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Shuffling the Rotations for Week 4

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The finals days of Fantasy Week 3 (April 16-22) have kept us entertained, starting with Philip Humber's perfect game against the Mariners on Saturday. However, there has been plenty of other news that requires us to focus on getting ready for Fantasy Week 4 (April 23-29).

Most Added Pitchers (as of 4/22)
Player % change
1. Bartolo Colon, SP, Athletics 31
2. Kyle Drabek, SP, Blue Jays 27
3. Santiago Casilla, RP, Giants 24
4. Philip Humber, SP, White Sox 20
5. Ross Detwiler, SP, Nationals 19
6. Lance Lynn, RP, Cardinals 18
7. Jason Hammel, SP, Orioles 17
8. Jake Peavy, SP, White Sox 15
9. Henry Rodriguez, RP, Nationals 14
10. Jim Johnson, RP, Orioles 13

Cliff Lee (oblique), Daniel Hudson (shoulder) and Ryan Dempster (quadriceps) all went on the disabled list since we last spoke, and with all three pitchers owned in at least 85 percent of the leagues on CBSSports.com, a flurry of owners may need to hit the waiver wire to find a last-second replacement.

The removal of Hudson from the Arizona rotation is of particular interest to Fantasy owners, since it could mean the arrival of top prospect Trevor Bauer. However, the team could call upon Barry Enright instead, leaving Bauer in Double-A to further sharpen his skills. Oakland's demotion of Graham Godfrey presents another enticing possibility, as the A's could recall either Jarrod Parker or Brad Peacock to take his place.

A more seasoned free agent option is Tim Hudson (back), whom the Braves may activate from the DL in time to start next Sunday against the Pirates. Then again, he may not start until Monday in Week 5 (April 30-May 6), so due to the uncertainty, the safe move is to keep Hudson stashed for one more week. However, should Hudson come off the DL this coming week, it could put potential two-start weeks for either Randall Delgado or Jair Jurrjens in danger.

Before we turn to this week's top 70 -- our list of starters who are viable in standard mixed leagues for the coming scoring period -- it's time to give a nod to the final cuts. Ubaldo Jimenez (KC), Clay Buchholz (@MIN), Matt Moore (LAA) and a two-start Jonathan Sanchez (@CLE, @MIN) all have to settle for honorable mention this time. There are enough strong two-start options that owners can afford to sit each of these early-season strugglers. With the possible exception of Sanchez, none should be cut in standard mixed leagues, and if you don't have a bench slot to stash them, you might as well start them this week. The same goes for the improving Jason Hammel (TOR) and Homer Bailey (SF), but with just one start each, both are borderline starts at best this week outside of deeper leagues.

