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Scott White

2011 Draft Prep: Top 50 prospects for Fantasy

By | Fantasy Writer


Listen to our latest Fantasy Baseball Podcast!

Fantasy is all about tomorrow. It's about believing a player can do something before he actually does it. It's the ultimate game of forecast.

2011 All-Rookie team
* This lineup contains only the prospects expected to win jobs this spring or to arrive soon afterward.
Pos. Player Team
C J.P. Arencibia TOR
1B Freddie Freeman ATL
2B Dustin Ackley SEA
3B Brent Morel CHW
SS Zack Cozart CIN
OF Domonic Brown OF
OF Desmond Jennings TB
OF Chris Carter OAK
SP Jeremy Hellickson TB
SP Chris Sale CHW
SP Michael Pineda SEA
SP Kyle Drabek TOR
SP Mike Minor ATL
RP Craig Kimbrel ATL
RP Aroldis Chapman CIN

So naturally, it begins with the building blocks of tomorrow: the prospects. True, a significant percentage of them don't make an immediate impact, but you want them on your radar. You want to be the one to claim them the very moment their talent aligns with their opportunity.

With that in mind, we present the top 50 prospects to have on your radar in Fantasy. They're not necessarily the ones with the most upside, though that certainly plays a factor. They're not even the ones most likely to contribute this season, though that's again a big part of the equation. They're just the ones whose names you need to know most right now, either because they'll give you something this year or because they'll be potential All Stars down the road.

To distinguish between the immediate and long-term contributors, we've included a "2011 Fantasy impact" scale, ranging from one to five. One means the player has no chance of reaching the majors this year. Five means he's on the opening day roster.

It's not an exact science, but it's a good place to start. As long as you remember these players and keep track of their development, you'll always be a step ahead of the game.

And considering tomorrow tends to get here sooner than anyone expects, that can only be a good thing.




