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2012 Fantasy outlooks: Miami Marlins

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The Marlins dashed out to a 31-22 record after the season's first two months, a 5-23 June got the organization looking ahead to 2012 earlier than anticipated. After the firing of manager Edwin Rodriguez, 80-year-old Jack McKeon led the team through a turbulent and bizarre second half in which Logan Morrison was demoted to Triple-A, Hanley Ramirez underwent season-ending shoulder surgery, Josh Johnson (shoulder) stretched his DL stint to the very end of the season, and Leo Nunez (now Juan Oviedo) was forced to return to his native Dominican Republic to face charges of using a false identity.

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This offseason, the Marlins have done a lot more than just leave a last-place finish behind them. Since November, the team has acquired a new name, switching from the Florida Marlins to the Miami Marlins, a new manager (Ozzie Guillen), a brand-new ballpark, new uniforms and new free-spending ways. Since their first World Series title in 1997, the team has been best known for fire sales and bargain hunting. Surprisingly, the Marlins were legitimate contenders to land Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson, and while they lost out on both players, they won't head to spring training empty-handed. Miami signed free agents Jose Reyes, Heath Bell and Mark Buehrle, and they acquired Carlos Zambrano from the Cubs in exchange for fellow hurler Chris Volstad.

With the anticipated return of Johnson and their bevy of recent acquisitions, the Marlins enter this season as a markedly improved squad. Even so, there are a number of questions that leave the Marlins' status as a contender unclear. Hanley Ramirez could return to being an elite hitter, but will his shoulder be fully healed, and will his transition to third base affect him? Health has been an issue for Reyes in recent seasons as well, and will he be able to play at least 135 games for the first time in four years? Will Mike Stanton make enough contact so that he can become one of the majors' best hitters? Will Stanton be joined in the outfield by Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes, whom the Marlins might sign? Can Ricky Nolasco bounce back from a mediocre season, and will a change of scenery help Zambrano? Finally, will new manager Guillen and confessed Twitterholic Logan Morrison get into an online feud that threatens team chemistry?

Even with so many unsettled issues, the Marlins know they now have a stronger rotation, an upgrade at closer with Bell, and the best left side of the infield, at least in terms of offense, in the majors. That should help them exceed last year's 72 wins by a wide margin, but it may not be enough to help them to keep pace with the Phillies and Braves, not to mention an upgraded Nationals squad, in the National League East.

Breakout...Logan Morrison, OF

Morrison hadn't shown home run power in the upper minors, so his 23 homers in his first full year in the majors came as a welcomed surprise. Even with the uptick in power, Morrison's campaign felt like a disappointment. His calling card as a prospect was a high on-base percentage, but a reduced walk rate and low batting average on balls in play (BABIP) left LoMo with a pedestrian .330 OBP. Morrison's track record suggests both his walk rate and BABIP should rebound, and in fact, his .268 BABIP from a year ago looks like the result of some horrendously bad luck. He is a strong bet to improve on his OBP and, at worst, maintain the home run power he displayed in 2011. Add in some improvement and subtract out his minor league demotion and DL time from last season, and Morrison suddenly profiles as a No. 3 mixed league OF.

Bounce-back...Hanley Ramirez, SS

Ramirez had a miserable first half last season, and just when he started to get untracked, he suffered a shoulder injury that led to season-ending surgery. As the season progressed, Ramirez adjusted and started hitting more line drives and flyballs, and his batting average and power numbers rose accordingly. Even though his overall stats were pale compared to his norms, a good sign for Ramirez was that his home run per flyball rate was not much lower than usual. As long as his timing and mechanics are sound, Ramirez showed he can still hit for power, and given the strength of his midseason performance, owners have reason for optimism. Though his recovery from surgery and transition to third base might not go smoothly, it's still a huge risk to pass on the type of production that Ramirez provided over his first five seasons with the Marlins and even part of last year. Ramirez is still worthy of a second-round pick.

Head-to-Head hero...Gaby Sanchez, 1B

Sanchez was an All-Star last season, largely on the basis of the .322/.401/.520 line he put up through the end of May. For those two months, Sanchez was getting home runs and hits on balls in play at rates far beyond his established norms. He came down to earth over the final four months of the season, and at 28, it's unlikely Sanchez is going to develop into someone who hits over .300 with 25-plus home runs. While he is a low-end mixed league option for Rotisserie owners, the skill set that Sanchez clearly owns makes him far more valuable in Head-to-Head. What we know Sanchez can do is hit doubles and draw walks. That makes him a solid middle-round pick in standard mixed Head-to-Head leagues.

