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Scott White

Sliders: Brave new world for Infante

By | Fantasy Writer


It looked like a misprint, like somebody had entered the wrong number from the catalogue and gotten a waffle iron in a shipment of hamster cages.

But when the dust had settled and the proper authorities were questioned, it proved to be no accident: Omar Infante was an All Star.

How could this happen? In a process where someone always gets snubbed, where managers actually campaign for their players to get the recognition they deserve, how could a light-hitting utility man -- one not even good enough to start for his own team -- earn a roster spot? It didn't make sense.

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As fans swarmed the message boards in protest, players and coaches rushed to defend the move as if Infante was their adopted son or Charlie Manuel their adopted grandfather.

"I thought that was the greatest pick ever," Braves manager Bobby Cox told MLB.com. "It was a surprise pick for sure. But it makes all the sense in the world."

Maybe if you looked past the "All Star" label, it did. But no matter how much you tried to play up Infante's versatility and usefulness, you couldn't get around the awkwardness of his selection. In a game reserved for biggest names and the biggest numbers, he was as out of place as ... well, a waffle iron in a truckload of hamster cages.

At least, that's the way we all felt at the time, believing people would look back at the roster 15-20 years from now and say, "Really?"

But Infante is doing his best to make sure they have a different reaction.

Sliders ... These players are more than just hot or cold. Their recent play indicates a long-term change in value.

Omar Infante, 2B, Braves

The date was July 4. The All-Star reserves had just been announced, and after seeing Infante's name listed among them (and moving past my initial outrage), I felt compelled to write an update preempting all those Fantasy owners who might think, "Whoa, I can have an All-Star on my team," and grab him off the waiver wire. The analysis read as follows:

"Infante's manager and teammates may love the selection, but the fans are certainly scratching their heads. The purpose of this update isn't to get you excited about Infante's selection but to caution you from rating him too highly as a result of it. He's a reserve, and for good reason. His contact rate is above average, but he has no power or speed, which would already make him strictly an NL-only option. The fact he plays less than every day seals the deal. All-Star or not, he belongs on waivers in Fantasy."

Yes, I actually spelled out the purpose of an update within the update itself. Normally, that sort of thing is implied, but I didn't want to leave any room for interpretation. In Fantasy terms, Infante was rubbish.

But a funny thing happened about a month later: Chipper Jones suffered a season-ending injury. Suddenly, the deal was no longer sealed. Infante was an everyday player, and the only thing standing between him and Fantasy relevance was his performance.

Sunday's two-homer game pretty much sealed the deal there.

Since taking over as a starter -- which actually happened when Martin Prado went down temporarily in late July -- Infante has multiple hits in 14 of 24 games. He's batting .394 (41 for 104) with four homers during that stretch and is coming off a 43-point week in Fantasy. Instead of wilting from increased exposure, he has blossomed into a more complete hitter.

As a contender for the batting title with a slugging percentage better than that of Hanley Ramirez and Brandon Phillips, Infante appears to be the second coming of Placido Polanco -- an exceptional contact hitter with just enough power to make it count in Head-to-Head leagues.

But unlike Polanco, Infante qualifies at shortstop and remains unowned in 29 percent of Fantasy leagues.

A.J. Burnett, SP, Yankees

Whenever Burnett went through a rough stretch in the past, you knew to be patient. It was nothing new for him.

But those rough stretches always came at the beginning of the season, when he was still trying to regain the feel on his curveball. That hasn't been the case this year. In April and May, Burnett went 6-2 with a 3.28 ERA. In 14 starts since then, he's 3-9 with a 6.22 ERA.

And those aren't even the most disturbing numbers. They may help signal a problem, but they don't explain it the way this one does: After averaging 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings over his previous eight seasons, Burnett is down to 6.7 this year, which is about the level of a soft-tossing Kevin Slowey.

Burnett has always been a pitcher that has gotten by on pure stuff, on blowing hitters away with high-90s heat and a sharp-breaking curve. He really hasn't adjusted his approach since breaking into the league, which is why his ERA and WHIP have always been on the disappointing side. Now that his stuff is declining a bit at age 33, with his fastball averaging a career-low 93.1 miles per hour, he's at a point where he has to adjust, and it's not coming easily.

Burnett has always been something of an underachiever, but Fantasy owners were willing to overlook it because of his high strikeout rate. Now that it's gone, he's nothing but average.

And at a time in baseball history when pitching is back on the upswing, you can do a lot better than average -- perhaps even off the waiver wire.

Coco Crisp, OF, Athletics

Crisp has spent much of the last year working his way through the medical dictionary.

