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2012 Fantasy outlooks: Milwaukee Brewers

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Talk about a buzz kill.

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After winning their division for the first time in 29 years and making the playoffs for only the second time during that stretch, the Brewers had to wave goodbye to longtime cleanup hitter Prince Fielder this offseason. And though they at least attempted to fill the void by signing Aramis Ramirez, they can't expect the same MVP-caliber production from the aging third baseman. The bottom line is, without Fielder, they're not as good as they were last year.

It could have been worse, though. They could have also lost Ryan Braun, the reigning NL MVP, for 50 games because of a failed drug test. But Braun won his appeal and, in doing so, gave the Brewers hope of a repeat title.

True, he may be the team's only true elite hitter now, but it's not like he's surrounded by scrubs. Ramirez has been a legitimate middle-of-the-order hitter for more than a decade. Rickie Weeks is one of the few pure power hitters at second base. Corey Hart is always good for 20-plus homers. Even Fielder's replacement, Mat Gamel, packs enough punch that he may someday be worthy of an All-Star nod.

Besides, the real strength of this team is its pitching staff. In Yovani Gallardo and Zack Greinke, the Brewers have dual aces at the top of their rotation. Both are on the right side of 30 and only got better over the course of last season, so Fantasy owners have no reason to worry about them. Third wheel Shaun Marcum did have some issues last September and fell apart in the playoffs but chances are he simply needed an offseason of rest. And if not, whatever shortcomings develop in the rotation the Brewers can counter with top prospect Wily Peralta, not to mention a lights-out late-inning duo of Francisco Rodriguez and John Axford.

So clearly this team's success last year wasn't all Fielder. Without him, the Brewers may not be the run-scoring machine they were a year ago but they'll compete all the same.

Breakout ... Yovani Gallardo, SP

Gallardo may not be the textbook definition of a "breakout player." In fact, he'll probably get drafted as a top-20 starting pitcher. But of those 20, he's one of the most likely to creep into the top 10. See, the current rendition of Gallardo isn't as flawed as his numbers would have you believe. During his five years in the majors his shaky control has condemned him to an ERA over 3.50 and a WHIP over 1.20, and that was the case again last year. But he seemed to overcome the problem in the second half. Over his final 15 starts, he issued 16 walks, posting a 3.06 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. And it's not like he sacrificed deception for control. His strikeout rate actually rose during that stretch. In those 15 starts Gallardo turned a corner, which isn't so difficult to believe considering he's only 26. If he can pick up where he left off he'll be as much of a bargain as a top-20 pitcher can be.

Bust ... Aramis Ramirez, 3B

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Ramirez did last year more or less what he has done over the last 11 years, so Fantasy owners have little reason to doubt him in his move from Chicago to Milwaukee, right? Well, not exactly. Ramirez's 2011 season may not stand out as anything exceptional over the entirety of his career but compared the previous two years it was a full-fledged outlier. It was the first time during that stretch he played as many as 125 games, finishing with nearly 150. That alone gave him a boost in the rankings that Fantasy owners seem to think he's going to sustain. But let's be reasonable: He turns 34 this year. A player that age with that injury history will get hurt at some point and if his numbers begin to decline along with it he could easily drop out of the top 12 at the position. It's coming sooner than later. Why take the risk when you can land a Pablo Sandoval at about the same point in the draft?

Sleeper ... Mat Gamel, 3B

After biding his time at Triple-A for most of the last three seasons, Gamel is poised to replace Prince Fielder at first base this year. It won't be the first time the career .304 minor-league hitter had a shot at regular at-bats -- that came in 2009, when relative unknown Casey McGehee seized the third base job from him -- but it is the first time he's been the overwhelming favorite. So why isn't there more hype in Fantasy? For one thing, Gamel is already 26, so he doesn't exactly qualify as a prospect anymore. For another, he hasn't impressed in his brief major-league opportunities so far. To be fair, though, the Brewers haven't cared to give him the benefit of the doubt, unwilling to live through his defensive lapses at third base for no more than prospective production. With him at first that's not an issue anymore. He'll have all the time he needs to get comfortable and if his minor-league numbers are any indication he'll be an impact player as a result.

