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Eric Mack

Prospects Report: All A's pitchers come in threes

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


If you are like most and wondering why the surprising A's, still in contention, would wave the white flag and trade Rich Harden for a pair of marginal outfield prospects, a pitcher and a catcher hitting around the Mendoza Line in Class A, check these guys out:

As if they needed any more young pitching, the A's have already had a stacked young rotation. They are enjoying breakthroughs of Pitch-22 (good enough to start, once too valuable in relief) Justin Duchscherer and Haren trade chips Greg Smith, 24, and Dana Eveland, 24 -- a new-wave Big Three if you will.

Minor League stats
Interested in seeing how your favorite prospects are performing in the minor leagues? You can find a player's stats on his page or you can sort stats for Triple-A and Double-A by clicking here.

That terrific trio above appears to be well on its way to setting them up well in the long term with the next wave.

Gonzalez is the closest, having the most minor league experience and proving dominant of late in Triple-A. In the past month, he has posted strikeout totals of 13, 12, seven (twice) in four of his past four starts. He has allowed just two earned runs in the past 21 innings, striking out 27.

For the season, Gonzalez is merely 6-6 with a humble 4.56 ERA, but he has a .239 batting-average against and 110 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings. The 49 walks are alarming, but after the Harden deal, Gonzalez went out and posted six one-hit innings Wednesday night, fanning seven and walking just one.

A second-half opportunity could present itself to Gio Gonzalez. (Getty Images)  
A second-half opportunity could present itself to Gio Gonzalez. (Getty Images)  
Unlike recently acquired No. 5 starter Sean Gallagher, who is more advanced despite being younger at age 22, Gonzalez is more a knockout pitcher in the mold of a Harden. Strikeouts and hard stuff tends to bring more homers, though, which is something Gallagher does a great job of limiting.

So, too, do Futures Gamers Cahill and Anderson. This pair of 20-year-olds have recently been promoted to Double-A and look like potential top 20 prospects in baseball next spring.

Cahill was our No. 1 player to watch in the Futures Game, having gone a combined 8-4 with a 2.62 ERA, 121 strikeouts and a ridiculous .167 batting-average against in 17 games and 106 1/3 innings between Class A (14 games, 87 1/3 innings) and Double-A (three games, 19 innings). He has allowed just four homers combined to date. Just four!

A rare combination of a groundball pitcher (almost 2 1/2 groundouts to flyouts) who also gets strikeouts and limits homers makes us believe Cahill is something real special. You can't hit him, he makes you hit it on the ground when you do make contact and you rarely take him deep. Wow. He isn't as certain to arrive in the second half as Gonzo, but he deserves to be owned in far more than just 2 percent of CBSSports.com's leagues right now.

Just a step behind Cahill is his left-handed Double-A complement Anderson, who is exactly a month older. Anderson is a combined 10-4 with a 3.87 ERA, 95 strikeouts and a .240 batting-average against in 16 games and 83 2/3 innings between Class A (14 games, 74 innings) and Double-A (two games, 9 2/3 innings).

Like Cahill but to a lesser extent, he is tough to take deep (seven homers allowed) and gets more outs on the ground, almost 2-to-1. Anderson is owned in less than 1 percent of CBSSports.com's leagues, so he too is undervalued in deeper AL-only and long-term keeper leagues.

Gonzalez is our initial pick to take a flier on in Fantasy immediately, but Cahill is the favorite long term. Both Cahill and Anderson can really raise their stock this Sunday at Yankee Stadium at the Futures Game. It should be fun to watch.

If you are hoping for a 2008 arrival for Cahill and/or Anderson, you might have to root against them this Sunday, though. They could position themselves to be the aces of Team USA in the Olympics, Ben Sheets-style.

Prospect watch

Every Thursday, we break down all the minor leaguers who are owned in at least 1 percent of our Fantasy leagues. This will be your essential guide to unearthing the elite prospects before they hit the big time.