Top 50 Rookies/Prospects for 2011
RK Player POS TM Age 2010 high 2011 impact
1 Jeremy Hellickson SP TB 23 Majors
Dominated upon arrival last season. Might already be the team's second-best pitcher after David Price.
2 Domonic Brown OF PHI 23 Majors
Five-category stud owned the minors last year, but Phillies hesitant to give him Jayson Werth 's old job.
3 Craig Kimbrel RP ATL 22 Majors
No arguing K potential. If he holds off Jonny Venters for saves, the Braves might not miss Billy Wagner.
4 Aroldis Chapman RP CIN 23 Majors
Cuban defector's 100-mph heat was as advertised in 2010. Too bad Reds want him in middle relief for now.
5 Chris Sale RP CHW 22 Majors
Was closing last September after getting drafted in June. Might keep closing if he doesn't get to start.
6 Dustin Ackley 2B SEA 23 Triple-A
MVP of AFL will arrive in 2011. Incredible bat control and emerging power should make him a Fantasy stud.
7 Freddie Freeman 1B ATL 21 Majors
Unquestioned starter for Braves despite young age. Showed ability to hit for average and power in minors.
8 Michael Pineda SP SEA 22 Triple-A
Minors won't contain his high-90s heat for long. He and Felix Hernandez should give M's a deadly duo.
9 Kyle Drabek SP TOR 23 Majors
Son of Cy Young winner looked polished in trial run. Will make immediate contribution as fifth starter.
10 Mike Moustakas 3B KC 22 Triple-A
Former No. 2 pick exploded with .999 OPS in 2010. Should be first of big Royals prospects to arrive.
11 Brandon Belt 1B SF 22 Triple-A
Came out of nowhere to put up silly numbers last year. Walk rate should make him an instant success.
12 Jesus Montero C NYY 21 Triple-A
Prospect rated higher than Buster Posey and Carlos Santana last year needs trade to meet potential.
13 Desmond Jennings OF TB 24 Majors
Carl Crawford's heir delayed by signing of Johnny Damon. Will get on base and run plenty when he arrives.
14 Eric Hosmer 1B KC 21 Double-A
Corrected vision allowed former No. 3 overall pick to exceed hype. May be best pure hitter in minors.
15 Julio Teheran SP ATL 20 Double-A
Best of deep pitching system could force his way into the majors. Has drawn Pedro Martinez comparisons.
16 Bryce Harper OF WAS 18 DNP -- unsigned
Hasn't even played a game and already the best long-term prospect in Fantasy. Teenage MLB debut is possible.
17 Jake McGee RP TB 24 Majors
Former starting prospect now a favorite for saves. Could still start someday, but a nice relief sleeper for now.
18 Mike Minor SP ATL 23 Majors
Former first-rounder had great K-to-BB ratio in trial run. Will try to hold off Brandon Beachy for job.
19 Mike Trout OF LAA 19 Class A
Some publications like him better than Bryce Harper long-term. Certainly has the numbers to justify it.
20 J.P. Arencibia C TOR 25 Majors
Slugging catcher the man for Jays with John Buck (and Mike Napoli) gone. Likely an all-or-nothing type.
21 Chris Carter OF OAK 24 Majors
Power-and-patience specialist finished strong after an 0-for-33 debut, but likely ticketed for minors.
22 Zach Britton SP BAL 23 Triple-A
Shows upside on level of Brian Matusz and may leapfrog Chris Tillman as preferred injury replacement.
23 Devin Mesoraco C CIN 22 Triple-A
Former first-rounder showed why with 26 homers last year. Only aging Ramon Hernandez stands in his way.
24 Lonnie Chisenhall 3B CLE 22 Double-A
Top prospect on rebuilding club may not be 30-homer guy, but should be productive. Will debut in 2011.
25 William Myers OF KC 20 Class A
Converted catcher not as well known as Mike Moustakas or Eric Hosmer but has similar upside offensively.
26 Jordan Walden RP LAA 23 Majors
Kind of a dark horse for saves right now but has stuff to claim the job by midseason and keep it long-term.
27 Matt Moore SP TB 21 Class A
Latest in what has become a rich pitching tradition for Rays. May be best strikeout artist in minors.
28 Danny Espinosa 2B WAS 23 Majors
Projected starter deserves look in Fantasy for power and speed, but likely no help in batting average.
29 Brent Morel 3B CHW 23 Majors
All but declared the starting third baseman already. Not much power yet, but a consistent .300 hitter in minors.
30 Jarrod Parker SP ARI 22 DNP -- injured
A risk after Tommy John surgery, but should regain elite form quickly. Wasn't far off at time of injury.
31 Kenley Jansen RP LAD 23 Majors
Numbers on par with Craig Kimbrel, but with more innings. If Jonathan Broxton falters again, look out.
32 Mike Montgomery SP KC 21 Double-A
The best in a whole slew of Royals pitcher prospects, but still unlikely to arrive before September.
33 Jason Kipnis 2B CLE 23 Double-A
Still learning second base, but bat appears major-league ready. Rebuilding Indians likely won't hold him back.
34 Jordan Lyles SP HOU 20 Triple-A
Astros rushing their one legit prospect. His long-term chances are good even if he struggles at first.
35 Jerry Sands OF LAD 23 Double-A
Hitting for average and big-time power in minors. Door could open for him with Dodgers undecided in left field.
36 Brett Jackson OF CHC 22 Double-A
Proved worth with big across-the-board numbers in 2010. If injury clears way for him, he won't look back.
37 Matt Dominguez 3B FLA 21 Double-A
Marlins determined to make him the starter despite so-so numbers in minors. Has upside, but may struggle.
38 Casey Kelly SP SD 21 Double-A
Converted shortstop's numbers didn't match stuff last year. Only a matter of time before he becomes an ace.
39 Dee Gordon SS LAD 22 Double-A
Still raw, but speed doesn't slump. As fragile as Rafael Furcal is, Gordon could be a sneaky sleeper.
40 Derek Norris C WAS 22 Class A
Good power and patience for catcher. If Nationals didn't have three of them already, he'd rank higher.
41 Kyle Gibson SP MIN 23 Triple-A
Not as dominant as some prospects, but could be legit No. 2 for Twins. And he could get chance this year.
42 Grant Green SS OAK 23 Class A
Emerging power threat at power-weak position in need of better approach, but old enough to get his shot.
43 Nick Franklin SS SEA 20 Double-A
Surprised as one of three minor-leaguers to go 20-20 in 2010. Encore performance would make him elite.
44 Wilson Ramos C WAS 23 Majors
Still hasn't tapped into power potential, but Nats think enough of him to give him shot at starting job.
45 Ivan Nova SP NYY 24 Majors
Doesn't get much hype but throws hard and held his own in debut. Supporting cast could make him a sleeper.
46 Nick Weglarz OF CLE 23 Triple-A
High walk rate and improving power potential could make him an instant hit if glove doesn't hold him back.
47 Hank Conger C LAA 23 Majors
Bat is already major-league ready, but Mike Scioscia prefers defense at catcher. Expect an uphill battle.
48 Cory Luebke SP SD 26 Majors
Near-certain rotation spot earns him a look in Fantasy. He could factor, but he's no ace in waiting.
49 Brandon Beachy SP ATL 24 Majors
Crazy numbers put him on map last year, but deep organization gives him small window to secure a role.
50 Lucas Duda OF NYM 25 Majors
Surprise contributor last year could be surprise starter in a Mets outfield full of injury-prone veterans.
Best of the rest: Brett Lawrie, 2B, TOR; Chris Archer, SP, TB; Jonathan Singleton, OF, PHI; Shelby Miller, SP, STL; Jacob Turner, SP, DET; Yonder Alonso, 1B, CIN; Martin Perez, SP, TEX; Jameson Taillon, SP, PIT; Aaron Hicks, OF, MIN; Manny Machado, SS, BAL; Dayan Viciedo, 3B, CHW; Tyler Matzek, SP, COL; Manuel Banuelos, SP, NYY; John Lamb, SP, KC; Michael Taylor, OF, OAK; Jean Segura, 2B, LAA; Alex White, SP, CLE; Tony Sanchez, C, PIT; Andrew Brackman, SP, NYY; Danny Duffy, SP, KC; Jaff Decker, OF, SD; Anthony Rizzo, 1B, SD; Zack Cozart, SS, CIN; Jose Iglesias, SS, BOS; and Ben Revere, OF, MIN.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can e-mail us your Fantasy Baseball questions to DMFantasyBaseball@cbs.com . Be sure to put Prospects in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Ian Stewart
Sveum: No platoon for Stewart
Ian Stewart, 3B, CHC
12:40 AM
News: Cubs manager Dale Sveum told the Chicago Sun-Times on Wednesday that Ian Stewart enters the 2012 campaign as the everyday third baseman. Stewart, who was acquired from the Rockies in the offseason, batted just .156 with six RBI in 48 games a year ago. ‘‘Ian Stewart’s going to play,’’ he said. ‘‘These things are all left up to them and how they’re doing at the time. But there is no platoon situation in mind at all for anybody right now.’’
Analysis: There had been some that thought Stewart would end up platooning at third base -- due to his inadequacies against lefties -- but his manager cleared all doubt on Wednesday. While he is a career .223 hitter against left-handers, he showed from 2009-10 that he has some serious upside offensively and will be given every opportunity to succeed in Chicago. Keep an eye on his progress during the spring and plan on targeting Stewart in NL-only formats and some deeper mixed leagues as a sleeper.

