Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Fantasy Football Today
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Draft Analyzer
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Office Pool Manager
Playoff Challenge
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Weekly Planner
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 

Scott White

Dear Mr. Fantasy: Time to make adjustments

By | Fantasy Writer


You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Dear Mr. Fantasy in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we do not guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.

Do you ever wonder what happens to those e-mails addressed to Michael Hurcomb when he hands off Dear Mr. Fantasy to me every week?

Well, I steal them for my own. I get a little kick out of it too.

And hopefully I give a little kick to the readers with no-brainer decisions, like the first one we have writing in this week ...

Looking to replace Corey Patterson. Willy Taveras and Carlos Quentin available. What do you think? -- Jon Gibbens, Midvale, Utah

SW: Quentin is still available!? OK, calm down. No need to get excited or make any sudden movements that will draw unnecessary attention. Just take a deep breath, slowly move your hand to the mouse -- STOP SHAKING! -- and click "add."

Whew, that was a close one.

Seriously, Quentin is good, with a capital "duh." His OPS of .990 and strikeout-to-walk rate of 17-to-15 suggest we might be looking at the next Lance Berkman. Remember, he was a huge prospect before last season's shoulder injury.

I'm in a 12-team keeper league with five bench spots. How much longer should I continue to use one for Francisco Liriano? -- Steve Hengel, King's Park, N.Y.

SW: Um ... forever. Think of Liriano this year kind of like you did Roger Clemens in 2006 and 2007. You didn't know exactly when he'd return, but you knew you wanted him when he did. Look, Liriano hurried back to the mound and struggled with his command. It happens all the time with patients of Tommy John surgery. The Twins say they won't rush him this time, so you can rest assured that when he does return, he'll be ready. And a "ready" Liriano has too much potential for you to leave for somebody else. If you didn't have a bench and had to leave him in your starting lineup, I could understand cutting him, but I can't justify it in your case.

What's up with Vladimir Guerrero and Jeff Francoeur? They were my first- and third-round picks, and they are performing like end-of-draft throw-ins. -- Brian Santos, Warren, Mass.

SW: Guerrero is fine. Few hitters have his assurance of hitting .315 with 25-35 homers and 100 RBI. He's done so for 10 straight seasons, and the one time he didn't (2003), he missed a couple months due to injury. Francoeur, on the other hand, is more hype than numbers at this point in his career. He hit only 19 home runs in 642 at-bats last year, and while he bulked up in the offseason and certainly had the potential to improve to 30 or 35, you apparently drafted him as if he definitely would. Bad move. Francoeur has upside and will probably develop into a perennial 30-homer guy someday, but he is only 24 and looks like he still has a ways to go. He deserves a spot on all Fantasy rosters, but don't expect him to give you any more production than he did last year.

Can Josh Hamilton keep up his blistering pace over an entire season? (US Presswire)  
Can Josh Hamilton keep up his blistering pace over an entire season? (US Presswire)  
HELP!!! Should I trade Lance Berkman for Josh Hamilton and Max Scherzer? -- Dan Haley

SW: HANG ON, DAN! I'M COMING! This question is much easier to answer now, after Scherzer's first start Monday, than before it, but my answer hasn't changed. Look, Berkman is a proven stud on the road to having one of the best seasons of his career. Josh Hamilton, while he compares well to Berkman now and has a chance to maintain his .300, 30-homer pace, doesn't have the track record to assure us he definitely will. Don't trade one of your proven studs for a question mark and a young pitcher (Scherzer) who, as good as he is, might go back to the minors in two weeks when Doug Davis returns from cancer treatment.

Boof Bonser and Ian Snell are killing my pitching stats. I read a lot of promise for these two prior to the season, but I am running out of patience. Do you think I should hang on to these guys, and if not, do you think John Danks and Greg Smith are decent substitutions at this point? We don't have much else on our waiver wire. -- Brian Santos, Warren, Mass.

SW: Look at Brian Santos owning the mailbag, ladies and gentlemen. Of the four pitchers you name here, Brian, Snell strikes me as the one with easily the most talent. When he is on, he is dominant, and I think he'll one day emerge as a legitimate staff ace. His problem now, by his own admission, is an inability to keep the ball down. Bonser's problem, on the other hand, might just be a lack of talent. He has some strikeout potential, but tends to allow too many baserunners and projects as a middle-of-the-rotation type for the Twins and a back-of-the rotation type for Fantasy owners. I would discard him for either Smith (the obvious add) or Danks at this point.