Starting Rotation breakdown for Fantasy Week 4
Rank Player Start 1 Start 2 Stat of note
1 Matt Cain @CIN (Latos) SD (Richard) 1 HR allowed in 27 2/3 career IP at Great American Ball Park
Cain has been superb so far this year, and his history at Cincy's homer-friendly park has been a good one.
2 Roy Halladay CHC (Maholm) N/A 10 percent line drive rate
His velocity is down and he is getting fewer Ks, but Halladay is compensating by being very hard to square up on.
3 Zack Greinke HOU (Harrell) @STL (Lohse) One infield fly out of 47 hit balls
Greinke will get his popups, but a dearth of them has contributed to his early 5.09 ERA.
4 Cole Hamels @ARI (Cahill) N/A Ranks 4th in majors with 14.5 percent swinging strike rate
If Hamels keeps up the whiffs and reduces his .391 BABIP, he'll be in the discussion for best overall Fantasy starter.
5 Ian Kennedy @MIA (Johnson) N/A 3 BBs in 18 2/3 innings
Kennedy became a more productive pitcher last year by improving his control and the gains have stuck this year, and then some.
6 Clayton Kershaw WAS (Strasburg) N/A 2.49 career home ERA
Kershaw is dominant wherever he pitches, but he has been markedly better in his Dodger Stadium starts.
7 Jered Weaver @CLE (Gomez) N/A 81 percent quality start rate since 2010
Few starters have been as consistently good as Weaver over the last two-plus seasons.
8 Justin Verlander @NYY (Garcia) N/A 1.50 WHIP in 10 career starts vs. NYY
Verlander is a must-start, but he has had his troubles with the Yankee lineup, even over the last two seasons.
9 Matt Garza STL (Garcia) @PHI (Blanton) 3.2 K/BB ratio since 2011
Garza's command was much improved last year, and he continues to be a big-time strike-thrower.
10 Felix Hernandez @DET (Wilk) N/A Career 3.32 ERA at Comerica Park
Hernandez has been roughly as good away from Safeco Field than in it, and Detroit is among the many places where he has pitched well.
11 David Price LAA (Santana) @TEX (Lewis) 4.29 pitches per plate appearance
Price has never been very economical, but he is taking especially long to get through plate appearances so far this year.
12 Stephen Strasburg @LAD (Kershaw) N/A No more than one walk in 9 out of last 11 starts
Great control is just one reason for Strasburg's sub-1.00 career WHIP.
13 Madison Bumgarner @NYM (Santana) SD (Bass) 7 Ks in 17 1/3 innings
It's not clear where Bumgarner's strikeouts have gone, but he should still produce against two of the NL's lowest-scoring teams.
14 Jordan Zimmermann @SD (Richard) @LAD (Capuano) 9 percent swinging strike rate
Zimmermann's Ks are down, but his swings-and-misses are right where they were last year. The strikeouts should follow soon.
15 C.J. Wilson @TB (Hellickson) N/A .189 BABIP
Wilson is missing some bats and inducing grounders, but he won't stay on pace for a 1.05 WHIP. He could be a good sell-high candidate.
16 CC Sabathia DET (Smyly) N/A 92 mph fastball velocity
Sabathia is getting fewer whiffs on his fastball, which has lost a couple of ticks, but he is more than making up for it with his slider.
17 Dan Haren @CLE (Masterson) N/A 47 percent flyball rate
Haren should be able to handle the Indians, but his surging flyball rate could burn him with a less favorable matchup or venue.
18 Ricky Romero SEA (Beavan) N/A 30 Ks in 34 1/3 career innings vs. SEA
Romero hasn't been all that sharp so far, but he is a must-start with a very good matchup this week.
19 Jon Lester @MIN (Marquis) @CHW (Peavy) 1 HR in 17 innings
Lester is coming off a poor start, but his sinker is generating grounders at a higher rate than his career norm.
20 Shaun Marcum HOU (Happ) N/A 12 percent popup rate
After a poor finish to 2011, Marcum is back doing what he does best, pitching with control and getting easy flyouts.
21 Josh Beckett @MIN (Blackburn) @CHW (Floyd) 3.54 pitches per plate appearance
Beckett has recovered from his miserable first start and is proving to be highly efficient.
22 Brandon Beachy @LAD (Lilly) N/A 4 line drives on 54 hit balls
Beachy has been short on strikeouts, but he is getting far more grounders, fewer liners and has yet to allow a homer.
23 Josh Johnson ARI (Kennedy) N/A 93 mph average fastball velocity vs. CHC on Tues.
Johnson 4.3 K/9 rate looks scary, but he was better in his last start, gaining nearly 1 mph on his fastball.
24 Tommy Hanson PIT (Correia) N/A 16 Ks in 17 innings
Those worried that Hanson's new delivery would negatively impact him haven't had much to fret about so far.
25 James Shields @TEX (Harrison) N/A 1.07 career WHIP at TEX
Shields has allowed five homers in four starts at Arlington, but he has limited the damage by being stingy with baserunners.
