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Scott White

Sliders: Do you have Brian's back too?

By | Fantasy Writer


In my first few weeks writing this column, I've come to a life-changing epiphany.

Brian Bannister is the most popular player in Major League Baseball.

We think Scott White heard from every one of Brian Bannister's owners last week. (US Presswire)  
We think Scott White heard from every one of Brian Bannister's owners last week. (US Presswire)  
How else do you explain the onslaught of angry e-mails after I mentioned him in my last two installments of Fantasy Sliders -- first, by saying his Fantasy appeal had improved and then by changing my mind a week later?

You'd think I'd just insulted the pope. Or at least Nancy Kerrigan.

And I didn't even say anything that bad. Certainly not the first time, when I praised him. But the masses said he couldn't have improved because he didn't have room to improve because he was so darn good in the first place. Apparently, he does things like allow two earned runs in 21 innings all the time. Who knew?

So then you can imagine the response I got when I took it all back, saying his nine hits in five innings against the Athletics showed all his batted balls would occasionally come back to haunt him. Geez, I could have just as easily burned down the Vatican. It's like projecting anything short of a 1.12 ERA and Cy Young award for Bannister is blatant irresponsibility and immediate grounds for dismissal.

Just to recap ... Bannister: good pitcher, worth using, little upside in Fantasy.

But good for him for building up such a curiously disproportionate fan base. I'm sure he'd like to know he has so many people rushing to defend his honor. Maybe it might psych him up enough to -- I don't know -- strike out a batter.

I'm just asking for it now, aren't I?

Anyway, on to an otherwise Bannister-free version -- I promise -- of Fantasy Sliders.

Sliders

These guys' recent performances signify more than a hot or cold streak. Their Fantasy appeal has actually "slid" either up or down.

Jayson Werth, OF, Phillies

If Shane Victorino's calf injury did nothing else, it gave the right man a starting job in the Philadelphia outfield.

Werth, who entered the season in a platoon with Geoff Jenkins, did such a good job replacing Victorino -- hitting .323 (10-for-31) over his last eight games with four home runs and three doubles -- that he'll shift Jenkins to the bench, possibly remaining in center field as Victorino moves back to right.

And casual sabermetricians everywhere rejoiced.

Werth, 28, has all the peripherals to make you think he'll succeed as a full-time player: good plate discipline -- he posted an on-base percentage of .404 last year -- and decent power. Shoot, he hit 16 home runs in 290 at-bats for the Dodgers in 2004 before missing most of the next two years with a wrist injury. And after he spent the first half of 2007 getting back into the swing of things, he hit .329 with five home runs in the second half, posting a Lance Berkman-like OPS of .950.

Werth is no Berkman -- don't get me wrong -- but when he puts up numbers just as good in limited at-bats and suddenly ends up with full-time at-bats, you have to give him a look in Fantasy -- especially when the Orioles thought highly enough of him to make him their first-round draft pick in 1997. And although he tends to hit left-handers much better than right-handers, those splits usually even out with increased exposure.

So I say add Werth in all leagues. He has a starting point as a No. 4 Fantasy outfielder and with upside to grow into more, it's certainly Werth the investment.

Come on. You knew it was coming.

Casey Kotchman, 1B, Angels

The Angels downplay any kind of power breakout for Kotchman. In fact, manager Mike Scioscia kind of makes it sound like nothing more than good luck. "I think Kotch is getting some pitches to hit and is doing a great job of squaring balls up," he told MLB.com. "I think Kotch's swing is geared toward the line drive, using the whole field. Lately, he's getting some pitches to drive and is not missing them."

Way to give credit where credit is due, Mikey.

But you know it's all a front. You know the Angels management team feels all giddy inside. The organization has its power bat, its left-handed complement to Vladimir Guerrero and Torii Hunter, and all is right in the world.

All is right in Fantasy, too, because while some might write off Kotchman's six home runs as a fluke after watching him set a career high with only 11 last year, others realize that at age 25, his power has plenty of time to develop.

And you have to like his potential even more when you consider he hit .325 in 1,241 career minor-league at-bats. And you have to like it even more when you consider he lost a year of development (2006) to mononucleosis, otherwise known as the kissing disease.

Not that I blame him. He is Casey Kotchman, after all.

I don't project him to hit 35 home runs or anything like that, but 25-30 with a batting average over .300 makes him a must-start in Fantasy. Consider him the AL-version of one of last week's Sliders, Conor Jackson.

