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Eric Mack

2010 Draft Prep: Scoring system changes explained

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


People fear change -- we learned that the hard way a year ago -- but we have a hunch CBSSports.com's Fantasy Baseball single game players are going to welcome this one: We made some slight tweaks to the standard scoring system after 2009's dramatic ones that served as culture shock.

We will remind you, though, most of the feedback from the end of last season was positive. The changes had to be made, we said, and the public wound up realizing it for themselves. So, we didn't revert back to our past long-standing model, but we feel we have made some improvements this year.

You will notice by the data visualization below, we kept the overall integrity of the points distribution. We accomplished the primary objective -- reducing the largest negative scores -- without sacrificing the high scores or raising the average score.

data visualization by tableau public

Using our visualization above, we can compare how last year's results would have been affected by this year's new scoring changes. The top graph shows the difference in the weekly high scorer, average and low scorer. The bottom application allows you to select which players to compare the impact the new scoring change would have had on them every week of last season.

Our goal amid the new system changes was to reduce the range in high scores to low scores while not significantly altering the overall scoring for pitchers. Making pitchers score too many points would have brought us back to where we had started, allowing Fantasy owners to merely rely on the two-start pitcher strategy.

Notice how the orange line for the new scoring system is significantly raised from the gray line for the old system. The low scores are not going to be as low, while the high scorer and average score hardly changed at all. Mission accomplished.

Starting pitchers can still be wide-ranging in their production from start to start. We closed the gap some, but you are still on the hook for some significant negative scores if your pitcher gets hammered. It still won't be easy to just load up on Joe Schmoe, two-start pitcher. You have to consider his quality, consistency and matchup when setting your lineups week to week.

Here are the Fantasy Baseball scoring system changes for CBSSports.com's standard Head-to-Head leagues for 2010. All of them are related to pitching. Ask and you shall receive:

CBSSports.com standard scoring system new and old
Pitching Category 2009 scoring system New scoring system Change
Win 7 points 7 points NC
Save 5 points 7 points +2 points
Shutout 5 points 0 points -5 points
Quality Start N/A 3 points +3 points
Strikeout 1 point .5 points -.5 points
Base on Balls -1 point -1 point NC
Inning Pitched 3 points 3 points NC
Hits Allowed -1 point -1 point NC
Earned Runs -2 points -1 point +1 point
Blown Save -2 points 0 points +2 points
Hits Batsman N/A -1 point -1 point
Loss -5 points -5 points NC

1. We lowered the penalty from earned runs from minus-2 points to minus-1 point.

This was the biggest point of contention from a year ago. You already endure the loss of a point for allowing that baserunner to reach. Now, every runner that reaches and scores is minus-2 points, instead of minus-3. After all, the pitcher only does two things wrong here: He lets the batter reach and he lets the runner score. There was no real reason to penalize him a third point.

2. We added bonus points for quality starts -- +3 points.

The readers were right. This writer was wrong. A starter who posts a quality start and absorbs a loss didn't necessarily deserve a bonus, but not giving him one left some quality starts still in the negatives.

This bonus, in addition to keeping an inning pitched at 3 points, rewards starters that keep their teams close and work deep into games. You will find drafting and stockpiling pitchers that are big in the quality-start category paramount to having a consistent Fantasy staff and winning Fantasy matchups week to week. Last year's quality-starts king, King Felix Hernandez, wound up being the highest-scoring pitcher last year with this year's new scoring system.

3. Pitcher strikeouts are now a bonus equal to the penalty we give hitters, +½ point.

We like penalizing hitters that strike out in Head-to-Head leagues and we wanted to keep hitter scoring the same. It wasn't really broke, so we didn't try to tweak it. But, we did lower the bonus for pitcher strikeouts by ½. We had two good reasons:

  1. We wanted to offset the increase in pitcher scoring that resulted when we lowered the earned runs penalty to minus-1 point.
  2. We agreed with the readers that complained the pitcher strikeout bonus wasn't equal to the hitter strikeout penality. It is now.

4. We made a save equal to a victory -- +7 points.

Our last scoring system downgraded closers so much, it potentially made them less useful than a good middle reliever. The two-point upgrade for a save makes closers more significant on Draft Day and via the waiver wire. There will be a tad less reliance on middle relievers or slotting an RP-eligible starter over the top closers on a weekly basis.

