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Full Disclosure: Time to make your move

Scott White
  •  

It's all beginning to come together.

In a season where nothing has come easily, finally we see some results. Finally, all the hard work is starting to pay off. Finally, all the subtle maneuvering is starting to make a difference in the stat sheet.

Two weeks away gives us plenty of catching up to do, so let's jump right into it without the usual dilly-dallying.

You'll find plenty of that therein.

12-team mixed Rotisserie (4th; 5x5 Score: 77.5)

It happened: I got over the hump.

After months of playing the flavor of the week off the waiver wire only to remain stuck in fourth place, I got a refresher course in the value of patience when Ryan Ludwick, perhaps the one questionable player I kept through the good times and the bad, rewarded me with a four-homer week right before the All-Star break, surging my team from fourth place to second.

12-team mixed Rotisserie
Player Pos Tm
Jorge Posada C NYY
Kurt Suzuki C OAK
Todd Helton 1B COL
Dustin Pedroia 2B BOS
Kevin Youkilis 3B BOS
Gordon Beckham SS CHW
Dan Uggla MI FLA
Kendry Morales CI LAA
Justin Upton OF ARI
Shane Victorino OF PHI
Shin-Soo Choo OF CLE
Ryan Ludwick OF STL
Luke Scott OF BAL
Aubrey Huff DH BAL
Edwin Jackson P DET
John Lackey P LAA
Gavin Floyd P CHW
Jair Jurrjens P ATL
Brett Anderson P OAK
Brian Fuentes P LAA
Andrew Bailey P OAK
Scott Downs P TOR
Chad Qualls P ARI
Jose Reyes (DL) SS NYM
Ryan Dempster (DL) P CHC

That's right: Through the first half of the season, I had the second-best team in the league. I know. It snuck up on me too.

Granted, I didn't stay over the hump for long, but it's a two-steps-forward, one-step-back scenario. If it happened once, it can happen again, which was all the encouragement I needed to make a move.

So I did, swapping Chad Billingsley for Justin Upton in my first mixed-league trade of the year. Replacing Michael Cuddyer with Upton might not seem like a huge improvement considering all I lose in Billingsley, but I didn't need a huge one. I just needed enough of one to get me back over the hump and keep me there. I have more room to improve in the offensive categories than the pitching categories, so by acquiring a hitter, I simply committed to taking the path of less resistance.

By losing Billingsley, I figure I'm mostly losing strikeouts, and I'm already in the middle of the pack in that category, with four teams at least 50 strikeouts behind me. True, Billingsley helps in every pitching category but saves, but he might not help in those categories as much in the second half. He couldn't get out of the second inning in his last start and has allowed three runs or more in each of his last six starts. Maybe it's a case of a young pitcher having an Edinson Volquez-like second half. Maybe not. I'm not so much predicting it as acknowledging it as a possibility, so at least now it's someone else's concern and not mine.

Besides, I can find pitchers off the waiver wire to help in those non-strikeout categories. Brett Anderson gets the first look in the midst of his 21-inning scoreless streak, but I could always turn to Joel Pineiro if Anderson goes back to pitching like a 21-year-old.

If either of them pitches too well, I'll just have another dilemma when Ryan Dempster, who does contribute strikeouts, comes off the disabled list. Really, you could argue I made this trade just to clear a spot for him and that right now I'm "holding out" until he returns. That's the optimistic way of looking at it, anyway.

You might have noticed I moved Aubrey Huff from third base to DH and rearranged Kevin Youkilis, Todd Helton and Kendry Morales appropriately. It's symbolic. It means I now favor both Helton and Morales to Huff. In fact, I came frighteningly close to cutting Huff -- a player owned in 95 percent of leagues -- instead of Cuddyer after making that trade. I ultimately didn't do it because I feel like I'd have an easier time replacing an outfielder than a corner infielder if one of my starters got injured, but Huff needs to do something soon to keep me from changing my mind.

10-team mixed Head-to-Head (2nd; Record: 9-6)

In this league, it's just a matter of time.

