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Eric Mack

Highlighting top Mets prospects for '09

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


We are breaking down the top five prospects for each organization for 2009, taking into consideration: games, at-bats, innings and major-league service time. We expect these players to have rookie status remaining heading into next year.

According to MLB rules: "A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the major leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a major league club or clubs during the period of 25-player limit (excluding time in the military service and time on the disabled list)."

Note: Statistics are those at each stop in the minors this season and age represents how old they will be on opening day 2009.

New York Mets

It is hard to trade a package of four top-10 organizational prospects for Johan Santana and not be dealing with a rebuilding year in the organization. The Mets lack major league ready talent, but they have a number of intriguing younger players who are further out. Their few top guys here should be in the majors some time in 2009, but we have to doubt they make the impact that Daniel Murphy or Mike Pelfrey made last season.

1. OF Fernando Martinez, 20

Another injury-plagued and generally disappointing year in Double-A for the 20-year-old phenom the Mets believe will be a 30-homer man in the major leagues. This is a really big year for him, because after impressing in spring training, he has look like Alex Ochoa and Jay Payton more than the elite outfielder the Mets think he should be.

Team AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLUG OPS
Low A .429 4 14 2 6 1 1 0 0 9 0 2 0 0 .467 .643 1.11
Double-A .287 86 352 48 101 19 4 8 43 152 27 73 6 2 .340 .432 .772
Totals .292 90 366 50 107 20 5 8 43 161 27 75 6 2 .345 .440 .785

2. SP Jonathon Niese, 22

Niese soared to the majors and a pennant race, even showing a flash of brilliance before succumbing to the pressure in the season's final weeks. He will be a candidate for the No. 5 starter's spot out of spring training, but he really could use a start back in Triple-A. Consider him a potential impact Fantasy pitcher, because anyone making some decent starts for the Mets will be a candidate to be a winner in 2009.

Team W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO BAA
Double-A 6 7 3.04 22 22 2 1 0 124 1/3 118 53 42 5 44 112 1.50 .253
Triple-A 5 1 3.40 7 7 0 0 0 39 2/3 34 15 15 4 14 32 1.66 .231
Totals 11 8 3.13 29 29 2 1 0 164 152 68 57 9 58 144 1.54 .248
Majors 1 1 7.07 3 3 0 0 0 14 20 11 11 2 8 11 1.38 .333

3. SP Robert Parnell, 24

Parnell might be a victim of his own stuff. The Mets needed a hard-throwing reliever down the stretch and even considered Parnell to close after Billy Wagner went down and a slew of candidates stumbled over themselves as the Mets collapsed again. Parnell might be a relief candidate in spring training, which would keep him from making a true Fantasy impact in 2009. He might even get stuck in the Pitch-22 (good enough to start, but too valuable in relief) like fellow No. 1 pick Aaron Heilman has. Parnell has a great arm, though, so watch him if he starts the year in the Triple-A rotation.

Team W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO BAA
Double-A 10 6 4.3 24 24 0 0 0 127 2/3 126 66 61 14 57 91 1.52 .258
Triple-A 2 2 6.64 5 4 0 0 0 20 1/3 25 16 15 0 9 23 1.06 .298
Totals 12 8 4.62 29 28 0 0 0 148 151 82 76 14 66 114 1.45 .264
Majors 0 0 5.40 6 0 0 0 0 5 3 3 3 0 2 3 1.40 .176

4. SP Brad Holt, 22

The Mets' third first-round pick last June looks like the one who could have the most immediate impact in the majors -- and it might even happen before the end of 2009. The 22-year-old right-hander was unhittable in low Class A and should be able to handle a jump to high Class A to start the season. From there, the Mets have been known to move players fast, especially experienced college arms like Holt's. If can maintain his dominance into the high levels, look out. The New York hype machine will crank up and he could be a hotly debated bargaining chip at the trade deadline.

Team W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO BAA
Low A 5 3 1.87 14 14 0 0 0 72 1/3 43 18 15 3 33 96 0.98 .171

5. SS Wilmer Flores, 17

Just look at the age and you will get an idea about how long it will take for this potential blue-chipper to contribute. The teenager tore up low Class A and will likely head back there as another young shortstop Ruben Tejada opens in high Class A Port St. Lucie. Flores is too far away to be real projectable, but if you are in a keeper league that allows a five-year plan, he is a gem.