2012 Milwaukee Brewers Fantasy Outlook
Projected Lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 Corey Hart RF 1 Yovani Gallardo RH
2 Nyjer Morgan CF 2 Zack Greinke RH
3 Ryan Braun LF 3 Randy Wolf LH
4 Aramis Ramirez 3B 4 Shaun Marcum RH
5 Rickie Weeks 2B 5 Chris Narveson LH
6 Mat Gamel 1B Alt Marco Estrada RH
7 Jonathan Lucroy C
Bullpen Breakdown
8 Alex Gonzalez SS CL John Axford RH
Top bench options SU Francisco Rodriguez RH
R Norichika Aoki OF RP Jose Veras RH
R Taylor Green UTL RP Kameron Loe RH
R Carlos Gomez OF RP Manny Parra LH
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2011 high Destination
1 Wily Peralta 22 SP Triple-A Triple-A
The hard-thrower profiles as a workhorse and is poised to step into Milwaukee's rotation in 2013 at the latest. If Narveson folds or anyone else gets injured he'll arrive even sooner.
2 Taylor Green 25 2B Majors Majors
After a slow recovery from wrist surgery Green put up a silly .997 OPS at Triple-A in 2011. He's a good enough hitter and a versatile enough defender to be the next Ben Zobrist.
3 Taylor Jungmann 22 SP DNP -- signed late Class A
The 2011 first-rounder should be a staple of the Brewers rotation before too long, but he's more like a No. 2 option than a true ace. Still, he's a solid long-term keeper.
4 Jed Bradley 21 SP DNP -- signed late Class A
Bradley is kind of the left-handed equivalent of Jungmann and was taken only three picks later. If you're looking for a quick payoff, he should only need a couple years.
5 Tyler Thornburg 23 SP Class A Double-A
Tornburg has piled up strikeouts in the minors, but his funky delivery compromises his command and could ultimately force him into relief. Double-A will be a good test for him.
Best of the rest: Norichika Aoki, OF; Logan Schafer, OF; Ryan Gennett, 2B; Cody Scarpetta, SP; Brandon Kintzler, RP; Michael Fiers, RP; Santo Manzanillo, RP; Caleb Gindl, OF; Kentrail Davis, OF; Hunter Morris, 3B; D' Richardson, OF; Eric Arnett, SP; Eric Farris, 2B; Kyle Heckathorn, SP; Lucas Luetge, RP; Martin Maldonado, C; Dan Merklinger, SP; Mike McClendon, RP; Yadiel Rivera, SS; Mark Rogers, SP; and Zelous Wheeler, 3B.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Dodgers' Friedman on Juan Jaime: 'He can really miss bats'
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:46 am ET) Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman spoke Wednesday about pitcher Juan Jaime, who was acquired from the Braves along with three others players in a six-man deal earlier in the day and assigned to extended spring training, MLB.com reports.

"He can really miss bats," Friedman said. "The limiting factor with him is the control. So we'll send him to Camelback and really attack the problem. If he can harness that even a little bit, we feel like we've added a really good player."

Jaime has posted a 5.93 ERA and 19:13 K:BB ratio in 13 2/3 innings with the Braves over two seasons. He has also walked nine batters in 5 1/3 innings in the minors this season after dishing out 36 walks in 41 innings with Triple-A Gwinnett in 2014.


Angels' Collin Cowgill likely headed to disabled list Thursday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:39 am ET) Angels outfielder Collin Cowgill is expected to be placed on the 15-day disabled list on Thursday, the Los Angeles Times reports.

Cowgill is dealing with a joint sprain in his hand after sustaining an injury during batting practice on Sunday and a subsequent MRI. He has hit .180/.231/.295 with one home run, two RBI and one stolen base in 61 at-bats. The Angels added a replacement bench outfielder in a trade Wednesday, acquiring Kirk Nieuwenhuis from the Mets.


Angels option Marc Krauss to Triple-A
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:37 am ET) The Angels optioned first baseman Marc Krauss to Triple-A Salt Lake after Wednesday's loss to the Padres, the Los Angeles Times reports.

Krauss loses his 25-man roster spot to outfielder Kirk Nieuwenhuis, who was added in a trade earlier in the day. The first baseman was just 5 for 35 with one home run and five RBI with the Angels. He returns to a .281/.405/.458 line with two home runs and 17 RBI in 96 at-bats with Salt Lake.