CBSSports.com's most-owned minor leaguers
Player TM POS Own% All-Star break note
Francisco Liriano MIN SP 75 Livan Hernandez is The Franchise's likely ticket to a call-up
Clay Buchholz BOS SP 65 Returning Friday and can impact all leagues in second half
David Price TB SP 54 Still has yet to be challenged ... can anyone hit him?
Brett Myers PHI SP 53 He expects to return right after the All-Star break now
Clayton Kershaw LA SP 36 Struggles with command could be expected for elite young LH
Justin Masterson BOS SP 34 Returning in the Pitch-22: Good enough to start, too valuable in relief
Max Scherzer ARI SP 21 Still held up on the Triple-A DL, so second half is in doubt
Dontrelle Willis DET SP 21 Knee issue is a mystery and clearly the reason he is back in Class A
Tom Gorzelanny PIT SP 19 Just might return after the short Fantasy Week 16 (July 17-20)
Matt LaPorta CLE OF 18 Move to Cleveland could expedite his arrival, pending Olympics
Cameron Maybin FLA OF 16 Has been much better after a brutal April, but hot Cody Ross buys time
Ian Kennedy NYY SP 15 Not quite up to speed again in Triple-A, but might return in late July
Rich Hill CHC SP 13 Sent all the way back to low Class A to get his command in order
Homer Bailey CIN SP 13 He is winless in his past 10 starts, but he is pitching better of late
Josh Fields CHW 3B 11 Didn't figure he'd be so worthless and Joe Crede would be an All-Star
Ian Stewart COL 3B 8 Great potential, but he's stuck barring Garrett Atkins trade or move to OF
Colby Rasmus STL OF 8 Showed progress in June, but he has been held up in July
Asdrubal Cabrera CLE 2B 6 Bat back to life, so deeper AL-only owners can anticipate post-break call-up
Brandon Wood ANA 3B 5 Posterboy for free-swinging slugger that can't find consistency at upper levels
Felix Pie CHC CF 5 Talent is coming through in minors, but you really can't expect much in '08
Travis Buck OAK OF 5 A's are collecting underachieving outfield prospect with hope someone rises
Ronny Paulino PIT C 5 On Triple-A DL for past month, so there's not much reason to own him
Matt Wieters BAL C 4 Move to Double-A positions him for September call-up and spring 2009 job
Franklin Morales COL SP 4 Entered year with such promise, but he looks awful in Triple-A now
Matthew Gamel MIL 3B 4 It should be interesting to see if he keeps this pace with LaPorta around
Andrew McCutchen PIT OF 4 His development gives Pirates chance to sell Jason Bay and/or Xavier Nady
Wladimir Balentien SEA OF 4 Free-swinging slugger, but Mariners are in position to get him shot
Nick Adenhart ANA SP 3 He has disappointed and the Angels pitching staff has become too stacked
Chuck James ATL SP 3 Should get another look in second half but Braves clearly aren't psyched
Jerry Owens CHW CF 3 Speedy but White Sox have no use for him and his SB success rate is so-so
Daryl Thompson CIN SP 3 Pitched well last time out, so he could get full look after trade deadline
Adam Miller CLE SP 3 He would be up dominating for Fantasy owners if not for another injury
Dallas McPherson FLA 3B 3 He really doesn't belong in Triple-A, so what are the Marlins waiting for?
Gio Gonzalez OAK SP 3 Has improved after slow start and Rich Harden deal can open door for him
Steve Pearce PIT RF 3 Got a brief look last week, but doesn't look ready to be major leaguer yet
Brandon Jones ATL OF 2 Has been disappointment in Triple-A, so clearly not ready for majors
Jed Lowrie BOS SS 2 Red Sox have considered making the move to him in the second half
Ben Broussard CHC 1B 2 No way he proves useful in Fantasy if he sticks with this club
Jason Hirsh COL SP 2 Too strong starts in July should make him a candidate for post-break arrival
Rick Porcello DET SP 2 Elite talent is a bit raw, but the Tigers might need him down the stretch
Runelvys Hernandez HOU SP 2 He didn't warrant being owned while in the majors. Cut and ignore journeyman
