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Eric Mack

Highlighting top Phillies prospects for '09

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We are breaking down the top five prospects for each organization for 2009, taking into consideration: games, at-bats, innings and major-league service time. We expect these players to have rookie status remaining heading into next year.

According to MLB rules: "A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the major leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a major league club or clubs during the period of 25-player limit (excluding time in the military service and time on the disabled list)."

Note: Statistics are those at each stop in the minors this season and age represents how old they will be on opening day 2009.

Philadelphia Phillies

While most title-winning clubs have a nice mix of veterans and youth, the defending world champs didn't have a single rookie exhaust eligibility this season. They burned two of their top prospects making in-season acquisition of Joe Blanton, but a perennially weak farm system is showing just a little more strength than in years past.

1. SP Carlos Carrasco, 22

For the past two second halves, we have speculated Carrasco could be an impact call-up for the Phillies, but caution and the trade for Joe Blanton has helped buy him some time. Carrasco is capable of winning a rotation spot out of spring training, but could start the year in Triple-A. It shouldn't be long before he is called up or proving viable in all Fantasy leagues in 2009, regardless. Consider him an NL Rookie of the Year candidate and a future Fantasy ace long term.

Team W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO BAA
Double-A 7 7 4.32 20 19 1 0 0 114 2/3 109 58 55 13 45 109 1.16 .254
Triple-A 2 2 1.72 6 6 0 0 0 36 2/3 37 15 7 1 13 46 0.97 .250
Totals 9 9 3.69 26 25 1 0 0 151 1/3 146 73 62 14 58 155 1.11 .253

2. SP Joe Savery, 23

Savery was a highly regarded pitching prospect who slipped in the 2007 draft due to injury concerns. He has proven relatively healthy for a Rice product, but in his first season on a full pitcher's schedule, he struggled some -- especially in the realm of velocity. Compared to Mark Mulder by Baseball America, we figure Savery will have a better season in Year 2.

Team W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO BAA
High A 9 10 4.13 27 24 0 0 0 150 1/3 171 84 69 10 60 122 1.81 .286

3. J.A. Happ, 26

Happ really didn't look like a certain future major league starter, but that changed this season. He might even compete to be the No. 5 starter out of spring training. We don't like his ceiling compared to Carrasco's but he is certainly capable in a Kyle Kendrick way. He might even be better than Kendrick long term. Watch him for starts next season, because the Phillies have a great offense that will make their starting pitchers winners for years to come.

Team W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO BAA
Triple-A 8 7 3.60 24 23 0 0 0 135 116 58 54 14 48 151 0.90 .234
Majors 1 0 3.69 8 4 0 0 0 31 2/3 28 13 13 3 14 26 0.53 .233

4. OF Michael Taylor, 23

Taylor had a breakthrough year and should now be considered a potential star. At 6-feet-6, 250 pounds, the Stanford prospect is certainly a physical specimen. The 2007 fifth-round pick could start the year in Double-A, but we wouldn't be surprised to see him in Philly by year's end.

Team AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLUG OPS
Low A .361 67 249 40 90 12 3 10 50 138 31 43 10 3 .441 .554 .995
High A .329 65 243 36 80 27 1 9 38 136 19 46 5 6 .380 .560 .939
Totals .346 132 492 76 170 39 4 19 88 274 50 89 15 9 .412 .557 .968

5. SP Kyle Drabek, 21

Doug Drabek's son has overcome Tommy John surgery and could now position himself for his own major league career. Because of the injury and his lack of pro experience, it won't happen for him this year, but he is a solid long-term keeper option now that he has gotten his elbow ligament replacement out of the way. It is almost a good thing to get a new ligament early in your career nowadays.

Team W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO BAA
Low A 0 1 2.25 4 4 0 0 0 12 6 3 3 0 6 6 1.64 .150
Low A 1 2 2.21 4 4 0 0 0 20 1/3 11 6 5 1 6 10 1.94 .159
Totals 1 3 2.23 8 8 0 0 0 32 1/3 17 9 8 1 12 16 1.82 .156

Best of the rest: SP Antonio Bastardo, OF Greg Golson, C Lou Marson, 2B Brad Harman, SP Scott Mathieson, SP Drew Carpenter, OF Dominic Brown, C Jason Jaramillo, OF T.J. Bohn, SS Jason Donald, C Travis D'Arnaud, SP Jason Knapp, C Sabastian Valle, SP Heitor Correa, OF Zach Collier, 3B Anthony Hewitt, SP Eddy Garcia, SS Freddy Galvis, SP Tyson Brummett, SP Scott Nestor, OF Quintin Berry, SP Mike Stutes, OF Anthony Gose, SP Vance Worley, SP Jon Pettibone, SP Trevor May, 1B Jeremy Hamilton, 3B Travis Mattair, SP Julian Sampson, OF D'Arby Myers, SP Carlos Monasterios, RP Joe Bisenius, 3B Mike Cervanek, 2B Tyler Mach, SP Drew Naylor, RP R.J. Swindle and RP Les Walrond.