Fausto Carmona
Carmona to join Indians soon?
Fausto Carmona, SP, CLE
2/22/2012
News: According to an Associated Press report, Indians starting pitcher Roberto Hernandez, formerly known as Fausto Carmona, is expecting to get a judicial pardon for his false identity charges. Hernandez was arrested in the Dominican Republic last month and he was placed on the restricted list by the Indians. Hernandez's agent, Jorge Brito, told reporters that "Roberto will be able to pitch in the major leagues this year," and that he may be able to rejoin the team soon, though no specific timeline was offered.
Analysis: With this latest news, it appears that Hernandez could have some Fantasy value after all this season. However, he is almost certain to miss at least some of the season, and in terms of preparation, he will have fallen behind the starters who did make it to camp this spring. Still, once Hernandez is able to join the Indians, it shouldn't be long before he is back in the rotation, and he would be worth targeting in AL-only leagues.

David Aardsma
Yankees give Aardsma a chance
David Aardsma, RP, SEA
2/22/2012
News: The Yankees signed free agent reliever David Aardsma to a major league deal worth $500,000 on Wednesday, according to the New York Daily News. The contract includes a team option for 2013, and general manager Brian Cashman said that the club is looking to him even more for next season than for the current year. Aardsma did not pitch in the majors last season, and he underwent Tommy John surgery last July. He started throwing again last month and could be ready to pitch in games by midseason.
Analysis: The hard-throwing Aardsma could pay off for the Yankees -- and for Fantasy owners -- later this season, but he comes with more than his fair share of risks. First he has to complete his recovery from surgery, and to have value as a middle reliever in Fantasy, he will likely need to regain the velocity and high-strikeout rates that he displayed back when he was the Mariners' closer. His strong flyball tendencies may also not play well with Yankee Stadium as his new home park. Despite all of the risks, Aardsma still has enough promise to be worth tracking in deeper AL-only leagues.

Edgar Renteria
Renteria likely to retire
Edgar Renteria, SS, CIN
2/22/2012
News: FOXSports.com reports that free agent shortstop Edgar Renteria is strongly considering retirement. Renteria's agent, Barry Meister, said that his client will not file retirement papers, but he does not plan on playing this season. Though he is leaving the door open to play again at some point, Renteria has already turned down minor league offers from two National League teams. He played for the Reds last season, hitting .251 over 96 games.
Analysis: Renteria's playing time and Fantasy value have dwindled over the last couple of seasons, and even if he has a change of heart and plays this year, he won't have much of an impact in any format. Especially given the likelihood of retirement, owners can ignore Renteria in all upcoming drafts and auctions.

