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Eric Mack

'09 Draft Prep: Top NL-only prospects

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


We outlined the Top 25 rookies to target on Draft Day and Fantasy Baseball's Top 100 prospects, so now we split them off with the Top NL prospects for those in NL-only leagues.

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These prospects might not necessarily make the team out of camp, but they will be some of the most-hyped minor leaguers throughout the season. They are ranked for their potential long-term rewards in Fantasy leagues.

There are hundreds of others that can get call-ups and help Fantasy owners in the near future, too, so go through our Organizational Prospect Reports we did last fall to get an even deeper view of all the teams' top farmhands.

RK Overall Player TM Age POS 2008 high Destination
1 3 Madison Bumgarner SF 19 LHP Low Class A High Class A
Pitching this young is very difficult to project, but he won't be a teenager come Aug. 1; can he arrive then?
2 5 Cameron Maybin FLA 21 OF Majors Majors
His steals will be what he should be drafted for this year, but he figures to be able do everything long term.
3 8 Thomas Hanson ATL 22 RHP Double-A Triple-A
Arizona Fall League is a hitter's league and it couldn't touch him. What an amazing talent on the verge.
4 9 Jeff Samardzija CHC 24 RHP Majors Majors
If he wins the No. 5 spot in the Cubs rotation in spring, he might prove the most valuable on this list.
5 10 Colby Rasmus STL 22 OF Triple-A Triple-A
He had a poor season, but he is a five-tool talent with tremendous swagger. He could really rebound this season.
6 12 Pedro Alvarez PIT 22 3B DNP, signed late Double-A
No. 2 overall pick in last June's draft can really mash and should be able to move quickly with rebuilding Pirates.
7 16 Michael Stanton FLA 19 OF Low Class A High Class A
The Florida State League will give us a much better sense of how much monster power this guy really has.
8 17 Timothy Alderson SF 20 RHP Low Class A High Class A
Bumgarner has trumped him in the Giants' system, but Alderson can make his case as a future ace in his own right.
9 18 Jason Heyward ATL 19 OF Low Class A High Class A
Some see him as a top-5 or top-10 prospect, but it is really too early to tell because some others have bigger numbers.
10 20 Jarrod Parker ARI 20 RHP Low Class A High Class A
The D-Backs crown jewel must now help them forget they traded away the likes of the A's Anderson and others.
11 24 Mat Gamel MIL 23 3B Majors Triple-A
His D is bad and his numbers were a lot better when LaPorta was protecting him in Double-A. His bat will play, though.
12 26 Alcides Escobar MIL 22 SS Double-A Double-A
His power should develop, but the Brewers have to be satisfied with J.J. Hardy at SS. Perhaps Escobar moves to 2B?
13 27 Andrew McCutchen PIT 22 OF Triple-A Triple-A
Five-tool talent can make an immediate impact in all Rotisserie leagues once he arrives; watch closely this spring.
14 29 Logan Morrison FLA 21 1B High Class A Double-A
His power numbers weren't quite there, but the FSL does have a lot of big ballparks that suppress homer totals.
15 30 Buster Posey SF 22 C Low Class A High Class A
Early '08 first-round pick doesn't have a whole lot of a track record as a pro, but he could be the next Matt Wieters.
16 32 Carlos Carrasco PHI 22 RHP Triple-A Triple-A
The Phillies might bring their prized pitching prospect along slowly this spring, but look out once he arrives.
17 33 Fernando Martinez NYM 20 OF Double-A Triple-A
He is extremely raw and somewhat injury prone, but his bat is quick and his power should develop like the Mets hope.
18 40 Kyle Blanks SD 22 1B Double-A Double-A
Monster slugger could be an impact call-up this season, but that only happens if the Padres move Adrian Gonzalez.
19 41 Yonder Alonso CIN 21 1B High Class A High Class A
Miami product's power is legit and Baseball America thinks he can move Joey Votto to LF by next season.