Matt Garza, SP, Rays

Including Garza on this list might seem like odd timing right now, considering he just got off the disabled list after missing over two weeks with radial nerve irritation in his pitching arm, but his performance in his return start reminded too much of that guy we saw last year -- you know, the one who, ignoring his 3.69 ERA deflated by a handful of early good starts, posted a 1.54 WHIP and lasted a little over five innings per start.

Garza allowed five hits and three walks in five innings against the Red Sox on Friday, which doesn't sound bad on the surface, but when you do the math, it's a 1.60 WHIP.

I agree Garza has stellar minor-league numbers -- with the ERA, the WHIP and the strikeout rate all beautiful -- but he just doesn't get it at the major-league level, not yet. I don't know if it's a case of him nibbling too much or trying to overcompensate for a lack of pitches, but he has control problems. And he won't contribute much in the way of wins and strikeouts if he can't pitch deep into games.

I'm not saying he won't develop into a useful Fantasy pitcher ever or even by the end of this year, but I expect him to do more harm than good for Fantasy owners over the next few months. The hit your team's WHIP will take isn't worth the upside.

Edinson Volquez, SP, Reds

I had no desire to draft Volquez in mixed leagues this spring. Not gonna lie.

It's not that I didn't think he had great stuff or could become a useful pitcher someday. I knew of his top-prospect standing. But looking at his numbers in the minors and in his short time with the Rangers, I didn't get the impression a breakout was imminent. And why waste a draft pick on something that's not imminent?

You heard me, Joba Chamberlain owners.

But I come before you good people today a changed man, willing to accept the consequences for my transgressions and embrace Volquez as a burgeoning Fantasy ace. If his eight strikeouts in 5 1/3 innings against the Phillies or his seven strikeouts in seven innings against the Dodgers didn't catch my attention, his 10 strikeouts in seven innings against the Giants sure did. And while I'd like to see him walk fewer than a batter every two innings, there comes a point when a guy pitches with such dominance it doesn't even matter. With a 1.23 ERA, Volquez has reached that point.

If you don't have him starting in your league, I'd like to know why. Maybe you could send me an e-mail. Maybe even an angry one. Try mentioning Brian Bannister -- it'll help you emote.

(I just broke a promise, didn't I?)

Jonathan Sanchez, SP, Giants

I like to select my Sliders based on statistical performance more than opportunity, but I already strayed once with Werth, so I'll do so again with Sanchez.

The statistics: When a pitcher strikes out 10 batters in a game once, you can write it off as a fluke. Even Tim Redding did it once. But when a pitcher does it twice, like Sanchez has this season after whiffing 10 Reds in eight innings in his last start, you have a serious strikeout artist on your hands and someone who can make a huge contribution in Fantasy. Even if you don't expect him to win many games for the offensively inept Giants, his strikeout rate of 11.6 per nine innings alone makes him worth starting, not to mention his 1.18 WHIP.

The opportunity: None of us really saw Sanchez coming because he'd made only eight starts in the majors before this season, spending most of his time in the bullpen. And before Noah Lowry's arm injury this spring, he seemed an obvious choice to go back to the bullpen. Any thoughts of him shifting to relief now are unrealistic not only because of his performance, but because Kevin Correia has an oblique injury and Barry Zito has forgotten how to pitch.

Take a chance on Sanchez if he remains unowned in your league. Think of him as Oliver Perez, but with a better understanding of the strike zone and a worse supporting cast.

Hanging Sliders

These guys look like sliders, but not so fast! Their recent performances might cause you to misinterpret their Fantasy appeal.

Mark Reynolds, 3B, Diamondbacks

I'd like to direct my colleague, Eric Mack, to turn away from the monitor for the next few lines of text because I'm about to speak poorly of a man he loves so much you'd think he conceived him personally. (Don't worry, Eric -- I'll call you back as soon as I'm done.)

Well, well, well ... just as soon as everyone hops on board, we get a glimpse of the dark side of Mr. Reynolds. I bet you thought I should include him among my Sliders after he hit five home runs in his first eight games, and I thought about it. I thought long and hard. But I had my reservations, and they came to light this week when he went 4-for-29 with 18 strikeouts.

Yeah, 18 strikeouts ... in one week. To put that in perspective, Tony Gwynn struck out 18 times in 1998 -- a whole season. And I know I probably shouldn't compare two players with completely different skill sets, but the fact remains Reynolds will struggle to hit with any amount of consistency until he learns to make better contact. I mean, he struck out 129 times in 366 at-bats last year. Adam Dunn can only dream of such a rate.

