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Eric Mack

2010 Fantasy outlooks: Kansas City Royals

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Other than boasting one of the elite aces of Fantasy Baseball in Zack Greinke, the Royals have another significant thing working in their favor: opportunity. It makes for a lot of question marks, but if you're patient, you could score some Draft Day steals as the cream rises to the top.

The Royals figure to have some interesting position battles at second base (Chris Getz vs. Alberto Callaspo), third base (Alex Gordon and Josh D. Fields) and shortstop (Yuniesky Betancourt and Mike Aviles). We project last year's incumbents to win the battles at this point, but even the losers figure to hold decent value in AL-only leagues on Draft Day.

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Greinke, closer Joakim Soria and the emergence of the following breakout candidate are the only real sure things on the board from Kansas City. However, it will be interesting to watch how things might play out.

Breakout: Billy Butler, 1B

Butler will be on the board for awhile at the very deep first base position, but he could be due for a serious breakthrough and crack the elite status -- like Pablo Sandoval did a year ago. Butler's 2009 line of a .301 average, 21 homers, 93 RBI, 78 runs (.362 on-base percentage and .492 slugging percentage) is very good, but not quite great for his position. His second-half suggests he is ready to slug with anyone in baseball, though. Butler went .314-13-55-41 (.385-.540) after the break for a Royals team that plays in a big ballpark and doesn't offer much of anything in the way of lineup protection. If you liked the value of Kung Fu Panda a year ago, Butler could be the next to make that significant step to the Fantasy elite.

Bust: Scott Podsednik, OF

We didn't have the guts to project, or even hint at Greinke suffering a Cy Young hangover, so Podsednik is the pick for the Royals' bust. He enjoyed a renaissance with the White Sox last season and earned a free-agent contract with the Royals, who are slotting him as their regular left fielder to start the season. Assuming Jose Guillen, Rick Ankiel and David DeJesus all stay healthy -- and Fields challenges for at-bats like we believe he can -- Podsednik might not stay a regular for long. There has to be a reason Podsednik was off so many Fantasy radars for years. Heading to Fantasy purgatory in Kansas City doesn't figure to do him any favors.

Sleeper: Alex Gordon, 3B

This is blind stubborness on our part. We cannot give up on the one-time elite third base prospect. It is very easy to forget Gordon was once more highly regarded in scouting circles than the likes of former third baseman Ryan J. Braun and currently elite Fantasy third baseman Evan Longoria. Gordon was plagued by a hip issue last season and should be far more healthy this season. Also, he figures to get a push from the equally disappointing Fields in spring training. Gordon is just now entering his prime at age 26 and could finally breakthrough as a must-have Fantasy third baseman. He might not even get drafted in many standard Head-to-Head leagues.

Kansas City Royals Outlook
Projected lineup
Pos.
Projected Rotation
1 Scott Podsednik LF 1 Zack Greinke RH
2 David DeJesus RF 2 Gil Meche RH
3 Billy Butler 1B 3 Kyle Davies RH
4 Jose Guillen DH 4 Brian Bannister RH
5 Rick Ankiel CF 5 Luke Hochevar RH
6 Alberto Callaspo/Chris Getz 2B Alt Robinson Tejeda RH
7 Alex Gordon 3B Top bullpen arms
8 Yuniesky Betancourt/Mike Aviles SS CL Joakim Soria RH
9 Jason Kendall C SU Juan Cruz RH
Top bench options RP Kyle Farnsworth RH
R Josh D. Fields 3B RP Matt Herges RH
R Willie Bloomquist UTL RP Roman Colon RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2009 high Destination
1 Aaron Crow 23 RH SP Independent League High Class A
He spurned the Nats and spent a year in the Independent League, a La Hochevar, but he could come quickly.
2 Michael Montgomery 20 LH SP High Class A Double-A
His age and the Royals' patience could keep him down in the minors, but he should be fun to watch in 2010.
3 Mike Moustakas 21 3B High Class A Double-A
If Gordon falters again, the Royals might be inclined to consider Moustakas their third baseman of the future.
4 Eric Hosmer 20 1B High Class A High Class A
The 2008 first-round pick progressed to high Class A last season, but he still figures to need a full year there.
5 Tim Melville 20 RH SP Low Class A High Class A
Once projected to be a first-round pick, Melville restored his prospect status with a solid pro debut season.
Best of the rest: Wil Myers, C; John Lamb, SP; Daniel Duffy, SP; Chris Dwyer, SP; David Lough, OF; Kila Ka'aihue, 1B; Jeff Bianchi, SS; Carlos Rosa, RP; Johnny Giavotella, 2B; Tyler Sample, SP; Blake Wood, SP; Sam Runion, SP; John Bannister, RP; Adrian Ortiz, OF; Luis Coleman, SP; Juan Abreu, RP; Dusty Hughes, SP; Keaton Hayenga, SP; Carlos Fortuna, SP; Kelvin Herrera, SP; Henry Barrera, RP; Derrick Robinson, OF; Jose Bonilla, C; Salvador Perez, C; Gilbert De La Vara, RP; Yowill Espinal, SS; Jason Taylor, 1B; Joe Dickerson, OF; Matt Mitchell, SP; and Geulin Beltre, OF.