10-team mixed Head-to-Head
Player Pos Tm
Ryan Doumit C PIT
Todd Helton 1B COL
Chase Utley 2B PHI
Kevin Youkilis 3B BOS
Hanley Ramirez SS FLA
Ben Zobrist OF TB
B.J. Upton OF TB
Shane Victorino OF PHI
Adam Lind DH TOR
Andre Ethier DH LAD
Josh Johnson SP FLA
Jon Lester SP BOS
James Shields SP TB
Wandy Rodriguez SP HOU
Dallas Braden SP OAK
Jonathan Broxton RP LAD
Ryan Franklin RP STL
Bench
Lance Berkman 1B HOU
Denard Span OF MIN
Carlos Quentin OF CHW
Matt Garza SP TB
J.A. Happ SP PHI
Chris Volstad SP FLA
David Aardsma RP SEA
Ramon Troncoso RP LAD
Kevin Slowey (DL) SP MIN

My team has gone 5-2 after a 4-4 start and ranks first in scoring by a wide enough margin that I don't expect it to change with one bad week. I'd feel even better about my position if I'd started J.A. Happ over Mr. Rainout last week. Thanks for nothing, Josh Johnson.

But why would anyone have thought to start Happ over Johnson, right?

Unfortunately, I might have already set myself up for failure this week, starting Andre Ethier over Lance Berkman, who had missed two games and figured to miss more with a strained calf. Naturally, he returned to the starting lineup Monday and doubled in his first at-bat. It's frustrating, especially since he's been my hottest hitter over the last month, but I knew the risks when I made out my lineup. I'd rather lose this way than by getting a zero-point week from Berkman.

I went with Ethier because he had a better combination of reliability and upside than Denard Span or Carlos Quentin. I might've started Span over Ethier if Ethier wasn't playing all six of his games at home this week. He's batting .296 with 14 home runs at home and .214 with four home runs on the road, so he looks like a clear platoon player in Fantasy. I wouldn't dream of activating Quentin in a shallow Head-to-Head league until I saw him play five games in a row. I have a feeling he'll get the Travis Hafner treatment coming off the DL, assuming he stays off the DL for long.

As for transactions, I dropped Geovany Soto for Ramon Troncoso to protect my investment in Jonathan Broxton, who has an aching toe. Plus, I just don't need Soto anymore with Ryan Doumit back from the DL. I also dropped slumping rookie Nolan Reimold for Dallas Braden, mostly just to take advantage of Braden's two-start week. I started him over Matt Garza, who has allowed eight earned runs in 11 1/3 innings over his last two starts.

Broxton has looked healthy enough since the break, but I actually started David Aardsma over him last week. I have a feeling I'll have to repeat that maneuver more than once in the second half.

12-team AL-only Rotisserie (5th; 5x5 Score: 63.5)

Fifth place. It's a victory in its own right.

12-team AL-only Rotisserie
Player Pos Tm
Gregg Zaun C BAL
Francisco Cervelli C NYY
Aubrey Huff 1B BAL
Brian Roberts 2B BAL
Alex Rodriguez 3B NYY
Jhonny Peralta SS CLE
Placido Polanco MI DET
Billy Butler CI KC
Shin-Soo Choo OF CLE
Pat Burrell OF TB
Clete Thomas OF DET
Andruw Jones OF TEX
Ty Wigginton OF BAL
Gabe Kapler DH TB
Jon Lester P BOS
Tim Wakefield P BOS
Jeff Niemann P TB
Michael Wuertz P OAK
Matt Guerrier P MIN
Mark Lowe P SEA
Randy Choate P TB
Fu-Te Ni P DET
David Robertson P NYY
Bench
Mike Carp 1B SEA
Oscar Salazar 1B SD
Alexi Casilla 2B MIN
Aaron Cunningham OF OAK
Kila Ka'aihue DH KC
Rich Hill P BAL
Neftali Feliz P TEX
Xavier Nady (DL) OF NYY
Lou Montanez (DL) OF BAL
Kevin Slowey (DL) P MIN
Daisuke Matsuzaka (DL) P BOS
Koji Uehara (DL) P BAL

It would've seemed like a tasteless joke just a month ago, when I was practically dead, hovering around 10th or 11th place as always. But it's a reality now.

Granted, fourth place is 20 1/2 points away and sixth place only half a point, but still, I'm better than half the teams in the league.

So what happened? Did my seemingly lopsided trades for Placido Polanco and Pat Burrell really make that much of a difference? Seems that way, though I don't mean to discount the effect the passage of time has had on Alex Rodriguez, who only recently has begun to catch up to some of the other big hitters across the league after missing all of April. But that's it. My other hitters have played more or less the same way all season long. And now that Clete Thomas has returned and assumed the better half of a platoon with Magglio Ordonez, I should continue to climb up the offense categories, where I currently rank sixth in both home runs and RBI. Pretty good for a team that was last in every offensive category as recently as May.