26 Yovani Gallardo @STL (Westbrook) N/A Allowed 12 HRs in 27 1/3 IP vs. STL since '11
Gallardo's four-homer implosion against the Cards earlier this month is part of a longer-standing matchup problem, making him riskier than normal.
27 Ervin Santana @TB (Price) @CLE (Lowe) .273 flyball BABIP
Santana appears to have suffered from some bad luck early on, as his flyball BABIP is more than 100 points above his usual level.
28 Gio Gonzalez @LAD (Billingsley) N/A 64 percent strikes thrown
Could Gonzalez's wild days be behind him? It's too early to tell, but he's been a different pitcher so far.
29 Mat Latos SF (Cain) HOU (Harrell) 56 percent strand rate
Latos' strikeout rate is down, but on the bright side, his velocity hasn't dropped and his strand rate is bound to improve.
30 Johnny Cueto HOU (Rodriguez) N/A 90 percent strand rate
Cueto's velocity and swinging strike and ground ball rates are all down. If they don't improve, he will certainly rank lower in future weeks.
31 Justin Masterson LAA (Haren) N/A 52 percent strand rate
While a high strand rate is helping Cueto, Masterson (6.48 ERA) is getting punished despite good peripherals.
32 Anibal Sanchez ARI (Saunders) N/A Career 1.06 WHIP vs. ARI
Sanchez has a good history against the Snakes, and he was especially dominant against them in 2011 (16 Ks in 14 2/3 innings).
33 Chris Sale @OAK (Parker) N/A 21 Ks in 18 innings
Relievers usually take a hit to their strikeout rate when they become starters, but that hasn't happened to Sale yet.
34 Erik Bedard @ATL (Delgado) N/A Career .342 opponents' SLG vs. lefties
As you might expect, Bedard has been especially tough on lefty hitters, and that should help him to stymie the Braves' lineup.
35 Cory Luebke @SF (Lincecum) N/A .365 BABIP
Luebke is still avoiding contact, but apparent bad luck has saddled him with a 1.47 WHIP.
36 Tim Lincecum SD (Luebke) N/A 31 percent line drive rate
Lincecum is getting lots of whiffs, but he's still managing to be highly hittable. He's caught Max Scherzer Disease.
37 Jeremy Hellickson LAA (Wilson) N/A 12 percent line drive rate
Hellickson is the anti-Lincecum. He isn't getting many swings-and-misses but has been very hard to get hits against (.213 opponents' Avg).
38 Adam Wainwright @CHC (Samardzija) N/A 5 of 18 hits against have been HRs
Aside from the five dingers he has allowed, Wainwright has been fairly good. Overall solid peripherals offer hope of a turnaround.
39 Brandon Morrow @KC (Chen) SEA (Millwood) 7 percent swinging strike rate
Morrow as a contact pitcher? It's been an uncharacteristic start for him, as he has swapped Ks for a 1.10 WHIP.
40 Bartolo Colon CHW (Peavy) @BAL (Hunter) 38 consecutive strikes vs. LAA on Wed.
The control artist painted a masterpiece in Week 3. He has earned the right to be universally started in two-start weeks.
41 Jaime Garcia @CHC (Garza) MIL (Wolf) 2.22 career ERA vs. CHC
Garcia has been underwhelming so far, but he should produce enough against the slumping Cubs to make him a worthwhile start.
42 Jake Peavy @OAK (Colon) BOS (Lester) 58 percent flyball rate
Peavy has yet to pay the price for all of the flyballs he has allowed, but he can get away with it in his start at Oakland.
43 R.A. Dickey MIA (Buehrle) @COL (Moyer) 53 percent ground ball rate since 2010
Dickey has yet to make a start at Coors Field, but his ability to keep the ball down should help him to succeed there.
44 Mike Minor @LAD (Harang) N/A 61 percent strand rate
Minor has been better so far this year in every conceivable regard, but because of his low strand rate, it is not fully reflected in his 3.10 ERA. He's been even better than that.
45 Danny Duffy @MIN (Pavano) N/A 4.45 pitches per plate appearance (highest in AL)
You have to love Duffy's strikeouts and Week 4 matchup, but his continued lack of efficiency limits his value.
46 Mark Buehrle @NYM (Dickey) ARI (Enright) 74 percent quality starts since 2011
Buehrle doesn't always dazzle, but he rarely turns in a disastrous start. Just what you want from a two-start pitcher.
47 Brandon McCarthy @BAL (Arrieta) N/A 1.3 BB/9 since 2011
McCarthy has been lauded for his improved ground ball tendencies, but his pinpoint control also makes him an asset in Fantasy.
48 Ivan Nova @TEX (Feldman) N/A 21 percent called strike rate
A huge spike in called strikes has made Nova a strikeout-per-inning guy, but it smells of a small sample fluke. Then again, so does his .389 BABIP.
49 Wandy Rodriguez @CIN (Cueto) N/A 3 HR allowed in last six starts at CIN
