Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Fantasy Football Today
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Draft Analyzer
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Office Pool Manager
Playoff Challenge
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Weekly Planner
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 

Scott White

Dear Mr. Fantasy: Price may not be right in '08

By | Fantasy Writer


You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Dear Mr. Fantasy in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

Mr. Fantasy has taken a chill pill.

This week's edition features an examination of Rafael Furcal's health, an expectation for Chris Young's return, an alternative viewpoint for David Price's 2008 season and not a single debate over whether or not a league should have overturned a trade. How refreshing.

So before someone writes in wanting me to assess the fairness of trading Corey Hart for Justin Morneau, let's take our first question.

I'm in a deep 14-team mixed league, and I have Edgar Renteria as my starting shortstop. Bobby Crosby is an available free agent, and I have trade chips in Jay Bruce and Aubrey Huff sitting on my bench. Is it worth it to hang on to Renteria? Should I pick up Crosby, or should I go after someone via trade? -- Patrick Hardy, Hyde Park, N.Y.

A lot of owners seem to be interested in the rehab status of one Chris Young. (US Presswire)  
A lot of owners seem to be interested in the rehab status of one Chris Young. (US Presswire)  
SW: I see no reason to think you'd improve your situation by picking up Crosby. Renteria has better numbers overall even in the power categories, where you'd think Crosby would have an advantage. Considering the depth of your league and the pieces you have to deal, I think you should make a trade. If you package one of those outfielders, you could possibly get Miguel Tejada in return -- or maybe someone better if you find a Bruce enthusiast.

I just saw the news that Rafael Furcal will be out for at least eight weeks. I'm in a Head-to-Head mixed league and will most likely be in the playoffs beginning Week 23 -- the week after Furcal would make his projected return. Would Furcal be worth stashing when right now I have J.J. Hardy and Yunel Escobar splitting time at shortstop? -- Chris McMillin

SW: The answer to your question depends so much on the size of your league, the size of your bench and the number of DL slots you have. I'll tell this, though: In a 12-team Rotisserie league with seven bench slots and a whopping five DL slots, I considered cutting Furcal for the first time Thursday. I quickly dismissed the idea, but again, the league had five DL slots. I might have done it in a league with one or zero. In any case, you have a long wait ahead, and it might end with no reward at all. Furcal could still end up missing the whole season considering the amount of rehabilitation back surgery often requires.

I had a trade scenario that I would like your feedback on. My pitching staff consists of Cliff Lee, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Ben Sheets, John Lackey, Dustin McGowan, Johnny Cueto and Fausto Carmona. I received an offer to get Chase Utley and Manny Parra for Cliff Lee and Jose Lopez. To me, this trade seems like a no-brainer with the depth I have at pitching. Would you agree? -- Sam Gorgone, East Stroudsburg, Pa.

SW: Forget your depth at pitching. You don't turn down an offer for a first-round talent like Utley unless the other guy asks for half your team in return. Lee has looked great and will probably find himself at the top of someone's Fantasy rotation all season, but he still might have a harsh dose of reality ahead. He doesn't have the track record to continue performing this way, and I halfway expect him to finish with an ERA on the wrong side of 3.00. Meanwhile, Parra has shown improvement, and Lopez is waiver fodder in most mixed leagues, so you don't really lose anything there. Make the deal.

Todd Helton and Joey Votto are killing me and have just about become dead weight. Billy Butler and David DeJesus are available. Should I make a move or stand pat? I looked at Helton's stats, and he is a better second-half hitter. -- Ryan Ptak

SW: Helton is historically a better second-half hitter, yes, but he's also a steadily declining hitter, so his struggles so far might simply indicate he's turned a corner as far as Fantasy viability goes. Still, I wouldn't give up on him just yet. Votto has about as much upside as Butler, so I wouldn't discard the former for the latter. I'd like you to pick up DeJesus if you can because, although I have my doubts about him, he looks like a breakout player. I don't think I'd cut either Helton or Votto for him, though.