2012 Miami Marlins Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Jose Reyes SS 1 Josh Johnson RH
2 Emilio Bonifacio CF 2 Mark Buehrle LH
3 Hanley Ramirez 3B 3 Anibal Sanchez RH
4 Mike Stanton RF 4 Ricky Nolasco RH
5 Logan Morrison LF 5 Carlos Zambrano RH
6 Gaby Sanchez 1B Alt Wade LeBlanc LH
7 John Buck C
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Omar Infante 2B CL Heath Bell RH
Top bench options SU Juan Oviedo (formerly Leo Nunez) RH
R Greg Dobbs 3B RP Steve Cishek RH
R Brett Hayes C RP Mike Dunn LH
R Bryan Petersen OF RP Edward Mujica RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2011 high Destination
1 Matt Dominguez 22 3B Majors Triple-A
Dominguez is the Marlins' prospect who is closest to major-league ready, but his bat is still suspect, and there is no role for him currently.
2 Christian Yelich 20 OF Class A Class A
Yelich already has good gap power and the home runs could still come. A solid choice in long-term keeper leagues, he is still a couple of years away.
3 Rob Rasmussen 23 SP Class A Double-A
Rasmussen wasn't overwhelming in the Florida State League, but he is probably on the fastest track of the Marlins' young pitchers. He could potentially reach the majors late in 2012 as a reliever.
4 Marcell Ozuna 21 OF Class A Class A
Ozuna already has great power potential, and he made huge strides in his strike zone recognition last year.
5 J.T. Realmuto 21 C Class A Class A
Realmuto won't be in the majors anytime soon, but his combination of speed and power at the catcher position will be worth waiting for.
Best of the rest: Jose Fernandez, SP; Chad James, SP; Kyle Jensen, OF; Kevin Mattison, OF; Noah Perio, 2B; Adam Conley, SP; Mason Hope, SP; Jose Ceda, RP; Charlie Lowell, SP; Mark Canha, 1B; Grant Dayton, RP; Jose Urena, SP; Jesus Solorzano, OF; Chris Hatcher, RP; Omar Poveda, SP; Kyle Skipworth, C.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Al Melchior at @almelccbs . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Report: Rival teams showing interest in Justin Masterson
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(10:25 pm ET) The Indians have been contacted by rival clubs interested in pitcher Justin Masterson before the July 31 trade deadline, the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.

Masterson has been on the disabled list since July 8 because of right knee soreness. He went 4-6 with a 5.51 ERA in 19 starts before the injury. He will make his second minor-league rehab start Friday at Triple-A Columbus.

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(9:57 pm ET) Marlins closer Steve Cishek nailed down his 24th save Thursday against the Braves.

Cishek entered the game with a one-run lead, and was able to pick up the save. He induced three fly outs from the middle of the Braves lineup for the save. Cishek lowered his ERA to 3.32 with the appearance. 


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(9:55 pm ET) Braves closer Craig Kimbrel earned a rare loss Thursday against the Marlins.

Kimbrel entered a tie game in the ninth inning. He quickly worked a strikeout for the first out of the inning. Kimbrel also struck out Marcell Ozuna, but Ozuna reached base on a wild pitch. Ozuna would also take second on another wild pitch from Kimbrel. Jarrod Saltalamacchia then proceeded to hit a single, which drove Ozuna home. 

The Braves couldn't muster up a run in the bottom of the inning, giving Kimbrel the loss. He dropped to 0-2 on the year.


Henderson Alvarez goes eight strong against Atlanta
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(9:50 pm ET) Marlins pitcher Henderson Alvarez tossed eight strong innings Thursday against the Braves.

Alvarez allowed two runs on six hits over eight innings of work. He struck out four and walked one. The Braves struck early against Alvarez, hitting a two-run homer in the second inning. Alvarez settled in at that point, tossing three more innings of scoreless ball. Alvarez threw 101 pitches during the outing. 

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Aaron Harang earns no decision Thursday
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(9:49 pm ET) Braves pitcher Aaron Harang tossed a strong start Thursday against the Marlins.

Harang allowed two runs on seven hits over seven innings of work. He struck out five and walked two. Harang got off to a great start, tossing four scoreless innings to begin the game. He ran into trouble in the fifth. Harang walked the leadoff hitter, and then gave up a double to Jarrod Saltalamacchia. With two men on, Adeiny Hechavarria singled a run home. Christian Yelich would later ground into a double-play, which would bring in the other run.

Harang was matched by Marlins pitcher Henderson Alvarez, and did not factor into the decision. His next start will come against the Dodgers.


Phil Hughes dealing with shin contussion
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(9:38 pm ET) Twins pitcher Phil Hughes has been diagnosed with a right shin contusion, and has been listed as day to day moving forward, FOX Sports North reports.

Hughes was forced out of Thursday's start against the White Sox after taking an Adam Dunn liner off the leg in the fourth inning. He allowed one run on four hits and no walks while striking out four over three innings of work before the injury. His status remains uncertain for Wednesday's start at Kansas City.

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Hughes allowed one run on four hits and no walks while striking out four over three innings of work before the injury. He owns a 4.03 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 21 starts (131 2/3 innings). He now remains uncertain for his next start, Wednesday at Kansas City.


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Tejada is hitting .235 over 260 at-bats. 


 
 
 
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