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Scott White

2012 Fantasy outlooks: Colorado Rockies

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Just two short years after their last playoff appearance, the Rockies found themselves in a deeper hole than they could overcome midway through last season, forcing the front office to change course. For all the success the team had at the end of the last decade, the status quo wasn't working anymore. The roster was in need of a makeover.

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Certain parts were untouchable, such as the nucleus of Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez. Both are locked up long-term and both are good as it gets at their respective positions. But Ubaldo Jimenez, perhaps the only true ace the organization has ever known, suddenly became expendable and ultimately landed the Rockies two promising young pitchers in Drew Pomeranz and Alex White.

Though Pomeranz showed some potential down the stretch and has a pedigree that suggests he could be the organization's next true ace, the Rockies still didn't feel comfortable with their pitching depth entering spring training and made it their mission this offseason to acquire as many serviceable arms as possible -- most of which are probably too hittable for Coors Field.

Between Jeremy Guthrie, Guillermo Moscoso, Josh Outman, Jamie Moyer and Tyler Chatwood, the Rockies should have no shortage of innings. Whether or not they'll be good ones is a different story. Fortunately, any of those five (with the exception of Guthrie) who make the roster will likely become expendable as soon as Juan Nicasio (broken neck) and Jorge De La Rosa (Tommy John surgery) prove healthy and effective again.

As for the offense, the Rockies loaded up on veterans to complement Tulowitzki and Gonzalez, and while old men Todd Helton and Casey Blake may not hold up at the corners, Michael Cuddyer and Marco Scutaro are still productive enough to take advantage of the move to Coors Field. And whenever the Rockies decide they need an injection of youthful energy, they can turn the hot corner over to future star Nolan Arenado and the catcher spot over to slugger Wilin Rosario.

Breakout ... Dexter Fowler, OF

Judging by the final numbers, Fowler was the same player last season as the previous two seasons, when he was widely regarded as an underachiever. But let's not forget the path he took to those numbers. In June of last year, he was hitting so poorly that the Rockies actually demoted him to the minors. Instead of sulking, he adjusted, changing his stance -- which was never a thing of beauty from the left side -- to shorten his stroke. He returned a different player, hitting .297 with 36 extra-base hits, nine steals and a .901 OPS in his final 64 games. That's who the Rockies thought they were getting when Fowler was first breaking into the majors. Granted, the homers aren't there yet, but given his 6-foot-4 frame and extensive number of doubles and triples, they should come as he enters his prime. And even if they don't this year, Fowler still figures to exceed his draft position in Head-to-Head leagues. He's basically a Shane Victorino waiting to happen.

Sleeper ... Rafael Betancourt, RP

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After trading Huston Street to the Padres this offseason, the Rockies plan to make Betancourt their full-time closer. But wait, didn't the Indians try that with him in 2008, when he was coming off his best season? And wasn't it a cataclysmic failure? And didn't no-names like Masahide Kobayashi and, later, Jensen Lewis end up getting saves instead? Yes, yes and -- oh yes -- yes. But that was the old Betancourt. At age 36, he's no longer so easily rattled. Want proof? Hey, he was at his best while filling in for Street last year, posting a microscopic 0.32 ERA over his final 30 appearances, when he recorded all eight of his saves. He has always had great peripherals, from his strikeout rate to his WHIP, and his stuff is as good as ever despite his age. Betancourt is likely to slip in drafts given his limited closing experience, but if you draft him late as your second or third reliever, he might end up being your best.

Late-round flier ... Marco Scutaro, SS

Let's be honest here: Scutaro isn't going to hit 20 homers or steal 20 bases. He might not even be a 10-10 guy. He isn't going to redefine the shortstop position or carry anybody's Fantasy team. So why should anyone care about him on Draft Day? Because what he does offer, at least in Head-to-Head leagues, makes him surprisingly productive at the weakest position in Fantasy. He hits doubles. He walks. He puts the ball in play. As a full-timer in 2009, he ranked fifth among shortstops in Fantasy points, and one year later, he ranked sixth. Best of all, he's going to be batting second for a team that, given its home ballpark, routinely ranks among the highest scoring in the NL. With Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki hitting behind him, how can he not score a ton of runs? Again, you can do better at shortstop than Scutaro, but if you miss out on the big names early, don't forget about him as a fallback option.