I have Troy Tulowitzki, Yovani Gallardo and Rich Hill, all of whom were the bearers of bad news for me. I'm in a 15-team keeper league. I'm currently in 13th place, and we can keep a maximum of eight keepers. Should I turn tail and start planning for next year by trading my high-priced talent for lower-priced talent? Our free agent pool is very thin, so no help there. -- Neil Elsbury

SW: I never like to pull the plug on a Fantasy season because I think talent is too accessible for someone to fall out of the race and keepers too plentiful for him not to try to get back in it. No Fantasy team ever has the perfect season, and if you wait to compete only when everything goes right, you'll never have any fun. But 15 teams is awfully deep, and eight keepers is an awful lot. I still say it's too early, especially since Tulowitzki is the only high-dollar player you mentioned. You must still have some pretty good talent on that roster.

I have an odd-man-out situation for my final outfielder. Keeping in mind it's a points league where strikeouts count as minus-1, who should I sit between Nick Swisher, Justin Upton and Corey Hart? -- Owen Wyatt

SW: The more I see of Nick Swisher, the more he looks like a .260 hitter with 20-homer power. With his three home runs so far, his 35 in 2006 sandwiched between 21 in 2005 and 22 in 2007 looks more and more like an outlier, especially since he had a relatively low .493 slugging percentage that year. He seems like the obvious choice to bench right now, with Hart likely just off to a slow start power-wise and Upton looking like an emerging superstar. Don't hesitate to activate Swisher if he gets hot, though.

I am looking to pick up another pitcher or possibly two. Which of the following should I add: Ian Snell, Randy Wolf, Jeremy Bonderman, Scott Olsen, Carlos Silva or Greg Smith? -- Mike Wilson, Cleveland

SW: Again, Snell is the easy choice for the reasons I mentioned earlier. Of the other five, the second choice comes down to Wolf or Smith, and I'll take Wolf for his strikeout potential. He has 37 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings so far and two nine-strikeout games already. Then again, Smith might have less injury risk and -- this sounds crazy, but -- a better chance of winning games for the Athletics. But you really can't go wrong either way. Both deserve roster spots in all leagues at this point.

I drafted Trevor Hoffman and Jason Isringhausen as my closers. Now, both of them look like they are in real trouble. I had two roster spots open up and picked up Brian Fuentes and George Sherrill. They are filling in for now, but I need to make a decision soon. Who do I keep, and who do I drop? -- Keith Wilkinson, San Francisco

SW: I still think Isringhausen and Hoffman are your best choices right now. The Cardinals are contenders, and through Wednesday, Isringhausen had 11 saves already. He hit a bump in the road last week but seems to have worked out his issues. Hoffman is 40 and no doubt losing a bit of his stuff, but he has at least 40 saves in four straight seasons -- a remarkable feat, when you think about it. The Padres probably won't contend for the division title, but when they struggle, they struggle with hitting, meaning you don't have to worry about them winning many blowouts. If you want a third choice, go with Fuentes. I know Sherrill has 11 saves already, but I don't think the Orioles can possibly keep winning at this pace, and, unlike the Padres, their decent middle of the order gives them a chance to win the occasional blowout.

It's no wonder why my team has sunk to the bottom of the standings when Ryan Zimmerman, Carlos Beltran and David Ortiz are all batting below .230, but my concern is with Zimmerman. I though he would be better in the smaller park and with another year of experience under his belt, but he really hasn't shown anything this year and, in fact, has been downright awful. Should I be worried about his potential this year? -- Brian O'Neil

