Shuffling the Rotations for Week 6
In a season that has already been marked by numerous pitching injuries, more bad news befell Fantasy owners as they headed into this weekend.
Unexpectedly, Chris Sale was removed from the White Sox's rotation, as he was called to take over the closer's duties for an unspecified period of time. While Sale will retain at least a portion of his value by getting save opportunities, the same cannot be said for Cory Luebke, who was placed on the disabled list and could be headed for elbow surgery.
Balancing out these distressing developments are the returns of Cliff Lee and Doug Fister this week, and the latter hurler even gets rewarded with a two-start week. While he doesn't appear on this week's top 70 list, Andy Pettitte could be back in Fantasy Week 6 (May 7-13) as well, possibly making his season debut for the Yankees this Friday against the Mariners. While his return is not yet a given, even if it were, he should be avoided in standard mixed leagues at least initially, as there are plenty of solid options in the lower part of our rankings. Ross Detwiler, Jake Arrieta and Chris Capuano are just some of the pitchers who are still widely available who could help standard mixed league owners this coming week.
Another pitcher to consider who didn't quite make the cut is Edinson Volquez. He is still available in roughly one-third of the leagues on CBSSports.com, and he has a highly favorable matchup against the Rockies at home. Through their first nine road games, Colorado has scored only 29 times and is hitting .211. Unfortunately, Volquez is likely to be a much greater liability on the road, and he has a second start at Philadelphia. For those in desperate need of a starter who are willing to take on a little risk, Volquez is a 71st pitcher worth considering this week.
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| Rank | Player | Start 1 | Start 2 | Stat of note |
| 1 | Justin Verlander | @SEA (Millwood) | @OAK (Parker) | 2 HRs allowed in 45 1/3 innings |
| Verlander should continue to avoid the long ball at these two pitcher-friendly venues. | ||||
| 2 | Roy Halladay | NYM (Niese) | SD (Volquez) | 10 quality starts in last 12 tries |
| Even Halladay has blowups like Wednesday's start at Atlanta, but they have been incredibly rare. | ||||
| 3 | Clayton Kershaw | SF (Vogelsong) | N/A | 2 BBs or fewer in 14 of last 15 starts |
| Kershaw should have a strong outing against a struggling Giants lineup that rarely walks. | ||||
| 4 | Cole Hamels | SD (Wieland) | N/A | Third straight season with strand rate over 78 percent |
| Hamels doesn't allow many baserunners, and he is extremely proficient at preventing the ones he does let on from scoring. | ||||
| 5 | Jered Weaver | @MIN (Liriano) | @TEX (Feliz) | Career 1.05 WHIP at Target Field |
| Weaver is not a safe bet at Texas (career 4.55 ERA), but he should more than make up for it with his Minnesota start. | ||||
| 6 | Cliff Lee | NYM (Gee) | N/A | Career 1.61 ERA vs. NYM |
| In Lee's first start back from the DL, he faces a foe he has mastered over four starts since '09. | ||||
| 7 | Dan Haren | @MIN (Hendriks) | N/A | 0.98 GO/AO |
| Haren's mild flyball tendencies have spelled trouble in his home starts, but they shouldn't be a factor at Target Field. | ||||
| 8 | Stephen Strasburg | @PIT (Correia) | N/A | 14 whiffs on 101 pitches at LAD on Fri. |
| Ks haven't been a problem for Strasburg, but he has been missing even more bats recently. | ||||
| 9 | James Shields | @NYY (Nova) | @BAL (Arrieta) | Career 3.97 ERA at Yankee Stadium |
| Shields hasn't fared too badly at the Yankees' current home, and that's the tougher part of his two-start week. | ||||
