Week 6 Fantasy Stockwatch
By Eric Mack | Senior Fantasy Writer Follow EricFollow CBS Fantasy Baseball
Every Monday we'll take a look at the Fantasy Baseball gainers and decliners in our Fantasy Stockwatch.
It is always amazing how quickly Fantasy owners jump on and off the bandwagon. Max Scherzer's massive rush is certainly warranted, but how is it that early April darlings Johnny Cueto and Mark Reynolds are now downgraded after a cold spell? Young players are streaky, expect it. Scherzer could dominate and then get crushed on alternating starts. Nick Adenhart got crushed in his debut and could rebound spectacularly this week. When you buy stock on a young player expect extreme volatility, but if you are buying the right one, hold on for dear life and ride out the occasional storms.
This week's potential 'Buy Guys'
| SP Johnny Cueto, CIN What? How can his stock be up? Well, we are trying to be proactive here. It's time to buy low on this elite pitching talent. He is coming off an awful start and could have some more real stinkers thrown in, but the bet here is you will get more good than bad over the long haul -- at least as long as he stays healthy. |
| 3B Mark Reynolds, ARI Another hot player to start the year who has hit the skids. Reynolds has 30-homer, 100-RBI potential -- albeit with wild strikeout totals. Don't risk buying now on him in Head-to-Head points leagues that penalize strikeouts, but go get him in any other Fantasy formats that don't. Reynolds is a streaky slugger who might have gotten his roughest stretch of the season out of his system. Hitting, like young pitching, is a roller-coaster ride, but Reynolds should be more up than down -- especially in points leagues where you just care about run production. He is still on pace for 36 homers, 130 RBI and 125 runs. |
| OF Jeremy Hermida, FLA A favorite here, Hermida is still a future star that has yet to pop. He is going well right now with a .309 average, but the homers, RBI and runs are still lagging a bit. If anyone in your league is sick of waiting around for him to become a .290-20-90-90 guy, you could be able to get him on the cheap. He is only starting in 46 percent of CBSSports.com's leagues in Fantasy Week 6 (May 5-11). |
| C Ryan Doumit, PIT The Pirates' offensive ineptitude has given Doumit a chance to become a full-time Fantasy catcher. He has been out of the gate mashing -- on a .345-26-62-99 (.376 OBP, .575 SLUG) pace -- and has turned Ronny Paulino into a part-timer. Doumit figures to only sit against some left-handed pitchers at this point, especially since he has become the Pirates' cleanup hitter -- as a catcher! Victor Martinez and Bengie Molina are the only others that can make that claim. If you are looking for a moment of weakness in a fellow owner, the Pirates face four lefties in a six-game week. Doumit could be quiet this week and attainable by the weekend. Bonus! |
| SP Clayton Kershaw, LAD Because Max Scherzer was able to go from two percent ownership in CBSSports.com's leagues to almost 90 percent inside two weeks, we feel obligated to give you a name that might be the next potential impact call-up. Kershaw is better than Scherzer, albeit younger and less battle tested. Kershaw has a 1.11 ERA, a .197 batting-average against and drew rave reviews in spring training. He has not allowed an earned run in his past three starts and stretched it out to a season-high 6 2/3 innings last time out. Couple that data with the failures of the Dodgers' No. 5 starters and you have a sure-fire powder keg off the waiver wire in almost 70 percent of our leagues. |
Some more Buy Guys we couldn't fit in: 2B Howie Kendrick, LAA; OF Matt Kemp, LAD; SP Greg Smith, OAK; DH/1B Aubrey Huff, BAL; SP Jon Lester, BOS.
This week's potential 'Goodbye Guys'
| RP Eric Gagne, MIL It won't be the first time this was stated, or the last, but: Gagne doesn't deserve to be a closer at this point. Sure, he is on pace for 47 saves and had five consecutive outings without an earned run before Sunday. But how many times do you and the Brewers need to be burned before you move in another direction? Hopefully not too many more. Derrick Turnbow has already been ushered out of town and Gagne could eventually be removed as closer. Salomon Torres and David Riske are the Brewers' top options to close if they do decide to make a change. |
| RP Rafael Betancourt, CLE So much for Betancourt potentially taking the Indians' closer's reins and running with them amid Joe Borowski's absence. Betancourt's shaky start has led the Indians to announce Borowski will return as the closer once healthy -- perhaps by mid-May. Borowski is a sleeper for you in projected role alone and might be your replacement option if, er when, Gagne is removed from the closer's role in Milwaukee. Betancourt is on a short leash and is no longer a favorite as a middle reliever here. |
| RP Rafael Soriano, ATL Another closer sleeper named Rafael who is due to let us down. Soriano has a tender elbow keeping him on the DL and now will return only as a part-time closer, because John Smoltz's shoulder will force him to move back to the bullpen. The move is being made to help the Braves' awful bullpen as much as it is to get the most out of their 40-year-old veteran. Soriano owners need to hope he comes off the DL smoking in the next couple of weeks -- perhaps for quick-flip trade bait -- because he will be a middle reliever as soon as June. |
| OF Andruw Jones, LAD Dodgers manager Joe Torre said this weekend: "We know his problems aren't physical ones and his hitting trouble isn't terminal." A nice vote of confidence for a has-been. But the problem with Jones is the Dodgers have three productive outfielders to go with amid Jones' struggles. Matt Kemp is a burgeoning superstar; Andre Ethier is too consistent to sit; and Juan Pierre has shown signs of life in the past couple of weeks. Jones is the odd man out and is worth dropping in all mixed leagues if you cannot afford to stash him another month on your reserves. Yours truly cut him in a standard, mixed 5x5 Rotisserie league -- four weeks too late unfortunately. |
| SP Bronson Arroyo, CIN Another struggling Reds pitcher on this page, but this one we are more inclined to tell you to give up on. Arroyo has been decent in stretches the past couple of years, but it was mostly because he was eating innings -- quality ones. That is simply no longer the case. The Reds won't Barry Zito-him to the bullpen in favor of prospect Homer Bailey at this point, but just because they are stuck with him, doesn't mean you have to be on your Fantasy team. |
Some more Goodbye Guys we couldn't fit in: DH Billy Butler, KC; C Jason Kendall, MIL; 3B Casey Blake, CLE; 3B Andy Marte, CLE; OF Jason Michaels, CLE.
Stock advisor
Vincent Shammami, Farmington Hills, Michigan: Is it worth dropping Aaron Hill from my team to pickup Jayson Werth?
Emack: Hill's second base eligibility gets him more Fantasy value at this point. If you are starting Hill as your DH in a standard mixed league, well, then it wouldn't hurt to take the shot on Werth's potential. Werth had a bad week after a great one, but he should be able to rebound and still prove worthy of regular at-bats.
Dave Hunt, Des Moines, Iowa: I am in a standard 5x5 Head-to-Head league. I have a pending trade offer of receiving Robinson Cano for Michael Young. What do you think? Is it worth the gamble of Cano's upside vs. Young's reliable numbers?
Emack: You have to like Cano's power and run-production potential over Young at this point. He just has a far better supporting cast.
You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball Stockwatch questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Stockwatch in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.