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2011 Fantasy outlooks: Los Angeles Dodgers

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The Dodgers' off-the-field exploits -- namely the divorce case and team ownership dispute between Frank and Jamie McCourt -- drew attention away from a mediocre season in 2010. In Joe Torre's final turn as the team's manager, the Dodgers finished two games under .500 and only one step above the National League West cellar.

The team made a number of low-key moves this offseason, re-signing midseason acquisition Ted Lilly and picking up fifth starter Jon Garland to fill out the rotation. Juan Uribe replaces Ryan Theriot at second base, while Rod Barajas gives the Dodgers a new face behind the plate, with Russell Martin opting to sign with the Yankees. The dugout has a new face as well, as Don Mattingly takes over as manager.

One item has yet to be checked off the Dodgers' to-do list: replace Manny Ramirez. Since his departure last August, left field has been patched together by a committee, and it appears that will be the case again this year. Jay Gibbons, Tony Gwynn and Marcus Thames should all get a chance at playing time and be Ramirez's short-term successor, at least until prospects Jerry Sands and Trayvon Robinson arrive.

Without the impact of a major offseason signing or trade, the Dodgers will rely on several players to have bounce-back years in order for them to contend. Matt Kemp's ride to superstardom hit a bump last year, as his batting average slid from .297 to .249. The normally-steady Casey Blake started to show his age, while rising star Jonathan Broxton blew seven of 29 save chances and lost the closer's role for the final two months of the season. A breakout from 26-year-old James Loney wouldn't hurt either, though three straight years of stagnant production suggest that may be a pipe dream.

The Dodgers' deep rotation and bullpen will keep them in most games, but even with All-Star Andre Ethier and a potentially-resurgent Kemp in the lineup, a sputtering offense could leave the Dodgers bluer than ever.

Sleeper ... Rafael Furcal, SS

Furcal is certainly a playing-time risk, as he has failed to appear in more than 100 games in two of the last three seasons. He has been dogged by back and hamstring injuries, but he is heading into the 2011 campaign healthy and rested. He still has good power for a shortstop and can still provide Fantasy owners with 20 or more steals. Ultimately, other middle-of-the-pack options, such as Yunel Escobar and Starlin Castro, may be better bets to stay healthy, but few can offer the speed-power combination that Furcal can. He will finish among the top 10 shortstops in Fantasy as long as he can stay in the lineup.

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Bust ... Jonathan Broxton, RP

A year ago, Broxton was coming off a sensational season that gave him the appearance of being an elite closer. In retrospect, 2009 was more of an aberration than a breakout for him. Last year, he didn't sustain the large spikes in velocity and strikeout rate that he enjoyed the year before, and he went back to being very hittable on balls in play. While his .375 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) should recede somewhat, Broxton could still be a liability in the WHIP category, even though he will likely strike out more than a batter per inning. With Hong-Chih Kuo and Kenley Jansen looming as ninth-inning options, Broxton will be treading on thin ice yet again as the Dodgers' closer.

Bounce-back player ... Matt Kemp, OF

Over his first two full seasons, Kemp established himself as a player on the rise, holding his batting average and stolen base total steady while increasing his power. Last year, the power continued to increase, but that was overshadowed by huge hits to his average and steals. Kemp is still only 26, just old enough to be entering the peak of his career. It's not unusual for a young player to take a step back before plateauing into his best years. There is no reason to think that Kemp will repeat or do worse than his 2010 performance and 2011 provides owners with a great buy-low opportunity. Kemp's collapse last year was neither complete nor part of a long-term trend. Expect Kemp to produce like a No. 2 Fantasy outfielder, though you may be able to draft him as your No. 3.

Los Angeles Dodgers Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Rafael Furcal SS 1 Clayton Kershaw LH
2 Matt Kemp CF 2 Chad Billingsley RH
3 Andre Ethier RF 3 Ted Lilly LH
4 James Loney 1B 4 Hiroki Kuroda RH
5 Casey Blake 3B 5 Jon Garland RH
6 Juan Uribe 2B Alt Vicente Padilla RH
7 Jay Gibbons LF
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Rod Barajas C CL Jonathan Broxton RH
Top bench options SU Hong-Chih Kuo LH
R Jamey Carroll SS/2B RP Matt Guerrier RH
R Tony Gwynn OF RP Kenley Jansen RH
R Marcus Thames OF RP Carlos Monasterios RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2010 high Destination
1 Dee Gordon 22 SS Double-A Triple-A
Minors stats are amazing for someone who didn't play baseball until four years ago. Should make big-league debut in '11.
2 Jerry Sands 23 OF Double-A Double-A
Power translated from low minors to Double-A. Could get a shot in L.A. outfield later this year.
3 Kenley Jansen 23 RP Majors Majors
Flamethrower impressed in big league debut. If Broxton struggles, he will enter the closer picture.
4 Trayvon Robinson 22 OF Double-A Triple-A
Switch-hitter has great leadoff skills, despite a high K-rate. Could make his big league debut in 2011.
5 Rubby De La Rosa 22 SP Double-A Double-A
Future role is unclear, but we could see his triple-digit fastball in the majors sometime this year.
Best of the rest: Zach Lee, SP; Chris Withrow, SP; Allen Webster, SP; Scott Elbert, RP; Ethan Martin, SP; Aaron Miller, SP; Leon Landry, OF; Kyle Russell, OF; Garrett Gould, SP; Brian Cavazos-Galvez, OF; James Baldwin, OF; Jake Lemmerman, SS; Jonathan Garcia, OF; Javier Solano, RP; Matt Magill, SP; Ivan DeJesus, 2B; and Josh Lindblom, RP.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com . Be sure to put Team outlooks in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