20 43 Josh Vitters CHC 19 3B Low Class A Low Class A
A little behind Moustakas now after being drafted on the same level, but he played catch up nicely last season.
21 45 Todd Frazier CIN 23 SS High Class A Double-A
It should be a great rivalry in the Reds system between Frazier and the Reds SS prospect that follows him on this list.
22 46 Chris Valaika CIN 23 SS Double-A Triple-A
A level ahead of Frazier now, but our guess is Frazier proves more powerful; the better one is the one that stays at SS.
23 47 Brett Wallace STL 22 3B Double-A Double-A
He likely won't be a candidate to start out of spring training this year, but next year he very well could be ready.
24 49 Dexter Fowler COL 22 RHP Double-A Triple-A
The Matt Holliday trade opens up a chance for him, but the question is how much speed and power will he display?
25 57 Jordan Zimmermann WAS 22 RHP Double-A Triple-A
Nationals top pitching prospect figures to get a chance before the year is out, but can he win with that supporting cast?
26 58 Jhoulys Chacin COL 21 RHP High Class A Double-A
There's something about him that just reminds us of Ubaldo Jimenez; he very well could help Fantasy owners this year.
27 60 Angel Salome MIL 23 C Majors Triple-A
We see him hitting his way into at-bats this season, especially if Jason Kendall breaks down or the Brewers go young.
28 63 Matt Antonelli SD 23 2B Majors Triple-A
He is still better than Chase Headley in our eyes and a potential starter at second base for the Padres.
29 65 James McDonald LAD 24 RHP Majors Triple-A
He is a candidate for the No. 5 spot in the rotation this spring, but we're not sure he is an elite arm long term.
30 66 Gaby Sanchez FLA 25 1B Majors Majors
Sanchez will compete with Dallas McPherson and Jorge Cantu for a starting job this spring; pop gives him a chance to star.
31 70 Jonathon Niese NYM 22 LHP Majors Triple-A
He is a candidate for the No. 5 spot in the rotation this spring, but he really could use some time back in Triple-A.
32 72 Jordan Schafer ATL 22 OF Double-A Triple-A
Substance suspension taints his prospects at little, but he still stands to help the outfield-needy Braves this season.
33 75 Angel Villalona SF 18 1B Low Class A High Class A
His age-level ratio is outstanding as is his power potential, but we are really yet to be impressed by him for some reason.
34 77 Gerardo Parra ARI 21 OF Double-A Double-A
Speed is ahead of his power, but a huge winter is helping him enter the conservation for an impact in 2009.
35 80 Matt Dominguez FLA 19 3B Low Class A High Class A
Not quite in the class of Moustakas and Vitters among California 3B prospects, but his power came around last year.
36 81 David Freese STL 25 3B Triple-A Majors
With Troy Glaus' shoulder surgery, his 26 Triple-A homers could make him a sleeper to start on opening day.
37 83 Neil Walker PIT 25 3B Triple-A Triple-A
He might need a new position now that Adam LaRoche is in Pittsburgh and Alvarez is pushing him from lower in the system.
38 84 Jesse Todd STL 22 RHP Triple-A Triple-A
The Cardinals don't have a rotation that figures to hold him back much when he is deemed ready by midseason.
39 86 Jason Castro HOU 21 C Low Class A Low Class A
Stanford prospect is just getting started as a pro, but his offensive potential at the position makes him a must-stash.
40 88 Dominic Brown PHI 21 OF Low Class A High Class A
Baseball America draws some Darryl Strawberry comparisons here, but the power really isn't there yet.
41 95 Daniel McCutchen PIT 26 RHP Triple-A Triple-A
A key piece in the Xavier Nady deal, McCutchen should push his way into the rotation this season, if not out of spring.
42 97 Jason Motte STL 26 RHP Majors Majors
The Cardinals could give him a look as closer, but we see a setup man. If he closes, he will be top 10 here.
43 98 Kenshin Kawakami ATL 33 RHP Japan Majors
Smallish right-handed import is old for a rookie, but he could have a Hiroki Kuroda -like impact.

