Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Playoff Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Daily Fantasy
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Di Fino: The art of buying low

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Fortunes have been made on being able to figure out when it's just the right time to buy something low.

Cars, stocks and bread are just a few examples. Of course, each comes with its own set of risks: the car could be a lemon, the stock could plummet further, and that day-old bread could be really stale. Still, the upside of each makes the gamble worth it; it's mainly just a case of doing some research and nosing around to see what, exactly, these things will cost you. And, since this is a Fantasy baseball column, you know what's coming next: The same can be said for [insert player's name here]!.

Look, the "buy low" column isn't a novel Fantasy concept. At all. But there is a fun science in determining which players to target. Let's just pretend I threw a couple more pop culture references in here (go see Cabin in the Woods! How about that Kate Upton baseball card? OMG guys -- Sarah Phillips!), and instead move on to the players who can help you make that push from fifth place to first.

Most Traded Players (as of 5/4)
Player # of trades
1. Albert Pujols, 1B, Angels 620
2. Tim Lincecum, SP, Giants 385
3. Giancarlo Stanton, OF, Marlins 360
4. Jose Reyes, SS, Marlins 321
5. Mark Teixeira, 1B, Yankees 311
6. Jon Lester, SP, Red Sox 300
7. Josh Johnson, SP, Marlins 294
8. Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pirates 287
9. Nelson Cruz, OF, Rangers 280
10. Matt Holliday, OF, Cardinals 278

1. Mark Teixeira, 1B, Yankees
Ownership: 100 percent of leagues
Why He's A Buy Low: Teixeira is hitting a frustratingly-low .226, with just three home runs through 23 games this season. He has two hits, one run scored and one RBI in his last six games.
Who People Are Trading For Him: Mark Reynolds and Victor Martinez; David Ortiz and Omar Infante; Andrew McCutchen; Bryce Harper and Mike Trout; Shane Victorino
How This Could Work Brilliantly: In his career, Teixeira has hit .239 in April; his May average rises to .286. Furthermore, his OPS jumps from .767 to .903. In 2010, he hit .136 in April, with a .559 OPS. He finished the season with 33 home runs and 108 RBI. In 2009, his OPS leapt from .738 in April to 1.138 in May. The slow April and powerful May has become an almost yearly Teixeira tradition.
How this Could Blow Up In Your Face: Defenses seem to be loving the shift when Teixeira is at bat, and Joe Girardi has said that his strategy for Teixeira is this: "swing the bat and hit balls hard and things will work out." So the power will likely continue, but his batting average, which has declined every year since 2008, will likely continue to suffer as a result. A career .280 hitter, Teixeira hasn't hit over .256 since 2009.
What You Should Write In The "Comment" Line When Proposing The Trade: "Man, I didn't realize Teixeira is already 32 years old!"

2. Huston Street, RP, Padres
Ownership: 77 percent of leagues
Why He's A Buy Low: Street has just four saves on the season so far, and has been riddled with injuries throughout his career.
Who People Are Trading For Him: Nick Markakis; Ty Wigginton; in a package deal with Pablo Sandoval for Kyle Lohse; Martin Prado
How This Could Work Brilliantly: Street pitches in a forgiving park for a team that has scored the fourth-fewest runs in all of baseball, which makes for plenty of save opportunities in close games. Street also has a 37-save season under his belt and has double-digit saves in all of his eight major league seasons -- he's averaged 28 saves over the last three years. And if San Diego's low run-scoring output frightens you, consider this: Heath Bell had three straight seasons of 40-plus saves from 2009 to 2011 as the Padres closer. In 2009, they scored the second-fewest amount of runs; in 2010, the ninth-fewest; and, in 2011, the third-fewest. Scoring the fourth-fewest runs in MLB is a bit of a luxury for the team.
How this Could Blow Up In Your Face: Street has the skill to be an effective closer, he just doesn't always have the health -- he hasn't pitched 65 innings in a season since 2008.
What You Should Write In The "Comment" Line When Proposing The Trade: "Andrew Cashner is averaging 98.3 mph on his fastball this year?"

3. Erik Bedard, SP, Pirates
Ownership: 55 percent of leagues
Why He's A Buy Low: He's won one game in five starts so far this year.
Who People Are Trading For Him: Cameron Maybin; Paul Goldschmidt; in a package deal with Justin Morneau for Vance Worley; Todd Helton
How This Could Work Brilliantly: Bedard's problem has always been with injuries -- since 2004, he's thrown over 100 innings just five times. But a healthy Bedard is an effective one: he has a 3.66 career ERA and has produced a sub-1.20 WHIP in two seasons. His trade to Boston -- and subsequent poor performance -- masked a stellar half-season in Seattle last year, where he had a 1.17 WHIP in 91 1/3 innings before the deal. On top of it all, Bedard is usually good for a strikeout per inning.
How this Could Blow Up In Your Face: With Bedard, there is always a chance he can get hurt. And before his start on April 28 against the Braves, the Pirates had given him a whopping .75 runs of support per game.
But ...: The Pirates have scored seven or more runs in two of their last three games.
What You Should Write In The "Comment" Line When Proposing The Trade: "Ugh. 1-4 but I need a pitcher bad!"

