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Scott White

Sliders: Finding relief as a starter

By | Fantasy Writer


Duchscherer-er-er. Duchscherer-er-er-er-er-er-er-er.

I looked at cheap used cars all weekend, so I heard that noise a lot. True story. But never did it leave me with as bad a feeling as when I discovered how well Justin Duchscherer pitched last week after I benched him in the most shallow of my Fantasy leagues.

Duchscherer-er-grr.

Let me spell it out for you: Two wins, 15 2/3 innings, two earned runs and 13 baserunners allowed. Those numbers translate to a 1.15 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, which normally wouldn't mean much except they contribute to season marks of 1.99 and 0.97, not to mention an 8-4 record.

And yet Duchscherer entered the week starting in only 65 percent of Fantasy leagues.

Keep in mind when I mentioned that record, I said 8-4, not 2-0 or 3-1. You know how when you were growing up and did something irresponsible, your mom would say, "You're getting to old for this?" Well, here's the Fantasy equivalent:

It's getting too late for this.

Sliders These guys' recent performances signify more than a hot or cold streak. Their Fantasy appeal has actually "slid" either up or down.

Justin Duchscherer, SP, Athletics

Duchscherer's numbers across the board suggest he's worthy of starting for any Fantasy team. (US Presswire)  
Duchscherer's numbers across the board suggest he's worthy of starting for any Fantasy team. (US Presswire)  
You read correctly: Nearing the halfway point of the season, Duchscherer has an ERA below 2.00. Edinson Volquez has an ERA below 2.00 -- and with a disproportionately high WHIP -- and everyone acts like he's the second coming of Bob Gibson. But Duchscherer? Not a whisper, not a peep.

Granted, Volquez has better stuff, better strikeout potential and, overall, more Fantasy appeal, but why does he get all the hype when Duchscherer toils in virtual obscurity? Why no love for the guy whose name has more E-Rs than Thursday night primetime?

It especially makes no sense in a season when another reliever-turned-starter, Ryan Dempster, has dominated despite years of mediocrity in the bullpen. Fantasy owners caught on to him pretty quickly, why not Duchscherer, who has better overall numbers?

You want to know Duchscherer's season high for runs allowed? Three. That's it, three. He did it once. Talk about a rough day at the office.

So with no hype coming his way naturally, I'm taking personal responsibility for building him up, hyping him even though I already did a few weeks ago. That's right: I've never had a player slide the same direction twice in one season, but for Duchscherer, I'm going Checkers drive-thru style -- double-barrel, baby.

Never bench him again. Just don't do it -- I don't care the size of your league. Even if he gets shelled next time out, keep him active until it happens three or four times in a row. I'll do the same. We'll get together later and compare results.

Bobby Abreu, OF, Yankees

In a way, Abreu's continued decline seemed almost a given entering the season. His power numbers had decreased each of the last three seasons, and last season he finished with an on-base percentage below .400 (.369) for the first time since 2001. Still, with his 25 stolen bases and 11 home runs in the second half, he gave reason to believe his days as an above-average Fantasy outfielder hadn't completely passed him by.

Flash forward to late June, and his production mirrors that of some waiver-wire pickups in mixed leagues. Really, his downfall had nothing to do with his 4-for-37 (.108) slump entering Monday other than it highlighting his other shortcomings. The slump doesn't account for his Juan Pierre-like .335 on-base percentage, not when he still has a somewhat respectable batting average of .273.

The truth is he just doesn't walk anymore. His 27 free passes so far put him on pace for 57, by far his fewest since his days in Houston. And if you didn't even know he played in Houston, you realize just how long ago we're talking here.

With his power waning and his batting average hitting its lowest point last year since those ancient days in Houston, pitchers don't fear him anymore, so they load up and throw the ball right down Broadway. And he loads up and hits it with less power than some of those used cars I mentioned earlier. Ack.

Given his walk totals of the past, we know he only swings at strikes. So if he's not walking, he's seeing plenty of strikes. And if he's seeing strikes and still not hitting with authority, what kind of hitter is he?

