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Eric Mack

Highlighting top Royals prospects for '10

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


We break down the top five prospects for each organization for 2010, taking into consideration: games, at-bats, innings and major-league service time. We expect these players to have rookie status remaining heading into next year.

According to MLB rules: "A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the major leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a major league club or clubs during the period of 25-player limit (excluding time in the military service and time on the disabled list)."

Note: Statistics are those at each stop in the minors this season and age represents how old they will be on opening day 2010.

Kansas City Royals

Unless you're in a long-term keeper league, you didn't see much out of the Royals organization this season. They only had one rookie exhaust eligibility this season and only gave sparse time to four others. When the new regime took over, they vowed to run the system like they did with the Braves -- which means players spending their developmental years in the minors, not the majors. The Royals have some elite prospects, but you probably shouldn't anticipate them impacting the major leagues next season.

1. Aaron Crow, SP, 23

Crow could have been in the major leagues already if he hadn't spurned the Nationals in the 2008 First Year Player Draft. As it was, he took the year off -- sort, of, pitching in Independent Leagues a la Luke Hochevar -- and went 12th overall in this June's draft. The Royals got him signed and have a potential front-line starter in their midst. Crow went 13-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 127 strikeouts in his junior season with Missouri before being drafted the first time. His advanced age gives him a chance to move quickly but we have to figure the Royals will start him out in high Class A to his pro career. A good showing in the hitter-friendly Arizona Fall League (where No. 1 overall pick Stephen Strasburg is also headed) could earn him a ticket to Double-A, though.

2. Michael Montgomery, SP, 20

In most organizations, this lefty is a No. 1. Here, he is second or third fiddle. His age makes him unlikely to impact Fantasy leagues in 2010, but he sure doesn't look far from the major leagues after dominating high Class A in nine starts: 4-1, 2.25 ERA, 46 strikeouts with a .196 BAA in 52 innings. Between low and high Class A, he went (6-4)-2.21-98-.201 in 110 innings. He could open the year in Double-A, but the aforementioned Royals patience likely keeps him in the minors all of next season. He has the potential to be a good one, especially when you consider the fire that comes with him. Baseball America said he was kicked off his high school basketball team due to a propensity for technical fouls.

3. Michael Moustakas, 3B, 21

The Southern Carlifornia prospect didn't set high Class A on fire, but he remains a potential slugging third base star long term. He hit just .250 with 16 homers, 86 RBI, 66 runs, 10 steals with a .297 OBP and a .421 SLUG. There were 32 doubles in there, though, so his power potential is apparent, even if his consistency isn't. He will likely open the season in Double-A, but it will be hard to imagine the Royals rushing their 2007 early first round pick to the major leagues anytime next season.

4. Eric Hosmer, 1B, 20

As of this writing, he was still a teenager, so just the fact the slow-moving Royals progressed him up to high Class A is noteworthy. His first full season in the minors hardly was, though. He combined to go just .241-6-59-40-3 (.334, .361) in 377 at-bats between low and high Class A. Hosmer is years away from making a real Fantasy impact -- especially at that position -- but he is still a viable stashee in long-term keeper leagues if you have the time and patience.

5. Tim Melville, SP, 20

The 2008 fourth-round pick had first-round ability, according to Baseball America, but a disappointing senior season cost him some money and an earlier draft slot. He showed well in his pro debut this season, going (7-7)-3.79-96-.245 in 97 1/3 low Class A innings. His age and lack of experience means he is at least a few years away from making a Fantasy impact, but he is a decent flier in long-term keeper formats.

Best of the rest: Daniel Duffy, SP; Kila Ka'aihue, 1B; Carlos Rosa, RP; Johnny Giavotella, 2B; Jeff Bianchi, SS; Tyler Sample, SP; Chris Dwyer, SP; Blake Wood, SP; Sam Runion, SP; John Bannister, RP; David Lough, OF; Adrian Ortiz, OF; Luis Coleman, SP; Juan Abreu, RP; William Myers, C; Dusty Hughes, SP; Keaton Hayenga, SP; Carlos Fortuna, SP; Kelvin Herrera, SP; Henry Barrera, RP; Derrick Robinson, OF; John Lamb, SP; Jose Bonilla, C; Salvador Perez, C; Gilbert De La Vara, RP; Yowill Espinal, SS; Jason Taylor, 1B; Joe Dickerson, OF; Matt Mitchell, SP; and Geulin Beltre, OF;

2009 rookies to exhaust eligibility (expected): Mitch Maier, OF.