You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Top NL-only prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
A.J. Burnett
Yanks, Pirates still talking Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
5:27 PM
News: The New York Daily News reports the Yankees and Pirates continued to talk Sunday about completing a trade for A.J. Burnett, but a baseball source said the sides are still "a good ways away" from agreeing on the final terms. The source added the Pirates are willing to pay $10 million of the remaining $33 million Burnett is owed over the next two seasons, but Pittsburgh has offered "two borderline prospects" in return. The Yankees could be willing to pay more of Burnett's remaining contract if they receive a top-tier prospect from Pittsburgh. A person familiar with the Yankees' thinking believes there is enough common ground that a deal could be completed in the coming days. However, ESPN.com reports their source said the Yankees aren't desperate to make a trade and the team would go to spring training with Burnett if a deal isn't completed.
Analysis: Leaving the Yankees usually has a negative impact on a player's Fantasy value, but in Burnett's case it might be the opposite, especially if he moves to the NL. He has struggled to handle the pressure of pitching in New York and a fresh start could be what he needs. Burnett had some of his best years in the majors pitching in the NL. Still, Burnett would be nothing more than a risky late-round Fantasy pick in mixed leagues.

Josh Johnson
JJ continues to feel no discomfort
Josh Johnson, SP, MIA
3:09 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Marlins SP Josh Johnson arrived to the team's spring training complex in Jupiter, Fla., on Feb. 9, more than a week ahead of the Marlins reporting date for pitchers and catchers. Johnson, who has been throwing off a mound near his home in Las Vegas, threw his first bullpen session of the year in Florida on Feb. 10. He felt no discomfort and expects to be ready for the first workouts on Feb. 22. He made only nine starts last year because of shoulder issues.
Analysis: Any encouraging news regarding JJ is welcomed. But Fantasy owners do have to be aware of the risk of drafting him. Of course his potential makes it worth it, but JJ has made it past 30 starts just once in his career. Look to Johnson as more of a No. 2 Fantasy SP on Draft Day, but clearly he has the potential to be your ace if he can stay healthy.

Hunter Pence
Pence likely to hit cleanup
Hunter Pence, RF, PHI
8:09 PM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports Phillies manager Charlie Manuel has to find a cleanup hitter with Ryan Howard expected to miss the beginning of the season recovering from an Achilles injury, and he said his choice going into spring training is Hunter Pence.
Analysis: Pence either hit right in front of or right behind Howard after his acquisition from Houston last season and thrived in the Phillies lineup. He will miss Howard's lineup protection, but might only have to play a month without Howard. In the meantime, Pence should get plenty of RBI chances batting cleanup, and he will still have plenty of lineup protection without Howard. Look to Pence in the early rounds of Fantasy drafts.

Jason Vargas
Vargas expected to pitch in A's series
Jason Vargas, SP, SEA
7:14 PM
News: Mariners manager Eric Wedge hinted Sunday that ace Felix Hernandez and Jason Vargas are the leading candidates to start the team's first two games against the A's in Japan. "That's one of the reasons we're here early, to make sure we get Felix ready and we're probably looking at Vargas right now in regard to the first couple games," Wedge said, as reported by MLB.com. "It is a little odd, but that's OK. That's part of it. We're professionals here and we have to get multiple starters prepared for the regular season. It's not just about those two guys, it's about everybody else as well. We've got a lot of starting pitchers here in camp and we'll see how it plays out. I'm looking forward to the competition."
Analysis: Believe it or not, but Vargas is arguably the M's second-best pitcher heading into spring training. He has been a steady part of the M's rotation the last two seasons. He is 19-25 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 63 starts since the beginning of the 2010 campaign. However, he is not a dominant pitcher and has weak strikeout totals, so Vargas is nothing more than a low-end Fantasy SP on Draft Day.

Felix Hernandez
King Felix likely to start game in Japan
Felix Hernandez, SP, SEA
7:09 PM
News: Mariners manager Eric Wedge hinted Sunday that ace Felix Hernandez and Jason Vargas are the leading candidates to start the team's first two games against the A's in Japan. "That's one of the reasons we're here early, to make sure we get Felix ready and we're probably looking at Vargas right now in regard to the first couple games," Wedge said, as reported by MLB.com. "It is a little odd, but that's OK. That's part of it. We're professionals here and we have to get multiple starters prepared for the regular season. It's not just about those two guys, it's about everybody else as well. We've got a lot of starting pitchers here in camp and we'll see how it plays out. I'm looking forward to the competition."
Analysis: Hernandez didn't repeat as the AL Cy Young winner in 2011, but he still had another solid season for Seattle. He went 14-14 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. He also struck out 222 in 233 2/3 innings. His win-loss record would probably be way better on a top contender, but King Felix still does plenty for Fantasy owners to be considered a top 10 Fantasy SP on Draft Day.