SW:Yeah, you should worry about Zimmerman's potential to hit more than last year's .267 with 20 home runs, and hopefully you didn't draft him expecting him to top those numbers. Look, developing players are great and you can go crazy projecting whatever stats you want for them, but if they have to meet those projections in order to justify their draft position, you obviously drafted them too early. Zimmerman looked like a player getting way too much love on Draft Day, and now you understand why. Ortiz and Beltran are studs. Don't worry about them. But if you can find someone who still thinks Zimmerman will hit more than 20 home runs this year, swing a deal.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Dear Mr. Fantasy in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we do not guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Josh Johnson
JJ: 'I feel great. No problems'
Josh Johnson, SP, MIA
2/13/2012
News: The Associated Press reports Marlins president of baseball operations Larry Beinfest said the team should be fully healthy heading into spring training. That includes ace Josh Johnson, who has been throwing off a mound after making only nine starts in 2011 because of right shoulder inflammation. "I feel great," Johnson said. "No problems. I haven't really been sore yet, and I've been letting it go." The Sports Xchange reported over the weekend that Johnson arrived to the team's spring training complex in Jupiter, Fla., on Feb. 9 and threw his first bullpen session of the year in Florida on Feb. 10.
Analysis: The fact we hear JJ talking about his promising progress is very encouraging. Now, he just has to avoid setbacks and stay healthy for an entire season. Fantasy owners do have to be aware of the risk of drafting him. Of course his potential makes it worth it, but JJ has made it past 30 starts just once in his career. Look to Johnson as more of a No. 2 Fantasy SP on Draft Day, but clearly he has the potential to be your ace if he can stay healthy.

Ike Davis
Davis 'good to go' as camp nears
Ike Davis, 1B, NYM
2/13/2012
News: The New York Post reports Mets 1B Ike Davis said he is "good to go" as he arrived to spring training on Monday. Davis who missed most of last season with an ankle injury said he no longer thinks about his injury. He elected not to have surgery and chose to rehab the injury instead. “It’s great to know I’m training for a season rather than training to see if I can get back on the field or have to have surgery,” Davis said. “I’ve been fine for a while now, so it’s what I expected. But it’s good to finally hit on the field and get this under my belt.” Davis might see more at-bats this spring as he tries to make up for lost time. “I have more of a drive and a want this year,” Davis said. “I always had it, but I never really saw the other side, when the game isn’t there. I know to take it slow. I have to get back into the rhythm of playing, but I’ve got plenty of time. It’s going to come back.”
Analysis: We really hope Davis is past his ankle problems like he says he is because he is one of the Mets' top offensive players when active. As productive as he was before the injury last year, Davis is a potential bargain with a middle-to-late-round pick and will only move up the draft boards with a strong spring. Continue to track his progress.

Roy Oswalt
Oswalt waiting to sign with Texas?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
2/13/2012
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said he hasn't had contact with Roy Oswalt's agents in the last week, and Jocketty offered up his own opinion on the Oswalt sweepstakes. “I think he’s waiting for Texas to clear money,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: It's interesting to hear Jocketty say Oswalt wants to sign with Texas. At least it's a legit reason why the veteran right-hander hasn't signed with a team yet, despite being linked to the Reds and Cardinals. Oswalt is likely going to sign somewhere before the start of the 2012 season and should be in a rotation. Consider Oswalt more of a mid-to-late-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Don't forget about his chronic back problems.

Johan Santana
Santana looks 'great' playing catch
Johan Santana, SP, NYM
2/13/2012
News: The Wall Street Journal reports Mets SP Johan Santana (shoulder) played catch from 175 feet Monday. Manager Terry Collins said Santana looked "great" and he hopes the left-hander will throw off a mound by the end of the week. “I think I’ll be on the mound Thursday or Friday and we’ll see where we’re at,” Santana told the New York Post. “But I’m making progress and finally getting into a routine that will take me all the way to spring training and the regular season.” Santana would like to be ready by opening day, but he doesn't consider it a critical date. “Time will tell if I get there,” Santana said. “We’ll see once I compete. I have to get some competition and see how my arm and whole body reacts to it. When I get on the mound soon, I should be fine when spring training starts. I’m worried more about my mechanics and delivery more than anything. That’s the point I’m at. My biggest concern will always be my health, but it’s just a matter of time. I just want to compete.”
Analysis: Collins' assessment of Santana sounds like cautious optimism. After all it was just catch. Santana has bigger hurdles to clear in hopes of pitching for the first time since the 2010 season. Santana is coming off a serious shoulder injury and who knows if he can return to the dominant arm he once was. Fantasy owners should bear in mind that Chien-Ming Wang, who underwent the same procedure, needed two years to make it back to the majors, so Santana could wind up providing far fewer than 25 starts -- which is the Mets' goal for the lefty this season. Because of the playing time risk, he is a late-round option in mixed leagues at best.