Fernando Martinez NYM OF 2 Has nice bat speed for teenager in Double-A, but not an impact guy this year
Shelley Duncan NYY DH 2 Currently on DL in Triple-A, but Yankees don't seem to need him in '08
Matt Murton OAK LF 2 Has OPS bat the A's like long term, but heads to Triple-A for now
Carlos Carrasco PHI SP 2 We're excited about his potential to help, but Phils more likely to trade for SP
Matt Antonelli SD 2B 2 Good strikeout-to-walk rate, but he has been a huge disappointment this year
Anthony Reyes STL SP 2 Cardinals rotation is falling apart, so Reyes should be called on in second half
Travis Snider TOR OF 2 20-year-old should get September look for rebuilding Blue Jays
Kendry Morales ANA 1B 1 Ship has likely sailed on his becoming a big league regular
Jarrod Parker ARI SP 1 Teenager has been solid in low Class A, but he is still years away
Josh Anderson ATL OF 1 Punchless basestealer could be Rotisserie gem in September
Jordan Schafer ATL OF 1 Back from 50-game suspension, but you have to question his potential now
Jason Heyward ATL OF 1 He is too good for low Class A, but he will be years away from Fantasy impact
Lars Anderson BOS 1B 1 David Ortiz is showing his age, so slugging prospect becomes a bigger player
Danny Richar CHW 2B 1 Alexei Ramirez's breakthrough has made him irrelevant this year
Matt Belisle CIN SP 1 Conversion to relief can get him recalled, but he is worthless in Fantasy
Greg Reynolds COL SP 1 Struggles should have been expected because he was rushed to majors
Taylor Tankersley FLA RP 1 Has to work on his command, but non-closer isn't much of a Fantasy prospect
Rick VandenHurk FLA SP 1 Marlins have too many prospects and injury returnees to worry about him in '08
Ryan Shealy KC 1B 1 His bat still has life, but he looks like a minor league Crash Davis now
Michael Moustakas KC 3B 1 California slugging shortstop prospect is getting better in low Class A
Chin-lung Hu LA SS 1 If he wasn't going to start with Rafael Furcal out, he is merely reserve long term
Tony K. Gwynn MIL CF 1 Has speed for deeper NL-only Rotisserie leagues but he is a career reserve
Alcides Escobar MIL SS 1 Brewers like him long term, but he is not a factor this year or even next
Philip Humber MIN SP 1 Has not been good in an organization that has young arms everywhere
Austin Jackson NYY OF 1 Yankees have held off using him as bargaining chip, but that could change
Jose Tabata NYY OF 1 Like Jackson, Yankees have held off using him as a bargaining chip
Eric Patterson OAK OF 1 He might be the best piece the A's got for Rich Harden, but very inconsistent
Trevor Cahill OAK SP 1 Elite pitching prospect is our No. 1 player to watch in Futures Game
Justin Germano SD SP 1 Journeyman should not be owned in any leagues at this point
Nate Schierholtz SF OF 1 Giants haven't called him up because he won't arrive as a reserve, a good sign
Brad Hennessey SF RP 1 Has been unimpressive in Triple-A and no longer worth owning
Mitchell Boggs STL SP 1 Injury-hit Cardinals can go back to him, but he is nothing more than high risk
Jeff Niemann TB SP 1 Should be a nice bargaining chip for Rays before trade deadline
Wade Davis TB SP 1 With Jake McGee's Tommy John surgery, he is right behind Price now
Jake McGee TB SP 1 Tommy John surgery makes it unlikely he will arrive before 2010 now
Taylor Teagarden TEX C 1 We won't give up on him long term, but clearly he is not their long-term choice
Elvis Andrus TEX SS 1 Has speed and long-term potential, but the Rangers won't have a spot for him
Kevin Mench TOR RF 1 Really guys? When David Gonos left, we figured his fave would go away too
Christopher Marrero WAS OF 1 Hasn't dominated high Class A, but he remains big-time long-term prospect
Ross Detwiler WAS SP 1 Hasn't proven as close to being ready as originally thought last June
Matt Chico WAS SP 1 Tommy John surgery makes him a cut and ignore even in keeper leagues now