I have been offered Derek Jeter and Jacoby Ellsbury or Jay Bruce for Jose Reyes. First of all, is this a good trade giving up my most consistent player in Reyes? Secondly, who is the better of those two outfielders? Currently, my outfield is Magglio Ordonez, Manny Ramirez, and Ken Griffey. Ellsbury or Bruce would replace the inconsistent Griffey, and Jeter would replace Reyes. What do you think? -- Josh Concon, Chicago

SW: Normally, I want the side of the deal that acquires the best player -- in your case, Reyes -- but if your wimpy outfield has you falling out of contention, I can understand your incentive to make this deal. It's more of a last resort than a sure-fire improvement, though, so you'll have to assess the standing of your team before pulling the trigger. As for which outfielder to choose, I would take Ellsbury unless you play in a format that awards too much for power and not enough for speed. Bruce might carry your team when going well, but Ellsbury's stats won't fluctuate as dramatically, making him more of a "sure thing."

I recently traded my only catcher, Geovany Soto, and now I am left with a terrible catching option. Someone in my league is offering me Jorge Posada and Robinson Cano for Brandon Phillips. Should I take this deal? -- Taylor Moran, Mountain View, Calif.

SW: I wouldn't do it, Taylor. As much as I expect Cano to improve in the second half, he still won't come close to offering the power or speed Phillips will. You don't have a Chris Iannetta, Kurt Suzuki or Jesus Flores you can claim off waivers? Don't get me wrong: I'd want Posada over any of those three, but you wouldn't gain enough by acquiring him to make up for what you'd lose by trading Phillips. Stand pat.

What's the deal with pitcher Chris Young of the Padres? I'm starting to doubt his usefulness for this season, and I haven't heard anything about his rehab. Is he worth holding on to? -- Keith, San Francisco

SW: Young recently had nasal surgery to correct a deviated septum -- one of the many after effects suffered from taking an Albert Pujols line drive off the head on May 21. The Padres target his return for late July, and I know if someone in one of my leagues cut him now, I'd put in a claim. He might not win many games pitching for the lowly Padres, but he's never won more than 12 anyway. You drafted him in Fantasy for his low WHIP, low ERA and high strikeout rate. On a positive note, the injury might even help him avoid his usual second-half swoon by limiting his number of innings. So yeah, Keith, if you've held on to him this long, keep holding.

You guys keep saying in your updates that David Price is most likely going to be called up in August or September. Who is he going to replace in the rotation? None of the Rays starters are pitching that badly. -- Dave Grabowski, Dumont, N.J.

SW: You make a good point, Dave, and I'll address it because I have no problem taking a contrarian viewpoint if I think expectations get too unreasonable for a player. Just keep in mind you're about to read the opinion of only one man who has no inside knowledge of the Rays front office and has never personally seen Price pitch. He, therefore, can only answer with the best interests of his Fantasy team in mind.

As you say, the Tampa Bay rotation appears set. Scott Kazmir, James Shields and Matt Garza are locks to stay, and Andy Sonnanstine and Edwin Jackson haven't done anything to lose their jobs yet. Could they blow up in the second half and create an opening for Price? Absolutely, they could, but I don't know with how much assurance I can predict any pitcher to collapse. Likewise, any of the Rays' starting five could succumb to injury, but I try not to get in the habit of predicting injuries.

But if no Rays pitcher creates an opening through injury or incompetence, I don't see how, in the heat of a pennant race, the Rays could risk moving a 22-year-old into their starting rotation unless they have absolute confidence he'll do nothing but good. And absolute confidence is hard to find.

Personally, I have no doubt Price could become a Fantasy stud immediately upon his arrival, but will he? I can only invest so much in that uncertainty. So if you want to know if I think you should stash him in your league, I say it depends on the risk. I understand the potential, but who would you have to cut to clear a spot for him? I don't think Price has any better chance of assuming a rotation spot than, say, Arizona's Max Scherzer does, and we already know what Scherzer can do. So if you play in a deep enough league that someone owns Scherzer, then someone should also probably own Price. Otherwise, leave him be for now.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Dear Mr. Fantasy in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Roy Oswalt
Oswalt waiting to sign with Texas?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
5:11 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said he hasn't had contact with Roy Oswalt's agents in the last week, and Jocketty offered up his own opinion on the Oswalt sweepstakes. “I think he’s waiting for Texas to clear money,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: It's interesting to hear Jocketty say Oswalt wants to sign with Texas. At least it's a legit reason why the veteran right-hander hasn't signed with a team yet, despite being linked to the Reds and Cardinals. Oswalt is likely going to sign somewhere before the start of the 2012 season and should be in a rotation. Consider Oswalt more of a mid-to-late-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Don't forget about his chronic back problems.

