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Michael Hurcomb

Playing the Waiver Wire: What can Brown do for you?

By | Fantasy Writer


In 1994, when the A's were on the clock in the sixth round of the MLB amateur draft, they peeked at the remaining talent and quickly breezed over their notes before selecting a community college outfielder with the 149th pick. What they didn't anticipate happening was that it would take almost 14 years before the investment would start paying dividends.

Emil Brown quietly inked a one-year deal in January with the A's -- the second time in his career he would sign on the dotted line with Oakland. Only this time, he has had a more immediate impact. Brown entered play Thursday second in the AL with 25 RBI, which is better than the likes of David Ortiz, Justin Morneau and even Alex Rodriguez. Talk about your early-season surprises.

"I knew he was a good RBI guy in Kansas City, but he's even better than advertised," Oakland manager Bob Geren told MLB.com. "He has a real solid approach up there, and he seems to take it up a notch with runners in scoring position."

Emil Brown is among the league leaders in RBI through the first month. (Getty Images)  
Emil Brown is among the league leaders in RBI through the first month. (Getty Images)  
Brown was initially drafted out of high school by the Twins in 1993. He was a 37th round selection. He nixed a deal to play for Minnesota and headed for Indian River Community College (Fla.). It would take only one season for him to increase his draft stock by 31 rounds. The A's welcomed him into their family in 1994, but it would take more than a decade before he made it to the Bay Area.

The Chicago native made his MLB debut in 1997 with the Pirates, who snagged him in the 1996 Rule 5 draft. He spent the entire season with Pittsburgh and even collected his first major league hit off the great Fernando Valenzuela. However, after his Rule 5 status cleared, Brown was back in the minors by 1998. He spent most of the season at Double-A, but earned All-Star status and was considered the Pirates' third best prospect. Still, Brown was a blip on the MLB radar screen.

Brown would spend the next few seasons trying to crack the majors on a permanent basis, but Pittsburgh wasn't interested. He was eventually dealt to San Diego in the summer of 2001. Little did Brown or anyone else know, Aug. 2, 2001 would mark his last game in the majors until 2005.

The 6-2, 210-pound outfielder spent the 2002-04 seasons toiling around the minors. He even had a stint in the Mexican League. Brown had hit rock bottom and it looked as though his MLB aspirations were vanishing.

Enter the Kansas City Royals. Brown showed up to camp in 2005 as a non-roster invitee and performed well enough to make the team. He turned out to be a bargain. Brown would lead the team in RBI for three straight seasons. But after a down year in 2007 (.257, 6 HR, 62 RBI), Kansas City washed their hands of him.

Oakland signed the 33-year-outfielder in the offseason, and A's general manager Billy Beane is yet again receiving a plethora of congratulatory remarks for finding a diamond in the rough.

Brown is off to a fast start in 2008, which is unusual seeing how he tends to struggle out of the gate. In April 2005, he hit .161. In April 2006, he hit .227. And in April 2007, he struggled to the tune of a .186 average. He must be having an out-of-body experience hitting .270 through Wednesday.

The question now remains -- what can Brown do for you? The veteran outfielder is a career .260 hitter in the majors, but if you take a peak at his minor league totals, he was a pretty solid performer. In seven stops in 10 minor league seasons, Brown hit .300 or better. He batted .280 or better in 10 of 13 stops down on the farm.

As far as his RBI total, Brown drove in 454 batters in 828 minor league games. In 2007 with the Royals, despite playing in just 113 games, he recorded a RBI every 5.9 at-bats.

"I led the (Royals) in RBI. I don't know if that means the team was really bad or I'm really good," Brown told MLB.com. "I don't know how you want to look at that. But I like run production. I like scoring runs and I like driving in runs. That means more to me than hitting .300."

Thus far in 2008, Brown is recording a RBI every 4.00 plate appearances. The A's aren't expecting him to slow down, but can Brown become a breakout Fantasy star at 33?

"When there's an RBI situation, I enjoy seeing him going to the plate," Geren said. "His hitting style is conducive to driving in runs. He works inside the ball. He uses the big field. That's going to drive in a lot of runs over the long haul. He stays in the gaps. He has a nice approach up there. That's what it's all about, really."

