the way.
Analysis: Minor is considered the favorite to win the final spot in the Braves' rotation over Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. However, Minor might be needed at the start of the season regardless if Tim Hudson's recovery from back surgery doesn't go as planned. Minor kind of disappointed in 15 starts in 2011. In fact, he has just a 4.74 ERA in 24 outings (23 starts) as a major leaguer and hasn't shown the same type of dominance he did in the minors. Still, the Braves have high hopes for the lefty and aren't giving up on him just yet. If Minor does make the rotation this spring, then look to him as a late-round Fantasy option in deep formats.

Craig Kimbrel
Kimbrel working on changeup
Craig Kimbrel, RP, ATL
2/12/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves RP Craig Kimbrel is working on locating his changeup, which he may use during the season if he's able to master it. But even if it's not ready for prime time, throwing it helps stretch him out for his fastball. He has yet to throw his curveball.
Analysis: While Kimbrel struggled at the end of the 2011 season, he still dominated hitters for most of the season on his way to winning NL rookie of the year honors. It's good that he is working to get better, but he shouldn't have to change too much since he has been a smash hit since debuting in 2010. Kimbrel is a must-own Fantasy RP and will likely be the first RP selected in many drafts this spring.

Roy Oswalt
Phillies not in running for Oswalt?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
2/12/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. defused a FOXSports.com report that his team remained in the hunt to re-sign Roy Oswalt. "We really don't have any room for him," Amaro told MLB.com. "We have five, six starters, and our resources are about where we want to be right now. I think he wouldn't mind coming back, but I don't know that's feasible or a real possibility."
Analysis: The Phillies surfaced as a possible destination for Oswalt after rumors surfaced again that the team wanted to trade Joe Blanton. It seems the Phillies have no immediate plans to bring Oswalt aboard, but we will have to continue to track his offseason progress. Fortunately, all of the teams linked to Oswalt are expected contenders, but even so, Oswalt would be at best a No. 4 Fantasy SP given his chronic back woes and declining numbers.

 
 
 
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