Not one that ranks him among the top 30 outfielders in Fantasy.

Huston Street, RP, Athletics

Street has always masqueraded as an elite Fantasy closer. Groomed for the role since his college days at Texas, his pedigree has given Fantasy owners the impression he knows what he's doing on the mound in the ninth inning.

But I don't believe he does, at least not anymore than, say, Kevin Gregg.

Yeah, his career 2.83 ERA and 1.03 WHIP don't look bad. His strikeout rate of more than a batter per inning is all fine and good. But he also has a troubling career save percentage of 79.5. To put that somewhat unfamiliar number in perspective, it's about 10 percent worse than Trevor Hoffman's over his career.

And then just this last week, Street blew a save and suffered a loss in consecutive games, allowing five earned runs and seven baserunners in two innings. Granted, he doesn't do that all the time -- he entered with a six-inning scoreless streak -- but his meltdowns are massive and not terribly infrequent.

Looking ahead at just this season, Street hasn't taken advantage of the Athletics' surprising start. He has only 13 saves, putting him on pace for 28, or three more than George Sherrill has already. Personally, I wouldn't trust the A's stopper as anything more than a low-end No. 2 Fantasy closer.

Magglio Ordonez, OF, Tigers

For all the diehard Ordonez fans out there, keep in mind he only had room to slide because he himself set the bar so high -- unreasonably high, really -- and we all should have known it.

Unless they're part of a select company of supremely talented superstars, players hit over .350 once in a lifetime. Ordonez hit .363 last year. It was nice. It was cool. But it was a once-in-a-lifetime accomplishment.

His previous career high was .320, and he achieved it during the prime of his career. His current batting average of .303 lags only a few points behind his career mark of .311, and his home-run pace (25) doesn't trail last season's total (28) by much. In other words, if you're waiting for Ordonez to do more than he already has, don't hold your breath.

I don't mean to call him a bum -- his current numbers still have plenty of appeal in Fantasy -- but he ranks a step and a half behind the elite class of outfielders.

Brian Buscher, 3B, Twins

Buscher is by no means an elite prospect, but he looks like he has the everyday third-base job locked up for now after putting together four multi-hit games in his last seven.

He hit .319 with eight home runs and a .916 OPS at in 185 at-bats at Triple-A, and although I normally subscribe to the theory that 27-year-old rookies get stuck in the minors so long for a reason, Buscher has that one particular skill set that always appeals to me. He knows how to walk and does it as often as he strikes out. With a batting eye that good, how could he go wrong?

Don't lie. You love the eye. You turned to CBS for advice, so you must.

I don't mean to say you should run and scoop Buscher up in every league -- his Fantasy worth hasn't slid that much -- but I think he deserves a roster spot in all AL-only leagues, which make up far more than the one percent in which he's currently owned.

Hanging Sliders These guys look like Sliders, but not so fast! Their recent performances might cause you to misinterpret their Fantasy appeal.

Marcus Thames, OF, Tigers

The semantics get kind of tricky here because I'd obviously pay more for Thames today than I would have two weeks ago, but I still don't feel like I have much use for him as anything more than a stopgap outside of AL-only leagues.

He has all the home runs now -- nine in his last 14 games -- and is therefore getting at-bats, but what about when he slows down? And make no mistake: He will slow down. He's demonstrated 30-homer potential in the past, sure, but right now, he's on pace for that many in 280 at-bats. Sounds a little far-fetched, doesn't it? And then he also has Gary Sheffield -- he of the much bigger contract and longer track record -- ready to take his at-bats once he comes off the DL.

Despite his good work of late, I just can't see Thames escaping the platoon role for long. And you need your Fantasy players to play everyday, especially in Head-to-Head leagues.

Ramon Vazquez, 3B, Rangers

In his professional baseball career, Vazquez isn't known for much, and most of what he is known for isn't good. He can field a little, but his .259 batting average and 19 home runs in 1,609 major league at-bats tell you everything you need to know about his bat.