Call to the Bench -- We feel this player might be worthy of adding to Fantasy rosters for the long haul

Ryan Church, OF, N.Y. Mets
Owned: 59 percent of leagues
Analysis: Church progressively improved every season he was in the majors starting in 2004 and 2008 is lining up to be his best. Trading a top prospect like Lastings Milledge to land Church seemed a little foolish at first, but it has not been the case. Church is hitting .316 with three homers and 19 RBI through the early season. Church spent some time hitting in the two-hole (.381), but the Mets seem to have found him an even better spot -- fifth -- behind Carlos Beltran. His average (.259) still might be a little low hitting fifth, but the RBI chances will be there if David Wright or Beltran can't deliver. Also, Church is not as high on scouting reports as some of the other Mets' hitters, so there is another added bonus as a forgotten hitter.

You're Out! -- We feel this player might have already peaked and his value could be on the decline, so Fantasy owners might want to cut bait ASAP

Livan Hernandez, SP, Minnesota
Owned: 54 percent of leagues
Analysis: When in Fantasy have a high ERA, high WHIP, low strikeout total and less than 15 wins ever won anybody a title? Because that's what the veteran Hernandez is going to supply this season. Sure, he started with three straight wins and a 2.57 ERA, but he has failed to win in his last three starts and has seen his ERA skyrocket to 5.05. This is the Hernandez you will see most of the season. Unlike Church, Hernandez has gotten progressively worse in the last three seasons. Remember, Hernandez was a desperation choice by the Twins to be their ace to open the season.

GDIPs -- We feel this player might not warrant as much Fantasy consideration as he is receiving and should be avoided in most instances

Brian Burres, SP, Baltimore
Owned: 18 percent of leagues
Analysis: A guy that wins three of his first four starts will catch anyone's attention, but we caution you when it comes to Burres. Let's take a deeper look at his numbers. The one that really jumps off the page is Burres on four days' rest and with more than four days' rest. In starts where he receives more than four days' rest, Burres is 3-0 with a 0.46 ERA. In his lone start on regular rest, he is 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA. Being a fifth starter, there was a good chance Burres gets skipped with an off day. Well, with an injury to Adam Loewen, Burres is no longer a fifth starter. He will now be pitching on regular rest more often than not. Just a few more bad stats to throw out: Burres has a 9.45 ERA with runners in scoring position; a 11.57 ERA with RISP and two outs; and his ERA is 9.95 when he is facing a lineup for the third time. Basically, he can't handle pressure with runners on base and he will have trouble working late into games.

Scouting -- We feel this player is on the verge of being a Fantasy reliable option, but still needs to be monitored over the next few weeks

Dioner Navarro, C, Tampa Bay
Owned: 24 percent of leagues
Analysis: Navarro is another one of those top prospects that never lived up to the billing in the majors. He was first a top youngster in the Yankees system before finding his way to the Dodgers organization in the three-team trade that sent Randy Johnson to New York. Navarro was the Dodgers initial choice to be the catcher of the future over Russell Martin before he failed miserably on the MLB stage. Martin didn't so Navarro was then traded to Tampa Bay. He didn't perform well in either 2006 or 2007, but Tampa Bay brought him back for one last run in 2008. Thus far, the move is paying off outside a freak stint on the DL. Navarro is hitting .400 with six RBI in 35 at-bats. Navarro doesn't have a lot of power, but if he can hit for a decent average and stay healthy, he might last as a viable Fantasy catcher.

Stopgap corner -- We feel this player might be worth using for the upcoming scoring period

Jeff Suppan, SP, Milwaukee
Owned: 29 percent of leagues
Analysis: Suppan is lining up to make two starts in Fantasy Week 6 (May 5-11). His starts will come at night on the road at Florida (Tuesday) and during the day at home against the Cardinals (May 11). Before allowing 11 runs (eight earned) to the Cubs Wednesday, Suppan had a 1.29 ERA in night starts. He will also be going on an extra day of rest before facing the Marlins. Suppan had a 1.98 ERA in two starts with extra rest this season before Wednesday's debacle. Suppan did well last season against one of his former teams -- the Cardinals. He was 3-0 with a 1.54 ERA and one complete game in three starts against St. Louis. The start will also come at home where Suppan was 9-3 with a 3.87 ERA last season and has a 1.29 ERA through two starts this season.