You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Team outlooks in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Johan Santana
Santana looks 'great' playing catch
Johan Santana, SP, NYM
2:25 PM
News: The Wall Street Journal reports Mets SP Johan Santana (shoulder) played catch from 175 feet Monday. Manager Terry Collins said Santana looked "great" and he hopes the left-hander will throw off a mound by the end of the week.
Analysis: Collins' assessment of Santana sounds like cautious optimism. After all it was just catch. Santana has bigger hurdles to clear in hopes of pitching for the first time since the 2010 season. Santana is coming off a serious shoulder injury and who knows if he can return to the dominant arm he once was. Fantasy owners should bear in mind that Chien-Ming Wang, who underwent the same procedure, needed two years to make it back to the majors, so Santana could wind up providing far fewer than 25 starts -- which is the Mets' goal for the lefty this season. Because of the playing time risk, he is a late-round option in mixed leagues at best.

Ryan Braun
Braun ruling coming soon?
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
1:51 PM
News: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports there is no indication that a ruling will be announced Monday regarding Ryan Braun's appeal of a 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It appears the recommended guideline for a ruling will be extended.
Analysis: The entire baseball world want this issue to be put to bed, but it seems we might have to wait a little longer for a ruling. The Brewers remain upbeat about Braun's situation, but only time will tell what happens. If Braun avoids a suspension, then he remains a first-round Fantasy pick. If he is suspended 50 games, then he is going to tumble down draft boards a bit, but Braun would still be an early-round Fantasy selection based on potential once he becomes active.

Seth Smith
Cespedes to bump Smith?
Seth Smith, RF, OAK
1:37 PM
News: Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes and the Oakland Athletics have agreed to a $36 million, four-year contract. Agent Adam Katz confirmed Monday the sides had reached agreement, with details still to be finalized. Cespedes' arrival means the A's could eventually bump Seth Smith to designated hitter.
Analysis: We will have to wait and see what happens when Cespedes finally arrives at A's camp, but the speculation is that the A's outfield alignment will eventually be Josh Reddick in right field, Coco Crisp in center field and Cespedes in left, which is where Smith is currently penciled in as the starter. But the A's could use a rotation at DH, which would still allow Smith to see regular at-bats, if Cespedes doesn't have to begin the year in the minors, which remains an option as well. Smith struggles against left-handed pitchers, so he might still be in a platoon situation like he was with the Rockies. Smith remains more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Mike Napoli
Napoli's ankle still an issue
Mike Napoli, C, TEX
12:48 PM
News: ESPN.com reports Rangers catcher Mike Napoli said his injured left ankle is progressing, but he is still not 100 percent. Napoli turned his ankle in the World Series against the Cardinals last year. "I think I’m close," Napoli said. "I’m not really going to know until I get into the wear and tear of spring training and catching all the time. But I've been feeling good and getting better day by day." Napoli said he has been running on the ankle, and he is also hitting and throwing without pain. However, he is still concerned about how it will hold up with the constant squatting and baseball activity. "But I'm trying not to do that all the time so I'm not depending on that," Napoli said. "I'm working on getting my little muscles stronger."
Analysis: The Dallas Morning News reports GM Jon Daniels said exams by team physician Keith Meister said Napoli's ankle shows no structural damage, but Napoli is still experiencing soreness. "The fact he's still feeling it a few months later speaks to what he went through to play the rest of Game 6 and go back out for Game 7," Daniels said. "It was about as bad as it looked to the rest of us." You have to wonder if Napoli can't shake this injury if it will play into how much time he gets behind the plate. Nonetheless, if Napoli catches less that just means he will likely see more PT at DH and first base. The Rangers aren't going to take his bat out of the lineup. Napoli remains a top 5 Fantasy catcher on Draft Day.