Tim Lincecum
Lincecum throws, not worried about back
Tim Lincecum, SP, SF
2/22/2012
News: MLB.com reports Giants pitcher Tim Lincecum played catch off flat ground on Wednesday, a day after missing a bullpen session due to back stiffness. Manager Bruce Bochy said Lincecum will throw off a bullpen mound Thursday, if he's up to it. "I said this yesterday: It's pretty normal [during] spring training to get some stiffness in the back," Bochy said.
Analysis: Lincecum does not appear worried about this minor injury and owners should take the same relaxed approach at this point. Minor injuries pop up all the time in the beginning of spring training so keep an eye on his progress going forward. Lincecum had his first losing season as a pro in 2011, but he still won 13 games, posted a 2.74 ERA and struck out a batter per inning. Even in his worst campaigns, Lincecum is still one of the best pitchers in the majors. Continue to view Lincecum as a top 10 Fantasy SP.

Jim Thome
Thome likely to platoon at 1B
Jim Thome, 1B, PHI
2/22/2012
News: CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reports that the Phillies are likely to begin the season with a platoon at first base, and offseason acquisition Jim Thome will get the larger share of at-bats. The team anticipates that Ryan Howard (Achilles') will not be ready to assume the starting job until sometime in May, so until then, left-handed Thome and right-handed Ty Wigginton will probably hold down the position.
Analysis: Since Thome had not played first base since 2007, many assumed that Wigginton would get most of the starts there while Howard is out. However, if the Phillies go with a strict platoon, Thome will be something close to an everyday player. He has been preparing to play a larger defensive role this offseason, and apparently, there will be a payoff. Thome can still hit, so with regular playing time early in the season, he is worth targeting in NL-only leagues.

Clayton Kershaw
Kershaw dealing with back stiffness
Clayton Kershaw, SP, LAD
2/22/2012
News: MLB.com reports Dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershaw did not throw a bullpen session on Wednesday as he was dealing with some back stiffness. The team said that he was held out as a precautionary measure. "He's been around for a while, we know he's young and he's thrown a lot of innings and we won't do anything to jeopardize him," manager Don Mattingly said.
Analysis: Kershaw, who was named the opening-day starter Tuesday, is the reigning NL Cy Young winner so the Dodgers will not take any risks with the left-hander. He went 21-5 with a 2.28 ERA in 33 starts a year ago and owns a career 2.88 ERA. Keep an eye on his status in the coming days but it looks as though he should be fine going forward. Kershaw is an elite option in Fantasy and should be off the board in the first few rounds on Draft Day.

Manny Pina
Pina injures knee
Manny Pina, C, KC
2/22/2012
News: Royals catcher Manny Pina was examained by medical trainers after he "tweaked" his knee on Wednesday, coach Ned Yost told MLB.com.
Analysis: Pina is competing with Brayan Pena for the backup job this season so keep an eye on his progress going forward. But even if he breaks camp with the big club, Pina remains someone to avoid in all Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Jason Isringhausen
Isringhausen gets minors deal from Halos
Jason Isringhausen, RP, NYM
2/22/2012
News: The Angels signed relief pitcher Jason Isringhausen to a minor-league contract on Wednesday. The right-hander posted a 4.05 ERA in 53 appearances for the Mets last season, including going 7 for 11 in save chances.
Analysis: Isringhausen had a successful return to the majors last season but was unable to land a guaranteed contract and will have to earn his way onto the 25-man roster in Anaheim. Even if he does, the 39-year-old will not see many save chances so plan on ignoring Isringhausen in the majority of Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Brendan Ryan
Ryan begins throwing program
Brendan Ryan, SS, SEA
2/22/2012
News: MLB.com reports that Mariners shortstop Brendan Ryan began his throwing program on Wednesday. He has been working his way back from a shoulder injury. "We're just trying to get his arm healthy," manager Eric Wedge said. "He came in a little behind, but he's moving around doing everything except throwing. But he's into his throwing program today. He'll throw again tomorrow and all the way through the weekend, and hopefully that will be the start for him getting back on track."
Analysis: Ryan heads into 2012 as the starting shortstop for the Mariners but it is more so for his defensive prowess. He batted .248 with three homers and 39 RBI in 123 games last season, and is a career .256 hitter. This injury is not expected to sideline him once the regular season rolls around but given his offensive inadequacies, leave Ryan for AL-only formats on Draft Day.

 
 
 
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