Team AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLUG OPS
Low A .310 59 245 36 76 12 4 8 41 120 12 28 2 1 .352 .490 .842
Low A .400 1 5 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 .400 .400 .800
Low A .267 8 30 3 8 1 0 0 1 9 1 7 0 0 .290 .300 .590
Totals .307 68 280 40 86 13 4 8 42 131 13 37 2 1 .347 .468 .815

Best of the rest: SP Jenrry Mejia, SP Scott Moviel, SP Brant Rustich, RP Eddie Kunz, SS Reese Havens, 1B Ike Davis, SP Mike Antonini, 3B Shawn Bowman, 1B Mike Carp, SS Ruben Tejada, 2B Greg Veloz, C Josh Thole, C Francisco Pena, SP Yury Santana, SP Chris Schwinden, SP Steve Clyne, SP Nick Carr, SP Tobi Stoner, C Dock Doyle, OF Javier Rodriguez, OF Kirk Nieuwenhuis, OF Sean Ratliff, SP Angel Calero, 3B Jefry Marte, OF Cesar Puello, SP Nathan Vineyard, SP Phillips Orta, SP Adam Bostick, 2B Emmanuel Garcia, SS Juan Lagares, OF Lucas Duda, SP Elvin Ramirez, OF Brahaim Maldonaldo, SP Scott Shaw, SP Sal Aguilar and 3B Zach Lutz.

2008 rookies to exhaust eligibility: OF Murphy, OF Nick Evans, SS Argenis Reyes, C Robinson Cancel and RP Carlos Muniz.

Last year's top five here: SP Philip Humber (traded to MIN for Santana), SP Deolis Guerra (traded to MIN for Santana), SP Kevin Mulvey (traded to MIN for Santana), Brett Harper (claimed off waivers by San Francisco) and OF Martinez.

You can e-mail Emack your Fantasy Baseball prospect questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Mets prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Roy Oswalt
Oswalt waiting to sign with Texas?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
5:11 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said he hasn't had contact with Roy Oswalt's agents in the last week, and Jocketty offered up his own opinion on the Oswalt sweepstakes. “I think he’s waiting for Texas to clear money,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: It's interesting to hear Jocketty say Oswalt wants to sign with Texas. At least it's a legit reason why the veteran right-hander hasn't signed with a team yet, despite being linked to the Reds and Cardinals. Oswalt is likely going to sign somewhere before the start of the 2012 season and should be in a rotation. Consider Oswalt more of a mid-to-late-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Don't forget about his chronic back problems.

Johan Santana
Santana looks 'great' playing catch
Johan Santana, SP, NYM
2:25 PM
News: The Wall Street Journal reports Mets SP Johan Santana (shoulder) played catch from 175 feet Monday. Manager Terry Collins said Santana looked "great" and he hopes the left-hander will throw off a mound by the end of the week.
Analysis: Collins' assessment of Santana sounds like cautious optimism. After all it was just catch. Santana has bigger hurdles to clear in hopes of pitching for the first time since the 2010 season. Santana is coming off a serious shoulder injury and who knows if he can return to the dominant arm he once was. Fantasy owners should bear in mind that Chien-Ming Wang, who underwent the same procedure, needed two years to make it back to the majors, so Santana could wind up providing far fewer than 25 starts -- which is the Mets' goal for the lefty this season. Because of the playing time risk, he is a late-round option in mixed leagues at best.

Ryan Braun
Braun ruling coming soon?
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
1:51 PM
News: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports there is no indication that a ruling will be announced Monday regarding Ryan Braun's appeal of a 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It appears the recommended guideline for a ruling will be extended.
Analysis: The entire baseball world want this issue to be put to bed, but it seems we might have to wait a little longer for a ruling. The Brewers remain upbeat about Braun's situation, but only time will tell what happens. If Braun avoids a suspension, then he remains a first-round Fantasy pick. If he is suspended 50 games, then he is going to tumble down draft boards a bit, but Braun would still be an early-round Fantasy selection based on potential once he becomes active.

Seth Smith
Cespedes to bump Smith?
Seth Smith, RF, OAK
1:37 PM
News: Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes and the Oakland Athletics have agreed to a $36 million, four-year contract. Agent Adam Katz confirmed Monday the sides had reached agreement, with details still to be finalized. Cespedes' arrival means the A's could eventually bump Seth Smith to designated hitter.
Analysis: We will have to wait and see what happens when Cespedes finally arrives at A's camp, but the speculation is that the A's outfield alignment will eventually be Josh Reddick in right field, Coco Crisp in center field and Cespedes in left, which is where Smith is currently penciled in as the starter. But the A's could use a rotation at DH, which would still allow Smith to see regular at-bats, if Cespedes doesn't have to begin the year in the minors, which remains an option as well. Smith struggles against left-handed pitchers, so he might still be in a platoon situation like he was with the Rockies. Smith remains more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Mike Napoli
Napoli's ankle still an issue
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
12:48 PM
News: ESPN.com reports Rangers catcher Mike Napoli said his injured left ankle is progressing, but he is still not 100 percent. Napoli turned his ankle in the World Series against the Cardinals last year. "I think I’m close," Napoli said. "I’m not really going to know until I get into the wear and tear of spring training and catching all the time. But I've been feeling good and getting better day by day." Napoli said he has been running on the ankle, and he is also hitting and throwing without pain. However, he is still concerned about how it will hold up with the constant squatting and baseball activity. "But I'm trying not to do that all the time so I'm not depending on that," Napoli said. "I'm working on getting my little muscles stronger."
Analysis: The Dallas Morning News reports GM Jon Daniels said exams by team physician Keith Meister said Napoli's ankle shows no structural damage, but Napoli is still experiencing soreness. "The fact he's still feeling it a few months later speaks to what he went through to play the rest of Game 6 and go back out for Game 7," Daniels said. "It was about as bad as it looked to the rest of us." You have to wonder if Napoli can't shake this injury if it will play into how much time he gets behind the plate. Nonetheless, if Napoli catches less that just means he will likely see more PT at DH and first base. The Rangers aren't going to take his bat out of the lineup. Napoli remains a top 5 Fantasy catcher on Draft Day.

