Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2011 Fantasy outlooks: Philadelphia Phillies

  •  

Listen to our latest Fantasy Baseball Podcast!

Don't mess with the Phillies.

Seriously, don't mess with them. Don't do like the Giants did last year and keep them from reaching the World Series when they're the obvious favorites. Because when they get mad, they don't mess around, and the rest of the league suffers the consequences.

The coup this offseason was, of course, the signing of Cliff Lee. The Phillies weren't supposed to be in the running, but they swooped in at the last minute to intercept what looked like a two-team race between the Rangers and the Yankees, adding to what may have already been the most fearsome threesome in the league in Roy Halladay, Roy Oswalt and Cole Hamels.

Yes, Hamels, the ace of the 2008 World Championship team who is coming off a 200-strikeout season and still has plenty of room to grow at age 26, is now their fourth starter.

Scary.

But hey, no team is without its weaknesses. The Phillies might have to depend on that starting rotation more than anyone expects if franchise players Ryan Howard, Chase Utley and Jimmy Rollins don't live up to their past standards. Each is on the wrong side of 30, each has had trouble staying healthy and each took a notable step backward last year. Granted, each is still pretty good, but if top prospect Domonic Brown can't claim Jayson Werth's spot in right field, the Phillies' only offensive player trending in the right direction is Shane Victorino. They also have a shortage of bullpen depth, especially if Brad Lidge plays his usual head games and Jose Contreras starts pitching like he's 39.

But with that starting rotation, which may very well be the best ever, the world would have to explode for this team not to make the playoffs. If you're thinking about drafting a Phillie in Fantasy, you can check off "supporting cast" as an obvious benefit.

Bounce-back player ... Brad Lidge, RP

When most Fantasy owners think of Lidge, they still think of his 2009 meltdown, when he blew 11 saves with a 7.21 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP. He had his chance to redeem himself last year but was deemed a lost cause after posting a 5.57 ERA through July. But take a second look at his final numbers. Not what you expected, right? Lidge was a completely different pitcher over the final two months, performing as well as he has at any point in his career. In 26 appearances, he had a 0.73 ERA and 17 saves in 18 opportunities. Finally recovered from the elbow and knee injuries that led to multiple surgeries last offseason, he was back to being the same lights-out pitcher who put together a perfect season in 2008. With the Phillies loaded pitching staff, Lidge is going to get the save opportunities of an elite Fantasy closer, but nobody is willing to trust him as more than a No. 2 option.

Bust ... Jimmy Rollins, SS

The Phillies' aging nucleus gives them several candidates for this category, but Rollins is the most obvious. His batting average, slugging percentage and OPS have declined every year since his 2007 MVP season, to the point they were below average even by shortstop standards last year. He can still hit some homers and steal some bases, and those raw talents are enough incentive for Fantasy owners to approach him as an elite option at a position increasingly scarce on talent. But he'll have to reverse more than few trends to live up to that title. He'll also have to stay healthy, something he didn't do last year and something that'll be even more difficult coming off wrist surgery. At 32, Rollins has reached the age when other notable shortstops -- most recently Edgar Renteria -- have fallen off the map, making him too much of a risk to justify his draft position. Don't bother with him unless he falls to you.

Follow us on ...
Get the latest news and analysis from the most informed Fantasy staff in the industry by following us on Twitter and Facebook.
@cbsfantasynews
facebook.com/cbssportsfantasy

Sleeper ... Domonic Brown, OF

For whatever reason, manager Charlie Manuel doesn't trust Brown, giving him only 62 at-bats in a 68-day span after the Phillies promoted him in late July. And even with Jayson Werth out of the equation, Manuel planned to give the right field job to Ben Francisco or John Mayberry over Brown, who only sealed the deal by breaking his hand early in spring training. But with that disappointment comes new opportunity in Fantasy. The injury will be enough to scare most Fantasy owners away even though it's the same one that cost Troy Tulowitzki only five weeks last year. Brown is rated the fourth-best prospect according to Baseball America and is coming off a minor-league season in which he hit .327 with a .980 OPS, so clearly he offers something that journeymen like Francisco and Mayberry never could. The Phillies won't need long to realize that. Knowing how quickly Brown progressed in the minors, you wouldn't want to assess him on only 62 at-bats. He's a fast learner and should be ready to turn heads as soon as he returns from his injury.

Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Jimmy Rollins SS 1 Roy Halladay RH
2 Placido Polanco 3B 2 Cliff Lee LH
3 Chase Utley 2B 3 Roy Oswalt RH
4 Ryan Howard 1B 4 Cole Hamels LH
5 Shane Victorino CF 5 Joe Blanton RH
6 Raul Ibanez LF Alt Kyle Kendrick RH
7 Ben Francisco RF
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Carlos Ruiz C CL Brad Lidge RH
Top bench options SU Jose Contreras RH
R John Mayberry OF RP Ryan Madson RH
R Wilson Valdez INF RP J.C. Romero LH
R Ross Gload 1B RP Danys Baez RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2010 high Destination
1 Domonic Brown 23 OF Majors Triple-A
Five-category stud pretty much ready, but Phillies too focused on winning now to turn right field over to him.
2 Jonathan Singleton 19 OF Class A Class A
Slugger already has good batting eye and should advance quickly if transition from first base goes smoothly.
3 Brody Colvin 20 SP Class A Class A
Hard-thrower has ace potential but some lingering questions about makeup. Likely won't help until 2012.
4 Jarred Cosart 20 SP Class A Class A
Has stuff on level of Colvin, but durability is a concern. Has dealt with shoulder, back and elbow pain.
5 Trevor May 21 SP Class A Class A
Older than Colvin and Cosart but may need longer. Trio will ensure Philly rotation remains in good hands.
Best of the rest: Vance Worley, RP; Sebastian Valle, C; Jiwan James, OF; Jesse Biddle, SP; Domingo Santana, OF; Aaron Altherr, OF; Justin De Fratus, RP; J.C. Ramirez, SP; Phillippe Aumont, SP; Joe Savery, SP; Tyson Gillies, OF; and Matt Rizzotti, 1B.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com . Be sure to put Team outlooks in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

  •  
 
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Scott Elbert designated for assignment
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(10:02 pm ET) The Dodgers activated pitcher Scott Elbert from the 60-day disabled list Tuesday and immediately designated him for assignment.