Farm Boys -- This segment is for those long-term keeper owners looking for the next Fantasy superstar

Nick Adenhart. SP, L.A. Angels
Owned: 6 percent of leagues
Analysis: Adenhart was a top high school pitcher, but his draft stock plummeted when he had Tommy John surgery as a senior. The Angels scooped him up as a 14th-round pick in 2004 and it could end up being a steal. Everyone has been talking about him since entering the Angels system in 2005. He had slowly worked his way back into shape before a breakout 2006 season with Class A Rancho Cucamonga and Cedar Rapids. He piled up 146 strikeouts in 158 1/3 innings. He posted a 1.95 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 16 starts with Cedar Rapids. He then had a solid encore performance with Double-A Arkansas in 2007. He went 10-8 with a 3.65 ERA and continues to build on his success. In five starts for Triple-A Salt Lake this season, Adenhart is 4-0 with a 0.87 ERA, which prompted the Angels to call him up for a start on Thursday vs. Oakland. It'll be interesting to see what the Angels do with him once John Lackey returns. His initial stint in the majors may be short-lived, depending on how he performs.

Doctor's Report -- This segment highlights a player on the verge of coming off the DL and ready to make an immediate Fantasy impact.

Rich Harden, SP, Oakland
Owned: 48 percent of leagues
Analysis: The Harden watch begins. Harden, who last made a start April 2, will have his first rehab outing for Triple-A Sacramento Thursday. Oakland has said it could take only one or two rehab outings before the hard-throwing righty is back in the majors. Harden's fondness for getting injured will drive a Fantasy owner batty, but the fact he is a dominating pitcher when healthy is just too hard to pass up. He has a career 3.54 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 446 strikeouts in 475 2/3 innings. Just start praying that this is the last time Harden goes on the DL in 2008.

You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Waiver Wire in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Joe Mauer
Mauer 'feels good' after workout
Joe Mauer, C, MIN
2:50 PM
News: The News-Press reports Twins C Joe Mauer took two rounds of batting practice and went through a set of conditioning drills around the base paths Monday, and he appeared to have no problems sprinting. Mauer battled leg injuries in 2011. “I feel good,” Mauer said. “It feels good to get back out here again.” Mauer also put to rest the rumors that he gained 30 pounds in the offseason. “I heard that, too, and I couldn’t believe it," he said. “It’s just how rumors start. There were a lot of things out there last year that weren’t true. I’m about 220, 225. I need to add a little more weight before we start.”
Analysis: While most players feel good when they arrive to camp, it's especially encouraging to hear Mauer say that since last season he was coming off knee surgery and wasn't ready for the start of spring training. Mauer will head into 2012 motivated after an injury-plagued 2011. There's no guarantee he is past his knee problems, but the Twins are going to do their best to make sure Mauer avoids the DL. There is obviously risk involved with drafting Mauer, but his potential to be an elite Fantasy option at catcher make it worth drafting him. An offseason of staying health could make Mauer a steal in the fifth or sixth round of mixed-league drafts.

Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels, Indians interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett. CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman said the Indians have also inquired about Burnett. The trade talks involve DH Travis Hafner, but Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade. The Yankees also don't mind the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps these rumors regarding the Angels and Indians might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Mike Moustakas
Moustakas in great shape
Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC
12:48 PM
News: Royals manager Ned Yost had his contract option for the 2013 season picked up on Tuesday, but the Kansas City skipper seemed more interested in talking about his 2012 team. Yost was impressed with how many players have shown up for spring training early and is really blown away by the fitness level of a few of his players. "Billy Butler and Mike Moustakas -- I'm extremely proud of both of those guys," Yost told reporters. "They could be in the best shape they've been in their careers. Billy looks great, and I didn't even hardly recognize Moose he looks so good."
Analysis: While the fitness level doesn't necessarily mean a player will have success, it really can't hurt either. To hear Yost rave about Moustakas should get the attention of Fantasy owners. Moustakas, who is one of the Royals' top prospects, struggled when he first arrived in the majors last season. However, he seemed to have figured it out by season's end. Moustakas hit .352 with four homers and 12 RBI in his final 22 games last season. He is definitely one of the more intriguing Fantasy sleepers heading into 2012 and this latest report just adds to his appeal on Draft Day.