But Reynolds has power -- I'll give him that. Even during that awful week, he hit two home runs. Is he worth owning? Without question, but I think he'll have enough prolonged cold streaks to limit his upside to 30 homers instead of 40 (his 17 last year project to 26 in 550 at-bats) and a batting average on the wrong side of .270. And if I play in a league that penalizes strikeouts, I'd prefer to make him somebody else's problem.

Welcome back, Eric.

A.J. Burnett, SP, Blue Jays

When you drafted Burnett this spring, you knew you wouldn't get a full season of starts. But you also knew you'd get a nice WHIP and ERA and at least a strikeout per inning.

Needless to say, his 6.07 ERA, 1.75 WHIP and 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings through five starts (and one relief appearance) is clearly not what the doctor ordered -- no pun intended.

Take that as a lesson you'll probably receive only this one time in your life: Respect your fingernails. Burnett smashed one on his right index finger well before spring training and couldn't throw his bread-and-butter curveball until late March. He has to get a feel for it now in the first month of the season, when in the past, he would have done so in spring training.

But it's coming along. His last start would have gone better if the Blue Jays didn't leave him in the game too long, and even then, he allowed three earned runs in 7 1/3 innings, striking out six. He's coming around, and if you part with him now, you probably won't get enough back for your investment.

Change-up

Every week, I make terrible errors in judgment. It happens to us all, and if it didn't, Fantasy wouldn't be a game worth playing. Fortunately, I permit myself the opportunity to correct one of my mistakes by throwing a change-up.

Brandon Lyon, RP, Diamondbacks

I had to dig through the archives to find this week's change-up because no one from last week's column really fit the bill, which means I either did well or didn't take enough risks. You decide.

After the first week of the season, I called Lyon a fraud as a closer. He had just blown two saves and presumably didn't have a long leash with Tony A. Pena -- the favorite to win the job in the offseason -- toiling in setup duty.

Fast-forward to the end of April, and Lyon has a nine-inning scoreless streak. He has seven saves, including four in the past week, and is allowing less than a baserunner per inning.

Not only has Lyon shown me he can pitch effectively enough to hold down the job, but the Diamondbacks, with their deadly combination of pitching and hitting, have shown me they might run away with their division -- and possibly the National League -- giving Lyon a dream number of save opportunities.

Plus, as one esteemed reader pointed out, when Lyon saved 14 games for the Diamondbacks in 2005, he did so with a 1.96 ERA before injuries hit in mid-May, leading to his comparatively nauseating season ERA of 6.49.

I wouldn't go so far as to call him a No. 1 Fantasy closer just yet, but he's right on the border and is a clear must-start in all leagues that reward saves.

You can e-mail Scott your Fantasy Baseball questions to dmfantasybaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Sliders in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.We'll answer as many as we can.

 
 
 
Player News
Josh Johnson
JJ: 'I feel great. No problems'
Josh Johnson, SP, MIA
2/13/2012
News: The Associated Press reports Marlins president of baseball operations Larry Beinfest said the team should be fully healthy heading into spring training. That includes ace Josh Johnson, who has been throwing off a mound after making only nine starts in 2011 because of right shoulder inflammation. "I feel great," Johnson said. "No problems. I haven't really been sore yet, and I've been letting it go." The Sports Xchange reported over the weekend that Johnson arrived to the team's spring training complex in Jupiter, Fla., on Feb. 9 and threw his first bullpen session of the year in Florida on Feb. 10.
Analysis: The fact we hear JJ talking about his promising progress is very encouraging. Now, he just has to avoid setbacks and stay healthy for an entire season. Fantasy owners do have to be aware of the risk of drafting him. Of course his potential makes it worth it, but JJ has made it past 30 starts just once in his career. Look to Johnson as more of a No. 2 Fantasy SP on Draft Day, but clearly he has the potential to be your ace if he can stay healthy.

