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Scott White

Dear Mr. Fantasy: Your DH needs to make sense

By | Fantasy Writer


It's the equivalent of running barefoot or driving with the emergency brake on.

Why would you ever start a middle infielder or a catcher at designated hitter?

Yeah, it'll work. You might actually have some success with it. But you're limiting your maximum potential and doing something you might regret in the long run.

Why? If you're using a middle infielder or catcher in your DH slot, someone needs him more than you do. And if you just took the time to survey the landscape of your league, you'd realize you have a golden opportunity to improve your team.

I have a pretty deep infield with Justin Morneau and a soon-to-return Aramis Ramirez locked in at first base and third base. Then I have Jose Lopez, Casey McGehee, Alexei Ramirez and Gordon Beckham for the remaining spots. Would you maybe DH one of them over, say, Alex Rios? -- Miles Aubrey

Fantasy Baseball - Dear Mr. Fantasy: Your DH needs to make sense : FantasyNews.CBSSports.com

SW: You listed four guys who qualify at middle infield spots, Miles, and I generally don't like to start middle infielders at designated hitter just because it's such a waste of their value.

People more often need help in the middle infield than at first base or in the outfield, so they'll often trade better hitters at those stronger positions for weaker hitters at weaker positions. You don't have to care where a guy plays since you'll just stick him at DH, so you might as well shoot for the higher-scoring player at the stronger position. Try shopping those infielders and see what you get.

In the meantime, you have to make a decision between the five guys you have, and even then, I can't see why you'd want to start any of the infielders over Rios. He has the most points of the bunch, and he hasn't even gotten hot yet, batting .260 when he usually hits in the .290 range. I get the feeling he has a course correction coming in the second half, so I don't even really think you need to trade one of the middle infielders, but you might as well try.

Then again, I say all that as a guy who starts Ben Zobrist, an eligible middle infielder, in the outfield in one league. Hey, I've tested the market on him. No one wants to pay fair value, so I might as well keep reaping the rewards myself.

I'm in a 16-team Rotisserie non-keeper league and have grown tired of Matt Wieters' lack of production so far. I currently have Brian McCann as my catcher and Wieters as my designated hitter. I know there's no way Wieters could have ever lived up to the hype he received before the season, but so far he's been just plain bad. How long would you stick with him as a utility player before moving on to other choices like Casey McGehee? -- Dan Norman

SW: Here we go again. If starting a middle infielder at designated hitter is a bad decision, starting a catcher is borderline certifiable.

Catchers don't even belong in the same discussion as other hitters because no matter how well they hit, in all but a few exceptions, they sit once a week. And when you eliminate the exceptions -- Victor Martinez, Joe Mauer and Brandon Inge -- not a single catcher has 200 points in standard Head-to-Head scoring. You know how many hitters had at least 200 points through Thursday? Exactly 100. And that doesn't even include Alex Rodriguez, Joey Votto, Manny Ramirez or any other player who missed a significant period of time. Yup, starting a catcher at utility is the same as starting Marlon Byrd at utility -- and that's if you start the absolute best catcher.

Granted, you play in an exceptionally deep league -- one where someone might legitimately have Byrd starting at DH -- and Wieters has the potential to place fourth behind those three exceptions, putting him on equal terms with Byrd. But that's kind of the point. It all goes back to wasting Wieters' value as a catcher.

Someone in your league has to need a catcher. Wieters should fetch a pretty good offer on potential alone, and as you can see from the Byrd example, you don't need a big-name player to improve your standing at DH (not that I'd settle for Byrd, but you get the idea). Shoot, I might even go so far as to trade McCann if you couldn't get what you wanted for Wieters. McCann might snag you a high-end outfielder or first baseman, which would contribute more points just on at-bats alone. Even if you got only Carlos Pena for him -- and I think you could do better -- that's the difference between 275.5 points and 178.5. It's a no-brainer.

Of course, I don't want to mislead anyone into thinking Pena has more value than McCann. He doesn't. When assessing a player's value, you have to measure how he compares to the other players at his position, and McCann has a bigger advantage over other catchers than Pena has over other first basemen. But when you start a catcher at designated hitter, you're no longer comparing him to other catchers, but other hitters in general. In that scenario, his value to you is lower than his actual value, and that's just wasteful.

You don't need to resort to a player like McGehee if you've grown tired of Wieters at DH. Simply trade one of your catchers for someone much, much better.

Someone offered me Tim Lincecum, Dan Haren, Nick Markakis and Kelly Johnson for Zack Greinke, Yovani Gallardo, Andre Ethier, and Chase Utley. I have both Freddy Sanchez and Asdrubal Cabrera as backups. Is this a good deal? -- Mike Gottfried, Thiensville, Wis.

SW: Let's cut through all the trivial details and assess this trade as exactly what it is: Markakis and Johnson for Utley and Ethier.

