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Eric Mack

Highlighting top Red Sox prospects for '10

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


We break down the top five prospects for each organization for 2010, taking into consideration: games, at-bats, innings and major-league service time. We expect these players to have rookie status remaining heading into next year.

According to MLB rules: "A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the major leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a major league club or clubs during the period of 25-player limit (excluding time in the military service and time on the disabled list)."

Note: Statistics are those at each stop in the minors this season and age represents how old they will be on opening day 2010.

Boston Red Sox

It is getting tougher and tougher for the Red Sox to keep winning and maintain an elite farm system, especially when you make some aggressive trade-deadline deals to pick up the likes of Victor Martinez and Billy Wagner. They do have strength where it matters most, though, and that's with starting pitchers ready to contribute immediately.

1. Michael Bowden, SP, 23

Bowden is ready for the major leagues, but a big-budget team like Boston tends to slot starting pitcher prospects in the minors, holding them back until absolutely needed. Bowden could open the 2010 season back in that role again. He posted a solid 3.13 ERA, .228 batting-average against, 88 strikeouts and 47 walks in 126 1/3 innings back in Triple-A this season -- even if his 9.56 ERA with Boston was less than impressive. Consider him a sleeper in any format if he is given a chance to earn a rotation spot out of spring training. Anyone getting starts for the Red Sox figures to be highly sought after on Draft Day.

2. Junichi Tazawa, SP, 23

Tazawa's first season in American pro baseball was a spectacular one, even if he had some monumental failures when called upon in a pennant race in Boston down the stretch. You could hardly expect much for a lightly tested Japanese import that never played in the top levels overseas and had only a couple of starts in Triple-A before his call-up. Tazawa numbers -- (9-7)-2.55-.219-94-27 in 109 1/3 innings between Double- and Triple-A -- were outstanding and give him a shot at earning the No. 5 starter's spot next spring, perhaps. We figure he will open the season with Bowden in Triple-A, though, biding his time before he's a hot commodity off the waiver wire in all mixed leagues.

3. Ryan Kalish, OF, 22

The Red Sox's position player prospects didn't have great seasons as a group, but this does not apply to Kalish. He easily outperformed them by hitting a combined .279 with 18 homers, 77 RBI, 84 runs, 21 steals (.364 OBP and .457 SLUG). He won't be a factor early in the season for the Red Sox, but his speed-and-power combination is far more impressive than either of the two hitters following him on this list.

4. Lars Anderson, 1B, 22

If you weren't skeptical about Anderson's bat before, you should be now. He was billed to be a future middle of the order hitter, but he hit like a bad offensive shortstop back in Double-A this season, going .233-9-51-50. That won't cut it at any level, much less at the deep first base position. Anderson will be a mulligan in Double-A for 2010, but if you are holding out big-time hope for him in long-term keeper leagues, if might be time to look for another flier to take.

5. Josh Reddick, OF, 23

Reddick was impressive in Double-A (.277-13-29-47-5, .352-.520 in 256 at-bats) before doing very little in Triple-A (.127-0-6-1-0, .190-.183 in 71 at-bats). Many will question why we don't list Casey Kelly in the Red Sox's top five, but Reddick's numbers were better last year and Kelly is still years away from making a true Fantasy impact.

Best of the rest: Casey Kelly, SS; Ryan Westmoreland, OF; Felix Doubront, SP; Kris Johnson, SP; Che-Hsuan Lin, OF; Aaron Bates, 1B; Michael Almanzar, 3B; Reymond Fuentes, OF; Stolmy Pimentel, SP; Yamaico Navarro, SS; Anthony Rizzo, 1B; Kyle Weiland, SP; Oscar Tejeda, SS; Luis Exposito, C; Hunter Jones, RP; William Wilson, SP; Brock Huntzinger, SP; Will Middlebrooks, 3B; Pete Hissey, OF; Derrik Gibson, 3B; David Renfroe, SS; Jeremy Hazelbaker, OF; Jose Iglesias, SS; Stephen Fife, SP; Zach Daeges, OF; Mitch Dening, OF; Dustin Richardson, SP; Mark Wagner, C; and Richie Lentz, RP.