Check out our Fantasy Baseball podcast!
Stay a step ahead of your competition in 2014 by checking out our popular Fantasy Baseball Today podcasts. Adam Aizer, Scott White and Al Melchior will entertain you and help you dominate all season.
Latest episode | Subscribe!

4. Ian Stewart, 3B, Cubs
Ownership: 18 percent of leagues.
Why He's A Buy Low: Stewart is currently batting .173, with two home runs and 18 strikeouts.
Who People Are Trading For Him: Todd Helton; Chris Parmelee; Scott Rolen; Alex Presley; as a package deal with Drew Stubbs for Desmond Jennings
How This Could Work Brilliantly: Stewart's defense has been praised by Cubs manager Dale Sveum, and while that won't directly help your Fantasy stats, it will keep him in the lineup regularly, which will give him steady at-bats. And those at-bats should be getting a little better; Stewart insists that he is hitting balls well -- they're just going into the gloves of the opposing teams. The numbers actually bear this out; Stewart's batting average on balls in play is .197, and his line drive percentage is at 21 percent, implying that he's been a victim of bad luck. For a Fantasy team looking to replace an injured Evan Longoria, for instance, Stewart could be a very deep gamble that might pay off in a big way once the balls start going where the fielders aren't.
How this Could Blow Up In Your Face: All that being said, Stewart has a career batting average of .232 and has just one season of 20 or more home runs.
What You Should Write In The "Comment" Line When Proposing The Trade: "Blech. .173. I'm desperate without Longoria, though. I guess I'll relieve you of your Ian Stewart anchor. LOLCATZ."

5. Delmon Young, OF, Tigers
Ownership: 61 percent of leagues
Why He's A Buy Low: After a drunken incident in New York, Young was suspended by MLB for seven days.
Who People Are Trading For Him: Tim Hudson; Adam Lind; Colby Rasmus; as a package deal with Jacoby Ellsbury for Shane Victorino
How This Could Work Brilliantly: A former number one overall pick, Young had a bit of a breakthrough last year after being traded to the Tigers, hitting .274 with eight home runs in 168 at- bats. He has hit as many as 21 home runs and stolen as many as 14 bases in a season. Over seven MLB seasons, he has a .287 average. And this latest transgression could force him to focus on the field and explode when he returns.
How this Could Blow Up In Your Face: It's not an exact science, but the last time Young found himself in trouble -- in 2006, after throwing a bat in the direction of an umpire -- he hit just 11 home runs. And even though the 21-homer and 14-steal seasons are nice, they didn't come in the same year, and the next-highest were 13 home runs and 10 steals.
What You Should Write In The "Comment" Line When Proposing The Trade: "Man! Remember when he threw the bat at the umpire, too?? What next??"

The Strange Case of Adam Lind ...

This came up in a podcast this week, and it's worth investigating here in the column: Adam Lind has become everyone's favorite throw-in to sweeten -- or, at least, even out -- a lot of trades. He's one of the top-10 traded players on CBSSports.com. Currently batting .203 with one home run, Lind is as tantalizing a nugget as any player in Fantasy Baseball: He could hit 35 home runs. He could bat .300. He could steal three bases. But he hasn't batted over .265 since 2009. And he only once went over 30 home runs, in the same year. The gap between his own percentage and his start percentage (74 percent owned; 45 percent started) further emphasizes Lind as a complementary piece to both teams and trades -- cast in the proverbial, "I have him on my bench, and I'll start him when he gets hot, at which point I can trade Prince Fielder for a pitcher ... or I just cut him for Bruce Chen if he stinks," role.

So here's your Fun Fact: In the last two days, trades involving Adam Lind have had an average of 4.41 players.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsi.com .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Reds closer Aroldis Chapman shuts door in style Saturday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:17 am ET) There was a shortage of quality pitching in a shootout Saturday in Milwaukee. But Reds closer Aroldis Chapman gave more than a quality performance. He was lights-out.

Chapman's fastball was clocked as high as 102 mph in a dominant ninth inning that resulted in his 25th save. He fanned Elian Herrera and Jean Segura to end it.

The fine effort came at a good time for Chapman, who had been struggling a bit. He had given up nine hits and five walks over his previous eight innings.