Rodriguez has had mixed results at Great American Ball Park, but he hasn't been burned by the long ball over the last three years.
50 Bruce Chen TOR (Morrow) @MIN (Liriano) 2.7 BB/9 since 2011
It looks like the wild version of Chen is a thing of the past. With a home start and a game at Target Field this week, even his flyball tendencies won't hurt him.
51 Hiroki Kuroda @TEX (Holland) DET (Scherzer) .348 career opponents' SLG vs. righties
Kuroda's mastery of righties should aid him this week, especially against the Rangers.
52 Lance Lynn @CHC (Volstad) N/A Career 64 percent strikes thrown
Lynn's control was not always sharp as a minor leaguer, but he has had few problems throwing strikes in the majors.
53 Jonathon Niese MIA (Nolasco) N/A 59 percent ground ball rate
Niese's velocity has climbed the last couple of seasons, and a sharp increase in grounders has been one of the benefits.
54 Gavin Floyd @OAK (Milone) BOS (Beckett) 5 line drives out of 46 hit balls
It's been feast or famine for Floyd. He's allowed too many walks and homers, but he has also been very difficult to hit (.230 Avg).
55 Vance Worley @ARI (Collmenter) N/A 22 percent called strike rate
I had doubts that Worley could continue to post an above-average K-rate when he was so dependent on called strikes last year, but he's doing it again.
56 Henderson Alvarez @BAL (Hunter) SEA (Vargas) Career 3.74 pitches per plate appearance
As they showed against Humber on Saturday, the Mariners are not a patient team. Alvarez thrives on efficiency, just like his White Sox counterpart, so enjoy the matchup.
57 Jhoulys Chacin @PIT (Morton) N/A Career .272 BABIP
Chacin still suffers from poor control, but because he doesn't give up many hits, he can get away with it.
58 Philip Humber BOS (Doubront) N/A 6.3 innings per start since 2011
Humber will be something less than perfect against the Red Sox, but owners can usually count on him to stay deep into a game.
59 Chad Billingsley WAS (Gonzalez) N/A One walk in 20 1/3 innings
Not only is Billingsley reversing an extended decline in his whiff rate, but he has also shown surprisingly good command.
60 Bud Norris @MIL (Wolf) N/A 46 Ks in 41 1/3 career innings vs. MIL
Norris doesn't always help with ERA, WHIP or wins, but more often than not, he delivers strikeouts.
61 Max Scherzer SEA (Vargas) @NYY (Kuroda) Career 2.84 ERA vs. NYY
Scherzer has been hit hard so far this season, but at least he has had some success against the Yankees in three past starts.
62 Yu Darvish NYY (Hughes) N/A 31 percent flyball rate
Darvish has yet to show good command of the strike zone, but he has minimized the damage by avoiding flyballs. He has yet to allow his first home run.
63 Trevor Cahill PHI (Hamels) N/A 3 HRs allowed over last 8 starts
Cahill's command has been even spottier than Darvish's, but both pitchers have shared an aversion to the gopher ball.
64 Chris Capuano ATL (Jurrjens) WAS (Zimmermann) 2 career HRs allowed in 28 1/3 innings at Dodger Stadium
Capuano hasn't pitched often at his new home park, but it's one of the few places where he hasn't been homer-prone.
65 Rick Porcello SEA (Noesi) N/A 68 percent strikes thrown
Porcello has taken his command to a new level, making him potentially useful for WHIP, even though he pitches to contact.
66 Kyle Lohse MIL (Greinke) N/A 1.9 BB/9 since 2011
If I'm including Porcello in the Top 70, I have to include Lohse, too. He is succeeding with a similar formula.
67 Matt Harrison TB (Shields) N/A .309 opponents' OBP since 2011
We're on a run now. Harrison is yet another contact pitcher who has helped in Fantasy with improved control and ground ball tendencies.
68 Juan Nicasio @PIT (McDonald) N/A Longest 2012 HR allowed: 393 feet
Five of the 11 runs allowed by Nicasio have come via the home run, but none of the three he has yielded has traveled as far as the average NL homer.
69 Johan Santana SF (Bumgarner) @COL (Guthrie) Opponents' .318 SLG
Santana still has to show that he can rack up innings, but at least he is not getting hurt by extra-base hits.
70 John Danks BOS (Bard) N/A 12.5 percent swinging strike rate
Danks' velocity is down, but hitters are struggling to make contact against him so far.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Al Melchior at @almelccbs . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Three teams showing interest in Norichika Aoki
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Orioles, Reds and Mariners are among the teams looking at outfielder Norichika Aoki, according to CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman.