Rookie watch

Top AL rookies to date

  1. 3B Evan Longoria, TB -- This will be some race for AL ROY and in the AL East.
  2. OF Jacoby Ellsbury, BOS -- Ellsbury and the Red Sox trail Longoria and the Rays, but will close the gap.
  3. SP Armando Galarraga, DET -- Yet another breakthrough pitching prospect the Rangers let get away.
  4. SP Nick Blackburn, MIN -- He is hittable, so we think he will fall off in second half.
  5. SP Joba Chamberlain, NYY -- His name exceeds the production, but he will be big-time in the second half.

Top NL rookies to date

  1. C Geovany Soto, CHC -- Catchers just don't produce like this, especially rookie ones, much less start the All-Star Game.
  2. SP Jair Jurrjens, DET -- Braves have a big-time winner for a long time here.
  3. OF Jay Bruce, CIN -- Hopefully you sold high on him before, but if not, don't sell low now.
  4. OF Kosuke Fukudome, CHC -- This pair of Cubs rookies is superior to the Jerome Walton and Dwight Smith duo in 1989.
  5. SP Johnny Cueto, CIN -- It is hard to argue between the Cubs or Reds as having the best set of ROY candidates.

Newbie needs

Mark Michels, Livonia, Mich.: I am in a 10-team AL-only Rotisserie keeper league, and I am looking to pick up a closer for the second half to make a run at first place. My pitching staff is loaded with young talent and I am trying to determine which to offer in a trade for a closer. I have Joe Saunders, Dana Eveland, John Danks, Kevin Slowey and Luke Hochevar with David Price and Francisco Liriano as reserves. I know Price has immense upside and is pretty much untradeable, but how would you rank the remaining pitchers based on potential?

Emack: It is tough to trade your staff ace, but try to sell high with Saunders for an elite closer. Failing that, deal Eveland and/or Hochevar if anyone is buying.

Brian Hodak: By the way, on Jamie D'Antona, in 2003, in 271 at-bats, he had 15 homers. In 2007, in 483 at-bats, he only had 13 homers, but, as you like to note, with those 13 homers, he had 43 doubles to go along with his .308 average. With his 2008 average around .380, 13 homers, 55 RBI and 28 doubles in 299 at-bats, this guy has got to be a keeper.

Emack: D'Antona was the third piece of the Carlos Quentin and Conor Jackson trio the D-Backs were raising on the farm, but he has fallen behind for some reason. Some of it is his lack of a position. Some of it is Mark Reynolds blocking him. But D'Antona is not quite a top prospect anymore because we are no longer convinced he can be a big-league regular. He can really hit, though, obviously.

Capt. Buckhead: If the Pirates trade either Xavier Nady or Jason Bay, which one of their top prospects do you think they will call up first: Steve Pearce or Andrew McCutchen?

Emack: Well, Pearce was up for a spell last week, so he is clearly the more immediate call-up, but he has been rather disappointing this season. McCutchen, meanwhile, has been more impressive and is an elite speed-and-power prospect. He is the one to stash in keeper leagues, while Pearce is the one to have in non-keeper NL-only formats.

Tom: Michael Inoa, can you add him to the database? He is a wanted commodity in our league already.

Emack: Done, but don't expect him to be a factor for years. We have also recently added: SP David Huff, CLE; SP Neftali Feliz, TEX; 3B Taylor Green, MIL; RP Robert Bryson, CLE; SP Timothy Alderson, SF; SP Matthew Torra, ARI; 3B Matthew Dominguez, FLA; OF Desmond Jennings, TB; SP Dellin Betances, NYY and SP Kyle Ginley, TOR. Huff is the only one we think will arrive in the majors this season, and he has a pretty good chance to help deeper AL-only leagues in the second half as the CC Sabathia-less Indians take a look at their prospects for spring 2009.