Seth Smith
Cespedes to bump Smith?
Seth Smith, RF, OAK
2/13/2012
News: Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes and the Oakland Athletics have agreed to a $36 million, four-year contract. Agent Adam Katz confirmed Monday the sides had reached agreement, with details still to be finalized. Cespedes' arrival means the A's could eventually bump Seth Smith to designated hitter.
Analysis: We will have to wait and see what happens when Cespedes finally arrives at A's camp, but the speculation is that the A's outfield alignment will eventually be Josh Reddick in right field, Coco Crisp in center field and Cespedes in left, which is where Smith is currently penciled in as the starter. But the A's could use a rotation at DH, which would still allow Smith to see regular at-bats, if Cespedes doesn't have to begin the year in the minors, which remains an option as well. Smith struggles against left-handed pitchers, so he might still be in a platoon situation like he was with the Rockies. Smith remains more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Mike Napoli
Napoli's ankle still an issue
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
2/13/2012
News: ESPN.com reports Rangers catcher Mike Napoli said his injured left ankle is progressing, but he is still not 100 percent. Napoli turned his ankle in the World Series against the Cardinals last year. "I think I’m close," Napoli said. "I’m not really going to know until I get into the wear and tear of spring training and catching all the time. But I've been feeling good and getting better day by day." Napoli said he has been running on the ankle, and he is also hitting and throwing without pain. However, he is still concerned about how it will hold up with the constant squatting and baseball activity. "But I'm trying not to do that all the time so I'm not depending on that," Napoli said. "I'm working on getting my little muscles stronger."
Analysis: The Dallas Morning News reports GM Jon Daniels said exams by team physician Keith Meister said Napoli's ankle shows no structural damage, but Napoli is still experiencing soreness. "The fact he's still feeling it a few months later speaks to what he went through to play the rest of Game 6 and go back out for Game 7," Daniels said. "It was about as bad as it looked to the rest of us." You have to wonder if Napoli can't shake this injury if it will play into how much time he gets behind the plate. Nonetheless, if Napoli catches less that just means he will likely see more PT at DH and first base. The Rangers aren't going to take his bat out of the lineup. Napoli remains a top 5 Fantasy catcher on Draft Day.

Bobby Abreu
Abreu to have to earn PT
Bobby Abreu, LF, LAA
12:44 AM
News: According to the Los Angeles Times, Angels general manager Jerry Dipoto told OF Bobby Abreu during a phone call on Monday that the veteran will be given every opportunity to earn playing time during the spring. With the offseason addition of Albert Pujols, Mark Trumbo and Kendrys Morales will vie with Abreu for at-bats at the DH spot in 2012. Dipoto also added that he does not plan on trading the 37-year-old. “Bobby is an Angel,” Dipoto said. “Right now, he fits on our 25-man roster, in our clubhouse, on our team. Where he is in eight weeks is predicated on how he’s playing and everyone’s health. We have some unknowns with the health of Kendrys and the progress of Mark, but we know Bobby is healthy. As I told him, if he swings the bat like he can, we’re going to find a way to play him.”
Analysis: Abreu played in just 28 games in the outfield last season so seeing time at DH is really the only way he is going to play consistently in 2012. Things don't look good for him at this point but if Morales is still unable to return from his broken ankle, he could end up platooning with Trumbo. Trumbo is also a candidate to be traded so keep an eye on the situation going forward. Abreu batted .253 with eight homers, 60 RBI and 21 stolen bases last season and would be a worthwhile pick in deeper mixed leagues if he sees everyday at-bats for the Angels.

Hong-Chih Kuo
M's to be careful with Kuo
Hong-Chih Kuo, P, SEA
2/13/2012
News: MLB.com reports Mariners RP Hong-Chih Kuo threw his first bullpen session of the spring on Sunday, but the team will proceed with caution with Kuo, who is coming off October elbow surgery. "We've got to keep an eye on him and work to keep him healthy and available for us," manager Eric Wedge said. "He was dominant a couple years ago. He's had some injuries in the past, but he feels good now. It's a great opportunity for him as well as so many others. But when you look at his upside and what he's capable of doing when he's healthy, we're hoping we can keep him there."
Analysis: Kuo definitely showed promise during his tenure with the Dodgers from 2005-11. However, he had a rocky career that was filled with arm injuries and inconsistencies. He won't close for Seattle, but the Mariners hope he can be a setup man for closer Brandon League. Kuo remains just a low-end Fantasy RP in leagues that use middle relievers.

 
 
 
Top Videos
Rankings