5. Blown saves are no longer a penalty of minus-2 points.

Some of the biggest negative outings in our scoring system last year were courtesy of a closer that didn't record an out, allowed earned runs, got hit with a blown save and then took a loss. Heck, a closer could do little wrong and get hung with a blown save loss -- without giving up a hit, no less. The double jeopardy of the blown save was merely piling on, so we took it out.

6. Complete game shutouts no longer get a 5-point bonus.

This really doesn't have a huge affect on scoring over the course of a full season, because there are so few complete-game shutouts nowadays, but in a given week that bonus was piling on points for a starting pitcher that already scored a huge, huge week. Removing this helps reduce the wide range of pitcher scores from top to bottom in a given week.

7. We added a penalty for hit batsman of minus-1 point.

We had given a point to a batter who reached via HBP but didn't penalize the pitcher. The two should be equal and are now.

You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com.Be sure to put Scoring system in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
A.J. Burnett
Burnett market is heating up
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
2/11/2012
News: FOXSports.com reports that four teams are now interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, including the Pirates, who have been in trade negotiations over the righty for the last three days. The Pirates are still the Yankees' preferred trading partner, though ESPN.com reports that the two sides are still in dispute over how much of Burnett's salary the Yankees should pay and which players Pittsburgh would give up. One of the four teams vying for Burnett is on his "no-trade list," though that team has not been identified.
Analysis: While the Yankees and Pirates are not close to making a deal, several sources have reported that there is a good chance that the sides will come to an agreement before the start of the regular season. A move to the National League will probably have a positive impact on Burnett's stats, but ultimately, he would still be too big of a risk to draft in standard mixed leagues.

Mike Napoli
Napoli avoids arbitration
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
2/11/2012
News: Texas C Mike Napoli agreed to a one-year, $9.4 million contract with the Rangers on Saturday to avoid an arbitration hearing, according to ESPN.com. Napoli, who is recovering from a left ankle injury, posted career highs in home runs (30) and RBI (75) last season.
Analysis: Napoli's injury could limit him during the early part of spring training, but he is not expected to miss any time during the regular season. Napoli enjoyed a career year during his first campaign with the Rangers and topped 20 homers for the fourth consecutive season. He will likely earn more starts at catcher this season and should be considered a solid C option in the early rounds of most 2012 Fantasy drafts.

Manny Ramirez
Field of Ramirez suitors shrinks by one
Manny Ramirez, DH, TB
2/11/2012
News: MASN.com reports that the Orioles have decided not to pursue free agent DH Manny Ramirez. Baltimore had been one of three teams, along with Oakland and Toronto, who had been considering the 39-year-old. "I don't think there's going to be a fit for Manny," executive vice president Dan Duquette said. "We've looked at that all winter and I'm not sure there's a fit there for the Orioles. I wish Manny a lot of luck, but I just don't think he fits in our ballclub right now." The team has recently signed free agents Wilson Betemit and Nick Johnson, both of whom could contend for the DH spot, lessening the need to sign Ramirez.
Analysis: The Orioles now have other potential designated hitters to turn to, and Ramirez comes with a 50-game PED suspension, so he is not an attractive option. With the A's and Blue Jays still in play, though, Ramirez still has a chance to be relevant in AL-only leagues this year.

Tommy Hanson
Hanson smooths out his delivery
Tommy Hanson, SP, ATL
2/11/2012
News: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports that Braves SP Tommy Hanson has worked this offseason to alter his pitching delivery in the hopes that it will make him less prone to injury. Hanson missed most of the final two months of last season due to a shoulder injury, and his health issues were attributed, at least in part, to a hitch in his delivery. He has worked with pitching coach Roger McDowell on a new, smoother delivery over the last six weeks, which should shift some of the stress of his throwing motion to his lower body. In addition to reducing the impact on his arm and shoulder, the more compact delivery should help Hanson to reduce the number of stolen bases off of him.
Analysis: We have yet to see how well Hanson will pitch in a game with his new delivery, but if it can make him more durable and prevent steals, it will enhance his already-robust Fantasy value. Even with health concerns, Hanson profiles as a low-end No. 2 SP, and if his new delivery works out, he could produce at an even higher level.