The 32-year-old Aoki hit .285/.349/.360 over 491 at-bats last year. With the Royals signing Alex Rios earlier in the week, Aoki will likely have to move on with a different club. 


Report: Athletics release Jorge De Leon
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(12/17/2014) The Athletics have released pitcher Jorge De Leon, according to SB Nation.

De Leon was designated for assignment by the club last week, and the team couldn't find a way to deal him. De Leon appeared in eight games last season, posting a 4.91 ERA over 7 1/3 innings. 


Report: Padres' Seth Smith popping up in trade talks
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
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If the Matt Kemp and Wil Myers trades go through, the team would have a surplus in the outfield. On top of those two players, San Diego would also have Carlos Quentin, Will Venable, Cameron Maybin and Smith. The 32-year-old Smith hit .266/.367/.440 over 443 at-bats last year. 


D-Backs, David Hernandez avoid arbitration
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(12/17/2014) The Diamondbacks have reached an agreement with David Hernandez on a contract, according to the azcentral.com.

Hernandez was eligible for arbitration, but settled on a $2 million salary figure for next season. The 29-year-old posted a missed all of last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery.


Report: Three teams showing interest in Jake Peavy
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(12/17/2014) The Marlins, Braves and Giants are showing interest in pitcher Jake Peavy, according to FoxSports.com.

The 33-year-old Peavy is coming off a season in which he posted a 3.73 ERA over 202 2/3 innings. Peavy had some issues in Boston, posting a 4.72 ERA to start the season, but settled in once he joined the Giants. With San Francisco, Peavy had a 2.17 ERA over 78 2/3 innings. The Marlins interest in Peavy is dependent on whether Dan Haren decides to pitch. If Haren comes back, the team would not have interest in Peavy.


Padres, Rays and Nationals on the verge of three team deal
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(12/17/2014) The Nationals, Padres and Rays are on the verge of a three-team deal which would send outfielder Wil Myers to San Diego, according to CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman. 

The deal would also send outfielder Steven Souza back to Tampa Bay and prospect Trea Turner to Washington. 

The deal is yet to be finalized, with a few key pieces to also be involved in the deal. 


Royals, Edinson Volquez agree to two year contract
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Royals and free agent pitcher Edinson Volquez have an agreement on a two-year deal, worth $20 million in the first two years, pending a physical, according to CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman. 

Volquez, who pitched for the Pirates in 2014, went 13-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 140 strikeouts. 


Blue Jays sign outfielder Ryan Kalish to minor-league contract
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Blue Jays announced Wednesday the signning of outfielder Ryan Kalish to a minor-league deal with an invitation to spring training. 

Kalish appeared in 57 games in 2014 for the Cubs, hitting .248 with four triples and five RBI.


Giants, Sergio Romo agree to two-year, $15 million deal
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Giants have resigned closer Sergio Romo to a two-year, $15 million deal, according to CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman.

FOXSports.com Baseball Writer Ken Rosenthal was the first to report the signing. 

Romo recorded 23 saves in 2014 for San Francisco, posting a 3.72 ERA in 58 innings of work. Romo was also reportedly being pursued by the Dodgers, Yankees and Red Sox this offseason. 


Marlins' Derek Dietrich to miss rest of winter ball with ankle injury
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(12/17/2014) Marlins infielder Derek Dietrich is going to miss the rest of the winter ball season after suffering an ankle injury that required him to be carried off the field Tuesday, according to the Sun Sentinel.

Dietrich was hurt while playing in the Dominican league when covering second base and a runner collided with him trying to grab the ball. 

Dietrich played in 20 games for Miami in 2014, hitting .290 with two triples and 11 RBI. It is unknown if this injury will keep Dietrich out into spring training and the beginning of the regular season. 


 
 
 
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