| 10 | CC Sabathia | TB (Price) | N/A | 9 BBs in 43 1/3 innings |
| Sabathia has been a little homer-prone, but great control has kept his WHIP at a tidy 1.08. | ||||
| 11 | Felix Hernandez | @NYY (Kuroda) | N/A | .217 opponents' Avg vs. lefties (entering Sat.) |
| The King is better against righties, but he is good enough to keep the Yankees' dangerous lefties in check. | ||||
| 12 | Ricky Romero | @OAK (Parker) | @MIN (Hendriks) | Opponents' .051 Avg on grounders |
| Romero's ground ball batting average looks fluky-low, but it's part of an astounding staff-wide trend. | ||||
| 13 | Yovani Gallardo | CIN (Arroyo) | CHC (Samardzija) | 2.33 ERA in non-STL starts |
| Gallardo has gotten clocked in his starts against the Cardinals, but he's been sharp versus everyone else. | ||||
| 14 | David Price | @NYY (Sabathia) | N/A | 3.46 ERA at NYY in 2011 |
| Price got roughed up at Yankee Stadium earlier in his career, but he had good results there last season. | ||||
| 15 | Ian Kennedy | STL (Westbrook) | N/A | .336 BABIP |
| Kennedy's 1.31 WHIP is not as pristine as owners would expect, but an undeservedly-high BABIP is to blame. | ||||
| 16 | Yu Darvish | LAA (Wilson) | N/A | 1.02 WHIP in last three starts |
| Since struggling to command the strike zone in his first two starts, Darvish has kept runners off the basepaths. | ||||
| 17 | Tommy Hanson | @CHC (Samardzija) | @STL (Lynn) | 51 percent ground ball rate |
| It's too early to know if Hanson is a changed pitcher, but keeping the ball down has helped limit hitters to two homers and five doubles. | ||||
| 18 | Zack Greinke | CIN (Cueto) | N/A | 1 HR allowed in 35 innings |
| He's probably been a bit lucky in this regard, but Greinke is making up for last season's high home run per flyball ratio. | ||||
| 19 | Matt Garza | @MIL (Marcum) | N/A | 11.3 percent swinging strike rate |
| Garza could have a huge game against a Brewers squad that loves to swing the bat, assuming he is healthy enough to pitch. | ||||
| 20 | Madison Bumgarner | @ARI (Corbin) | N/A | 12 percent line drive rate (entering Sat.) |
| Bumgarner is just starting to get hitters to fan, but he has consistently thwarted hitters' efforts to make hard contact. | ||||
| 21 | Jordan Zimmermann | @CIN (Latos) | N/A | 3 BBs in 33 1/3 innings |
| Zimmermann's command just keeps getting sharper and sharper, making him a top contributor for ERA and WHIP, if not Ks. | ||||
| 22 | Drew Smyly | @SEA (Vargas) | N/A | Three consecutive starts with 7 Ks |
| Smyly's strikeout streak is no fluke; the Rangers and Yankees have been two of his victims. | ||||
| 23 | Lance Lynn | @ARI (Saunders) | ATL (Hanson) | No more than 2 BBs issued in every start |
| Control was not Lynn's strong suit as a prospect, but he has yet to be wild this season. | ||||
| 24 | Matt Cain | @ARI (Cahill) | N/A | 3 HRs in last five starts at ARI |
| Cain gave up a pair of homers in a start this year, but his prior four starts against the Snakes went more smoothly. | ||||
| 25 | C.J. Wilson | @TEX (Darvish) | N/A | 3.69 ERA at TEX in 2011 |
| As a Ranger last year, Wilson was superb on the road, but he was solid at home. That's comforting, as he is about to make his first road start in Arlington. | ||||
| 26 | Jake Peavy | @CLE (Gomez) | N/A | 2.9 percent home run per flyball ratio |
| Peavy owns an outrageous 58 percent flyball rate, but at Cleveland, he won't be in peril of getting homered into submission. | ||||
| 27 | Justin Masterson | CHW (Danks) | @BOS (Bard) | 63 strikes in 96 pitches at CHW on Thurs. |
| After three straight starts with fewer than 55 percent strikes thrown, Masterson got his command back in his most recent appearance. | ||||
| 28 | Gio Gonzalez | @CIN (Leake) | N/A | 1 HR allowed in last nine starts |