Reds SP Keyvius Sampson clobbered in Milwaukee
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:12 am ET) When a team provides a pitcher eight runs in five innings, he's supposed to win. Reds starter Keyvius Sampson did not win Saturday night.

Sampson gave back all the runs he received back while he was in the game - which wasn't long. He allowed five earned runs on seven hits in 3 2/3 innings. He walked two and whiffed three.

He was doomed by run-scoring singles off the bats of Scooter Gennett, Ryan Braun and Adam Lind in the fourth.

Sampson has followed a good start to his major league career with monumental struggles. He has surrendered 14 runs over his last 11 innings pitched to raise his ERA to a gaudy 6.43.


Brewers SP Matt Garza mashed again Saturday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:06 am ET) The consistency that had marked the career of Brewers starter Matt Garza has vanished in 2015. The right-hander who managed an ERA between 3.32 and 3.95 for eight consecutive seasons has been simply awful.

He was simply awful Saturday, allowing seven runs on 11 hits in 3 2/3 innings in a lucky no-decision against Cincinnati. He walked one and struck out two.

Garza managed one shutout inning in the pounding. The big blow was a three-run homer by Jay Bruce in a four-run second.

His 5.56 ERA is the second-worst among qualifying National League starters this year. He has yielded a ridiculous 19 runs and 27 hits over his last 13 innings.


Cubs prospect Javier Baez expected to be promoted soon
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/29/2015) Joe Maddon has declared that Cubs premier infield prospect Javier Baez is expected to be promoted at early at Tuesday.

"I would say he would be (here) sooner rather than later," Maddon told ESPN. "There's a lot of things he can do to help you win now."

Like, for instance, hit like he has at Triple-A Iowa. Baez is hitting .316 with 13 home runs and .380 on-base percentage at that level.


Angels SP Garrett Richards strikes out nine in no-decision
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(8/29/2015) Angels starter Garrett Richards was impressive during his start against the Indians on Saturday.

Richards allowed just three runs on seven hits in seven innings. He showed crisp command as he struck out nine batters without allowing a walk in the no-decision.

Richards (12-10) now has a 3.80 ERA in 161 innings this season. 


Athletics RP Drew Pomeranz fans side in snagging Saturday save
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/29/2015) If Athletics left-hander Drew Pomeranz was seeking to solidify what appears to be his hold on the closer role, he certainly stated one heck of a case with his arm Saturday night.

Pomeranz struck out the side in Arizona for his third save. He finished with a flourish, fanning Jarrod Saltalamacchia on three pitches.

He has thrown 4 2/3 consecutive scoreless innings and whiffed seven in that stretch.


Athletics SP Aaron Brooks bounced back from dud to pitch well
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/29/2015) Athletics right-hander Aaron Brooks was either motivated by his last start or didn't let it affect him at all Saturday in Arizona.

Brooks couldn't have forgotten the Aug. 12 outing in which he allowed eight runs in 1 2/3 innings in Toronto. He certainly rebounded in style by giving up only two runs on eight hits in six innings to keep his team in a game it eventually won. He finished with one walk and four strikeouts.

He blanked the Diamondbacks through four, but an A.J. Pollock single and double play ball resulted in the only two runs scored against him.

His ERA still stands at a rather disturbing 5.47.


Indians SP Corey Kluber strikes out six in no-decision
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(8/29/2015) Indians starting pitcher Corey Kluber recorded six strikeouts during his start against the Angels on Saturday.

Kluber allowed three runs, two of them earned, on five hits in six innings. He gave up three walks and a pair of home runs in the no-decision.

Kluber (8-13) has a 3.41 ERA in 200 1/3 innings this season.


Diamondbacks SP Jhoulys Chacin impressive before demotion
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/29/2015) The Diamondbacks were trying to catch lightning in a bottle by signing retread starter Jhoulys Chacin and sticking him in their rotation.

Consider lightning caught - at least for now.

Chacin managed his second straight strong performance Saturday against Oakland despite being saddled with a no-decision. He yielded just two runs on five hits in seven innings with two walks and six strikeouts.

He was sent to the minors after the game, per AZCentral.com. But he has certainly made an impression.

Only a Stephen Vogt homer in the second inning prevented him from throwing shutout ball. He allowed only three hits the rest of the way.

Chacin has allowed just four earned runs in 13 1/3 innings since joining the starting staff.


Rangers closer Shawn Tolleson remains on roll for 28th save
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(8/29/2015) Rangers closer Shawn Tolleson didn't become the Rangers closer until late May. But he has certainly made up for lost time.

Tolleson snagged his 28th save in just over three months Saturday against Baltimore. He did have to work out of a bit of a jam, but stranded two baserunners in the ninth.

The right-hander has surrendered a run in only two August appearances. He has 10 saves in the month.


 
 
 
Rankings