Hisashi Iwakuma
Iwakuma says shoulder is fine
Hisashi Iwakuma, SP, SEA
5:18 PM
News: MLB.com reports Mariners SP Hisashi Iwakuma said his shoulder is fine after he was limited to 17 starts last season in Japan because of a sore right shoulder. "I talked to him at length a couple days ago," pitching coach Carl Willis said. "This is obviously all new to him being in the States for the first time, with a different routine pitching every fifth day instead of sixth or seventh. But he's not an 18-year-old kid either. He has a history of what he's done to get ready for a season and we'll talk daily. Really, at the outset it comes down to me listening to him, because he's the one who knows what he needs to do to get ready."
Analysis: Iwakuma had a 107-69 record in 226 career games in Japan. The right-hander was selected the 2008 Pacific League MVP and winner of the Eiji Sawamura Award (the equivalent of the Cy Young Award) after going 21-4 with a 1.87 ERA. Last season, Iwakuma went 6-7 with a 2.42 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 17 starts. While his numbers overseas are impressive, you know it has been hit or miss when it has come to Japanese pitchers in the majors. Even if Iwakuma lands a rotation spot with Seattle, you won't want to use more than a late-round flier on him.

Tim Hudson
Hudson cleared to increase throwing
Tim Hudson, SP, ATL
4:25 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves SP Tim Hudson, who is recovering from surgery to repair a disc in his back late in November, had been playing light catch in his yard until begin cleared by doctors this week to increase his throwing.
Analysis: The word around Braves camp is proceed with caution in regards to the veteran Hudson. Pretty much every important Braves official has said they won't rush the right-hander in his recovery, and Atlanta is willing to start the season without him if it comes to that. We will just have to see how he progresses this spring. Consider Hudson an injury-risk, mid-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Clearly, he can be a very productive Fantasy option when healthy.

Mike Minor
Minor having early control problems
Mike Minor, SP, ATL
4:21 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves SP Mike Minor, vying again this spring for the fifth starter's job, said, "All my pitches are everywhere right now." His says his arm feels good, but that it's lagging and he isn't following through. Fortunately, he knows the point of the Braves' early throwing program is to get these preseason inconsistencies out of the way.
Analysis: Minor is considered the favorite to win the final spot in the Braves' rotation over Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. However, Minor might be needed at the start of the season regardless if Tim Hudson's recovery from back surgery doesn't go as planned. Minor kind of disappointed in 15 starts in 2011. In fact, he has just a 4.74 ERA in 24 outings (23 starts) as a major leaguer and hasn't shown the same type of dominance he did in the minors. Still, the Braves have high hopes for the lefty and aren't giving up on him just yet. If Minor does make the rotation this spring, then look to him as a late-round Fantasy option in deep formats.

Craig Kimbrel
Kimbrel working on changeup
Craig Kimbrel, RP, ATL
4:19 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves RP Craig Kimbrel is working on locating his changeup, which he may use during the season if he's able to master it. But even if it's not ready for prime time, throwing it helps stretch him out for his fastball. He has yet to throw his curveball.
Analysis: While Kimbrel struggled at the end of the 2011 season, he still dominated hitters for most of the season on his way to winning NL rookie of the year honors. It's good that he is working to get better, but he shouldn't have to change too much since he has been a smash hit since debuting in 2010. Kimbrel is a must-own Fantasy RP and will likely be the first RP selected in many drafts this spring.

Roy Oswalt
Phillies not in running for Oswalt?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
4:06 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. defused a FOXSports.com report that his team remained in the hunt to re-sign Roy Oswalt. "We really don't have any room for him," Amaro told MLB.com. "We have five, six starters, and our resources are about where we want to be right now. I think he wouldn't mind coming back, but I don't know that's feasible or a real possibility."
Analysis: The Phillies surfaced as a possible destination for Oswalt after rumors surfaced again that the team wanted to trade Joe Blanton. It seems the Phillies have no immediate plans to bring Oswalt aboard, but we will have to continue to track his offseason progress. Fortunately, all of the teams linked to Oswalt are expected contenders, but even so, Oswalt would be at best a No. 4 Fantasy SP given his chronic back woes and declining numbers.

 
 
 
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