I mean it. Lincecum, Haren, Greinke, Gallardo -- they're all top-10 pitchers and more or less equals in my eyes. I rank them Greinke, Lincecum, Haren and Gallardo, but exchanging two for two doesn't have any real bearing on this trade.

The hitters certainly do. As I say just about every week, you almost always want the side of the deal that lands the best player, and the best player here is clearly Utley. Markakis at least ranks as one of the best players at his position, but the dropoff from him to Ethier isn't nearly as big as the dropoff from Utley to Johnson, who just went on the DL and might not even have a job upon his return.

No way I'd make this trade. I understand you have decent backups at second base and could compensate for the loss of Utley well enough, but he's one of the few first-rounders actually performing up to his capabilities. You'd have to get several Markakis-like players to part with him, not just one.

I just traded Albert Pujols and Chase Utley for Matt Cain, Ryan Howard, Dustin Pedroia and Jonathan Papelbon. I need the pitching help and play in a Head-to-Head league. I read your article about not giving up Albert Pujols unless someone overpays. Well, I gave up two top-five guys, but I still think I made out. What do you think? -- Pat Muth

SW: I could tell you what I'd think, but you'd probably never e-mail me again.

OK, I guess it's not that bad. At least you got another legitimate first-rounder in Howard, depending on how your scoring system works, and another top second baseman in Pedroia, who has the potential to finish right behind Utley with a big second half. Considering the arms you got, the trade's a fair one, and no league would have a valid excuse to overturn it.

I still wouldn't do it, though. You didn't just give up the best player in the deal, but the best two players -- one of them the best in all of Fantasy. And as I wrote last week, the gap between Pujols and the next-best player is so wide that any offer you get for him should be nothing short of overwhelming. The inclusion of Utley already prevents that.

But you still got a nice haul. You'll probably still have a good team. I just think you limited its upside. And if you really needed a pitcher, you could've found ways to get one without giving up two of the top five players in the game.

I play in a 10-team Head-to-Head league. Should I trade A.J. Burnett and John Danks for Manny Ramirez? This trade will not hurt my pitching because I have Josh Beckett, Ricky Nolasco, Ricky Romero, Wandy Rodriguez, Joe Saunders, Gavin Floyd, Aaron Cook and Tommy Hanson. -- Michael Tung, Rockville, Md.

SW: Hey, you already know where I stand here: I'll take the hitter. Oh look, you're also getting the best player in the deal in Ramirez. Looks like this proposal follows two of my guidelines for trading.

To be fair, I wouldn't always trade pitching for hitting, but you have a workable starting five in Beckett, Floyd, Nolasco, Rodriguez and Saunders. You can survive with them well enough, especially since you can work in Hanson, Romero and Cook during two-start weeks. If you have any shortcomings offensively, you should patch them up before you worry about your pitching.

And Ramirez should get back to playing at an elite level right away. People who say he'll be a different player now say so because they want him to fail. He cheated, and they want him to lose all significance because of it. It's a fair opinion, but not a particularly objective one, and you can take advantage of it with deals like this one.

I'm in a 10-team Head-to-Head league and can start three of the following four guys: Lance Berkman, Todd Helton, Jason Bartlett and Stephen Drew. Who should I sit? If Berkman still had outfield eligibility, this obviously wouldn't be a problem, but I finally sat him last week, and naturally, he caught fire and burned me! -- Dave Randolph, Cloverdale, Calif.

SW: Yeah, you can't do that, Dave. Unless you have several borderline waiver players, you have to stick with the same guys every week. Otherwise, you'll continually find yourself starting each player the week after he scores all his points. You're just chasing points all year and not actually earning any.

I wouldn't consider any of these four players borderline waiver players, but the choice to sit is clearly Drew. I like his potential and think he has a chance to finish as a top-five Fantasy shortstop with a big second half, but Bartlett's already there. Berkman's back to being a stud, meaning no one should sit him in any league at any time, and Helton's consistency makes him golden in Head-to-Head leagues even if his final stat line looks pretty ordinary.

I might suggest you try trading Drew, but I doubt you'd get much for him with his value the way it is right now. If Drew gets on a roll soon, I might try shopping Bartlett instead, but I'd want to feel secure with Drew before I went that route.

You can e-mail our staff your questions at DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Dear Mr. Fantasy in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. We'll get to as many as we can.