This season alone, he has suffered a broken pinkie, an intercostal strain and two instances of a left hamstring injury, all while working his way back from two shoulder surgeries -- one to repair a torn right labrum and the other to repair a torn left rotator cuff. It was enough to make anyone a Fantasy afterthought, and by the end of it all, his ownership percentage had dipped all the way to 13.

But before you write him off as a medical curiosity with a cutesy name, think way back to the days before he became a role player for the big-budget Red Sox, back when he was putting together back-to-back 15-15 seasons for the Indians and emerging as a nifty third outfielder in Fantasy.

You remember that guy? If not, you can tune in to the next A's game for a live look at relived history.

Crisp has eight multi-hit games over his last 17, batting .364 (24 for 66) with two home runs and seven stolen bases during that stretch. Since returning for good on June 22, he's the fifth-ranked outfielder and the 13th-ranked offensive player in standard Head-to-Head leagues. If he continues to perform at the pace he has been, he would finish with nine homers and 37 steals, which is nothing short of amazing considering he missed nearly half the season with injuries.

Crisp may have suffered some setbacks and endured some less-than-favorable roles, but as Aubrey Huff and Vladimir Guerrero have shown us, if the talent is there, the numbers could always come back. Crisp is hitting for power again and stealing more bases than ever before, making him something like the AL version of Angel Pagan.

Which makes him something worth adding in mixed leagues.

Jonathon Niese, SP, Mets

When Niese went on the DL with a hamstring injury in mid-May, he was just another overmatched Mets hurler rushed to the big leagues to help patch up a depleted starting rotation.

Since returning on June 5, he has a 2.70 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 15 starts, going seven innings or more in nine of them.

It's not the most surprising breakthrough considering he ranked 77th among Baseball America's top 100 prospects entering 2009, but it did happen suddenly, which might have caused some Fantasy owners to miss it.

Once you've spotted it, though, there's no mistaking it. He's not just trending the right direction; he's actually a changed pitcher. In 41 1/3 innings before the injury, he issued 18 walks, averaging 3.9 per nine innings. In 96 2/3 innings since, he has issued 25 walks, averaging 2.3 per nine innings.

He's staying ahead in the count, which allows him to make better use of his breaking pitches, and throwing fewer pitches overall, which allows him to pitch deeper into games. And even though he's relatively inexperienced, the hamstring injury should help him avoid getting shut down early like some of the other young pitchers around the league.

If you're an A.J. Burnett owner looking for someone a little more reliable, why not give Niese a look? He's owned in only 70 percent of leagues.

Hanging Sliders ... These guys look like Sliders, but alas, they really are just streaking.

Yuniesky Betancourt, SS, Royals

Last season, Betancourt hit six home runs. He has that many over his last 14 games.

The result is a career-high 13 home runs on the season, which puts him on pace for 17 to go along with 80 RBI.

But I smell something fishy.

I'm not suggesting Betancourt did anything untoward to achieve those numbers, but that a perfect combination of baseball's imperfect variables have allowed him to do something unsustainable. And you don't have to look back that far to figure it out. Over the last two weeks, he has 53 Fantasy points. He didn't have that many over the previous four.

In his six major-league seasons, Betancourt has a career .297 on-base percentage and a career .693 OPS -- numbers that would have run him out of the league already if he didn't happen to play shortstop. He has always been a glove-first player with no better than modest power, and nothing about his pedigree or approach suggests that will change.

If you're desperate for a shortstop, you can ride him while he's hot, but considering he's already setting career highs left and right, you have to wonder how much longer this streak will last.

Change-Up ... Whoops! I recently wrote something I regret and want to take it back.

Casey McGehee, 3B, Brewers

Back on Aug. 4, I looked at McGehee's .240 batting average over the previous two months and decided his lack of pedigree had finally caught up to him. I suggested he didn't deserve to be owned in 92 percent of leagues and felt pretty good about it, thank you very much.

The reaction was the biggest I've gotten all season.

Seriously, people were almost gleeful to point out when he began to turn it around, which tells me he either comes from an exceptionally large family or is the coolest guy I've never met.

But as overstated as their offense may have been, their underlying point was a valid one. Since that fateful column, McGehee is batting .407 (24 for 59) with five home runs in 15 games, revealing that two-month stretch to be nothing more than a prolonged slump and my talk of pedigree to be nothing more than dog's breath.

Thankfully, I keep a change-up in my back pocket for just such an occasion.