So what is up with his current .333-4-24-30 line? Can you figure it out? I sure can't, which is usually a sign that it won't last.

His recent minor-league track record is another sign. In parts of the last four seasons he's spent in Triple-A -- a level he should theoretically dominate -- he's hit higher than .260 only once, and it happened way back in 2004.

By every indication, Vazquez is merely a glove-only utility infielder playing at the tip-top of his game right now. And to think the Rangers moved Hank Blalock to first base to clear a spot for him. For shame.

Then again, the Rangers also unearthed Josh Hamilton, Milton Bradley and David Murphy this year, so what do I know?

Change-up Every week, I make terrible errors in judgment. It happens to us all, and if it didn't, Fantasy wouldn't be a game worth playing. Fortunately, I permit myself the opportunity to correct one of my mistakes by throwing a change-up.

Vicente Padilla, SP, Rangers

... Apparently nothing, as Padilla can attest. On May 20, I said he couldn't possibly sustain an ERA below 4.00 and a WHIP below 1.40. Well, in four June starts, he has a 3.96 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

If he really does have a major pitfall ahead, we probably would have seen signs of it by now. Instead, he hasn't posted an ERA above 4.00 in any single month this season, demonstrating remarkable consistency, and although I still can't imagine him sustaining his pace of 21 wins, I have to admit a career year looks like a distinct possibility.

So can he maintain an ERA just below 4.00 and a WHIP just below 1.40? Yeah, he can, and those numbers will certainly do your Fantasy team some good as long as you think of him as a back-end option.

You can e-mail Scott your Fantasy Baseball questions to dmfantasybaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Sliders in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.We'll answer as many as we can.

 
 
 
Player News
Joe Mauer
Mauer 'feels good' after workout
Joe Mauer, C, MIN
2:50 PM
News: The News-Press reports Twins C Joe Mauer took two rounds of batting practice and went through a set of conditioning drills around the base paths Monday, and he appeared to have no problems sprinting. Mauer battled leg injuries in 2011. “I feel good,” Mauer said. “It feels good to get back out here again.” Mauer also put to rest the rumors that he gained 30 pounds in the offseason. “I heard that, too, and I couldn’t believe it," he said. “It’s just how rumors start. There were a lot of things out there last year that weren’t true. I’m about 220, 225. I need to add a little more weight before we start.”
Analysis: While most players feel good when they arrive to camp, it's especially encouraging to hear Mauer say that since last season he was coming off knee surgery and wasn't ready for the start of spring training. Mauer will head into 2012 motivated after an injury-plagued 2011. There's no guarantee he is past his knee problems, but the Twins are going to do their best to make sure Mauer avoids the DL. There is obviously risk involved with drafting Mauer, but his potential to be an elite Fantasy option at catcher make it worth drafting him. An offseason of staying health could make Mauer a steal in the fifth or sixth round of mixed-league drafts.

Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels, Indians interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett. CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman said the Indians have also inquired about Burnett. The trade talks involve DH Travis Hafner, but Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade. The Yankees also don't mind the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps these rumors regarding the Angels and Indians might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Michael Pineda
Pineda 'excited' to be with Yanks
Michael Pineda, SP, NYY
3:15 PM
News: Michael Pineda started his New York Yankees' career a little early. The All-Star pitcher acquired from Seattle last month joined pre-spring training workouts Tuesday at the Yankees' minor league complex. "I'm excited because it's my first time," Pineda said. "I'm working hard to help my team make it to the playoffs." The Mariners and Yankees completed a four-player trade that sent promising slugger Jesus Montero and pitcher Hector Noesi to the Mariners for Pineda and pitching prospect Jose Campos. "My mom is excited because she has a lot of family in New York, and she's never come to America," said Pineda, who's mother lives in the Dominican Republic. "So this year, it's the first time she's coming to America. She's excited." Pineda and second baseman Robinson Cano are friends, which should help the pitcher's adjustment. "He talked to me, (and said) focus on the game, in your work," Pineda said. "Don't worry. I'll take care of you."
Analysis: The 23-year-old got off to a 6-2 start with a 2.16 ERA in his first season before finishing at 9-10 with a 3.74 ERA. He led the major leagues by holding right-handed batters to a .184 average, and he struck out 173 in 171 innings. Every Fantasy owner is looking toward Pineda in pinstripes. Had he been on a contender as a rookie in 2011, then he might have had a better record. He went 9-10 in 28 starts. Ivan Nova went 16-4 with the Yankees in 28 outings (27 starts) last season, which Fantasy owners would take any day given Pineda's upside. Consider Pineda a top 25 Fantasy SP on Draft Day. He was already a must-own Fantasy SP, but joining the Yankees makes him that much more valuable.