And that's after both trades, to some degree, backfired. I also got Xavier Nady in the Polanco deal, expecting him to become a must-start for me instead of missing the rest of the season, and traded A.J. Burnett in the Burrell deal, thinking Burrell had just as good a chance of coming around as Burnett. So I goofed, twice, and yet my team got better. One thing's for sure: In these insanely deep Rotisserie auctions next year, I'm going to overload on hitters. The demand for them is so much higher, and apparently for good reason.

It'll only get better at the trade deadline. I have all $100 of my FAAB ready to go to the next big hitter that comes over from the NL, assuming one does, in fact, come over.

One better come over. Otherwise, I'll have to blow it all on Cla C. Meredith. Not really, but ... really.

Speaking of Meredith, I actually claimed the other end of that deal, Oscar Salazar, off the waiver wire, dropping Lars Anderson, and thought I had gotten away with something. Turns out the Padres did. With even semi-regular time, that guy could make an impact in leagues as deep as this one. I ended up dropping Salazar for Carlos Santana and Francisco Cervelli for Tyler Flowers. If I have to start a minor-league catcher anyway -- and I was in Cervelli -- might as well make it a good one. Who knows? Maybe the out-of-contention Indians will end up trading Victor Martinez.

That's a completely unsubstantiated rumor. If anyone asks, I didn't start it.

I still don't trust Rich J. Hill not to blow up my ERA and WHIP, but Shawn Kelley hasn't done much for me, so dropped him for mystery man Fu-Te Ni. I don't know anything about the guy, but his numbers look good, and that's good enough for me. I'll have to cut someone when Kevin Slowey comes off the DL anyway.

12-team NL-only Rotisserie
Player Pos Tm
Yorvit Torrealba C COL
Koyie Hill C CHC
Mark DeRosa 1B STL
Emilio Bonifacio 2B FLA
Aramis Ramirez 3B CHC
Hanley Ramirez SS FLA
Stephen Drew MI ARI
Travis Ishikawa CI SF
Carlos Lee OF HOU
Brad Hawpe OF COL
Jayson Werth OF PHI
Nate Schierholtz OF SF
Angel Pagan OF NYM
Jerry Hairston DH CIN
J.A. Happ P PHI
Jorge De La Rosa P COL
Braden Looper P MIL
Jose Valverde P HOU
Mike MacDougal P WAS
Mark DiFelice P MIL
Nick Masset P CIN
Mike Adams P SD
Greg Burke P SD
Bench
Chad Tracy 1B ARI
Josh Whitesell 1B ARI
Micah Hoffpauir 1B/OF CHC
Greg Dobbs 1B/3B/OF PHI
Will Venable OF SD
Elijah Dukes OF WAS
Micah Owings P CIN
Alfredo Amezaga (DL) SS/OF FLA
Ryan Dempster (DL) P CHC
(DL) Brett Myers P PHI

12-team NL-only Rotisserie (8th; 5x5 Score: 58.5)

This team has disappointed me lately. Can't have everything go right, can we?

It's not that I haven't tried. Just too much has happened beyond my control. First, I traded for Scott Hairston only to watch the Padres do the same. Yeah, I got a full week out of him. Then, I dropped all $100 of my FAAB on Mark DeRosa only to watch him mess up his wrist. And make no mistake about it: It's still messed up. He has a partially torn tendon sheath that'll require offseason surgery. You can't think that won't affect his performance at all. We all know what happened to Jed Lowrie when he tried to play through a wrist injury. I mean, the world didn't explode or anything, but he didn't play well.

But for all my skepticism over DeRosa, I still ended up starting him. Who else would I start, Chad A. Tracy? To replace Hairston, I managed to nab Angel Pagan, who at least gets everyday at-bats as the Mets leadoff hitter. He doesn't have the same power as Hairston, but he might end up stealing more bases. He's probably a little underowned right now at two percent.

To improve my depth, I picked up Will Venable off the waiver wire when the Padres called him up. I think he's Chris Dickerson at best, but hey, anyone getting at-bats deserves a look in a league this deep. I'm happy to have him on my team.

I can't really say the same for Josh Whitesell, who I added for Steve Pearce just because he's taking so many at-bats away from Tracy. I don't expect much from him. His minor-league numbers look fine -- more than fine, really -- but prospect reports ignore players like him for a reason. Remember Dan Johnson? In a league this deep, take a flier on him, sure, but he doesn't deserve much hype.