Ike Davis
Davis 'good to go' as camp nears
Ike Davis, 1B, NYM
2/13/2012
News: The New York Post reports Mets 1B Ike Davis said he is "good to go" as he arrived to spring training on Monday. Davis who missed most of last season with an ankle injury said he no longer thinks about his injury. He elected not to have surgery and chose to rehab the injury instead. “It’s great to know I’m training for a season rather than training to see if I can get back on the field or have to have surgery,” Davis said. “I’ve been fine for a while now, so it’s what I expected. But it’s good to finally hit on the field and get this under my belt.” Davis might see more at-bats this spring as he tries to make up for lost time. “I have more of a drive and a want this year,” Davis said. “I always had it, but I never really saw the other side, when the game isn’t there. I know to take it slow. I have to get back into the rhythm of playing, but I’ve got plenty of time. It’s going to come back.”
Analysis: We really hope Davis is past his ankle problems like he says he is because he is one of the Mets' top offensive players when active. As productive as he was before the injury last year, Davis is a potential bargain with a middle-to-late-round pick and will only move up the draft boards with a strong spring. Continue to track his progress.

Roy Oswalt
Oswalt waiting to sign with Texas?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
2/13/2012
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said he hasn't had contact with Roy Oswalt's agents in the last week, and Jocketty offered up his own opinion on the Oswalt sweepstakes. “I think he’s waiting for Texas to clear money,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: It's interesting to hear Jocketty say Oswalt wants to sign with Texas. At least it's a legit reason why the veteran right-hander hasn't signed with a team yet, despite being linked to the Reds and Cardinals. Oswalt is likely going to sign somewhere before the start of the 2012 season and should be in a rotation. Consider Oswalt more of a mid-to-late-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Don't forget about his chronic back problems.

Johan Santana
Santana looks 'great' playing catch
Johan Santana, SP, NYM
2/13/2012
News: The Wall Street Journal reports Mets SP Johan Santana (shoulder) played catch from 175 feet Monday. Manager Terry Collins said Santana looked "great" and he hopes the left-hander will throw off a mound by the end of the week. “I think I’ll be on the mound Thursday or Friday and we’ll see where we’re at,” Santana told the New York Post. “But I’m making progress and finally getting into a routine that will take me all the way to spring training and the regular season.” Santana would like to be ready by opening day, but he doesn't consider it a critical date. “Time will tell if I get there,” Santana said. “We’ll see once I compete. I have to get some competition and see how my arm and whole body reacts to it. When I get on the mound soon, I should be fine when spring training starts. I’m worried more about my mechanics and delivery more than anything. That’s the point I’m at. My biggest concern will always be my health, but it’s just a matter of time. I just want to compete.”
Analysis: Collins' assessment of Santana sounds like cautious optimism. After all it was just catch. Santana has bigger hurdles to clear in hopes of pitching for the first time since the 2010 season. Santana is coming off a serious shoulder injury and who knows if he can return to the dominant arm he once was. Fantasy owners should bear in mind that Chien-Ming Wang, who underwent the same procedure, needed two years to make it back to the majors, so Santana could wind up providing far fewer than 25 starts -- which is the Mets' goal for the lefty this season. Because of the playing time risk, he is a late-round option in mixed leagues at best.

Ryan Braun
Braun ruling coming soon?
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
2/13/2012
News: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports there is no indication that a ruling will be announced Monday regarding Ryan Braun's appeal of a 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It appears the recommended guideline for a ruling will be extended.
Analysis: The entire baseball world want this issue to be put to bed, but it seems we might have to wait a little longer for a ruling. The Brewers remain upbeat about Braun's situation, but only time will tell what happens. If Braun avoids a suspension, then he remains a first-round Fantasy pick. If he is suspended 50 games, then he is going to tumble down draft boards a bit, but Braun would still be an early-round Fantasy selection based on potential once he becomes active.