 
 
 
Player News
Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, then he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps this rumor regarding the Angels might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. The Angels could afford to trade Bobby Abreu to the Yankees, who are looking for DH. But this point is moot until Burnett agrees to waive his no-trade clause. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin fires back at GM
Jhoulys Chacin, SP, COL
12:07 PM
News: The Denver Post reports Rockies SP Jhoulys Chacin responded to comments made by GM Dan O'Dowd, who expressed concern recently about Chacin's offseason conditioning. "I came to Arizona this past Monday. I have not stopped training during the winter, both in my country and here," Chacin told Venezuelan newspaper Meridiano. "I have always done the best job I could all throughout these past few months. I don't know where these comments came from. I believe they're the result of what other people have told him, instead of his own personal evaluation. I am looking forward to meeting O'Dowd personally, and I am confident that he will have a different conclusion after a firsthand evaluation." O'Dowd made his comments after seeing Chacin at the team's Fanfest in January. "He looked OK. It wasn't as bad as I anticipated," O'Dowd said. "It's still not what it should be."
Analysis: O'Dowd believes Chacin needs to lose weight because the excess pounds affect the balance in his delivery and cause his fastball command to suffer. Chacin spent much of the winter working out in his native Venezuela after working out in Tucson previously. On Feb. 9, Chacin reportedly weighed 226 pounds but anticipates being close to the 218 pounds he was last spring when he reports to spring training on Feb. 19. Chacin went 8-7 with a 3.16 ERA in 18 pre-All Star break starts last year and went 3-7 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts after the break. Chacin struggled with walks in the second half and was much more hittable down the stretch than he was early in the season. This situation is clearly not the way Fantasy owners want to see Chacin kick off the 2012 season, but perhaps this will provide him with the motivation he needs to reach elite status. Look to Chacin as a mid-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Kosuke Fukudome
Fukudome lands on South Side
Kosuke Fukudome, RF, CLE
11:46 AM
News: Kosuke Fukudome is headed back to the Windy City, but this time he is going to call the South Side home. Fukudome agreed to a one-year, $1 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday. The deal also included a club option for the 2013 season.
Analysis: Fukudome played for the Cubs from 2008 to the trade deadline last season when he was shipped to Cleveland. He had his most disappointing campaign in the majors in 2011, which is why he probably stayed on the free-agent market longer than expected. The White Sox are expected to open 2012 with an outfield alignment of Alex Rios in center, Dayan Viciedo in right field and Alejandro De Aza in left field. Brent Lillibridge is considered a backup at all three outfield positions and now Fukudome joins the mix as another outfield body. However, since he likely won't begin the season as a starter, then Fukudome can be left undrafted in most Fantasy formats. Consider him at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve.

Jose Veras
Veras loses arbitration case
Jose Veras, RP, MIL
12:01 PM
News: CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman reports Brewers RP Jose Veras lost his arbitration case. He will make $2 million in 2012 instead of the $2.375 million he sought in arbitration.
Analysis: Veras arrived in Milwaukee in December as part of the Casey McGehee trade with the Pirates. Veras went 2-4 with a 3.80 ERA in 71 innings for Pittsburgh last season. He won't be a closer with the Brewers and will work in middle relief. Veras is merely a low-end Fantasy RP.

Dillon Gee
Gee prepping for the long haul
Dillon Gee, SP, NYM
11:33 AM
News: Newsday reports Mets SP Dillon Gee is focusing on finishing out the 2012 season after he struggled in the second half in 2011. Gee admitted fatigue played a part in his ERA rising to 5.25 after the All-Star break. He had a 3.76 ERA in the first half. "As the months went on, my stuff just got kind of bland," Gee said. "I feel that comes from fatigue. As soon as your legs get tired, you start overcompensating one way or the other, maybe relaxing a little bit. That throws off your release point, and in the end, the movement on your pitches. Earlier in the year, when I was fresh, you could see a big difference in the video that I watched."
Analysis: Gee said he is looking "for nothing but improvement" in 2012. He clearly has figured out what his biggest hurdle is to make sure he has a successful campaign. "I've had bouts of inconsistency where I jumped a level because it's a different thing you never experienced," Gee said. "My first full year in the big leagues was a long season for me. I wasn't used to that. It's only a month longer than minor leagues, but mentally, it's challenging. Every start, you have to focus so much harder, and that drains you. So I think learning how to deal with that and knowing what to expect this next year." Gee finished 2011 with 13 wins, but it could be a little tougher for victories this season as the Mets aren't the same star-filled team they used to be. Gee is merely a late-round Fantasy flier.

Josh Beckett
Beckett throws with skipper watching
Josh Beckett, SP, BOS
11:26 AM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox SP Josh Beckett threw 20 pitches in a bullpen session Tuesday as new manager Bobby Valentine watched.
Analysis: After a disastrous 2010, Beckett stayed healthy for the most part in 2011 and was able to get back on track. He made 30 starts and posted a 2.89 ERA. He also had a 13-7 record and 1.03 WHIP. Beckett has had less than 10 wins in just one of his last seven seasons. The biggest risk with drafting Beckett is durability. But if he is healthy, then he can post big numbers. Look to Beckett in the early rounds on Draft Day.

Kelvin De La Cruz
Indians DFA pitcher Cruz
Kelvin De La Cruz, SP, CLE
11:20 AM
News: The Indians designated for assignment pitcher Kelvin De La Cruz on Tuesday.
Analysis: Cruz has yet to make his MLB debut, but he is 32-28 with a 4.21 ERA in six minor-league seasons. He is merely organizational depth and can be ignored in Fantasy.

 
 
 
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