Diamondbacks' Brad Ziegler blows save, takes loss Wednesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:33 am ET) Diamondbacks closer Brad Ziegler was saddled with his second blown save and first loss of the season on Wednesday, allowing two runs (one earned) on two hits and two walks in two-thirds of an inning in his team's 4-3 loss to the Cardinals.

Ziegler entered the ninth inning looking to protect a one-run lead but opened the frame by serving up a game-tying home run. He gave up a single before recording the first out of the inning, then walked two batters (one intentionally) to bring up Jhonny Peralta. The shortstop grounded into a fielder's choice, with the lead runner getting thrown out at home, but a throwing error by the catcher trying to record a double play brought the winning run home.

Ziegler owns a 1.25 ERA and 14:8 K:BB ratio in 21 2/3 innings.


Dodgers' Alex Guerrero knocks ninth home run Wednesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:21 am ET) Dodgers left fielder Alex Guerrero went 1 for 4 with a solo home run in his team's 3-2 loss to the Braves on Wedensday.

Guerrero was hitless on the day before connecting on a ninth-inning homer off closer Jason Grilli, but his shot only reduced the lead to one run before the Dodgers eventually fell. It's the third home run in four games for Guerrero, who has hit .310/.344/.701 with nine homers and 21 RBI in 87 at-bats.


Braves' Cameron Maybin slugs fifth home run Wednesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:18 am ET) Braves center fielder Cameron Maybin went 2 for 4 with a solo home run in his team's 3-2 win over the Dodgers on Wednesday.

Maybin put his team up 1-0 with his homer to center field in the third inning, his first home run since May 2. He has hit .261/.361/.435 with five home runs, 19 RBI and six stolen bases in 115 at-bats.


Braves' Jason Grilli surrenders homer, earns 14th save
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:16 am ET) Braves closer Jason Grilli served up a homer on Wednesday but was able to record his 14th save in his team's 3-2 win over the Dodgers.

Grilli needed 24 pitches to escape the outing, getting a quick out before surrendering a solo home run to cut his team's lead to one run. He then gave up a single and recorded another out to bring pinch-hitter Alberto Callaspo, making his Dodger debut after opening the season with the Braves, to the plate. The closer got Callaspo to fly out to end the game.

Grilli owns a 4.41 ERA and 23:7 K:BB ratio in 16 1/3 innings.


Angels' Matt Joyce slugs second homer Wednesday vs. Padres
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:12 am ET) Angels left fielder Matt Joyce went 1 for 3 with a walk and a solo home run in his team's 5-4 loss to the Padres on Wednesday.

Joyce was able to tie the game with his sixth-inning homer, though the Angels would immediately fall back in a hole by giving up two runs in the top of the seventh. The outfielder has hit .176/.253/.282 with two home runs and 13 RBI in 131 at-bats.


Cardinals' Matt Holliday reaches base in 43rd consecutive game
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(1:10 am ET) Cardinals outfielder Matt Holliday reached base in his 43rd game played in a row during Wednesday's 4-3 win over the Diamondbacks. 

Holliday hit a single in the fifth inning, which vaulted him ahead of Albert Pujols for the club's record of consecutive games reaching base to start a season.

It also set a National League record in the same category, according to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.

"Yeah, that’s cool," Holliday said. "A lot of players have played in the National League. That’s pretty good, I guess."

Only five players have started a season reaching base in more consecutive games — Derek Jeter (Yankees, 53, 1999), Frank Thomas (White Sox, 52, 1996), Mark McGwire (Athletics, 48, 1996), Alvin Davis (Mariners, 47, 1984), Harry Heilmann (Tigers, 44, 1923). 


Dodgers' Zack Greinke strikes out nine in no-decision vs. Braves
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:08 am ET) Dodgers pitcher Zack Greinke wasn't a factor in the decision on Wednesday, allowing one earned run on three hits and two walks in six innings while striking out nine in his team's 3-2 loss to the Braves.

Greinke, whose only run allowed came on a third-inning homer by Cameron Maybin, also went 1 for 2 at the plate and stole a base for the first time this season and the fourth time in 244 career at-bats. He has yet to be caught on the basepaths.

Greinke owns a 1.48 ERA and 58:14 K:BB ratio in 67 innings. Although he's allowed just one run in each of his last four outings, he hasn't recorded a win since May 5. Greinke's next start is slated for Tuesday against the Rockies in Colorado.


 
 
 
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