McGehee may be streaky, but he has weathered the storm and come out of it as strong as ever. He's clearly a deserving starter at third base, especially since so many players -- Pablo Sandoval, Mark Reynolds and Chone Figgins, among others -- have disappointed at the position.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com . Be sure to put Sliders in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
A.J. Burnett
Yanks, Pirates still talking Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
5:27 PM
News: The New York Daily News reports the Yankees and Pirates continued to talk Sunday about completing a trade for A.J. Burnett, but a baseball source said the sides are still "a good ways away" from agreeing on the final terms. The source added the Pirates are willing to pay $10 million of the remaining $33 million Burnett is owed over the next two seasons, but Pittsburgh has offered "two borderline prospects" in return. The Yankees could be willing to pay more of Burnett's remaining contract if they receive a top-tier prospect from Pittsburgh. A person familiar with the Yankees' thinking believes there is enough common ground that a deal could be completed in the coming days. However, ESPN.com reports their source said the Yankees aren't desperate to make a trade and the team would go to spring training with Burnett if a deal isn't completed.
Analysis: Leaving the Yankees usually has a negative impact on a player's Fantasy value, but in Burnett's case it might be the opposite, especially if he moves to the NL. He has struggled to handle the pressure of pitching in New York and a fresh start could be what he needs. Burnett had some of his best years in the majors pitching in the NL. Still, Burnett would be nothing more than a risky late-round Fantasy pick in mixed leagues.

Josh Johnson
JJ continues to feel no discomfort
Josh Johnson, SP, MIA
3:09 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Marlins SP Josh Johnson arrived to the team's spring training complex in Jupiter, Fla., on Feb. 9, more than a week ahead of the Marlins reporting date for pitchers and catchers. Johnson, who has been throwing off a mound near his home in Las Vegas, threw his first bullpen session of the year in Florida on Feb. 10. He felt no discomfort and expects to be ready for the first workouts on Feb. 22. He made only nine starts last year because of shoulder issues.
Analysis: Any encouraging news regarding JJ is welcomed. But Fantasy owners do have to be aware of the risk of drafting him. Of course his potential makes it worth it, but JJ has made it past 30 starts just once in his career. Look to Johnson as more of a No. 2 Fantasy SP on Draft Day, but clearly he has the potential to be your ace if he can stay healthy.

Hunter Pence
Pence likely to hit cleanup
Hunter Pence, RF, PHI
8:09 PM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports Phillies manager Charlie Manuel has to find a cleanup hitter with Ryan Howard expected to miss the beginning of the season recovering from an Achilles injury, and he said his choice going into spring training is Hunter Pence.
Analysis: Pence either hit right in front of or right behind Howard after his acquisition from Houston last season and thrived in the Phillies lineup. He will miss Howard's lineup protection, but might only have to play a month without Howard. In the meantime, Pence should get plenty of RBI chances batting cleanup, and he will still have plenty of lineup protection without Howard. Look to Pence in the early rounds of Fantasy drafts.

Jason Vargas
Vargas expected to pitch in A's series
Jason Vargas, SP, SEA
7:14 PM
News: Mariners manager Eric Wedge hinted Sunday that ace Felix Hernandez and Jason Vargas are the leading candidates to start the team's first two games against the A's in Japan. "That's one of the reasons we're here early, to make sure we get Felix ready and we're probably looking at Vargas right now in regard to the first couple games," Wedge said, as reported by MLB.com. "It is a little odd, but that's OK. That's part of it. We're professionals here and we have to get multiple starters prepared for the regular season. It's not just about those two guys, it's about everybody else as well. We've got a lot of starting pitchers here in camp and we'll see how it plays out. I'm looking forward to the competition."
Analysis: Believe it or not, but Vargas is arguably the M's second-best pitcher heading into spring training. He has been a steady part of the M's rotation the last two seasons. He is 19-25 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 63 starts since the beginning of the 2010 campaign. However, he is not a dominant pitcher and has weak strikeout totals, so Vargas is nothing more than a low-end Fantasy SP on Draft Day.

Felix Hernandez
King Felix likely to start game in Japan
Felix Hernandez, SP, SEA
7:09 PM
News: Mariners manager Eric Wedge hinted Sunday that ace Felix Hernandez and Jason Vargas are the leading candidates to start the team's first two games against the A's in Japan. "That's one of the reasons we're here early, to make sure we get Felix ready and we're probably looking at Vargas right now in regard to the first couple games," Wedge said, as reported by MLB.com. "It is a little odd, but that's OK. That's part of it. We're professionals here and we have to get multiple starters prepared for the regular season. It's not just about those two guys, it's about everybody else as well. We've got a lot of starting pitchers here in camp and we'll see how it plays out. I'm looking forward to the competition."
Analysis: Hernandez didn't repeat as the AL Cy Young winner in 2011, but he still had another solid season for Seattle. He went 14-14 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. He also struck out 222 in 233 2/3 innings. His win-loss record would probably be way better on a top contender, but King Felix still does plenty for Fantasy owners to be considered a top 10 Fantasy SP on Draft Day.