2012 Colorado Rockies Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Dexter Fowler CF 1 Jeremy Guthrie RH
2 Marco Scutaro 2B 2 Jhoulys Chacin RH
3 Carlos Gonzalez LF 3 Juan Nicasio RH
4 Troy Tulowitzki SS 4 Guillermo Moscoso RH
5 Todd Helton 1B 5 Drew Pomeranz LH
6 Michael Cuddyer RF Alt Josh Outman LH
7 Ramon Hernandez C
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Casey Blake 3B CL Rafael Betancourt RH
Top bench options SU Rex Brothers LH
R Wilin Rosario C RP Matt Belisle RH
R Tyler Colvin OF RP Matt Reynolds LH
R Eric Young OF/2B RP Edgmer Escalona RH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2011 high Destination
1 Drew Pomeranz 23 SP Majors Majors
Even at reduced velocities with the extended workload, Pomeranz was more effective than not in a late-season call-up. He's a worthy late-rounder in mixed leagues, provided he wins a job.
2 Nolan Arenado 20 3B Class A Double-A
Despite his young age, Arenado is already a good enough contact and power hitter to play in the big leagues. Considering only Blake stands in his way, it'll likely happen midseason. A future star.
3 Wilin Rosario 23 C Majors Majors
Rosario's power hitting should play well at home, but his poor plate discipline could make him another Rod Barajas. He'll eventually supplant Hernandez, making him worth a flier in deeper leagues.
4 Chad Bettis 22 SP Class A Double-A
Bettis was overpowering in the heavy-hitting California League last year, causing him to shoot up the prospect rankings. He likely won't arrive in 2012, but he's a worthy long-term keeper.
5 Tim Wheeler 24 OF Double-A Triple-A
Wheeler emerged as a power hitter last year and is also an adequate base-stealer. His struggles against lefties might confine him to a platoon role, but he's not far from reaching the bigs.
Best of the rest: Tyler Matzek, SP; Trevor Story, SS; Tyler Anderson, SP; Kyle Parker, OF; Jordan Pacheco, 1B; Charlie Blackmon, OF; Christian Friedrich, SP; Edgmer Escalona, RP; DJ LeMahieu, 2B; Kent Matthes, OF; Joe Gardner, SP; Edwar Cabrera, SP; Zach Putnam, RP; Rob Scahill, SP; Hector Gomez, SS; and Ben Paulsen, 1B.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Lance Berkman
Berkman sidelined 8-10 weeks
Lance Berkman, 1B, STL
12:09 PM
News: St. Louis outfielder Lance Berkman is projected to miss the next eight to 10 weeks after having surgery Friday to repair a torn meniscus and another minor cartilage tear, the team announced. Berkman, who was placed on the disabled list last Sunday after suffering the injury while stretching to make a putout at first base, will begin his rehab work in Houston. The Cardinals anticipate Berkman returning to St. Louis for the latter part of his rehab. "It was great to hear his voice and hear that excitement," manager Mike Matheny said. "He's thinking about counting down the days until he's back."
Analysis: If there was a positive note to take from Berkman's surgery, it's that there was no mention of repairing his ACL, which likely would have ended his season. Instead, the 36-year-old slugger could return at some point following the All-Star break, but St. Louis will certainly be overly cautious during his rehab. "It was great news," Matheny said. "As good a news as we could get. The doctors were extremely optimistic about what they saw." Berkman ripped 14 hits in 13 games before the injury (.333), and should be reserved in all Fantasy formats for now.

Michael Cuddyer
Cuddyer scratched with stiff neck
Michael Cuddyer, RF, COL
7:06 PM
News: Rockies outfielder Michael Cuddyer was scratched from Friday's lineup against the Reds due to a stiff neck. Cuddyer has gone 7 for 13 (.538) with four RBI in his last four games.
Analysis: Cuddyer has picked up the pace at the plate recently so hopefully this injury does not keep him out for long. Keep an eye on his status over the weekend to see how he is looking heading into Week 9 (May 28-June 3). Cuddyer already has four homers with 27 RBI on the season and should be considered a solid option in the majority of Fantasy formats, when healthy.

Michael Morse
Morse to begin rehab assignment Mon.
Michael Morse, LF, WAS
6:35 PM
News: The Washington Post reports Nationals first baseman/outfielder Michael Morse, on the 15-day disabled list due to a back injury, will begin a rehab assignment with Class A Potomac on Monday. Morse played on an extended spring training game on Friday and hit two home runs.
Analysis: Morse is targeting a June 8 return and should be able to make that date, barring a setback. After batting .303 with 31 homers and 95 RBI a year ago, owners have been waiting to see what he can to this season so keep an eye on his progress going forward. Morse should continue to be stashed away in most Fantasy formats as a Week 10 (June 4-10) return is looking like a strong possibility.