Last year's top five here: Moustakas, Ka'aihue, Danny Cortes (traded for Yuniesky Betancourt), Rosa and Hosmer.

You can e-mail Emack your Royals prospect questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Roy Oswalt
Oswalt waiting to sign with Texas?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
5:11 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said he hasn't had contact with Roy Oswalt's agents in the last week, and Jocketty offered up his own opinion on the Oswalt sweepstakes. “I think he’s waiting for Texas to clear money,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: It's interesting to hear Jocketty say Oswalt wants to sign with Texas. At least it's a legit reason why the veteran right-hander hasn't signed with a team yet, despite being linked to the Reds and Cardinals. Oswalt is likely going to sign somewhere before the start of the 2012 season and should be in a rotation. Consider Oswalt more of a mid-to-late-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Don't forget about his chronic back problems.

Johan Santana
Santana looks 'great' playing catch
Johan Santana, SP, NYM
2:25 PM
News: The Wall Street Journal reports Mets SP Johan Santana (shoulder) played catch from 175 feet Monday. Manager Terry Collins said Santana looked "great" and he hopes the left-hander will throw off a mound by the end of the week.
Analysis: Collins' assessment of Santana sounds like cautious optimism. After all it was just catch. Santana has bigger hurdles to clear in hopes of pitching for the first time since the 2010 season. Santana is coming off a serious shoulder injury and who knows if he can return to the dominant arm he once was. Fantasy owners should bear in mind that Chien-Ming Wang, who underwent the same procedure, needed two years to make it back to the majors, so Santana could wind up providing far fewer than 25 starts -- which is the Mets' goal for the lefty this season. Because of the playing time risk, he is a late-round option in mixed leagues at best.

Ryan Braun
Braun ruling coming soon?
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
1:51 PM
News: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports there is no indication that a ruling will be announced Monday regarding Ryan Braun's appeal of a 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It appears the recommended guideline for a ruling will be extended.
Analysis: The entire baseball world want this issue to be put to bed, but it seems we might have to wait a little longer for a ruling. The Brewers remain upbeat about Braun's situation, but only time will tell what happens. If Braun avoids a suspension, then he remains a first-round Fantasy pick. If he is suspended 50 games, then he is going to tumble down draft boards a bit, but Braun would still be an early-round Fantasy selection based on potential once he becomes active.

Seth Smith
Cespedes to bump Smith?
Seth Smith, RF, OAK
1:37 PM
News: Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes and the Oakland Athletics have agreed to a $36 million, four-year contract. Agent Adam Katz confirmed Monday the sides had reached agreement, with details still to be finalized. Cespedes' arrival means the A's could eventually bump Seth Smith to designated hitter.
Analysis: We will have to wait and see what happens when Cespedes finally arrives at A's camp, but the speculation is that the A's outfield alignment will eventually be Josh Reddick in right field, Coco Crisp in center field and Cespedes in left, which is where Smith is currently penciled in as the starter. But the A's could use a rotation at DH, which would still allow Smith to see regular at-bats, if Cespedes doesn't have to begin the year in the minors, which remains an option as well. Smith struggles against left-handed pitchers, so he might still be in a platoon situation like he was with the Rockies. Smith remains more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Mike Napoli
Napoli's ankle still an issue
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
12:48 PM
News: ESPN.com reports Rangers catcher Mike Napoli said his injured left ankle is progressing, but he is still not 100 percent. Napoli turned his ankle in the World Series against the Cardinals last year. "I think I’m close," Napoli said. "I’m not really going to know until I get into the wear and tear of spring training and catching all the time. But I've been feeling good and getting better day by day." Napoli said he has been running on the ankle, and he is also hitting and throwing without pain. However, he is still concerned about how it will hold up with the constant squatting and baseball activity. "But I'm trying not to do that all the time so I'm not depending on that," Napoli said. "I'm working on getting my little muscles stronger."
Analysis: The Dallas Morning News reports GM Jon Daniels said exams by team physician Keith Meister said Napoli's ankle shows no structural damage, but Napoli is still experiencing soreness. "The fact he's still feeling it a few months later speaks to what he went through to play the rest of Game 6 and go back out for Game 7," Daniels said. "It was about as bad as it looked to the rest of us." You have to wonder if Napoli can't shake this injury if it will play into how much time he gets behind the plate. Nonetheless, if Napoli catches less that just means he will likely see more PT at DH and first base. The Rangers aren't going to take his bat out of the lineup. Napoli remains a top 5 Fantasy catcher on Draft Day.