Jason Varitek
Varitek getting some interest
Jason Varitek, C, BOS
2/11/2012
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that free agent C Jason Varitek has received some interest from teams this offseason, and he will soon decide whether to play in 2012. The Red Sox, for whom Varitek has played his entire 15-year major league career, are among the teams interested. Retirement is a possible option for the 39-year-old.
Analysis: Varitek has played in just 107 games over the last two seasons, so even if he decides to play one more year, he is unlikely to be a factor in most Fantasy leagues. He does still have some pop in his bat, though, so owners in deep formats should stay tuned to see what Varitek decides.

Brandon Gomes
Gomes recovering from back surgery
Brandon Gomes, RP, TB
2/11/2012
News: The Tampa Bay Times reports that Rays RP Brandon Gomes continues to recover from back surgery that he underwent in November, and he is at risk of missing the beginning of spring training. Gomes had the procedure to clean out the area around a disc, and he is still probably at least two weeks away from throwing off a mound. "Right now it's progressing along great, I don't really see anything to be concerned about," Gomes told reporters on Friday. "I might miss the very beginning of spring training, but that's about it." Gomes could still be ready for the beginning of the regular season.
Analysis: Gomes pitched well in his rookie season, posting a 2.92 ERA in 40 games with the Rays. He will probably fill a middle relief role for Tampa Bay again this season. A good strikeout pitcher, Gomes is a low-end option for owners in leagues that use middle relievers.

Cody Ross
Ross re-working his swing
Cody Ross, LF, BOS
2/11/2012
News: Red Sox OF Cody Ross was disappointed with his 2011 season, in which he batted just .240 for the Giants, but he told WEEI.com that he is making some changes in order perform better in 2012. Ross watched video from his performances last year and noticed some adjustments that he needed to make at the plate. Specifically, Ross said he is "really focusing on just driving the ball and staying on top of the ball as opposed to swinging with more of an upper-cut." Ross started to address these changes late last season, working with former Giants teammate Carlos Beltran.
Analysis: Ross' flyball rate skyrocketed to 48 percent last season, resulting in a high percentage of flyouts, which put a damper on his batting average. Not only could his new approach to hitting help him to cut back on those easy outs, but it could pay big dividends in doubles-friendly Fenway Park. Ross lacks a regular position, but between filling in for injured Carl Crawford (wrist) early in the year and spelling Ryan Sweeney in right field, he could put together a decent amount of playing time. Look to Ross as a solid option in AL-only leagues.

Miguel Cabrera
Cabrera shedding weight for move to 3B
Miguel Cabrera, 3B, DET
2/10/2012
News: Tigers C Alex Avila told ESPN.com on Friday that Miguel Cabrera has lost 20-25 pounds this offseason in anticipation of his move to third base. Cabrera, who played first base each of the last few seasons, is moving to the hot corner with Prince Fielder signing with Detroit in the offseason. Cabrera batted .344 with 30 home runs and 105 RBI in 2011.
Analysis: Cabrera came up as an infielder and has shown in the past that he can play the hot corner. His size has been one of the bigger question marks on whether or not he can last an entire season at third base so shedding some weight should help the process. Good thing for Fantasy owners is that his defense will not affect on his value, and he should continue to mash at the plate for Detroit. Add to the fact that he will gain duel eligibility and owners should target Cabrera as a Top 5 Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Sean White
White catches on with BoSox
Sean White, RP, COL
2/11/2012
News: The Red Sox signed RP Sean White to a minor-league deal on Friday. The right-hander posted a 5.68 ERA in 53 appearances in the minors for the Rockies last season.
Analysis: White has a career 4.16 ERA and last pitched in the majors in 2010. Even if he breaks camp with the big club, plan on ignore him in all Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Garrett Jones
Jones to stay in Pittsburgh
Garrett Jones, RF, PIT
2/10/2012
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that the Yankees offered A.J. Burnett to the Pirates, but had asked for OF Garrett Jones in return. The Pirates balked at the offer, as they want to hold on to Jones. However, negotiations for a trade involving Burnett are ongoing, as the teams are differing on how much of Burnett's salary that Yankees should pay.
Analysis: Should the Pirates change their minds, Jones would certainly benefit from a move to the Yankees and their homer-friendly park. However, it appears that Jones will be staying put in Pittsburgh, where he will remain an option mostly for owners in NL-only leagues.

 
 
 
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