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2012 Fantasy outlooks: Milwaukee Brewers

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Talk about a buzz kill.

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After winning their division for the first time in 29 years and making the playoffs for only the second time during that stretch, the Brewers had to wave goodbye to longtime cleanup hitter Prince Fielder this offseason. And though they at least attempted to fill the void by signing Aramis Ramirez, they can't expect the same MVP-caliber production from the aging third baseman. The bottom line is, without Fielder, they're not as good as they were last year.

It could have been worse, though. They could have also lost Ryan Braun, the reigning NL MVP, for 50 games because of a failed drug test. But Braun won his appeal and, in doing so, gave the Brewers hope of a repeat title.

True, he may be the team's only true elite hitter now, but it's not like he's surrounded by scrubs. Ramirez has been a legitimate middle-of-the-order hitter for more than a decade. Rickie Weeks is one of the few pure power hitters at second base. Corey Hart is always good for 20-plus homers. Even Fielder's replacement, Mat Gamel, packs enough punch that he may someday be worthy of an All-Star nod.

Besides, the real strength of this team is its pitching staff. In Yovani Gallardo and Zack Greinke, the Brewers have dual aces at the top of their rotation. Both are on the right side of 30 and only got better over the course of last season, so Fantasy owners have no reason to worry about them. Third wheel Shaun Marcum did have some issues last September and fell apart in the playoffs but chances are he simply needed an offseason of rest. And if not, whatever shortcomings develop in the rotation the Brewers can counter with top prospect Wily Peralta, not to mention a lights-out late-inning duo of Francisco Rodriguez and John Axford.

So clearly this team's success last year wasn't all Fielder. Without him, the Brewers may not be the run-scoring machine they were a year ago but they'll compete all the same.

Breakout ... Yovani Gallardo, SP

Gallardo may not be the textbook definition of a "breakout player." In fact, he'll probably get drafted as a top-20 starting pitcher. But of those 20, he's one of the most likely to creep into the top 10. See, the current rendition of Gallardo isn't as flawed as his numbers would have you believe. During his five years in the majors his shaky control has condemned him to an ERA over 3.50 and a WHIP over 1.20, and that was the case again last year. But he seemed to overcome the problem in the second half. Over his final 15 starts, he issued 16 walks, posting a 3.06 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. And it's not like he sacrificed deception for control. His strikeout rate actually rose during that stretch. In those 15 starts Gallardo turned a corner, which isn't so difficult to believe considering he's only 26. If he can pick up where he left off he'll be as much of a bargain as a top-20 pitcher can be.

Bust ... Aramis Ramirez, 3B

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Ramirez did last year more or less what he has done over the last 11 years, so Fantasy owners have little reason to doubt him in his move from Chicago to Milwaukee, right? Well, not exactly. Ramirez's 2011 season may not stand out as anything exceptional over the entirety of his career but compared the previous two years it was a full-fledged outlier. It was the first time during that stretch he played as many as 125 games, finishing with nearly 150. That alone gave him a boost in the rankings that Fantasy owners seem to think he's going to sustain. But let's be reasonable: He turns 34 this year. A player that age with that injury history will get hurt at some point and if his numbers begin to decline along with it he could easily drop out of the top 12 at the position. It's coming sooner than later. Why take the risk when you can land a Pablo Sandoval at about the same point in the draft?

Sleeper ... Mat Gamel, 3B

After biding his time at Triple-A for most of the last three seasons, Gamel is poised to replace Prince Fielder at first base this year. It won't be the first time the career .304 minor-league hitter had a shot at regular at-bats -- that came in 2009, when relative unknown Casey McGehee seized the third base job from him -- but it is the first time he's been the overwhelming favorite. So why isn't there more hype in Fantasy? For one thing, Gamel is already 26, so he doesn't exactly qualify as a prospect anymore. For another, he hasn't impressed in his brief major-league opportunities so far. To be fair, though, the Brewers haven't cared to give him the benefit of the doubt, unwilling to live through his defensive lapses at third base for no more than prospective production. With him at first that's not an issue anymore. He'll have all the time he needs to get comfortable and if his minor-league numbers are any indication he'll be an impact player as a result.

