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2011 Fantasy outlooks: Oakland Athletics

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The Athletics have gone an eternity without making the playoffs, at least by Billy Beane standards. The groundbreaking general manager, who never uses his lack of resources as an excuse to concede anything, begrudgingly began a rebuilding project in 2008 that has kept the Athletics out of the national spotlight for the last three years.

But they got back to .500 last year and, in what would be a remarkably quick turnaround by baseball standards, appear poised to compete again in 2011.

Not surprisingly, their strength now is the same as it was during the beginning of Beane's tenure. With emerging aces Trevor Cahill, Brett Anderson and Gio Gonzalez and the ultra-efficient Dallas Braden of perfect game fame occupying the first four spots, their starting rotation is comparable to the one led by Barry Zito, Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder a decade ago. Even the fifth spot, which is up for grabs between former elite prospects Rich Harden and Brandon McCarthy and Tommy John survivor Josh Outman, should give the Athletics a chance to win every time through the order.

Recognizing he has a championship-caliber rotation now, Beane stepped up his pursuit of a proper supporting cast this offseason, acquiring Josh Willingham and David DeJesus in separate trades with the Nationals and Royals and signing Hideki Matsui to a one-year deal. None of the three figures to make a huge impact in Fantasy, but for a team that had Kurt Suzuki and Kevin Kouzmanoff batting cleanup much of last season, all three represent significant upgrades. And even if they fall short of expectations, super slugger Chris Carter is still waiting in the wings, with Michael Taylor not too far behind him.

And it's not like the Athletics needed to completely overhaul the offense to win games. Whatever innings their shutdown rotation can't provide will go to an already strong bullpen that should only improve with Brian Fuentes, Grant Balfour and Joey Devine in the mix.

Breakout ... Brett Anderson, SP

This should have happened last year. Anderson was a favorite of Fantasy prognosticators everywhere after posting a 2.96 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings over his final 17 starts as a rookie. But injury after injury doomed him at the start of 2010, limiting him to one start in May (strained forearm) and one start in June (sore elbow). An increase in innings from 105 in 2008 to 175 1/3 in 2009 no doubt contributed to his problems. Once his arm calmed down and he returned to the rotation for good, he pitched exactly as everyone expected, posting a 2.59 ERA over his final 12 starts. Now that he's refreshed and more accustomed to the rigors of a big-league season, he should be able to live up to his elite potential and become a legitimate ace. Chances are you'll be able to draft him as your third pitcher, perhaps waiting until the middle rounds to do so.

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Bust ... David DeJesus, OF

DeJesus may not seem like bust material since Fantasy owners already view him as a late-round pick, but by drafting him at all, they're putting too much stock in his 2010 performance. Yes, he hit a career-high .318 last year, but much of that came from a ridiculously hot June when he hit .410. He was on the DL three weeks later, out for the year with a thumb injury, so he never got a chance to regress to the mean. He's no stranger to hot streaks; the regression was coming. Given his track record and the fact he's already 31 years old, DeJesus' 2010 was more of a statistical anomaly than a legitimate step forward, and now he's going to a park where he's hit .250 with a .689 OPS for his career. Yuck. DeJesus isn't useless in Fantasy, but if you draft him thinking he'll help you make up ground in batting average, you'll likely be disappointed.

Sleeper ... Coco Crisp, OF

Granted, most people think of Crisp's 2010 season as a disappointment because he missed so much time due to injury. But in between the strained pectoral and the two broken pinkies, he showed something he hasn't shown since he was first making a name for himself with the Indians. He was an all-around threat, taking advantage of his freedom on the base paths after getting held back in Boston and regaining the power he lost as a part-time player. The result was eight homers and 32 steals in 290 at-bats, which translates to something like 15 homers and 60 steals over a full season. You don't think that's a big deal in Fantasy? Well, only four outfielders averaged more than Crisp's 3.8 Fantasy points per game in standard Head-to-Head leagues last year. Can he maintain that pace over a full season? Assuredly not, but even if he performs at a fraction of that level, he'll be one of the biggest bargains on Draft Day.

Oakland Athletics Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Coco Crisp CF 1 Dallas Braden LH
2 Daric Barton 1B 2 Trevor Cahill RH
3 David DeJesus RF 3 Brett Anderson LH
4 Josh Willingham LF 4 Gio Gonzalez LH
5 Hideki Matsui DH 5 Brandon McCarthy RH
6 Kurt Suzuki C Alt Josh Outman LH
7 Kevin Kouzmanoff 3B
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Mark Ellis 2B CL Andrew Bailey RH
9 Cliff Pennington SS SU Brian Fuentes LH
Top bench options RP Grant Balfour RH
R Ryan Sweeney OF RP Michael Wuertz RH
R Conor Jackson OF RP Rich Harden RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2010 high Destination
1 Chris Carter 24 OF Majors Triple-A
Slugger began career 0 for 33 before blowing up in final week. Offseason additions likely force him to minors.
2 Grant Green 23 SS Class A Double-A
First-rounder in '09 a potential middle-of-the-order guy. Has plate discipline issues but could start by 2012.
3 Michael Taylor 25 OF Triple-A Triple-A
Former Phillies prospect flopped in first year with A's. Deserves a longer leash based on his past numbers.
4 Michael Choice 21 OF Class A Class A
First-rounder in 2010 already turning heads in minors. Whiffs too much but should hit for average and power.
5 Tyson Ross 23 SP Majors Triple-A
Got early look in the bullpen last year but future is in rotation. A's deep staff gives him more time to learn.
Best of the rest: Eric Sogard, 2B; Jemile Weeks, 2B; Max Stassi, C; Bobby Cramer, SP; Adrian Cardenas, SS; Aaron Shipman, OF; Yordy Cabrera, SS; Ian Krol, SP; Fautino De Los Santos, RP; Josh Donaldson, C; Pedro Figueroa, SP; and Michael Ynoa, SP.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com . Be sure to put Team outlooks in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