You can e-mail Emack your Fantasy Baseball prospect questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Johan Santana
Santana looks 'great' playing catch
Johan Santana, SP, NYM
2:25 PM
News: The Wall Street Journal reports Mets SP Johan Santana (shoulder) played catch from 175 feet Monday. Manager Terry Collins said Santana looked "great" and he hopes the left-hander will throw off a mound by the end of the week.
Analysis: Collins' assessment of Santana sounds like cautious optimism. After all it was just catch. Santana has bigger hurdles to clear in hopes of pitching for the first time since the 2010 season. Santana is coming off a serious shoulder injury and who knows if he can return to the dominant arm he once was. Fantasy owners should bear in mind that Chien-Ming Wang, who underwent the same procedure, needed two years to make it back to the majors, so Santana could wind up providing far fewer than 25 starts -- which is the Mets' goal for the lefty this season. Because of the playing time risk, he is a late-round option in mixed leagues at best.

Ryan Braun
Braun ruling coming soon?
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
1:51 PM
News: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports there is no indication that a ruling will be announced Monday regarding Ryan Braun's appeal of a 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It appears the recommended guideline for a ruling will be extended.
Analysis: The entire baseball world want this issue to be put to bed, but it seems we might have to wait a little longer for a ruling. The Brewers remain upbeat about Braun's situation, but only time will tell what happens. If Braun avoids a suspension, then he remains a first-round Fantasy pick. If he is suspended 50 games, then he is going to tumble down draft boards a bit, but Braun would still be an early-round Fantasy selection based on potential once he becomes active.

Seth Smith
Cespedes to bump Smith?
Seth Smith, RF, OAK
1:37 PM
News: Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes and the Oakland Athletics have agreed to a $36 million, four-year contract. Agent Adam Katz confirmed Monday the sides had reached agreement, with details still to be finalized. Cespedes' arrival means the A's could eventually bump Seth Smith to designated hitter.
Analysis: We will have to wait and see what happens when Cespedes finally arrives at A's camp, but the speculation is that the A's outfield alignment will eventually be Josh Reddick in right field, Coco Crisp in center field and Cespedes in left, which is where Smith is currently penciled in as the starter. But the A's could use a rotation at DH, which would still allow Smith to see regular at-bats, if Cespedes doesn't have to begin the year in the minors, which remains an option as well. Smith struggles against left-handed pitchers, so he might still be in a platoon situation like he was with the Rockies. Smith remains more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Mike Napoli
Napoli's ankle still an issue
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
12:48 PM
News: ESPN.com reports Rangers catcher Mike Napoli said his injured left ankle is progressing, but he is still not 100 percent. Napoli turned his ankle in the World Series against the Cardinals last year. "I think I’m close," Napoli said. "I’m not really going to know until I get into the wear and tear of spring training and catching all the time. But I've been feeling good and getting better day by day." Napoli said he has been running on the ankle, and he is also hitting and throwing without pain. However, he is still concerned about how it will hold up with the constant squatting and baseball activity. "But I'm trying not to do that all the time so I'm not depending on that," Napoli said. "I'm working on getting my little muscles stronger."
Analysis: The Dallas Morning News reports GM Jon Daniels said exams by team physician Keith Meister said Napoli's ankle shows no structural damage, but Napoli is still experiencing soreness. "The fact he's still feeling it a few months later speaks to what he went through to play the rest of Game 6 and go back out for Game 7," Daniels said. "It was about as bad as it looked to the rest of us." You have to wonder if Napoli can't shake this injury if it will play into how much time he gets behind the plate. Nonetheless, if Napoli catches less that just means he will likely see more PT at DH and first base. The Rangers aren't going to take his bat out of the lineup. Napoli remains a top 5 Fantasy catcher on Draft Day.

Vladimir Guerrero
Guerrero wants to be Yankees' DH
Vladimir Guerrero, DH, BAL
2:51 PM
News: ESPN reports free agent Vladimir Guerrero has told the Yankees he wants to be their designated hitter, a role that became vacant when Jesus Montero was traded to Seattle. Newsday first reported in mid-January that a rep for Guerrero contacted the Yankees about the DH role. ESPN reports Raul Ibanez is still considered the front-runner to sign with the Yankees as their DH.
Analysis: It's not hard to see why Guerrero wants to join a loaded Yankees lineup. However, the 37-year-old slugger probably didn't instill a lot of faith in the New York brass after the lukewarm season he put together in 2011 for the Orioles. It's true that Guerrero thrived in a loaded Rangers lineup in 2010, but who knows if he can still play at that level. Until he signs with a team, then Guerrero can probably be left off Fantasy rosters.