2012 Milwaukee Brewers Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Corey Hart RF 1 Yovani Gallardo RH
2 Nyjer Morgan CF 2 Zack Greinke RH
3 Ryan Braun LF 3 Randy Wolf LH
4 Aramis Ramirez 3B 4 Shaun Marcum RH
5 Rickie Weeks 2B 5 Chris Narveson LH
6 Mat Gamel 1B Alt Marco Estrada RH
7 Jonathan Lucroy C
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Alex Gonzalez SS CL John Axford RH
Top bench options SU Francisco Rodriguez RH
R Norichika Aoki OF RP Jose Veras RH
R Taylor Green UTL RP Kameron Loe RH
R Carlos Gomez OF RP Manny Parra LH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2011 high Destination
1 Wily Peralta 22 SP Triple-A Triple-A
The hard-thrower profiles as a workhorse and is poised to step into Milwaukee's rotation in 2013 at the latest. If Narveson folds or anyone else gets injured he'll arrive even sooner.
2 Taylor Green 25 2B Majors Majors
After a slow recovery from wrist surgery Green put up a silly .997 OPS at Triple-A in 2011. He's a good enough hitter and a versatile enough defender to be the next Ben Zobrist.
3 Taylor Jungmann 22 SP DNP -- signed late Class A
The 2011 first-rounder should be a staple of the Brewers rotation before too long, but he's more like a No. 2 option than a true ace. Still, he's a solid long-term keeper.
4 Jed Bradley 21 SP DNP -- signed late Class A
Bradley is kind of the left-handed equivalent of Jungmann and was taken only three picks later. If you're looking for a quick payoff, he should only need a couple years.
5 Tyler Thornburg 23 SP Class A Double-A
Tornburg has piled up strikeouts in the minors, but his funky delivery compromises his command and could ultimately force him into relief. Double-A will be a good test for him.
Best of the rest: Norichika Aoki, OF; Logan Schafer, OF; Ryan Gennett, 2B; Cody Scarpetta, SP; Brandon Kintzler, RP; Michael Fiers, RP; Santo Manzanillo, RP; Caleb Gindl, OF; Kentrail Davis, OF; Hunter Morris, 3B; D' Richardson, OF; Eric Arnett, SP; Eric Farris, 2B; Kyle Heckathorn, SP; Lucas Luetge, RP; Martin Maldonado, C; Dan Merklinger, SP; Mike McClendon, RP; Yadiel Rivera, SS; Mark Rogers, SP; and Zelous Wheeler, 3B.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Cubs RF Jorge Soler hits game-tying double on Saturday
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(2:00 am ET) Cubs right fielder Jorge Soler broke out of his recent mini-slump with a two-hit night in Saturday's win over the Diamondbacks. Soler went 2 for 4 with a big game tying, two-run double in the top of the eighth inning.

Soler's two-bagger knotted the game up at six, and set the stage for the team to post three more in the ninth for the victory. 

This was Soler's fourth two-hit performance in his last seven games. However, he was hitless int he other three games, and he is now 8 for 29 over that stretch.


Diamondbacks getting aggressive on the basepaths
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:58 am ET) The Diamondbacks have been speed demons so far this season. Arizona entered Saturday's game tied for second in the National League with 40 stolen bases, led by A.J. Pollock with 10 and Paul Goldschmidt with eight.

"What we've really tried to do the whole year is if there's an opportunity there, be aggressive with it," Goldschmidt said to MLB.com. "It's just another way we can get a guy into scoring position and make it a little bit easier on offense to score."

Pollock is tied for fourth in the NL with his stolen bases and 12 different players have recorded at least one stolen base.

"If it is a good spot and it's a good opportunity to take one, we'll try to take it," Pollock said. "We've got a pretty dynamic team and overall our team speed is pretty good. You've got a couple guys that kind of fly under the radar with speed and they can sneak one here and there."


Diamondbacks LF David Peralta hits three-run double on Saturday
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(1:56 am ET) Diamondbacks left fielder David Peralta belted a bases-clearing double in the bottom of the fifth inning in Saturday's loss to the Cubs. It was Peralta's only hit of the game, and it gave his team a 5-4 advantage.