Seth Smith
Cespedes to bump Smith?
Seth Smith, RF, OAK
2/13/2012
News: Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes and the Oakland Athletics have agreed to a $36 million, four-year contract. Agent Adam Katz confirmed Monday the sides had reached agreement, with details still to be finalized. Cespedes' arrival means the A's could eventually bump Seth Smith to designated hitter.
Analysis: We will have to wait and see what happens when Cespedes finally arrives at A's camp, but the speculation is that the A's outfield alignment will eventually be Josh Reddick in right field, Coco Crisp in center field and Cespedes in left, which is where Smith is currently penciled in as the starter. But the A's could use a rotation at DH, which would still allow Smith to see regular at-bats, if Cespedes doesn't have to begin the year in the minors, which remains an option as well. Smith struggles against left-handed pitchers, so he might still be in a platoon situation like he was with the Rockies. Smith remains more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Mike Napoli
Napoli's ankle still an issue
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
2/13/2012
News: ESPN.com reports Rangers catcher Mike Napoli said his injured left ankle is progressing, but he is still not 100 percent. Napoli turned his ankle in the World Series against the Cardinals last year. "I think I’m close," Napoli said. "I’m not really going to know until I get into the wear and tear of spring training and catching all the time. But I've been feeling good and getting better day by day." Napoli said he has been running on the ankle, and he is also hitting and throwing without pain. However, he is still concerned about how it will hold up with the constant squatting and baseball activity. "But I'm trying not to do that all the time so I'm not depending on that," Napoli said. "I'm working on getting my little muscles stronger."
Analysis: The Dallas Morning News reports GM Jon Daniels said exams by team physician Keith Meister said Napoli's ankle shows no structural damage, but Napoli is still experiencing soreness. "The fact he's still feeling it a few months later speaks to what he went through to play the rest of Game 6 and go back out for Game 7," Daniels said. "It was about as bad as it looked to the rest of us." You have to wonder if Napoli can't shake this injury if it will play into how much time he gets behind the plate. Nonetheless, if Napoli catches less that just means he will likely see more PT at DH and first base. The Rangers aren't going to take his bat out of the lineup. Napoli remains a top 5 Fantasy catcher on Draft Day.

Bobby Abreu
Abreu to have to earn PT
Bobby Abreu, LF, LAA
12:44 AM
News: According to the Los Angeles Times, Angels general manager Jerry Dipoto told OF Bobby Abreu during a phone call on Monday that the veteran will be given every opportunity to earn playing time during the spring. With the offseason addition of Albert Pujols, Mark Trumbo and Kendrys Morales will vie with Abreu for at-bats at the DH spot in 2012. Dipoto also added that he does not plan on trading the 37-year-old. “Bobby is an Angel,” Dipoto said. “Right now, he fits on our 25-man roster, in our clubhouse, on our team. Where he is in eight weeks is predicated on how he’s playing and everyone’s health. We have some unknowns with the health of Kendrys and the progress of Mark, but we know Bobby is healthy. As I told him, if he swings the bat like he can, we’re going to find a way to play him.”
Analysis: Abreu played in just 28 games in the outfield last season so seeing time at DH is really the only way he is going to play consistently in 2012. Things don't look good for him at this point but if Morales is still unable to return from his broken ankle, he could end up platooning with Trumbo. Trumbo is also a candidate to be traded so keep an eye on the situation going forward. Abreu batted .253 with eight homers, 60 RBI and 21 stolen bases last season and would be a worthwhile pick in deeper mixed leagues if he sees everyday at-bats for the Angels.

Hong-Chih Kuo
M's to be careful with Kuo
Hong-Chih Kuo, P, SEA
2/13/2012
News: MLB.com reports Mariners RP Hong-Chih Kuo threw his first bullpen session of the spring on Sunday, but the team will proceed with caution with Kuo, who is coming off October elbow surgery. "We've got to keep an eye on him and work to keep him healthy and available for us," manager Eric Wedge said. "He was dominant a couple years ago. He's had some injuries in the past, but he feels good now. It's a great opportunity for him as well as so many others. But when you look at his upside and what he's capable of doing when he's healthy, we're hoping we can keep him there."
Analysis: Kuo definitely showed promise during his tenure with the Dodgers from 2005-11. However, he had a rocky career that was filled with arm injuries and inconsistencies. He won't close for Seattle, but the Mariners hope he can be a setup man for closer Brandon League. Kuo remains just a low-end Fantasy RP in leagues that use middle relievers.

George Sherrill
Sherrill being held out as precaution
George Sherrill, RP, SEA
2/13/2012
News: MLB.com reports Mariners RP George Sherrill didn't throw his scheduled bullpen session Monday as a precaution, manager Eric Wedge said. Sherrill had a wrap on his elbow after practice. "We're going to give him a few extra days," Wedge said. "He has a lot of reps under his belt over the course of the years. Usually a guy who takes the ball and is left-handed, that often is the case when you've had success like he's had. We've got a long camp and one of the No. 1 reasons we're here is starting pitchers and making sure they're ready with starting out early in Japan. With the relievers, especially some of the veteran guys, we want to make sure we don't get them ready too quick."
Analysis: Sherrill went 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA last season for Atlanta. He bounced back after an awful 2010 and is expected to be a left-handed setup man for closer Brandon League. Sherill won't get many, if any save chances, so consider him nothing more than a low-end AL-only Fantasy RP.

 
 
 
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