Emilio Bonifacio
Bonifacio was always the choice in CF
Emilio Bonifacio, SS, MIA
5:28 PM
News: The news broke Monday that OF Yoenis Cespedes agreed to a four-year contract with the A's, turning down the Marlins offer. Cespedes signing with the A's means Emilio Bonifacio will start in center field for Miami. However, manager Ozzie Guillen said that was going to be the case all along. "Bonifacio would've have been my center fielder no matter if Cespedes was here," Guillen told 790 AM in Miami. "If Cespedes (came) to the Marlins, he would have had to make the ballclub."
Analysis: Finally, Guillen steps up in front of this situation and stands behind Bonifacio as an everyday player. He absolutely deserved it after the season he put together in 2011. The 26-year-old took a big step forward last year as both a hitter and a base-stealer and is a viable starter in mixed Fantasy leagues at either shortstop or third base. He's worth targeting with a middle-round pick on Draft Day.

Scott Rolen
Rolen 'swinging bat really well'
Scott Rolen, 3B, CIN
5:21 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said 3B Scott Rolen (shoulder) should be full-go for the start of spring training. “I talked to his offseason trainer a 10 days or two weeks ago. He said Scott is 100 percent and swinging the bat really well," Jocketty said.
Analysis: Rolen had shoulder surgery in August and his recovery seems to be going well. While Jocketty expects Rolen to have a productive season, we have to look at the facts. He will be 37 years old in 2012 and hasn't played more than 133 games the last five seasons. Rolen will sit at times in 2012, whether it is by design or because of injury. He did hit 20 homers in 2010, but Fantasy owners can't bank on that come Draft Day. Rolen is at best a late-round, injury-risk Fantasy option.

Aroldis Chapman
Chapman 'healthy and feels good'
Aroldis Chapman, RP, CIN
5:18 PM
News: The Cincinnati Enquirer reports Reds GM Walt Jocketty said pitcher Aroldis Chapman is at the team's spring complex in Arizona and throwing. “He’s healthy and feels good,” Jocketty said.
Analysis: The plan is for the Reds to stretch out Chapman as a starter this spring. He isn't guaranteed a starting spot, but the Reds want to see if he can bring his electric stuff to the rotation. If Chapman can stretch out and utilize his 100 mph in the rotation, then he could end up as a very good Fantasy option. Chapman will be a player Fantasy owners will want to keep tabs on this spring. He has breakout appeal written all over him.

Ryan Kalish
Kalish not cleared to swing bat
Ryan Kalish, CF, BOS
4:41 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox OF Ryan Kalish has arrived at the team's spring training complex in Fort Myers, Fla., and is working out. However, he hasn't been cleared to swing a bat as he recovers from shoulder surgery.
Analysis: Kalish isn't expected to join the MLB roster until later this summer, so this news isn't shocking. Kalish is still holding out hope to be ready by opening day, but he isn't counting on it. It's disappointing he has to deal with this injury since the Red Sox have an opening in right field, which Kalish would be competing for had he avoided surgery. Kalish could very well emerge as an everyday player once he is healthy, but consider Kalish more of a draft-and-stash option in AL-only formats on Draft Day.

Adrian Gonzalez
Gonzo trims down for 2012?
Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, BOS
4:36 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox 1B Adrian Gonzalez showed up to spring training on Monday, even though position players didn't have to report until Feb. 23. The paper notes that Gonzalez appears trimmer than he was at the end of the 2011 season.
Analysis: Perhaps Gonzalez wanted to get a bit more in shape for the 2012 season, but it's not like he had poor conditioning in 2011. He did pretty well in his first season with Boston, batting .338 with 27 homers and 117 RBI. He is only 29 years old and still has plenty of quality years left. Gonzalez remains an early-round Fantasy pick in all formats.

 
 
 
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