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Eric Mack

Highlighting top Phillies prospects for '10

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


We break down the top five prospects for each organization for 2010, taking into consideration: games, at-bats, innings and major-league service time. We expect these players to have rookie status remaining heading into next year.

According to MLB rules: "A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the major leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a major league club or clubs during the period of 25-player limit (excluding time in the military service and time on the disabled list)."

Note: Statistics are those at each stop in the minors this season and age represents how old they will be on opening day 2010.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have been the class of the NL the past two seasons and the farm system has had plenty to do with it. Not necessarily because they go to the well with rookies -- although J.A. Happ was pretty darn good -- but mostly due to the midseason acquisitions like Cliff Lee and Joe Blanton. There is plenty more talent to pick from, including a trio of elite prospects that could either arrive this season or net them another horse for a potential NL three-peat.

1. Kyle Drabek, SP, 22

Drabek, the son of the former Pirates ace, enjoyed a breakthrough in his comeback from Tommy John elbow surgery. He went 12-3 with a 3.19 ERA, .239 batting-average against and 150 strikeouts to 50 walks in 158 innings between high Class A and Double-A last season. Drabek will need time in the high minors, especially since the Phillies' rotation is plenty deep, but he could be an instant success as a starter on a top contender by midseason. Consider stashing him in any format until it becomes official he will open the year in the minors.

2. Michael Taylor, OF, 24

Taylor has put together two strong seasons back-to-back, hitting .320 with 20 homers, 84 RBI, 74 runs, 21 steals, a .395 on-base percentage and a .549 slugging percentage in a combined 428 at-bats between Double- and Triple-A. It puts him on the verge of helping the Phillies in 2010, but the question is how? An outfield of Jayson Werth, Raul Ibanez and Shane Victorino is already stacked. Taylor could be trade bait or a fourth outfielder initially, which would make him a nice buy late in deeper NL-only leagues on Draft Day. He could be a Fantasy star by the age of 27, though.

3. Domonic Brown, OF, 22

Baseball America and MiLB.com both like Brown as the Phillies' No. 1 prospect, but to us his numbers are not quite as impressive as Taylor's and he won't be as instant of a hit as Drabek could be in 2010. Brown does have age in his favor, though. He went a combined .299-14-64-65-23 (.377-.504) in 395 at-bats from low Class A to Double-A, which belie those Darryl Strawberry comparisons for years among scouts (mostly because of his tall, lanky frame). Brown is a serious prospect with plenty of room to grow, so consider him a must-stashee in all long-term keeper leagues. He would need a real big spring and first half to be more than a September call-up this season, though.

4. Travis D'Arnaud, C, 21

The Phillies were able to deal a major league ready catcher prospect in Lou Marson before the trade deadline because they have D'Arnaud working his way up from the lower levels. D'Arnaud went .255-13-71-71-8 (.319-.419) in low Class A and figures to be a long-term solution at the backstop position for the Phillies as soon as mid-2011. Consider stashing him in keeper leagues this season, but we don't expect to see him in the majors before September at best.

5. Joe Savery, SP, 24

There is an odd distaste for Savery in scouting circles, like so many former Rice Owl pitchers before him. We are not inclined to give up on the 6-foot-3, 215-pound left-hander, though. He went a combined 16-6 with a 4.40 ERA and a .268 BAA in 151 1/3 innings between Double- and Triple-A. Sure, he doesn't strike out many batters (96) and he walks a few too many (77), but name a left-handed pitching prospect that doesn't have those strikes against him. Savery can be a back-end of the rotation winner and is still a prospect worth stashing in deeper long-term keeper leagues.

Best of the rest: Trevor May, SP; Antonio Bastardo, SP; Andrew J. Carpenter, RP; Anthony Gose, OF; Sebastian Valle, C; Anthony Hewitt, 3B; Jarred Cosart, SP; Jonathan Singleton, 1B; Jonathan Villar, SS; Domingo Santana, OF; Freddy Galvis, SS; Drew Naylor, SP; Leandro Castro, OF; Zach Collier, OF; B.J. Rosenberg, RP; Kelly Dugan, OF; Kyrell Hudson, OF; Adam Buschini, 2B; Matt Way, SP; Vance Worley, SP; Edgar Garcia, SP; Travis Mattair, 3B; Mike Stutes, SP; Julian Sampson, SP; Sergio Escalona, RP; Pat Overholt, SP; Mike Cisco, SP; and Quintin Berry, OF.