My pitching staff looks a little heavy on the middle relievers, which was partially by design, but I certainly didn't count on the injury to Ryan Dempster. I could see myself losing some ground in wins and strikeouts if he doesn't come back soon.

20-team mixed Head-to-Head (3rd, NL-only side; Record: 8-7)
(10 teams NL-only, 10 teams AL-only)

Since the last time we spoke, this team has gone 1-1, which is pretty good considering my pitching staff is a mess and isn't getting any better.

20-team mixed Head-to-Head
Player Pos Tm
Chris Iannetta C COL
Nick Johnson 1B WAS
Brandon Phillips 2B CIN
Martin Prado 3B ATL
Everth Cabrera SS SD
Carlos Lee OF HOU
Shane Victorino OF PHI
Jayson Werth OF PHI
Pedro Feliz DH PHI
J.A. Happ SP PHI
Braden Looper SP MIL
Todd Wellemeyer SP STL
Ryan Sadowski SP SF
Tim Stauffer SP SD
Heath Bell RP SD
Chad Qualls RP ARI
Bench
Lance Berkman 1B HOU
Gary Sheffield OF NYM
Randy Winn OF SF
Seth Smith OF COL
Ian Snell SP PIT
Jose Reyes (DL) SS NYM
Ryan Dempster (DL) SP CHC
Chris Young (DL) SP SD
Randy Johnson (DL) SP SF
Pedro Martinez (DL) SP PHI

I have two choices. I could trade away a crucial piece of my lineup for a halfway respectable arm to slot at the top of my rotation, ahead of overachieving rookie J.A. Happ, or I could try to gut it out, hoping just to survive with suspect arms off the waiver wire until Ryan Dempster, Chris R. Young and Randy Johnson return.

Every time I look at my options, my decision remains the same: I have to gut it out.

People overvalue pitchers in this league. I could trade a top-15 outfielder like Jayson Werth and not get a top-15 starting pitcher in return, meaning I'd undersell Werth for a player who wouldn't be nearly as consistent from week to week just because of the negative impact of earned runs. Not only that, but I'd then have to replace Werth with someone like Gary Sheffield or Randy Winn, costing my team anywhere from five to 10 points per week while simultaneously ridding myself of the one clear advantage that makes my team work: an abundance of hitting.

And my team is working. I not only have the third-best record on the NL side, but the third-most points, and I've done it with the biggest collection of garbage you could possibly imagine for a pitching staff. Just look at it -- awful. I should have targeted potential breakouts like Yovani Gallardo and Adam Wainwright instead of high-risk pitchers like Dempster, Young, Johnson and Brett Myers, who all had deeper floors than ceilings. If I had, I'd have one of the best teams in the league.

So let's review quickly all the garbage I've moved on and off the waiver wire the last two weeks. I cut injured Anibal Sanchez for Ian Snell, hoping his minor-league success will eventually translate to the majors. I need as many arms as I can, so I cut Mike Fontenot, who became expendable with the addition of Martin Prado, for Rodrigo Lopez, who I immediately cut for Pedro Martinez when the news of his signing broke. Hey, I'm desperate. I cut Russ Ortiz for Tim Stauffer after his strong debut and then reclaimed Ortiz in favor of Brett Myers after the Phillies put Martinez on the DL.

I can't make up my mind on Ortiz, who I then cut for Seth Smith, who has a .915 OPS, just got a start against a left-handed pitcher Monday, and could become an impressive player with everyday at-bats. I like him as a deep sleeper, starting right ... now.

Ortiz ended up pitching well after I cut him, so I wouldn't mind adding him again. I need to load up on as many arms as possible just in case one of them becomes something consistent. That's the new strategy. I wouldn't mind adding Rick VandenHurk either. Maybe for Sheffield?

I made the same mistake with Lance Berkman in this league that I did in my 10-team Head-to-Head league, only here my replacement is Pedro Feliz. Talk about a downgrade. I'm facing one of the two teams ahead of me, too, so I picked a bad time to make a bad judgment call.

Maybe my pitchers will get lucky, which is pretty much what I'm banking on every week.

You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com . Be sure to put Full Disclosure in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

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Player News
Miguel Cabrera swats three homers in losing effort
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:27 am ET) Tigers third baseman Miguel Cabrera was dialed in as he recorded his second career three-home run game Sunday night against the Rangers.

Cabrera unleashed a three-run home run in the third, a solo shot in the fifth and another solo home run in the eighth inning. He became the 23rd player in major-league history to finish 4 for 4 with three home runs, five RBI and four runs scored. However, he became the first player to do it in a losing cause as the Tigers fell to the Rangers 11-8.