Johan Santana
Santana looks 'great' playing catch
Johan Santana, SP, NYM
2:25 PM
News: The Wall Street Journal reports Mets SP Johan Santana (shoulder) played catch from 175 feet Monday. Manager Terry Collins said Santana looked "great" and he hopes the left-hander will throw off a mound by the end of the week.
Analysis: Collins' assessment of Santana sounds like cautious optimism. After all it was just catch. Santana has bigger hurdles to clear in hopes of pitching for the first time since the 2010 season. Santana is coming off a serious shoulder injury and who knows if he can return to the dominant arm he once was. Fantasy owners should bear in mind that Chien-Ming Wang, who underwent the same procedure, needed two years to make it back to the majors, so Santana could wind up providing far fewer than 25 starts -- which is the Mets' goal for the lefty this season. Because of the playing time risk, he is a late-round option in mixed leagues at best.

Ryan Braun
Braun ruling coming soon?
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
1:51 PM
News: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports there is no indication that a ruling will be announced Monday regarding Ryan Braun's appeal of a 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It appears the recommended guideline for a ruling will be extended.
Analysis: The entire baseball world want this issue to be put to bed, but it seems we might have to wait a little longer for a ruling. The Brewers remain upbeat about Braun's situation, but only time will tell what happens. If Braun avoids a suspension, then he remains a first-round Fantasy pick. If he is suspended 50 games, then he is going to tumble down draft boards a bit, but Braun would still be an early-round Fantasy selection based on potential once he becomes active.

Seth Smith
Cespedes to bump Smith?
Seth Smith, RF, OAK
1:37 PM
News: Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes and the Oakland Athletics have agreed to a $36 million, four-year contract. Agent Adam Katz confirmed Monday the sides had reached agreement, with details still to be finalized. Cespedes' arrival means the A's could eventually bump Seth Smith to designated hitter.
Analysis: We will have to wait and see what happens when Cespedes finally arrives at A's camp, but the speculation is that the A's outfield alignment will eventually be Josh Reddick in right field, Coco Crisp in center field and Cespedes in left, which is where Smith is currently penciled in as the starter. But the A's could use a rotation at DH, which would still allow Smith to see regular at-bats, if Cespedes doesn't have to begin the year in the minors, which remains an option as well. Smith struggles against left-handed pitchers, so he might still be in a platoon situation like he was with the Rockies. Smith remains more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Mike Napoli
Napoli's ankle still an issue
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
12:48 PM
News: ESPN.com reports Rangers catcher Mike Napoli said his injured left ankle is progressing, but he is still not 100 percent. Napoli turned his ankle in the World Series against the Cardinals last year. "I think I’m close," Napoli said. "I’m not really going to know until I get into the wear and tear of spring training and catching all the time. But I've been feeling good and getting better day by day." Napoli said he has been running on the ankle, and he is also hitting and throwing without pain. However, he is still concerned about how it will hold up with the constant squatting and baseball activity. "But I'm trying not to do that all the time so I'm not depending on that," Napoli said. "I'm working on getting my little muscles stronger."
Analysis: The Dallas Morning News reports GM Jon Daniels said exams by team physician Keith Meister said Napoli's ankle shows no structural damage, but Napoli is still experiencing soreness. "The fact he's still feeling it a few months later speaks to what he went through to play the rest of Game 6 and go back out for Game 7," Daniels said. "It was about as bad as it looked to the rest of us." You have to wonder if Napoli can't shake this injury if it will play into how much time he gets behind the plate. Nonetheless, if Napoli catches less that just means he will likely see more PT at DH and first base. The Rangers aren't going to take his bat out of the lineup. Napoli remains a top 5 Fantasy catcher on Draft Day.