2008 rookies to exhaust eligibility: None.

Last year's top five here: SP Carrasco, RP Carpenter, 3B Mike Costanzo (traded to HOU for Brad Lidge and then BAL for Miguel Tejada), SP Savery and SP Mathieson.

You can e-mail Emack your Fantasy Baseball prospect questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Phillies prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

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Player News
Emilio Bonifacio
Bonifacio out 4-6 weeks
Emilio Bonifacio, CF, MIA
5/24/2012
News: Marlins outfielder Emilio Bonifacio, already on the 15-day DL, will miss an additional 4-6 weeks since he will have thumb surgery on Friday.
Analysis: This is a terrible development for the Marlins and Fantasy owners. Bonifacio was hitting .394 in his previous nine games before going on the DL and was a valuable source of steals for Fantasy owners. He is now out until late June at the earliest, so continue to stash him in Fantasy. Bryan Petersen will continue to start in center field in Bonifacio's absence.

Austin Kearns
Kearns placed on disabled list
Austin Kearns, LF, MIA
5/24/2012
News: The Marlins put outfielder Austin Kearns on the 15-day disabled list on Thursday, retroactive to May 23. Kearns sustained a strained right hamstring while running the bases in Tuesday's game against the Rockies. He was replaced on the Marlins' active roster by outfielder Kevin Mattison, who was recalled from Triple-A New Orleans.
Analysis: Kearns had been on fire at the plate, and he was the main playing time beneficiary of Gaby Sanchez's demotion to Triple-A, as Logan Morrison vacated left field to play first base. When Kearns returns, it could be to a reserve role, so owners looking to clear a DL spot should monitor the Marlins' outfield situation over the coming weeks. It may not be worthwhile hanging on to Kearns while he recovers from his injury.

Freddie Freeman
Freeman still having eye trouble
Freddie Freeman, 1B, ATL
5/24/2012
News: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports that Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman is still dealing with a dry-eye issue that kept him out of a game last week. Freeman had a procedure to plug his tear ducts, but that, along with eye drops and contact lenses, have not completely eradicated the problem. Freeman was out of the Braves' starting lineup for Thursday's game at Cincinnati, though it has not been reported as to whether his absence was related to his eye problem. Eric Hinske got the start at first base in Freeman's place.
Analysis: It had appeared as if Freeman had put this medical issue behind him, so this latest report is something that should concern his Fantasy owners. Given that Freeman's absence from the lineup may not be related to his eye problem, there may not be any need for owners to take action, but it is certainly a situation worth following. When he is healthy enough to play, Freeman is worth starting in virtually all formats.

Addison Reed
Bad first impression for Reed
Addison Reed, RP, CHW
2:44 AM
News: Newly-named White Sox Closer Addison Reed was not pitching in a save situation on Thursday, however the team did turn to him to pitch the 10th inning of a five-run game against the Twins. Reed struck out two in the inning, however he was hit hard, giving up two runs on a home run off the bat of Justin Morneau. He finished with those two earned runs and strikeouts in one inning, as the White Sox won, 11-8.
Analysis: It was not a save situation, but that was not a good first impression for the Fantasy owners who picked him up today after hearing the news. Reed had four saves in his last six appearances before Thursday, and he has allowed runs in just two of his 18 appearances this season. He should still be added in many mixed Fantasy leagues, however this was certainly not a good outing for him.