2009 rookies to exhaust eligibility: Happ, SP; and John Mayberry, OF.

Last year's top five here: Carlos Carrasco (traded to Cleveland for Cliff Lee), SP; Savery, SP; Happ, SP; Taylor, OF; and Drabek, SP.

You can e-mail Emack your prospect questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Jason Varitek
Varitek getting some interest
Jason Varitek, C, BOS
12:16 PM
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that free agent C Jason Varitek has received some interest from teams this offseason, and he will soon decide whether to play in 2012. The Red Sox, for whom Varitek has played his entire 15-year major league career, are among the teams interested. Retirement is a possible option for the 39-year-old.
Analysis: Varitek has played in just 107 games over the last two seasons, so even if he decides to play one more year, he is unlikely to be a factor in most Fantasy leagues. He does still have some pop in his bat, though, so owners in deep formats should stay tuned to see what Varitek decides.

Brandon Gomes
Gomes recovering from back surgery
Brandon Gomes, RP, TB
11:18 AM
News: The Tampa Bay Times reports that Rays RP Brandon Gomes continues to recover from back surgery that he underwent in November, and he is at risk of missing the beginning of spring training. Gomes had the procedure to clean out the area around a disc, and he is still probably at least two weeks away from throwing off a mound. "Right now it's progressing along great, I don't really see anything to be concerned about," Gomes told reporters on Friday. "I might miss the very beginning of spring training, but that's about it." Gomes could still be ready for the beginning of the regular season.
Analysis: Gomes pitched well in his rookie season, posting a 2.92 ERA in 40 games with the Rays. He will probably fill a middle relief role for Tampa Bay again this season. A good strikeout pitcher, Gomes is a low-end option for owners in leagues that use middle relievers.

Cody Ross
Ross re-working his swing
Cody Ross, LF, BOS
9:59 AM
News: Red Sox OF Cody Ross was disappointed with his 2011 season, in which he batted just .240 for the Giants, but he told WEEI.com that he is making some changes in order perform better in 2012. Ross watched video from his performances last year and noticed some adjustments that he needed to make at the plate. Specifically, Ross said he is "really focusing on just driving the ball and staying on top of the ball as opposed to swinging with more of an upper-cut." Ross started to address these changes late last season, working with former Giants teammate Carlos Beltran.
Analysis: Ross' flyball rate skyrocketed to 48 percent last season, resulting in a high percentage of flyouts, which put a damper on his batting average. Not only could his new approach to hitting help him to cut back on those easy outs, but it could pay big dividends in doubles-friendly Fenway Park. Ross lacks a regular position, but between filling in for injured Carl Crawford (wrist) early in the year and spelling Ryan Sweeney in right field, he could put together a decent amount of playing time. Look to Ross as a solid option in AL-only leagues.

Miguel Cabrera
Cabrera shedding weight for move to 3B
Miguel Cabrera, 3B, DET
2/10/2012
News: Tigers C Alex Avila told ESPN.com on Friday that Miguel Cabrera has lost 20-25 pounds this offseason in anticipation of his move to third base. Cabrera, who played first base each of the last few seasons, is moving to the hot corner with Prince Fielder signing with Detroit in the offseason. Cabrera batted .344 with 30 home runs and 105 RBI in 2011.
Analysis: Cabrera came up as an infielder and has shown in the past that he can play the hot corner. His size has been one of the bigger question marks on whether or not he can last an entire season at third base so shedding some weight should help the process. Good thing for Fantasy owners is that his defense will not affect on his value, and he should continue to mash at the plate for Detroit. Add to the fact that he will gain duel eligibility and owners should target Cabrera as a Top 5 Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Sean White
White catches on with BoSox
Sean White, RP, COL
12:42 AM
News: The Red Sox signed RP Sean White to a minor-league deal on Friday. The right-hander posted a 5.68 ERA in 53 appearances in the minors for the Rockies last season.
Analysis: White has a career 4.16 ERA and last pitched in the majors in 2010. Even if he breaks camp with the big club, plan on ignore him in all Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