2009 rookies to exhaust eligibility (expected): Daniel Bard, RP; and George Kottaras, C.

Last year's top five here: Bowden, Anderson, Chris C. Carter (designated for assignment), Reddick and Bard.

You can e-mail Emack your Red Sox prospect questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
A.J. Burnett
Burnett market is heating up
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
2/11/2012
News: FOXSports.com reports that four teams are now interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, including the Pirates, who have been in trade negotiations over the righty for the last three days. The Pirates are still the Yankees' preferred trading partner, though ESPN.com reports that the two sides are still in dispute over how much of Burnett's salary the Yankees should pay and which players Pittsburgh would give up. One of the four teams vying for Burnett is on his "no-trade list," though that team has not been identified.
Analysis: While the Yankees and Pirates are not close to making a deal, several sources have reported that there is a good chance that the sides will come to an agreement before the start of the regular season. A move to the National League will probably have a positive impact on Burnett's stats, but ultimately, he would still be too big of a risk to draft in standard mixed leagues.

Mike Napoli
Napoli avoids arbitration
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
2/11/2012
News: Texas C Mike Napoli agreed to a one-year, $9.4 million contract with the Rangers on Saturday to avoid an arbitration hearing, according to ESPN.com. Napoli, who is recovering from a left ankle injury, posted career highs in home runs (30) and RBI (75) last season.
Analysis: Napoli's injury could limit him during the early part of spring training, but he is not expected to miss any time during the regular season. Napoli enjoyed a career year during his first campaign with the Rangers and topped 20 homers for the fourth consecutive season. He will likely earn more starts at catcher this season and should be considered a solid C option in the early rounds of most 2012 Fantasy drafts.

Manny Ramirez
Field of Ramirez suitors shrinks by one
Manny Ramirez, DH, TB
2/11/2012
News: MASN.com reports that the Orioles have decided not to pursue free agent DH Manny Ramirez. Baltimore had been one of three teams, along with Oakland and Toronto, who had been considering the 39-year-old. "I don't think there's going to be a fit for Manny," executive vice president Dan Duquette said. "We've looked at that all winter and I'm not sure there's a fit there for the Orioles. I wish Manny a lot of luck, but I just don't think he fits in our ballclub right now." The team has recently signed free agents Wilson Betemit and Nick Johnson, both of whom could contend for the DH spot, lessening the need to sign Ramirez.
Analysis: The Orioles now have other potential designated hitters to turn to, and Ramirez comes with a 50-game PED suspension, so he is not an attractive option. With the A's and Blue Jays still in play, though, Ramirez still has a chance to be relevant in AL-only leagues this year.

Tommy Hanson
Hanson smooths out his delivery
Tommy Hanson, SP, ATL
2/11/2012
News: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports that Braves SP Tommy Hanson has worked this offseason to alter his pitching delivery in the hopes that it will make him less prone to injury. Hanson missed most of the final two months of last season due to a shoulder injury, and his health issues were attributed, at least in part, to a hitch in his delivery. He has worked with pitching coach Roger McDowell on a new, smoother delivery over the last six weeks, which should shift some of the stress of his throwing motion to his lower body. In addition to reducing the impact on his arm and shoulder, the more compact delivery should help Hanson to reduce the number of stolen bases off of him.
Analysis: We have yet to see how well Hanson will pitch in a game with his new delivery, but if it can make him more durable and prevent steals, it will enhance his already-robust Fantasy value. Even with health concerns, Hanson profiles as a low-end No. 2 SP, and if his new delivery works out, he could produce at an even higher level.

Jason Varitek
Varitek getting some interest
Jason Varitek, C, BOS
2/11/2012
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that free agent C Jason Varitek has received some interest from teams this offseason, and he will soon decide whether to play in 2012. The Red Sox, for whom Varitek has played his entire 15-year major league career, are among the teams interested. Retirement is a possible option for the 39-year-old.
Analysis: Varitek has played in just 107 games over the last two seasons, so even if he decides to play one more year, he is unlikely to be a factor in most Fantasy leagues. He does still have some pop in his bat, though, so owners in deep formats should stay tuned to see what Varitek decides.