Mark Reynolds
Reynolds to rehab at Double-A
Mark Reynolds, 3B, BAL
6:14 PM
News: MLB.com reports Orioles third baseman Mark Reynolds, on the 15-day disabled list, will begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Bowie on Saturday. Reynolds has not played since May 10 due to a left oblique strain.
Analysis: Reynolds showed some signs of life at the plate before going down with the injury, batting .348 (8 for 23) with two homers and six RBI in his previous seven games. Keep an eye on his progress during his rehab stint to see when the 28-year-old will return. Despite his prowess for striking out, Reynolds has a ton of power potential and should continue to be stashed away in deeper mixed leagues while he's on the DL.

Blake Wood
Wood undergoes Tommy John surgery
Blake Wood, RP, KC
7:32 PM
News: Royals pitcher Blake Wood underwent successful Tommy John surgery Friday.
Analysis: Wood will miss the rest of the season and part of 2013 due to his injury but the good news is that many pitchers have made successful returns from this surgery. Due to his role in Kansas City, however, the right-hander is not worth stashing away in the majority of Fantasy formats.

Justin Sellers
Sellers heads to the DL
Justin Sellers, SS, LAD
7:32 PM
News: Dodgers shortstop Justin Sellers was placed on the 15-day disabled list on Friday, retroactive to May 23, as a result of a lower back injury. He was scratched on Wednesday with what was called numbness in his right leg, however that appears to have been related to the back injury. The team activated Jerry Hairston from the disabled list to take his place.
Analysis: Sellers has been hitting just .205 with one home run and two RBI in 19 games, so this is not a big loss. He has been playing more often recently as a result of injuries, however with Hairston back, he was likely going to see a loss in at bats anyways. At this point, he should be stashed only in the deepest of NL-only Fantasy formats.

Jerry Hairston
Dodgers get Hairston back
Jerry Hairston, 3B, LAD
7:23 PM
News: Dodgers third baseman Jerry Hairston was activated off the 15-day disabled list on Friday, in time to play third base and bat fifth for the team's matchup with the Astros that night. Hairston has been on the DL since May 7 with a hamstring injury. Infielder Justin Sellers was placed on the disabled list to make room for him on the active roster.
Analysis: Hairston was playing some solid ball before the injury, batting .315 in 19 games, so the Dodgers are happy to have him back. He will likely see close to everyday at bats, with the Dodgers dealing with some injuries, but he is still worth owning in only NL-only Fantasy leagues.

Salvador Perez
Perez catches in ext. spring game
Salvador Perez, C, KC
7:18 PM
News: The Kansas City Star reports Royals catcher Salvador Perez, on the 60-day disabled list, caught three innings during an extended spring training game Friday. Perez also went 4 for 4 with a home run at the plate. Perez has been sidelined since March after undergoing surgery to repair the lateral meniscus tear in his left knee.
Analysis: Perez appears to be ahead of schedule in his recovery and could return to the Royals before the end of June. The 22-year-old came into this season with some big expectations after batting .290 in the minors a year ago so keep an eye on his progress going forward. Perez is expected to make an impact upon returning so keep him stashed away in deeper Fantasy formats at this point.

Carlos Quentin
Quentin back on rehab stint
Carlos Quentin, LF, SD
5:47 PM
News: San Diego outfielder Carlos Quentin is expected to rejoin Class A Lake Elsinore on Friday as he continues his recovery from a knee injury, according to the North Country Times. Quentin, who has been on the disabled list all season, was shut down earlier this month after experiencing pain in his surgically repaired knee. "I think that time off gave him just what he needed, so we'll see how he does and take it day to day," manager Bud Black said.
Analysis: Quentin was able to take batting practice without any reported discomfort last Wednesday, but there is still no timetable for his return. The 29-year-old has played in two games for Lake Elsinore and recorded two hits and two RBI during seven at-bats. Fantasy owners should keep monitor Quentin's progress while keeping him reserved only in deeper formats for now.

Desmond Jennings
Jennings' return officially delayed
Desmond Jennings, LF, TB
5:42 PM
News: Rays outfielder Desmond Jennings, on the 15-day disabled list due to a sprained left knee, will not return until the end of next week "at the soonest," manager Joe Maddon told reporters on Friday. Maddon also added that Jennings would likely start a minor-league rehab assignment by sometime mid-week. The 25-year-old has been sidelined since May 12 with his injury.
Analysis: Jennings is eligible to be activated off the 15-day DL on Sunday, but the Rays have been saying all along that he needed more time. Maddon made it official on Friday, so it sounds like Jennings won't be ready to return until the end of Fantasy Week 9 (May 28-June 3) at the earliest. That is also barring any setbacks, so owners should keep an eye on his status during his rehab starts. Jennings can be considered a viable Fantasy start in all formats when healthy, but it sounds like he owners will have to wait until Week 10 (June 4-10) to get him active.

 
 
 
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