Dan Haren
Haren masterful in complete game
Dan Haren, SP, LAA
1:11 AM
News: Angels starting pitcher Dan Haren had yet to find his way in the 2012 season prior to Thursday’s game against the Mariners, however he looked as good as he ever has in the game, picking up his sixth career complete-game shutout to lead the Angels to a 3-0 win. Haren allowed just four hits in the game while establishing a new career-high in strikeouts with 14, as he mowed through the Mariners offense with ease. Haren allowed just three runners to reach second base, two of them on stolen bases, but was never in any real trouble, as he picked up just his second win of the season. Haren needed 126 pitches to finish the game, tossing first pitch strikes to 22 of the 31 batters he faced, as he was in control all night.
Analysis: Haren has typically been a much stronger first-half player than a second-half player, so the fact that his ERA was standing at a fairly robust 4.37 before this game was something of a surprise. After just one start, Haren lowered that number to 3.76, while simultaneously putting to rest any doubts about a possible decline in skills in his age-31 season. With the exception of an ugly 2-5 record, Haren’s starts are largely where we expected them to be this season, as he has struckout more than four batters for every one he has walked through 64 2/3 innings. He is set to face a tough Yankees lineup in his next start, on Tuesday during Week 9 (May 28-June 3), however he has put up a 5-1 record with a 3.43 ERA against them in 10 career starts, so consider him a solid Fantasy option in all formats.

Yuniesky Betancourt
Betancourt begins rehab
Yuniesky Betancourt, SS, KC
1:43 AM
News: Royals shortstop Yuniesky Betancourt was back on the field on Thursday, as the designated hitter for Double-A Northwest Arkansas, as he began his rehab assignment while recovering from his ankle injury. Betancourt went 2 for 5 in the game, with a pair of strikeouts and RBI.
Analysis: Betancourt is getting closer and closer to getting back on the field for the Royals,but he will need at least a week of rehab, first in Double-A and then Triple-A, before he is ready to return to the majors. Betancourt's last game before the injury was back on May 1 at Detroit and the shortstop has a .280 batting average on the season with a homer and three RBI over 50 at-bats. When healthy, Betancourt should be considered merely an AL-only option.

Jimmy Rollins
Rollins returns from paternity leave
Jimmy Rollins, SS, PHI
1:39 AM
News: Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins returned from the paternity list on Thursday, after missing the team’s previous three games to be with his wife while she gave birth. Rollins went 2 for 6 in the game with a strikeout, as the Phillies defeated the Cardinals, 10-9. it was Reyes’ 11th multi-hit game of the season.
Analysis: Reyes has struggled to start the season, and unlike most of the other players on the Phillies’ roster, he has not begun to show signs that he is bouncing out of it, as he has been hitting just .222 in the month of May after a .235 April. He remains a solid bounce-back candidate given his past production, and should be kept active in most formats, despite his troubles.

Alex Rodriguez
Adjustment for A-Rod pays off
Alex Rodriguez, 3B, NYY
5/24/2012
News: The New York Post reports that Yankees third baseman Alex Rodriguez has made adjustments to his batting stance, and he credits his strong performance on Wednesday against the Royals to the changes. Rodriguez told reporters after Tuesday's win, "I feel like I’m about to go off.," after widening his stance and shortening his leg kick in his last at-bat in the game. He carried the changes over into batting practice on Wednesday and into the subsequent contest, in which he went 2 for 4 with a pair of homers and three RBI.
Analysis: Time will tell if Rodriguez's tweaked stance will translate into better production. He had been hitting flyballs at a much lower rate this season, which had led to fewer extra-base hits. It's a trend to watch in the coming days and weeks. Even if A-Rod's power spike is short-lived, he still has enough power that he is worth starting in nearly all formats.

Dan Jennings
Report: Jennings could get the call
Dan Jennings, RP, MIA
1:34 AM
News: The Marlins sent down relief pitcher Mike Dunn to Triple-A after Thursday's game against the Giants, leaving them with a need for a left-handed reliever that the Sun Sentinel reports will likely be Dan Jennings, currently pitching for Triple-A New Orleans.
Analysis: Jenings was previously with the team, making just two appearances before going back down again. If he gets the call, it will likely just be for middle relief and situational usage, so he is not worth adding in any Fantasy formats.

Carlos Ruiz
Ruiz rolls right through injury
Carlos Ruiz, C, PHI
1:29 AM
News: Phillies catcher Carlos Ruiz took a pitch off his wrist on Wednesday but played through it on Thursday and continued his incredible start to the season, going 3 for 5 with a run scored as the Phillies defeated the Cardinals, 10-9. Ruiz is now hitting .366 for the season, good for fourth in the majors.
Analysis: Ruiz has been rolling all season long, and he is showing no signs of slowing down, with a .452 batting average over the course of the last 10 games, with six RBI. He is playing at an impressive level right now, and should be active in all formats.

 
 
 
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