Brandon Gomes
Gomes recovering from back surgery
Brandon Gomes, RP, TB
2/11/2012
News: The Tampa Bay Times reports that Rays RP Brandon Gomes continues to recover from back surgery that he underwent in November, and he is at risk of missing the beginning of spring training. Gomes had the procedure to clean out the area around a disc, and he is still probably at least two weeks away from throwing off a mound. "Right now it's progressing along great, I don't really see anything to be concerned about," Gomes told reporters on Friday. "I might miss the very beginning of spring training, but that's about it." Gomes could still be ready for the beginning of the regular season.
Analysis: Gomes pitched well in his rookie season, posting a 2.92 ERA in 40 games with the Rays. He will probably fill a middle relief role for Tampa Bay again this season. A good strikeout pitcher, Gomes is a low-end option for owners in leagues that use middle relievers.

Cody Ross
Ross re-working his swing
Cody Ross, LF, BOS
2/11/2012
News: Red Sox OF Cody Ross was disappointed with his 2011 season, in which he batted just .240 for the Giants, but he told WEEI.com that he is making some changes in order perform better in 2012. Ross watched video from his performances last year and noticed some adjustments that he needed to make at the plate. Specifically, Ross said he is "really focusing on just driving the ball and staying on top of the ball as opposed to swinging with more of an upper-cut." Ross started to address these changes late last season, working with former Giants teammate Carlos Beltran.
Analysis: Ross' flyball rate skyrocketed to 48 percent last season, resulting in a high percentage of flyouts, which put a damper on his batting average. Not only could his new approach to hitting help him to cut back on those easy outs, but it could pay big dividends in doubles-friendly Fenway Park. Ross lacks a regular position, but between filling in for injured Carl Crawford (wrist) early in the year and spelling Ryan Sweeney in right field, he could put together a decent amount of playing time. Look to Ross as a solid option in AL-only leagues.

Miguel Cabrera
Cabrera shedding weight for move to 3B
Miguel Cabrera, 3B, DET
2/10/2012
News: Tigers C Alex Avila told ESPN.com on Friday that Miguel Cabrera has lost 20-25 pounds this offseason in anticipation of his move to third base. Cabrera, who played first base each of the last few seasons, is moving to the hot corner with Prince Fielder signing with Detroit in the offseason. Cabrera batted .344 with 30 home runs and 105 RBI in 2011.
Analysis: Cabrera came up as an infielder and has shown in the past that he can play the hot corner. His size has been one of the bigger question marks on whether or not he can last an entire season at third base so shedding some weight should help the process. Good thing for Fantasy owners is that his defense will not affect on his value, and he should continue to mash at the plate for Detroit. Add to the fact that he will gain duel eligibility and owners should target Cabrera as a Top 5 Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Sean White
White catches on with BoSox
Sean White, RP, COL
2/11/2012
News: The Red Sox signed RP Sean White to a minor-league deal on Friday. The right-hander posted a 5.68 ERA in 53 appearances in the minors for the Rockies last season.
Analysis: White has a career 4.16 ERA and last pitched in the majors in 2010. Even if he breaks camp with the big club, plan on ignore him in all Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Garrett Jones
Jones to stay in Pittsburgh
Garrett Jones, RF, PIT
2/10/2012
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that the Yankees offered A.J. Burnett to the Pirates, but had asked for OF Garrett Jones in return. The Pirates balked at the offer, as they want to hold on to Jones. However, negotiations for a trade involving Burnett are ongoing, as the teams are differing on how much of Burnett's salary that Yankees should pay.
Analysis: Should the Pirates change their minds, Jones would certainly benefit from a move to the Yankees and their homer-friendly park. However, it appears that Jones will be staying put in Pittsburgh, where he will remain an option mostly for owners in NL-only leagues.

 
 
 
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