Elbert was working his way back from three elbow surgeries over the last two years, but he was an effective arm out of the Dodger bullpen in 2011 and 2012. The team will likely hope he passes through waivers so he can continue to work towards full strength at the minor-league level.


Aroldis Chapman locks down 23rd save Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:51 pm ET) Reds closer Aroldis Chapman picked up his 23rd save Tuesday, striking out one during a 1-2-3 inning to close out his team's 3-0 win over the Diamondbacks.

Chapman has managed to record at least one strikeout in each of his 33 outings this season, helping him post a blistering 67:11 K:BB ratio in 33 1/3 innings. He owns a 2.16 ERA and 0.78 WHIP and has converted 92 percent of his save opportunities.


Dillon Gee gives up five runs in loss vs. Phillies
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:48 pm ET) Mets pitcher Dillon Gee took a loss Tuesday, surrendering five earned runs on five hits and three walks in 6 2/3 innings and striking out two in his team's 6-0 defeat against the Phillies.

Gee (4-4) surrendered solo home runs in the third and fourth innings before coming out of the game with the bases loaded in the seventh. The bullpen gave up a grand slam to take away Gee's quality start. He owns a 3.77 ERA and 53:21 K:BB ratio in 76 1/3 innings. Gee is slated to face the Giants Monday.


Cole Hamels excels in eight scoreless innings vs. Mets
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:48 pm ET) Phillies pitcher Cole Hamels was at the top of his game Tuesday, giving up just six hits in eight scoreless innings while striking out eight and walking none in his team's 6-0 win over the Mets.

Hamels (6-5) has seen his name come up in trade rumors, and he showed Tuesday why it would take a massive offer to pull him away from the Phillies. He has turned in five straight quality starts, giving up just two earned runs in 23 innings over his last three outings. Hamels owns a 2.55 ERA and 133:39 K:BB ratio in 130 1/3 innings. If he's still with the Phillies through the deadline, he'll face the Nationals Sunday.


Trevor Cahill posts quality start in loss vs. Reds
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:46 pm ET) Diamondbacks pitcher Trevor Cahill recorded a quality start in Tuesday's loss, surrendering three earned runs on seven hits in six innings while striking out three and walking none in his team's 3-0 defeat against the Reds.

Cahill (1-8) is still looking for his first win since rejoining the rotation, but Tuesday's start was just the second time in seven starts he's managed to complete six innings. He owns a 5.59 ERA and 53:27 K:BB ratio in 56 1/3 innings. Cahill is scheduled to face the Pirates Sunday.


Mike Leake shines in win vs. Diamondbacks Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:46 pm ET) Reds pitcher Mike Leake dominated in a win Tuesday, giving up just five hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings and striking out eight in his team's 3-0 victory over the Diamondbacks.

Leake (8-9) also managed to drive in a run with a second-inning single while recording his first win and quality start in four outings. He owns a 3.53 ERA and 114:29 K:BB ratio in 147 2/3 innings. Leake is on track to face the Marlins Sunday.


Jose Berrios dealing with shoulder tightness
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:39 pm ET) Twins pitching prospect Jose Berrios was removed from Tuesday's start after just 48 pitches due to shoulder tightness, the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.

Berrios had a 3.50 ERA and 13:4 K:BB ratio in three starts with Double-A New Britian entering Tuesday's game. He had previously dominated with high Class A Fort Meyers, posting a 1.96 ERA and 109:23 K:BB ratio in 96 1/3 innings over 16 starts.


Christian Bergman tosses three innings in rehab outing
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:09 pm ET) Rockies pitcher Christian Bergman gave up two earned runs on three hits and three walks in three innings while striking out two in his rehab debut with Double-A Tulsa Tuesday.

Bergman was scheduled to throw 70 pitches Tuesday and wound up tossing 63 in three innings before being removed. He is recovering from a hand injury and can't return from the disabled list before August 20.


Report: Diamondbacks shopping Gerardo Parra in trade talks
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:06 pm ET) The Diamondbacks are shopping outfielder Gerardo Parra in trade discussions, ESPN.com reports.

The Diamondbacks are facing a rebuild in the midst of a disappointing season, and they should be willing to discuss most of their veterans in trade talks. Whether another team will meet the asking price on Parra or others is another matter. Parra has hit .256/.301/.358 with six home runs, 30 RBI and five stolen bases in 399 at-bats.


Rangers considering resigning Neal Cotts
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(9:04 pm ET) The Rangers are considering keeping pitcher Neal Cotts through the trade deadline and resigning him to return next season, MLB.com reports.

"That wouldn't be bad," Cotts said. "Not at all, with the people we have coming back. We have had quite a few injuries and we have underplayed somewhat, but I think it will be a different situation next year. We're going to have a good ballclub."

Cotts has posted a 3.20 ERA and 50:18 K:BB ratio in 45 innings.


 
 
 
Rankings