Cabrera hit .304 with eight homers and 34 RBI through 42 games during his triple crown season in 2012. He is hitting .387 with 11 home runs and 47 RBI through 42 games this season.

Joe Nathan closes out Tigers
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:19 am ET) Rangers closer Joe Nathan notched his 13th save of the season Sunday night against the Tigers.

Nathan, who entered the game in the ninth inning with a three-run lead, worked his way around a leadoff walk as he retired the next three batters to secure an 11-8 victory. He struck out one and improved his ERA to 2.12 after converting his 13th save in as many chances.

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by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:16 am ET) Tigers first baseman Prince Fielder is hoping to snap out of a recent funk. Fielder drove in a run Saturday for the first time in more than a week and finished 2 for 4 with a walk and three RBI Sunday against the Rangers.

"It's definitely not going to hurt," Fielder said. "That's what I'm trying to do, just trying to hit the ball hard. That's the goal, to hit the ball hard and see what happens."

Fielder is hitting .209 (9 for 43) with five RBI in his last 12 games. He is hitting .242 with two homers and 10 RBI in 17 May games.

David Murphy homers while hitting second
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:09 am ET) Rangers manager Ron Washington placed outfielder David Murphy in the No. 2 spot in the batting order for the second consecutive night Sunday. Murphy responded with his fifth home run of the season against the Tigers.

Murphy launched a three-run home run in the fifth inning that gave the Rangers a one-run lead. He finished 2 for 3 with two runs scored and four RBI in an 11-8 victory.

"I'm going to try to keep [Murphy] there so he doesn't have to wait around to get at-bats and he can be involved in the game right away," Washington told MLB.com before the game. "Maybe that'll start getting him going."

Murphy, who did not hit second at all last season, is hitting .215 with five homers and 16 RBI.

Omar Infante with two hits at leadoff spot
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:05 am ET) With Austin Jackson hurt and Andy Dirks out of the lineup, Tigers second baseman Omar Infante took over the leadoff spot Sunday against the Rangers.

"When you lead him off, you're leading him off because he's your only guy in that situation," manager Jim Leyland told MLB.com. "Normally I wouldn't have him leading off but, with the situation we're in, if you look at the lineup, who else would you lead off? ... The only other guy you'd think about is [Avisail] Garcia and I don't want to do that."

Infante finished 2 for 5 with two runs scored in an 11-8 defeat. He is hitting .313 with three home runs and 14 RBI in 144 at-bats.

Derek Holland hit hard in no-decision
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(12:03 am ET) Rangers starter Derek Holland endured a rough outing but did not factor in the decision of Sunday's 11-8 victory over the Tigers.

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Holland has allowed four runs or more three of his last five starts. He is scheduled to make his next start Saturday at Seattle. He has not allowed a run in his last 16 2/3 innings pitched at Safeco Field.

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Fister, who made his ninth start of the season, surrendered a sacrifice fly in the second and four runs in the fourth, including a two-run double to Adrian Beltre. The right-hander was charged with five runs and nine hits over 4 2/3 innings of work. He struck out three and walked one.

Fister has allowed 10 runs -- nine earned -- over his last 7 2/3 innings of work away from home. He is scheduled to make his next start Saturday at home against the Twins. He went 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA in four starts against Minnesota last season.

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Pedroia launched a two-run home run in the ninth inning to pad the lead for the Red Sox. He also drove in a run on a fielder's choice and finished 2 for 5 with two runs scored and three RBI in a 5-1 victory.

Pedroia has reached base safely in his last 14 games. He is hitting .446 (25 for 56) with two homers and nine RBI over that span. He has a .343/.432/.442 slash line 172 at-bats.

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(5/19/2013) Padres outfielder Will Venable went deep for the sixth time this season during Sunday's series finale against the Nationals.

Venable uncorked a solo home run in the fifth off starter Dan Haren and doubled in a run in the seventh. He finished 2 for 5 with a run scored and two RBI in a 13-4 victory.

Venable is hitting .217 (5 for 23) with two doubles, a home run and three RBI in his last five games played. He has a .237/.308/.441 in 118 at-bats.

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(5/19/2013) Padres shortstop Everth Cabrera enjoyed another productive performance as he stole a base in his fifth consecutive game Sunday afternoon against the Nationals.

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Cabrera has a .257/.342/.351 slash line with two homers and 15 RBI in 171 at-bats.

 
 
 
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