Josh Hamilton
Hamilton expected to arrive on time
Josh Hamilton, LF, TEX
12:55 PM
News: The Dallas Morning News reports Rangers GM Jon Daniels said he expects Josh Hamilton to report for spring training on time despite a recent revelation that Hamilton had a relapse in his quest to stay sober. Hamilton's admission led to a meeting with doctors associated with an after-care program run by MLB and the players association. The doctors have appeared to eliminate the option of sending Hamilton to rehab. Position players for the Rangers don't have to report until Feb. 25. "His health and his family are the priorities. We're not going to pre-empt that for anything about a contract," Daniels said about contract extension talks regarding Hamilton.
Analysis: Because of his recent relapse, Hamilton's prospects for a multi-year deal with Texas may be jeopardized for the time being. Though Hamilton has had to grapple with his addictions during his time with the Rangers, they haven't impacted his on-the-field performance. Hamilton remains an early-round target in all Fantasy formats.

Daisuke Matsuzaka
Dice-K throwing off mound
Daisuke Matsuzaka, SP, BOS
11:52 AM
News: The Boston Globe reports while Red Sox pitchers and catchers don't officially have to report until Sunday, some players have arrived early, including SP Daisuke Matsuzaka. The paper noted that Matsuzaka, who is recovering from Tommy John surgery in June, was throwing off a mound with manager Bobby Valentine watching.
Analysis: Clearly, the fact Dice-K is already throwing off a mound is good news. However, we still have to temper expectations. It usually takes pitchers 12-18 months to recover from Tommy John surgery, so we aren't expecting to see Dice-K in a major-league game until mid-summer. We will continue to update his progress as the news warrants, but Dice-K is merely a draft-and-stash option in the deepest of Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

James Paxton
Paxton working on changeup
James Paxton, RP, SEA
1:21 PM
News: The Seattle Times reports Mariners SP prospect James Paxton said he is working a changeup into his repertoire. "It's something I've been working on for a while and that they figure is going to help me by adding another weapon,'' Paxton said. Paxton has been invited to major-league camp, but he appears to be a long shot to make the opening-day roster. "I'm just honored to be invited here,'' Paxton said. "This is a fantastic opportunity and I'm going to try to learn as much as I can.''
Analysis: After pitching in independent ball for a year, Paxton finally joined the minors in 2011. He had a successful run in Class A and Double-A. He went 6-3 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 17 starts. More importantly, he struck out 12.4 batters per nine innings. If Paxton has an impressive spring and gets off to a fast start in the minors, then he might arrive in the majors in 2012. However, he remains more of a long-term Fantasy keeper until he gets closer to his MLB debut.

Koji Uehara
Uehara pitched through elbow issue?
Koji Uehara, RP, TEX
1:02 PM
News: The Dallas Morning News reports Rangers RP Koji Uehara hinted on his blog that he received an injection into his right elbow last season. Uehara also posted that he threw 100 pitches in a bullpen session Sunday before departing Japan for spring training.
Analysis: Uehara has his history of injury issues, but he pitched for the Orioles and Rangers last season and neither team hinted at elbow problems. Uehara in fact posted a career-best 2.35 ERA in 65 outings. The Rangers are shopping Uehara because of a plethora of bullpen arms. Uehara will have value in deeper Rotisserie leagues for his low ERA, low WHIP and high strikeout rate. If he goes somewhere that needs a closer, his stock would rise, but he would still be a low-end option.

David Ortiz
Ortiz settles before hearing
David Ortiz, DH, BOS
11:11 AM
News: DH David Ortiz and the Red Sox came to terms on a one-year contract hours before the two sides were set to go to an arbitration hearing. Ortiz signed a one-year, $14.575 million contract.
Analysis: Now that Ortiz has this business out of the way he can get down to focusing on the baseball aspect of things. Ortiz hit .309 with 29 homers and 96 RBI in 2011. He is DH-eligible only in Fantasy, which hurts his appeal a bit. But Ortiz remains a viable early-to-mid-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day.

 
 
 
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