Jake Westbrook
Westbrook sheds 25 pounds
Jake Westbrook, SP, STL
2:11 PM
News: The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports Cardinals SP Jake Westbrook has shown up for spring training 25 pounds lighter than he was last season.
Analysis: This is the time of year where everyone seems to come to camp in better shape than they left last season. Hopefully for Westbrook it makes a difference in his game. He did go 12-9 in 2011, but he posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 33 starts. Westbrook can chew up innings, but he won't post impressive ERA, WHIP or strikeout total. Leave him for NL-only Fantasy formats.

Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin fires back at GM
Jhoulys Chacin, SP, COL
12:07 PM
News: The Denver Post reports Rockies SP Jhoulys Chacin responded to comments made by GM Dan O'Dowd, who expressed concern recently about Chacin's offseason conditioning. "I came to Arizona this past Monday. I have not stopped training during the winter, both in my country and here," Chacin told Venezuelan newspaper Meridiano. "I have always done the best job I could all throughout these past few months. I don't know where these comments came from. I believe they're the result of what other people have told him, instead of his own personal evaluation. I am looking forward to meeting O'Dowd personally, and I am confident that he will have a different conclusion after a firsthand evaluation." O'Dowd made his comments after seeing Chacin at the team's Fanfest in January. "He looked OK. It wasn't as bad as I anticipated," O'Dowd said. "It's still not what it should be."
Analysis: O'Dowd believes Chacin needs to lose weight because the excess pounds affect the balance in his delivery and cause his fastball command to suffer. Chacin spent much of the winter working out in his native Venezuela after working out in Tucson previously. On Feb. 9, Chacin reportedly weighed 226 pounds but anticipates being close to the 218 pounds he was last spring when he reports to spring training on Feb. 19. Chacin went 8-7 with a 3.16 ERA in 18 pre-All Star break starts last year and went 3-7 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts after the break. Chacin struggled with walks in the second half and was much more hittable down the stretch than he was early in the season. This situation is clearly not the way Fantasy owners want to see Chacin kick off the 2012 season, but perhaps this will provide him with the motivation he needs to reach elite status. Look to Chacin as a mid-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Kyle Seager
Seager gets work at first base
Kyle Seager, 3B, SEA
1:25 PM
News: The Seattle Times reports Mariners 3B Kyle Seager took grounders at first base Tuesday. Manager Eric Wedge said it was because of pitcher fielding drills Seager was at first base.
Analysis: It's interesting to see Seager working at another position in camp with Wedge calling him the front-runner for the third-base job. However, it appears clear that Seager was just needed as an extra body during fielding drills. Justin Smoak is still the team's first baseman and Mike Carp is his expected backup. Carlos Guillen can also play first base, so we can't look too much into Seager taking grounders at first. His main focus should be winning the 3B job over the likes of Alex Liddi and Chone Figgins. Consider Seager nothing more than a late-round, low-end Fantasy corner infielder on Draft Day. He does have some sleeper potential, but don't reach for him in drafts.

Travis Hafner
Hafner on Yankees radar?
Travis Hafner, DH, CLE
1:19 PM
News: CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman reports the Indians have inquired about Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, who has been heavily involved in trade rumors. The talks with the Indians revolve around a Burnett for DH Travis Hafner deal. However, Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade, and the Yankees also appear content with the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: This trade rumor is definitely interesting because a trade to the Yankees would immediately elevate Hafner's Fantasy appeal. He would end up going to a hitter's park and be inserted into one of the best lineups in baseball. That means a ton of chances to fill the stat sheet. However, it doesn't appear this deal is imminent, so Fantasy owners shouldn't get their hopes up. It's best to view Hafner as a low-end, injury-risk Fantasy option for the late rounds of deep formats on Draft Day. Hafner continues to post poor home run totals and hasn't played more than 100 games in three of his last four seasons.

 
 
 
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