Alex Liddi
Liddi to work at 1B in spring
Alex Liddi, 3B, SEA
3:09 PM
News: The Seattle Times reports Mariners manager Eric Wedge said 3B Alex Liddi will be playing first base for most of the spring. Liddi began taking grounders at first on Tuesday.
Analysis: It seems as though the Mariners want to see if they can find an alternative way to get Liddi on the roster in the event Kyle Seager and Chone Figgins prove to be viable options at third base. Liddi could be a backup to Justin Smoak at first base. However, it appears Liddi might only be vying for a backup role with Seattle, so unless he has an outstanding spring, then he should be left for AL-only Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Tsuyoshi Nishioka
Nishioka wants to be 'aggressive'
Tsuyoshi Nishioka, SS, MIN
2:58 PM
News: The News-Press reports Twins SS Tsuyoshi Nishioka arrived a week early to spring training so he could adjust to the time difference from Japan. He worked out Monday and said through a translator that adjusting to his first experience in the majors took its toll on him in 2011. “I want to be more aggressive,” Nishioka said. “Not knowing right from left, it was strange playing the sport of baseball. It’s difficult when you think about it. Driving a car, you drive on opposite sides of the road. Outside the ballpark, there were lifestyle adjustments, too. That made it pretty difficult.”
Analysis: It's good that Nishioka has come to camp with the right attitude. However, he is still looking at being a reserve after the team signed Jamey Carroll to start at shortstop. That's not to say Nishioka can't emerge as a starter at some point this season, but the Twins are going to make him earn it. Nishioka is at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve on Draft Day.

Mike Moustakas
Moustakas in great shape
Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC
12:48 PM
News: Royals manager Ned Yost had his contract option for the 2013 season picked up on Tuesday, but the Kansas City skipper seemed more interested in talking about his 2012 team. Yost was impressed with how many players have shown up for spring training early and is really blown away by the fitness level of a few of his players. "Billy Butler and Mike Moustakas -- I'm extremely proud of both of those guys," Yost told reporters. "They could be in the best shape they've been in their careers. Billy looks great, and I didn't even hardly recognize Moose he looks so good."
Analysis: While the fitness level doesn't necessarily mean a player will have success, it really can't hurt either. To hear Yost rave about Moustakas should get the attention of Fantasy owners. Moustakas, who is one of the Royals' top prospects, struggled when he first arrived in the majors last season. However, he seemed to have figured it out by season's end. Moustakas hit .352 with four homers and 12 RBI in his final 22 games last season. He is definitely one of the more intriguing Fantasy sleepers heading into 2012 and this latest report just adds to his appeal on Draft Day.

Jake Westbrook
Westbrook sheds 25 pounds
Jake Westbrook, SP, STL
2:11 PM
News: The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports Cardinals SP Jake Westbrook has shown up for spring training 25 pounds lighter than he was last season.
Analysis: This is the time of year where everyone seems to come to camp in better shape than they left last season. Hopefully for Westbrook it makes a difference in his game. He did go 12-9 in 2011, but he posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 33 starts. Westbrook can chew up innings, but he won't post impressive ERA, WHIP or strikeout total. Leave him for NL-only Fantasy formats.

 
 
 
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