Hisashi Iwakuma
Iwakuma says shoulder is fine
Hisashi Iwakuma, SP, SEA
5:18 PM
News: MLB.com reports Mariners SP Hisashi Iwakuma said his shoulder is fine after he was limited to 17 starts last season in Japan because of a sore right shoulder. "I talked to him at length a couple days ago," pitching coach Carl Willis said. "This is obviously all new to him being in the States for the first time, with a different routine pitching every fifth day instead of sixth or seventh. But he's not an 18-year-old kid either. He has a history of what he's done to get ready for a season and we'll talk daily. Really, at the outset it comes down to me listening to him, because he's the one who knows what he needs to do to get ready."
Analysis: Iwakuma had a 107-69 record in 226 career games in Japan. The right-hander was selected the 2008 Pacific League MVP and winner of the Eiji Sawamura Award (the equivalent of the Cy Young Award) after going 21-4 with a 1.87 ERA. Last season, Iwakuma went 6-7 with a 2.42 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 17 starts. While his numbers overseas are impressive, you know it has been hit or miss when it has come to Japanese pitchers in the majors. Even if Iwakuma lands a rotation spot with Seattle, you won't want to use more than a late-round flier on him.

Tim Hudson
Hudson cleared to increase throwing
Tim Hudson, SP, ATL
4:25 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves SP Tim Hudson, who is recovering from surgery to repair a disc in his back late in November, had been playing light catch in his yard until begin cleared by doctors this week to increase his throwing.
Analysis: The word around Braves camp is proceed with caution in regards to the veteran Hudson. Pretty much every important Braves official has said they won't rush the right-hander in his recovery, and Atlanta is willing to start the season without him if it comes to that. We will just have to see how he progresses this spring. Consider Hudson an injury-risk, mid-round Fantasy pick on Draft Day. Clearly, he can be a very productive Fantasy option when healthy.

Mike Minor
Minor having early control problems
Mike Minor, SP, ATL
4:21 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves SP Mike Minor, vying again this spring for the fifth starter's job, said, "All my pitches are everywhere right now." His says his arm feels good, but that it's lagging and he isn't following through. Fortunately, he knows the point of the Braves' early throwing program is to get these preseason inconsistencies out of the way.
Analysis: Minor is considered the favorite to win the final spot in the Braves' rotation over Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. However, Minor might be needed at the start of the season regardless if Tim Hudson's recovery from back surgery doesn't go as planned. Minor kind of disappointed in 15 starts in 2011. In fact, he has just a 4.74 ERA in 24 outings (23 starts) as a major leaguer and hasn't shown the same type of dominance he did in the minors. Still, the Braves have high hopes for the lefty and aren't giving up on him just yet. If Minor does make the rotation this spring, then look to him as a late-round Fantasy option in deep formats.

Craig Kimbrel
Kimbrel working on changeup
Craig Kimbrel, RP, ATL
4:19 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Braves RP Craig Kimbrel is working on locating his changeup, which he may use during the season if he's able to master it. But even if it's not ready for prime time, throwing it helps stretch him out for his fastball. He has yet to throw his curveball.
Analysis: While Kimbrel struggled at the end of the 2011 season, he still dominated hitters for most of the season on his way to winning NL rookie of the year honors. It's good that he is working to get better, but he shouldn't have to change too much since he has been a smash hit since debuting in 2010. Kimbrel is a must-own Fantasy RP and will likely be the first RP selected in many drafts this spring.

Roy Oswalt
Phillies not in running for Oswalt?
Roy Oswalt, SP, PHI
4:06 PM
News: The Sports Xchange reports Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. defused a FOXSports.com report that his team remained in the hunt to re-sign Roy Oswalt. "We really don't have any room for him," Amaro told MLB.com. "We have five, six starters, and our resources are about where we want to be right now. I think he wouldn't mind coming back, but I don't know that's feasible or a real possibility."
Analysis: The Phillies surfaced as a possible destination for Oswalt after rumors surfaced again that the team wanted to trade Joe Blanton. It seems the Phillies have no immediate plans to bring Oswalt aboard, but we will have to continue to track his offseason progress. Fortunately, all of the teams linked to Oswalt are expected contenders, but even so, Oswalt would be at best a No. 4 Fantasy SP given his chronic back woes and declining numbers.

 
 
 
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