Hanley Ramirez
Hanley the 'happiest man on earth'?
Hanley Ramirez, SS, MIA
5:34 PM
News: Marlins manager Ozzie Guillen talked with 790 AM in Miami on Monday about Hanley Ramirez, who is moving to third base after the signing of Jose Reyes. "If If I was Hanley, I'd be the happiest man on earth," Guillen said. "You got Boni (Emilio Bonifacio) and Reyes in front of you and you have (Mike) Stanton behind you."
Analysis: The early reports have been positive regarding Ramirez's recovery from surgery to repair his left shoulder. He might not have been overly happy initially that he had to change positions, but Guillen is right. The addition of Reyes will mean more RBI chances for Ramirez, who could be a top bounce-back candidate in 2012. Continue to target Ramirez in the early rounds of all Fantasy formats.

Emilio Bonifacio
Bonifacio was always the choice in CF
Emilio Bonifacio, SS, MIA
5:28 PM
News: The news broke Monday that OF Yoenis Cespedes agreed to a four-year contract with the A's, turning down the Marlins offer. Cespedes signing with the A's means Emilio Bonifacio will start in center field for Miami. However, manager Ozzie Guillen said that was going to be the case all along. "Bonifacio would've have been my center fielder no matter if Cespedes was here," Guillen told 790 AM in Miami. "If Cespedes (came) to the Marlins, he would have had to make the ballclub."
Analysis: Finally, Guillen steps up in front of this situation and stands behind Bonifacio as an everyday player. He absolutely deserved it after the season he put together in 2011. The 26-year-old took a big step forward last year as both a hitter and a base-stealer and is a viable starter in mixed Fantasy leagues at either shortstop or third base. He's worth targeting with a middle-round pick on Draft Day.

Scott Rolen
Rolen 'swinging bat really well'
Scott Rolen, 3B, CIN
5:21 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said 3B Scott Rolen (shoulder) should be full-go for the start of spring training. “I talked to his offseason trainer a 10 days or two weeks ago. He said Scott is 100 percent and swinging the bat really well," Jocketty said.
Analysis: Rolen had shoulder surgery in August and his recovery seems to be going well. While Jocketty expects Rolen to have a productive season, we have to look at the facts. He will be 37 years old in 2012 and hasn't played more than 133 games the last five seasons. Rolen will sit at times in 2012, whether it is by design or because of injury. He did hit 20 homers in 2010, but Fantasy owners can't bank on that come Draft Day. Rolen is at best a late-round, injury-risk Fantasy option.

Aroldis Chapman
Chapman 'healthy and feels good'
Aroldis Chapman, RP, CIN
5:18 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said pitcher Aroldis Chapman is at the team's spring complex in Arizona and throwing. “He’s healthy and feels good,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: The plan is for the Reds to stretch out Chapman as a starter this spring. He isn't guaranteed a starting spot, but the Reds want to see if he can bring his electric stuff to the rotation. If Chapman can stretch out and utilize his 100 mph in the rotation, then he could end up as a very good Fantasy option. Chapman will be a player Fantasy owners will want to keep tabs on this spring. He has breakout appeal written all over him.

Ryan Kalish
Kalish not cleared to swing bat
Ryan Kalish, CF, BOS
4:41 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox OF Ryan Kalish has arrived at the team's spring training complex in Fort Myers, Fla., and is working out. However, he hasn't been cleared to swing a bat as he recovers from shoulder surgery.
Analysis: Kalish isn't expected to join the MLB roster until later this summer, so this news isn't shocking. Kalish is still holding out hope to be ready by opening day, but he isn't counting on it. It's disappointing he has to deal with this injury since the Red Sox have an opening in right field, which Kalish would be competing for had he avoided surgery. Kalish could very well emerge as an everyday player once he is healthy, but consider Kalish more of a draft-and-stash option in AL-only formats on Draft Day.

 
 
 
Top Videos
Rankings