A.J. Burnett
Yankees, Pirates still talking Burnett deal
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
2/10/2012
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that the Yankees have made an offer to the Pirates that would send SP A.J. Burnett to Pittsburgh. However, the Pirates rebuffed the offer, which would have involved sending OF Garrett Jones to the Yankees, with the Pirates paying more than one-third of the $33 million remaining on Burnett's contract. While the Pirates have insisted on keeping Jones, the two parties have continued their negotiations, though they are reportedly still millions apart on the salary relief issue.
Analysis: While the Pirates are unlikely to offer the kind of run support that Burnett could receive in New York, a move to the NL could be beneficial to the righty. Home runs have hurt Burnett greatly over the last two seasons, but PNC Park would be a much friendlier place for him to pitch, plus he wouldn't have to face the designated hitter in NL games. Stay tuned to see if these talks progress any further, as Burnett would be a viable option in NL-only leagues, as well as some deeper mixed leagues.

Garrett Jones
Jones to stay in Pittsburgh
Garrett Jones, RF, PIT
2/10/2012
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that the Yankees offered A.J. Burnett to the Pirates, but had asked for OF Garrett Jones in return. The Pirates balked at the offer, as they want to hold on to Jones. However, negotiations for a trade involving Burnett are ongoing, as the teams are differing on how much of Burnett's salary that Yankees should pay.
Analysis: Should the Pirates change their minds, Jones would certainly benefit from a move to the Yankees and their homer-friendly park. However, it appears that Jones will be staying put in Pittsburgh, where he will remain an option mostly for owners in NL-only leagues.

Zachary Walters
Walters opening some eyes
Zachary Walters, SS, ARI
2/10/2012
News: Nationals prospect Zachary Walters was chosen to play in the Arizona Fall League this offseason and has opened some eyes with his play. While he batted just .205 with one homer and 10 RBI through 24 games, Washington infield coordinator Jeff Garber told MASNSports.com that he has been impressed with the 22-year-old. "Tremendous, tremendous athletic ability," Garber said when asked about Walters. "He has great instincts and is a very aggressive player. I really like what I saw. He has some things to polish, to shore up. He has got the versatlity to move around the infield and change positions, as we saw in Arizona where he played third base. He played (both positions for Single-A Potomac) and showed a tremendous arm."
Analysis: Walters, who was acquired for Jason Marquis from Arizona, batted .300 with nine home runs, 67 RBI and 19 stolen bases between two levels of the minors last season and is expected to begin 2012 with Double-A Harrisburg. He has some decent upside but since he is probably a year or two away from making an impact in the majors, continue to view Walters as more of a long-term prospect at this point.

Matt Angle
Angle designated for assignment
Matt Angle, CF, BAL
2/10/2012
News: The Orioles designated OF Matt Angle for assignment on Friday. Angle batted .177 with one homer, seven RBI and 11 stolen bases in 31 games in the majors last season.
Analysis: Angle has been playing some infield this offseason to enhance his chances of making the majors in 2012 but this move does not bode well for that. Plan on ignoring the 26-year-old in all Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Scott Linebrink
Cards add Linebrink to bullpen
Scott Linebrink, RP, ATL
2/10/2012
News: The Cardinals agreed to sign RP Scott Linebrink to a minor league deal with an invite to spring training on Friday. Linebrink pitched in 64 games with the Braves last season, going 4-4 with a 3.64 ERA.
Analysis: Linebrink had been frequently bitten by the home run bug in his years with the White Sox, but he fared much better with Atlanta. Should he make the Cardinals' squad, pitching his home games at Busch Stadium should help to subdue Linebrink's home run tendencies. He is a low-end option for owners in leagues that use middle relievers.

 
 
 
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