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2012 Fantasy outlooks: Milwaukee Brewers

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Talk about a buzz kill.

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After winning their division for the first time in 29 years and making the playoffs for only the second time during that stretch, the Brewers had to wave goodbye to longtime cleanup hitter Prince Fielder this offseason. And though they at least attempted to fill the void by signing Aramis Ramirez, they can't expect the same MVP-caliber production from the aging third baseman. The bottom line is, without Fielder, they're not as good as they were last year.

It could have been worse, though. They could have also lost Ryan Braun, the reigning NL MVP, for 50 games because of a failed drug test. But Braun won his appeal and, in doing so, gave the Brewers hope of a repeat title.

True, he may be the team's only true elite hitter now, but it's not like he's surrounded by scrubs. Ramirez has been a legitimate middle-of-the-order hitter for more than a decade. Rickie Weeks is one of the few pure power hitters at second base. Corey Hart is always good for 20-plus homers. Even Fielder's replacement, Mat Gamel, packs enough punch that he may someday be worthy of an All-Star nod.

Besides, the real strength of this team is its pitching staff. In Yovani Gallardo and Zack Greinke, the Brewers have dual aces at the top of their rotation. Both are on the right side of 30 and only got better over the course of last season, so Fantasy owners have no reason to worry about them. Third wheel Shaun Marcum did have some issues last September and fell apart in the playoffs but chances are he simply needed an offseason of rest. And if not, whatever shortcomings develop in the rotation the Brewers can counter with top prospect Wily Peralta, not to mention a lights-out late-inning duo of Francisco Rodriguez and John Axford.

So clearly this team's success last year wasn't all Fielder. Without him, the Brewers may not be the run-scoring machine they were a year ago but they'll compete all the same.

Breakout ... Yovani Gallardo, SP

Gallardo may not be the textbook definition of a "breakout player." In fact, he'll probably get drafted as a top-20 starting pitcher. But of those 20, he's one of the most likely to creep into the top 10. See, the current rendition of Gallardo isn't as flawed as his numbers would have you believe. During his five years in the majors his shaky control has condemned him to an ERA over 3.50 and a WHIP over 1.20, and that was the case again last year. But he seemed to overcome the problem in the second half. Over his final 15 starts, he issued 16 walks, posting a 3.06 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. And it's not like he sacrificed deception for control. His strikeout rate actually rose during that stretch. In those 15 starts Gallardo turned a corner, which isn't so difficult to believe considering he's only 26. If he can pick up where he left off he'll be as much of a bargain as a top-20 pitcher can be.

Bust ... Aramis Ramirez, 3B

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Ramirez did last year more or less what he has done over the last 11 years, so Fantasy owners have little reason to doubt him in his move from Chicago to Milwaukee, right? Well, not exactly. Ramirez's 2011 season may not stand out as anything exceptional over the entirety of his career but compared the previous two years it was a full-fledged outlier. It was the first time during that stretch he played as many as 125 games, finishing with nearly 150. That alone gave him a boost in the rankings that Fantasy owners seem to think he's going to sustain. But let's be reasonable: He turns 34 this year. A player that age with that injury history will get hurt at some point and if his numbers begin to decline along with it he could easily drop out of the top 12 at the position. It's coming sooner than later. Why take the risk when you can land a Pablo Sandoval at about the same point in the draft?

Sleeper ... Mat Gamel, 3B

After biding his time at Triple-A for most of the last three seasons, Gamel is poised to replace Prince Fielder at first base this year. It won't be the first time the career .304 minor-league hitter had a shot at regular at-bats -- that came in 2009, when relative unknown Casey McGehee seized the third base job from him -- but it is the first time he's been the overwhelming favorite. So why isn't there more hype in Fantasy? For one thing, Gamel is already 26, so he doesn't exactly qualify as a prospect anymore. For another, he hasn't impressed in his brief major-league opportunities so far. To be fair, though, the Brewers haven't cared to give him the benefit of the doubt, unwilling to live through his defensive lapses at third base for no more than prospective production. With him at first that's not an issue anymore. He'll have all the time he needs to get comfortable and if his minor-league numbers are any indication he'll be an impact player as a result.