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Player News
Jorge De La Rosa strikes out seven vs. Cubs Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(2:01 am ET) Rockies pitcher Jorge De La Rosa wasn't a factor in Tuesday's decision after giving up three earned runs on six hits and one walk in six innings and striking out seven in his team's extra-innings game against the Cubs.

De La Rosa was staked to a 3-0 lead after the top of the first inning but gave one back in the bottom half of the first. He then surrendered a two-run home run in the fourth inning and left with the game tied. De La Rosa owns a 4.20 ERA and 93:47 K:BB ratio in 122 innings. He's scheduled to face the Tigers Sunday.


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by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(2:01 am ET) Cubs pitcher Edwin Jackson wasn't a factor in the decision Tuesday, giving up three earned runs on six hits and three walks in four innings and striking out four in his team's extra-innings game against the Rockies.

Jackson gave up all three runs in the first inning, but he was inefficient throughout, needing a whopping 105 pitches to get through his four-inning start. He owns a 5.79 ERA and 108:53 K:BB ratio in 119 2/3 innings. Jackson is scheduled to face the Dodgers Sunday.


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by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(2:00 am ET) Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen earned his 31st save Tuesday by recording the final four outs of his team's 8-4 win over the Braves.

Jansen came on with two on and two outs in the top of eighth inning and retired the first batter he faced on just two pitches. His offense extended the lead in the bottom of the eighth, and Jansen took it from there, striking out two batters in the ninth while allowing one hit and one walk. He owns a 3.14 ERA and 68:13 K:BB ratio in 43 innings.


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by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
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Varvaro (3-3) gave up a pair of singles to begin the bottom of the seventh and saw the first run cross the plate on the second out of the inning. He then surrendered a two-run home run, which was just his third homer allowed this season. Varvaro owns a 2.83 ERA and 41:9 K:BB ratio in 41 1/3 innings.


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(1:59 am ET) Braves pitcher Aaron Harang didn't factor into Tuesday's decision, giving up four earned runs on nine hits and one walk in six innings and striking out three in his team's 8-4 loss to the Dodgers.

Harang gave up a two-run home run in the second inning to fall behind, then surrendered two more runs in the fifth to lose his lead. He had delivered six straight quality starts before failing to do so Tuesday. Harang owns a 3.43 ERA and 107:50 K:BB ratio in 136 1/3 innings. He's scheduled to face the Padres Sunday.


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(1:59 am ET) Dodgers pitcher Brandon League picked up a win Tuesday, giving up one hit and one walk in one scoreless inning of work in his team's 8-4 victory over the Braves.

League (2-2) threw just nine of his 19 pitches for strikes in the seventh inning, but he was able to keep the game tied before the Dodgers scored three runs in the bottom of the seventh. He owns a 1.97 ERA and 26:17 K:BB ratio in 45 2/3 innings.


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by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
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Considering the number of baserunners the Braves had against Beckett, he's lucky the damage was limited to just four runs. He threw 105 pitches in the short outing before being removed. Beckett owns a 2.74 ERA and 101:36 K:BB ratio in 111 2/3 innings. He's set to take on the Cubs Sunday.


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(1:38 am ET) Padres closer Joaquin Benoit recorded his third save Tuesday, striking out two and hitting one batter in a scoreless ninth inning to finish off his team's 3-1 win over the Cardinals.

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Lynn (11-8) needed 117 pitches to get through six innings one start after throwing 118 pitches against the Rays. He's topped 100 pitches in each of his last five games and 110 pitches four times during his five July starts. Lynn owns a 2.98 ERA and 123:52 K:BB ratio in 133 innings. He's slated to face the Brewers Sunday.


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(1:33 am ET) Padres pitcher Tyson Ross picked up a win Tuesday, giving up just one earned run on four hits and five walks while striking out seven in his team's 3-1 victory over the Cardinals.

Ross (10-10) has been excellent in July despite the abundance of free passes Tuesday. He has given up just five earned runs in 41 innings over six starts while striking out 48 batters in July. Ross owns a 2.60 ERA and 150:52 K:BB ratio in 148 2/3 innings. He's scheduled to face the Braves Sunday.


 
 
 
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