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2009 outlooks: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Eric Mack
Senior Fantasy Writer
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Take away one of the best sluggers in baseball, a top 20 talent, a former 18-game winner and then a record-setting closer; how many teams in baseball can take hits like that and keep on ticking?

Very, very few.

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The Angels seem to be carrying on with less, as always. That is thanks mostly to a farm system that keeps churning out solid major leaguers, even if it never developed the elite player we once expected.

The Angels do have one of the best starting rotations in baseball, led by quartet of potential 15-game winners, John Lackey, Ervin Santana, Joe Saunders and Jered Weaver. The No. 5 spot is up for grabs, where Dustin Moseley might finally get his chance or one-time phenom Nick Adenhart might finally reach his potential. A slew of pitching prospects down on the farm can enter the mix later in spring or by midseason, too.

The vacated closer's spot, as Francisco Rodriguez signed with the Mets, will be filled at least initially by lefty Brian Fuentes. We tend to think he won't finish as the closer, though, if only because that is how it has been in the lower-pressure situation in Colorado the past few years. Scot Shields and Jose Arredondo will set up him, but Arrendondo is the closer-in-the-making type. Consider him a sleeper in deeper formats on Draft Day.

The Angels probably remain the favorites in the four-team AL West, but the Rangers could prove dangerous if they can find some pitching. The Athletics are dangerous, too, with the addition of Matt Holliday, but them and the Mariners need a lot of things to go right to be able to compete with the steady but not spectacular Angels over the course of a full season.

Sleeper: Brandon Wood, 3B

Is this the year that Howie Kendrick stays healthy enough to breakout? (US Presswire)  
Is this the year that Howie Kendrick stays healthy enough to breakout? (US Presswire)  
It seems we have waited years for this potential middle infield masher to reach his true potential, but this time he all but has a roster spot to lose coming into spring training. He popped 31 homers back in Triple A last season -- in just 395 at-bats -- and could be a factor at shortstop, third, first or even DH this season. We don't think he starts on opening day, but there is a legit opportunity for him to play enough to be a late-round pick in deeper mixed leagues. Watch him very, very closely. He is going to be one of our top overlooked sophomores this spring after exhausting his rookie eligibility last season.

Bust: Chone Figgins, 3B

Figgins' value was already down significantly last season, but many Fantasy owners in Rotisserie leagues will continue to target him in the middle rounds as a top source for steals. Yes, he can do that, but buying into base-stealers over the age of 30 is a bad policy. We wouldn't be surprised to see him lose his starting job this season, in fact. Wood could be ready at third and the breakout below might be too good to sit at second base. Figgins doesn't slug enough to fill the DH or left field spot, even if he has fooled us for years.

Breakout: Howie Kendrick, 2B

Remember the time when Kendrick and disappointing Brewers sceond baseman Rickie Weeks where the next big things in Fantasy? Yeah, we're still waiting. Well, Kendrick has hit over .300 each of the past two seasons and now holds a .306 career average in 945 at-bats. He even managed to sneak up for 11 steals last season. While that is not a part of his game, his consistent average and run production potential should carry him. We project just six homers, because he has yet to show much in the way of power, but we wouldn't be surprised to see Kendrick go .305-15-75-110-15 in what could be his first real full season in the majors.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Outlook
Projected lineup
Pos.
Projected Rotation
1 Chone Figgins 3B 1 John Lackey RH
2 Howie Kendrick 2B 2 Ervin Santana RH
3 Bobby Abreu LF 3 Joe Saunders LH
4 Vladimir Guerrero CF 4 Jered Weaver RH
5 Torii Hunter DH 5 Dustin Moseley RH
6 Juan Rivera LF Alt Nick Adenhart RH
7 Kendry Morales 1B Top bullpen arms
8 Mike Napoli C CL Brian Fuentes LH
9 Erick Aybar/ Maicer Izturis SS SU Scot Shields RH
Top bench options RP Jose Arredondo RH
R Gary Matthews 3B RP Darren Oliver LH
R Brandon Wood SS RP Kevin Jepsen RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2008 high Destination
1 Nick Adenhart 22 RH SP Majors Triple-A
A bad '08 takes some of the luster off, but he can win rotation spot with a good spring.
2 Jordan Walden 21 RH SP High Class A High Class A
Dominant in low Class A before getting a bit of a reality check; maybe a midseason option.
3 Peter Bourjos 22 OF High Class A Double-A
He doesn't walk enough or have enough high-end power yet, but the speed is intriguing.
4 Hank Conger 21 C High Class A Double-A
He has been an elite catching prospect for years, but a labrum tear set him back last year.
5 Sean O'Sullivan 21 RH SP High Class A Double-A
Despite a high ERA in a hitter's league, O'Sullivan went 16-8 and looks like a future Angels SP.
Best of the rest: 1B Mark Trumbo, SP Trevor Reckling, SP Anthony Ortega, SP Nick A. Green, SP Shane Loux, RP Kevin Jepsen, SP Tyler Chatwood, 3B Matt Brown, 3B Luis Jimenez, SP Jose Perez, OF Angel Castillo, 2B Ryan Mount, SS P.J. Phillips, SP Robert Fish, SS Andrew Romine and OF Terry Evans.

You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Team outlooks in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

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Player News
Andre Ethier going nowhere fast
by Al Melchior | Data Analyst
(2:56 pm ET) From Week 1 on, Andre Ethier's popularity in CBSSports.com leagues has been in steady decline, but a recent hot streak might get owners reconsidering their stance. Over his last 10 games, Ethier has gone 11 for 29 (.379), raising his season batting average from .235 to .264.