2012 Milwaukee Brewers Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Corey Hart RF 1 Yovani Gallardo RH
2 Nyjer Morgan CF 2 Zack Greinke RH
3 Ryan Braun LF 3 Randy Wolf LH
4 Aramis Ramirez 3B 4 Shaun Marcum RH
5 Rickie Weeks 2B 5 Chris Narveson LH
6 Mat Gamel 1B Alt Marco Estrada RH
7 Jonathan Lucroy C
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Alex Gonzalez SS CL John Axford RH
Top bench options SU Francisco Rodriguez RH
R Norichika Aoki OF RP Jose Veras RH
R Taylor Green UTL RP Kameron Loe RH
R Carlos Gomez OF RP Manny Parra LH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2011 high Destination
1 Wily Peralta 22 SP Triple-A Triple-A
The hard-thrower profiles as a workhorse and is poised to step into Milwaukee's rotation in 2013 at the latest. If Narveson folds or anyone else gets injured he'll arrive even sooner.
2 Taylor Green 25 2B Majors Majors
After a slow recovery from wrist surgery Green put up a silly .997 OPS at Triple-A in 2011. He's a good enough hitter and a versatile enough defender to be the next Ben Zobrist.
3 Taylor Jungmann 22 SP DNP -- signed late Class A
The 2011 first-rounder should be a staple of the Brewers rotation before too long, but he's more like a No. 2 option than a true ace. Still, he's a solid long-term keeper.
4 Jed Bradley 21 SP DNP -- signed late Class A
Bradley is kind of the left-handed equivalent of Jungmann and was taken only three picks later. If you're looking for a quick payoff, he should only need a couple years.
5 Tyler Thornburg 23 SP Class A Double-A
Tornburg has piled up strikeouts in the minors, but his funky delivery compromises his command and could ultimately force him into relief. Double-A will be a good test for him.
Best of the rest: Norichika Aoki, OF; Logan Schafer, OF; Ryan Gennett, 2B; Cody Scarpetta, SP; Brandon Kintzler, RP; Michael Fiers, RP; Santo Manzanillo, RP; Caleb Gindl, OF; Kentrail Davis, OF; Hunter Morris, 3B; D' Richardson, OF; Eric Arnett, SP; Eric Farris, 2B; Kyle Heckathorn, SP; Lucas Luetge, RP; Martin Maldonado, C; Dan Merklinger, SP; Mike McClendon, RP; Yadiel Rivera, SS; Mark Rogers, SP; and Zelous Wheeler, 3B.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Rockies' Nick Hundley hits game-tying home run in loss Thursday
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(1:01 am ET) Rockies catcher Nick Hundley went 2 for 5 with a single and two RBI, including a solo home run in Thursday's 9-8 loss to the Cardinals. Hundley launched his eighth home run in the sixth inning to tie the game at 6-6. 

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by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(1:00 am ET) The Pirats announced late Thursday they have outrighted outfielder Gorkys Hernandez to Triple-A Indianapolis, per the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Hernandez had been on a rehab assignment at Triple-A. He was hitless in five at-bats with the Pirates in his first MLB action since 2012 before being put on the disabled list with a shoulder injury. 


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by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
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Doolittle made 26 pitches, mixing in all of his pitches on Thursday.

"That's the best bullpen I've seen him throw," manager Bob Melvin said, per MLB.com. "I think he feels psychologically a little bit better about letting it go. It seemed to me that he was guarding it a little bit more so the last time. He definitely was not this time. It seemed like there was a lot more whip."

The left-hander, who is out with a strained left shoulder, is expected to have another bullpen session on Saturday. If all goes well, he could go out on a rehab assignment shortly thereafter. 


Rangers SP Derek Holland (shoulder) begins rehab assignment
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(12:50 am ET) Rangers left-hander Derek Holland began his minor-league rehab assignment, starting the game for Triple-A Round Rock on Thursday. Holland allowed two runs on two hits over 1 2/3 innings, suffering the loss. He walked one and struck out three, throwing 22 of his 39 pitches for strikes.

Holland has made one start all year for the Rangers, coming all the way back in early April. He has been sidelined ever since with a shoulder injury. Holland is currently expected to make two more starts before returning to the Rangers' rotation.


Indians 1B Carlos Santana hits big HR in tight victory
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(12:44 am ET) Indians first baseman Carlos Santana cracked a first-inning home run to propel Cleveland to a 3-1 victory on Thursday, his 12th homer of the season. 

Santana connected off A's starter Chris Bassitt to dead center, driving in Michael Brantley to give the Indians a 3-0 lead. 

Santana has now hit safely in eight of his last 10 games to raise his average to .227. 


Athletics SP Chris Bassitt remains winless
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(12:39 am ET) Athletics starter Chris Bassitt had a shaky first inning, allowing three runs, and despite pitching well for the remainder of his outing, wound up on the losing end of a 3-1 defeat Thursday.

Bassitt went seven innings, scattering six hits while striking out six and walking just one in what was the best of his five starts this season. However, Bassitt's record dropped to 0-4.


Cardinals' Matt Carpenter has monster night at the plate vs. Rockies
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
(12:35 am ET) Cardinals third baseman Matt Carpenter had a strong night at the plate on Thursday. Carpenter went 4 for 5 with a double, four RBI and four runs scored in the 9-8 win over the Rockies.

Carpenter also knocked a pair of home runs off starter Chris Rusin, including a three-run shot in the second inning. The two longballs give Carpenter 12 on the season.

Over his last 10 games, Carpenter is now batting .297 with three homers and seven RBI.


Indians SP Carlos Carrasco pitches complete game in win
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
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Carrasco allowed a first-inning RBI double, but that was just about it, as he wound up striking out seven hitters while walking just one. Carrasco only needed 103 pitches to spin his gem, using 14 ground-ball outs to power through the Oakland lineup. 

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Cespedes belted his 18th home run of the season with two outs in the fourth to cap a five-run inning for Detroit. 

Cespedes, who could be dealt prior to Friday's 4pm trade dealine, is batting .325 with five home runs and nine RBI over his last 10 games.


Giants acquire SP Mike Leake from Reds for two minor leaguers
by Jason Lempert | Staff Writer
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The Giants have officially announced the trade. They are sending two minor leaguers, right-hander Keury Meila and first baseman Adam Duvall, to the Reds in exchange for Leake.


 
 
 
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