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Player News
Jake Peavy settles for no-decision
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:25 am ET) Giants pitcher Jake Peavy wasn't a factor into the decision Monday night in Los Angeles against the Dodgers. He allowed two runs on four hits and one walk while striking out four over seven innings of work.

Over his last six starts covering 41 innings, Peavy has allowed only five earned runs. He owns a 3.78 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 31 starts (197 2/3 innings). His final start of the regular season will come at home Saturday against San Diego.


Dan Haren fans seven in no-deicison
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:25 am ET) Dodgers pitcher Dan Haren struck out seven but wasn't a factor into the decision Monday night at home against the Giants. He allowed two runs -- one earned -- on one hit and no walks over seven innings of work. Of his 100 pitches, 65 were strikes.

Over his last five starts covering 31 innings, Haren has allowed seven earned runs. He owns a 4.03 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 31 starts (181 innings). His final start of the regular season will come Saturday at home against Colorado.


C.J. Wilson gets the quick hook vs. Oakland
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:25 am ET) Angels pitcher C.J. Wilson was yanked in the opening frame after a brief but abysmal outing Monday night against the A's, dropping to 13-10 on the year. He was shelled for six runs -- four earned -- on two hits and four walks over two-thirds of an inning.

Wilson owns a 4.61 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 30 starts (169 2/3 innings). He will try to end the regular season on a positive note on Sunday in Seattle.


Jeff Samardzija twirls a gem in win over Angels
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:25 am ET) Athletics pitcher Jeff Samardzija turned in a gem Monday night at home against the Angels, improving to 7-12 on the year. He allowed one unearned run on five hits and no walks while striking out three over seven innings of an 8-4 victory.

Samardzija has not permitted a run over his last two starts (15 innings). He owns a 2.88 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 32 starts (212 2/3 innings). His final start of the regular season will come Saturday at Texas.


Tyler Matzek pegged with tough-luck loss
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:07 am ET) Rockies pitcher Tyler Matzek was pegged with a tough-luck loss Monday night in San Diego, dropping to 6-11 on the year. He allowed one run on four hits and three walks while striking out eight over six innings of work.

Over his last five starts covering 33 2/3 innings, Matzek has allowed five earned runs. His season comes to an end with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 117 2/3 innings of work. He struck out 91 and walked 44 over that span.


Eric Stults keeps Rockies in check Monday
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:02 am ET) Padres pitcher Eric Stults dominated the Rockies at home on Monday, scattering seven hits and 6 1/3 scoreless innings to improve to 8-17 on the year. He struck out five and walked one. Of his 93 pitches, 66 were strikes.

Stults owns a 4.42 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 31 starts (169 innings). He will make his final start of the season Saturday in San Francisco.


Kevin Quackenbush collects sixth save
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:02 am ET) Padres closer Kevin Quackenbush converted his sixth save of the season Monday night at home against the Rockies. He struck out one and allowed one hit in a scoreless ninth inning of work for the save. He needed 19 pitches to close out a 1-0 victory. He has converted 6 of 7 save chances, with a 2.58 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 52 1/3 innings of relief.

Aaron Hill suffers dislocated pinkie finger
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:37 am ET) Diamondbacks second baseman Aaron Hill suffered a dislocated right pinkie finger Monday night against the Twins, according to MLB.com. Hill sustained the injury while sliding into home plate in the eighth inning and was not taken out of the game.

Hill is hitting .244/.287/.367 with 10 homers and 60 RBI over 501 at-bats. His status remains uncertain for Tuesday's game against the Twins.


Jason Hammel scheduled to return Thursday against Texas
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:33 am ET) Athletics pitcher Jason Hammel will return to the starting rotation on Thursday against the Rangers, MLB.com reports. Hammel missed his previous turn to attend the birth of his child. He owns a 3.54 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 170 1/3 innings of work.

Ricky Nolasco gets roughed up by Twins
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:20 am ET) Twins pitcher Ricky Nolasco took another step back Monday night at home against the Diamondbacks, dropping to 5-12 on the year. He was shelled for five runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over 4 2/3 innings of a 6-2 defeat.

Nolasco owns a 5.47 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 26 starts (153 innings). He will make his final start of the season Saturday at Detroit.


 
 
 
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