There has been a little power in Ethier's recent run, which has included four extra-base hits, but that alone shouldn't be enough to raise expectations for a significant rebound. Ethier has hit 30 home runs just once in his career, and that is now four season ago. While he is hitting flyballs at his highest rate since then, he's not hitting many of them particularly deep.

Ethier is just going through a stretch where he is getting a few additional base hits on balls in play, and eventually his luck will taper off. Then owners will be left with an outfielder who provides a decent batting average and on-base percentage but little else of use outside of deeper leagues. If the Dodgers get desperate to recall Yasiel Puig in an attempt to revive their moribund offense, Ethier would be the most likely outfielder to lose playing time, so there's that to consider as well.


Confidence key to Dan Straily's success
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(2:53 pm ET) Athletics starting pitcher Dan Straily had arguably the best start of his career Tuesday at Texas, tossing seven scoreless innings and needing only 88 pitches to do so. Straily said not "hurting himself" was the key to his success.

"I was really myself out there," Straily said, per the San Francisco Chronicle. "It felt different. I had confidence to start the game. I was not going to let 'hurting myself' be what happened in the ballgame. The last few times out, I walked people, hit people. I wasn't getting hit hard. I was hurting myself. Tonight, my goal was to fill up the strike zone."

Straily didn't issue a walk and allowed just two hits, and afterward said he's never been more confident in his big-league career.

"Any time you're a young player and not having the type of success you would like to have, yeah, you want to have one of these games where you go out and believe," manager Bob Melvin said. "It would've been nice to give him three, four, five runs for a little breathing room. But who knows? Maybe that's what he needed, an outing where he had to be borderline perfect."


Orioles acquired minor-league infielder from A's
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(2:47 pm ET) The Orioles acquired minor-league infielder Josh Horton from the Athletics Wednesday. Athletics assistant general manager David Forst said Oakland will receive cash or a player to be named later from Baltimore, according to the San Francisco Chronicle.

Horton hit .224 with one triple, two doubles, two home runs and eight RBI in 16 games for Triple-A Sacramento.


Brandon Belt out with back soreness
by Jack Moore | CBSSports.com
(2:45 pm ET) Giants first baseman Brandon Belt is out of Wednesday's lineup with back tightness, CSN San Francisco reports. 

Belt's injury is at a point where he could play if needed, but with the Giants facing a lefty in Gio Gonzalez, manager Bruce Bochy is taking the opportunity to let the back heal up. Brett Pill will get the start in Belt's place

Yes, you should pick up Kevin Gausman
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(2:44 pm ET) If you've arrived at Kevin Gausman's player page wondering if you should pick up the Orioles pitching prospect with the news he'll make his major-league debut Thursday, the answer is an emphatic YES.

He was the fourth overall pick in last year's draft, so you know his talent is off the charts, and unlike Trevor Bauer, whose quick ascension to the majors last year was marred by terrible control, Gausman knows how to locate his high-90s fastball, issuing 1.0 walks per nine innings in his eight starts at Double-A Bowie this year.

Most likely, it's not just a one-and-done scenario either. The Orioles have struggled to fill the fifth spot in their rotation since Wei-Yin Chen went on the DL with an oblique injury, and even after Chen returns, Gausman will likely stick over Freddy Garcia, provided he meets his end of the bargain.

No one can say for sure if Gausman will live up to his potential right away, but the chances of him emerging as an out-of-nowhere ace make him well worth the gamble in all leagues. He now ranks 62nd at starting pitcher for me (and 44th for Al Melchior).


Evan Gattis has to get more at-bats
by Scott White | Senior Fantasy Writer
(2:34 pm ET) Just when you think Evan Gattis is no longer worth the trouble in Fantasy, he reminds you why he most definitely is.

Making his first start at catcher since Brian McCann returned from the DL May 6, Gattis hit a grand slam Wednesday against the Twins -- this coming on the heels of a pinch-hit go-ahead home run in the bottom of the ninth Tuesday, which itself came on the heels of a pinch-hit go-ahead home run in the bottom the eighth Saturday.

Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez has said he'll look for ways to get Gattis' bat in the lineup, and with this most recent surge, I'm guessing he'll be even more invested in the idea going forward, giving occasional days off to each of the Braves' starting outfielders, as well as Freddie Freeman. Gattis won't play every day, but in leagues that require the use of two catchers, he'll remain valuable all year.


Rafael Betancourt will avoid DL
by Jack Moore | CBSSports.com
(2:33 pm ET) Rockies closer Rafael Betancourt will not need to go on the disabled list, MLB.com reports.

Betancourt has inflammation around scar tissue in his right groin. According to the report, Betancourt will be good to go by Friday at the latest.

Pablo Sandoval out of Wednesday's lineup with illness
by Jack Moore | CBSSports.com
(2:23 pm ET) Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval will miss Wednesday's game with an illness, CSN San Francisco reports.

Sandoval is expected to return soon. Joaquin Arias gets the spot start at third base.


Ramon Ortiz expected to start Sunday
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(2:15 pm ET) Blue Jays manager John Gibbons said Wednesday starting pitcher Ramon Ortiz is penciled in to start Sunday against the Orioles, according to the Toronto Star. Ortiz lasted just 2 1/3 innings Tuesday against the Rays.

Chad Jenkins not yet named Friday's starter
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(2:12 pm ET) Blue Jays manager John Gibbons continues to refrain from naming Chad Jenkins the starter for Friday's game against the Orioles, according to the Toronto Star. Jenkins is preparing to start, but he's available out of the bullpen.

 
 
 
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