Saturday was Peralta's second three-RBI performance in his last four games as he continues to have a solid year at the plate in his second year as a big-leaguer. He's now hitting .257 with four home runs and 21 RBI on the year.


Rockies SS Daniel Descalso blasts second home run of the year
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:55 am ET) Rockies shortstop Daniel Descalso went 1 for 4 at the plate in Colorado's 5-3 win over the Giants on Saturday.

Descalso did his damage in the sixth inning when he belted a two-run home run off of Yusmeiro Petit, his second of the season. Descalso is now hitting .200 with 11 RBI in 54 at-bats this season.


Rockies reliever John Axford nails down sixth save of the season
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:55 am ET) Rockies relief pitcher John Axford worked a nearly perfect ninth inning on Saturday in Colorado's 5-3 win over the Giants, earning his sixth save of the season.

After allowing a leadoff single, Axford managed to get a fly out to center field, who then doubled off the baserunner trying to advanced to third. Axford then forced a groundout to end the game. Axford lowered his ERA to 0.90 in 10 innings of work.


Giants pitcher Yusmeiro Petit allows four runs in losing effort
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:55 am ET) Giants pitcher Yusmeiro Petit allowed four runs on seven hits in six innings of work in San Francisco's 5-3 loss to the Rockies on Saturday.

Petit didn't have any issues until the fourth, when he allowed three consecutive batters to reach base safely, including an RBI double by Brandon Barnes. Then, he forced a groundout by Daniel Descalso, but that also brought home a run.

In the sixth, Petit surrendered a two-run homer to Descalso. Petit, now 1-1, moved his ERA to 3.86 in 28 innings of work. 


Rockies pitcher David Hale earns first win of the year in spot start
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:55 am ET) Rockies pitcher David Hale allowed three runs, two earned, on eight hits in 6 2/3 innings of work on Saturday in Colorado's 5-3 win over the Giants.

Hale, who was called up from Triple-A to make a spot start in a doubleheader for Colorado, ran into some issues in the second when he allowed a run to score on a wild pitch. Then in the fifth, Hale put runners on second and third with two out before allowing an RBI single to Nori Aoki, scoring a run. 

Hale would allow one more run in the seventh before getting the hook. Hale, now 1-0, moved his ERA to 2.70 on the season. 


Diamondbacks' A.J. Pollock continues hot hitting roll
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:52 am ET) Diamondbacks center fielder A.J. Pollock went 1 for 4 in Arizona's 9-6 loss on Saturday. It was Pollock's first "bad game" in his last five. Entering Saturday, Pollock was 10 for 16 in the last four, something he can't explain, according to MLB.com.

"Just clicking, I don't know what's going on," Pollock said. "It's just baseball, you feel like you've got something, you're not getting hits, then you do the same thing and you're getting hits. It's just how the game is."

Manager Chip Hale noted his approach change to his recent success.

"He's really turned it up in just the mental part of the game, of picking the pitches that he wants to go after, whether it's the first pitch or a pitch with two strikes," Hale said. "Instead of trying to guess or wait, he's looking for a good pitch to hit out over the plate and using the whole field."

Pollock is now hitting .308 with 16 RBI in 156 at-bats this season.


Diamondbacks C Tuffy Gosewisch blasts first home run of 2015
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(1:51 am ET) Diamondbacks catcher Tuffy Gosewisch launched his first home run in over a year, as Arizona fell to the Cubs 9-6 on Saturday. Gosewisch's only other home run came on April 22, 2014.

Saturday's solo shot came in the sixth inning off Cubs' starter Jake Arrieta, and gave the D-Backs a 6-4 lead. The 31-year-old Gosewisch has hit safely in nine of his last 11 games and owns a .231 batting average on the season.


Cubs RP Jason Motte picks up relief win on Saturday
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(1:44 am ET) Cubs reliver Jason Motte (2-1) earned a win in relief in Saturday's 9-6 victory over the Diamondbacks. Motte entered the bottom of the eighth inning with one away and managed to retire the two batters he faced. The Cubs put up three runs in their half of the ninth, which allowed Motte to pick up the win. 

The hard-throwing right-hander lowered his season ERA to 4.76 and he has not been scored upon in his last four outings.


 
 
 
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