Ryan Kalish
Kalish not cleared to swing bat
Ryan Kalish, CF, BOS
4:41 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox OF Ryan Kalish has arrived at the team's spring training complex in Fort Myers, Fla., and is working out. However, he hasn't been cleared to swing a bat as he recovers from shoulder surgery.
Analysis: Kalish isn't expected to join the MLB roster until later this summer, so this news isn't shocking. Kalish is still holding out hope to be ready by opening day, but he isn't counting on it. It's disappointing he has to deal with this injury since the Red Sox have an opening in right field, which Kalish would be competing for had he avoided surgery. Kalish could very well emerge as an everyday player once he is healthy, but consider Kalish more of a draft-and-stash option in AL-only formats on Draft Day.

Adrian Gonzalez
Gonzo trims down for 2012?
Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, BOS
4:36 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox 1B Adrian Gonzalez showed up to spring training on Monday, even though position players didn't have to report until Feb. 23. The paper notes that Gonzalez appears trimmer than he was at the end of the 2011 season.
Analysis: Perhaps Gonzalez wanted to get a bit more in shape for the 2012 season, but it's not like he had poor conditioning in 2011. He did pretty well in his first season with Boston, batting .338 with 27 homers and 117 RBI. He is only 29 years old and still has plenty of quality years left. Gonzalez remains an early-round Fantasy pick in all formats.

Daniel Bard
Bard throws bullpen session
Daniel Bard, RP, BOS
4:26 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports Red Sox pitcher Daniel Bard, who is making the transition from reliever to starter, threw a bullpen session Monday morning at the team's spring training complex in Fort Myers, Fla. Bard said it was the fifth or sixth time he has thrown from a mound this winter.
Analysis: While Bard was pretty impressive as a reliever in the majors, starting will be a whole new challenge. He will be starting for the first time since his first pro season in the minors in 2007, when he went 3-7 with a 7.08 ERA in 22 starts at Class A. His two biggest challenges are building up endurance and developing his changeup as a third pitch. Clearly, Bard's work in the majors and pitching for the Red Sox will draw Fantasy interest, but Fantasy owners can't oversell him on Draft Day. He has to be considered a late-round option because this is a big transition.

Grady Sizemore
GM hopes Sizemore plays 120 games
Grady Sizemore, CF, CLE
4:20 PM
News: The Plain Dealer reports Indians GM Chris Antonetti said he would like to see OF Grady Sizemore play 100-120 games in 2012. Antonetti added that the Indians took a gamble on bringing Sizemore back with a one-year deal, but he said the veteran outfielder showed at times in 2011 that he can still be an exceptional offensive player.
Analysis: Sizemore's career has gone from promising to disappointing because of knee problems. But the Indians are willing to give it one more try and see if Sizemore can make it through the 2012 season. It seems, however, the team is open to sitting him at times to help keep him healthy. Fantasy owners need to keep that in mind on Draft Day. Consider Sizemore at best a late-round, injury-risk Fantasy sleeper.

Esmerling Vasquez
Vasquez outrighted to minors
Esmerling Vasquez, RP, MIN
4:09 PM
News: The Twins announced RP Esmerling Vasquez cleared waivers and was outrighted to Triple-A Rochester. He will be a non-roster invitee to spring training.
Analysis: Vasquez has a career 4.66 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. He has been a mediocre middle reliever and can be ignored in all Fantasy formats.

Vladimir Guerrero
Guerrero wants to be Yankees' DH
Vladimir Guerrero, DH, BAL
2:51 PM
News: ESPN reports free agent Vladimir Guerrero has told the Yankees he wants to be their designated hitter, a role that became vacant when Jesus Montero was traded to Seattle. Newsday first reported in mid-January that a rep for Guerrero contacted the Yankees about the DH role. ESPN reports Raul Ibanez is still considered the front-runner to sign with the Yankees as their DH.
Analysis: It's not hard to see why Guerrero wants to join a loaded Yankees lineup. However, the 37-year-old slugger probably didn't instill a lot of faith in the New York brass after the lukewarm season he put together in 2011 for the Orioles. It's true that Guerrero thrived in a loaded Rangers lineup in 2010, but who knows if he can still play at that level. Until he signs with a team, then Guerrero can probably be left off Fantasy rosters.

 
 
 
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