Emilio Bonifacio
Bonifacio was always the choice in CF
Emilio Bonifacio, SS, MIA
5:28 PM
News: The news broke Monday that OF Yoenis Cespedes agreed to a four-year contract with the A's, turning down the Marlins offer. Cespedes signing with the A's means Emilio Bonifacio will start in center field for Miami. However, manager Ozzie Guillen said that was going to be the case all along. "Bonifacio would've have been my center fielder no matter if Cespedes was here," Guillen told 790 AM in Miami. "If Cespedes (came) to the Marlins, he would have had to make the ballclub."
Analysis: Finally, Guillen steps up in front of this situation and stands behind Bonifacio as an everyday player. He absolutely deserved it after the season he put together in 2011. The 26-year-old took a big step forward last year as both a hitter and a base-stealer and is a viable starter in mixed Fantasy leagues at either shortstop or third base. He's worth targeting with a middle-round pick on Draft Day.

Scott Rolen
Rolen 'swinging bat really well'
Scott Rolen, 3B, CIN
5:21 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said 3B Scott Rolen (shoulder) should be full-go for the start of spring training. “I talked to his offseason trainer a 10 days or two weeks ago. He said Scott is 100 percent and swinging the bat really well," Jocketty said.
Analysis: Rolen had shoulder surgery in August and his recovery seems to be going well. While Jocketty expects Rolen to have a productive season, we have to look at the facts. He will be 37 years old in 2012 and hasn't played more than 133 games the last five seasons. Rolen will sit at times in 2012, whether it is by design or because of injury. He did hit 20 homers in 2010, but Fantasy owners can't bank on that come Draft Day. Rolen is at best a late-round, injury-risk Fantasy option.

Aroldis Chapman
Chapman 'healthy and feels good'
Aroldis Chapman, RP, CIN
5:18 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said pitcher Aroldis Chapman is at the team's spring complex in Arizona and throwing. “He’s healthy and feels good,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: The plan is for the Reds to stretch out Chapman as a starter this spring. He isn't guaranteed a starting spot, but the Reds want to see if he can bring his electric stuff to the rotation. If Chapman can stretch out and utilize his 100 mph in the rotation, then he could end up as a very good Fantasy option. Chapman will be a player Fantasy owners will want to keep tabs on this spring. He has breakout appeal written all over him.

Ryan Kalish
Kalish not cleared to swing bat
Ryan Kalish, CF, BOS
4:41 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox OF Ryan Kalish has arrived at the team's spring training complex in Fort Myers, Fla., and is working out. However, he hasn't been cleared to swing a bat as he recovers from shoulder surgery.
Analysis: Kalish isn't expected to join the MLB roster until later this summer, so this news isn't shocking. Kalish is still holding out hope to be ready by opening day, but he isn't counting on it. It's disappointing he has to deal with this injury since the Red Sox have an opening in right field, which Kalish would be competing for had he avoided surgery. Kalish could very well emerge as an everyday player once he is healthy, but consider Kalish more of a draft-and-stash option in AL-only formats on Draft Day.

Adrian Gonzalez
Gonzo trims down for 2012?
Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, BOS
4:36 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox 1B Adrian Gonzalez showed up to spring training on Monday, even though position players didn't have to report until Feb. 23. The paper notes that Gonzalez appears trimmer than he was at the end of the 2011 season.
Analysis: Perhaps Gonzalez wanted to get a bit more in shape for the 2012 season, but it's not like he had poor conditioning in 2011. He did pretty well in his first season with Boston, batting .338 with 27 homers and 117 RBI. He is only 29 years old and still has plenty of quality years left. Gonzalez remains an early-round Fantasy pick in all formats.

 
 
 
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