| Life in the NL is agreeing with Gonzalez, as he has yet to allow a homer as a National. | ||||
| 29 | Jon Lester | @KC (Chen) | N/A | Pitched at least 7 innings in four of six starts |
| Lester has been wilder than usual, but that hasn't stopped him from pitching deep into games. | ||||
| 30 | Wandy Rodriguez | MIA (Zambrano) | @PIT (Burnett) | 17 Ks over last 20 innings |
| After a slow start, Rodriguez is getting his strikeout rate back near its norm. | ||||
| 31 | Shaun Marcum | CHC (Garza) | N/A | Four quality starts in five tries |
| Other than against the lowly Padres, Marcum hasn't been spectacular, but he has been reliable. | ||||
| 32 | Ryan Dempster | ATL (Delgado) | N/A | 3.05 xFIP |
| Dempster can't sustain his crazy sub-1.00 ERA, but with less luck on balls in play, he still profiles as a very effective starter. | ||||
| 33 | Doug Fister | @SEA (Beavan) | @OAK (Milone) | Career 2.55 ERA vs. OAK |
| Fister has never opposed his former team, but he has flourished in 10 starts against the A's. | ||||
| 34 | Anibal Sanchez | @HOU (P. Clemens) | N/A | At least 7 Ks in three of five starts |
| Based on the early returns, Sanchez's strikeout per inning performance last season was not a one-shot deal. | ||||
| 35 | Vance Worley | SD (Richard) | N/A | No more than one earned run in four of six starts |
| Worley may not have the stuff of a typical No. 3 Fantasy SP, but he has pitched like one ever since reaching the majors. | ||||
| 36 | Adam Wainwright | ATL (Beachy) | N/A | 9.8 percent swinging strike rate |
| It's not clear why Wainwright has allowed so many homers, but it's a good sign that he is still getting batters to swing and miss. | ||||
| 37 | Josh Johnson | @HOU (Harrell) | N/A | Opponents' .068 Isolated Power |
| Johnson is sporting a horrific 6.61 ERA and 1.88 WHIP, as he has apparently been sentenced to death by singles. | ||||
| 38 | Edwin Jackson | @PIT (Burnett) | @CIN (Arroyo) | 29 Ks in 31 2/3 innings |
| Jackson's strikeout rates have risen and fallen throughout his career, but could this be the time he establishes some consistency? | ||||
| 39 | Erik Bedard | WAS (Detwiler) | N/A | Two earned runs or fewer allowed in every start |
| It's too bad Bedard can't be counted on to go more than five innings, because he has been very effective over the innings he does pitch. | ||||
| 40 | Jonathon Niese | @PHI (Halladay) | @MIA (Zambrano) | 61 percent quality start rate since 2011 |
| Niese has been fairly consistent over the last season-plus, but his quality start rate would likely be even higher if not for a late-season slide in '11. | ||||
| 41 | Hiroki Kuroda | SEA (Hernandez) | N/A | Career 2.1 BB/9 rate (entering Sat.) |
| Kuroda is no more than a mediocre strikeout pitcher, but his consistently solid control means he won't kill you in the WHIP category. | ||||
| 42 | Mat Latos | WAS (Zimmermann) | N/A | Opponents' .325 Avg on grounders |
| Part of Latos' poor start is due to a mediocre strikeout rate, but he has also been victimized by apparent bad luck on ground balls. | ||||
| 43 | Brandon Beachy | @STL (Wainwright) | N/A | 17 percent line drive rate since 2011 |
| Not only has Beachy proven to be good at missing bats, but batters have also had a hard time hitting frozen ropes off him. | ||||
| 44 | Ted Lilly | SF (Zito) | COL (Pomeranz) | Career 1.05 WHIP at Dodger Stadium |
| Lilly has been a reliable source of WHIP for years, but he really shines in that category when pitching at home. | ||||
| 45 | Johnny Cueto | @MIL (Greinke) | N/A | 66 percent strikes thrown |
| Cueto isn't throwing as hard as usual this year, but he is getting better with his location and getting batters to take called strikes. | ||||
| 46 | Ivan Nova | TB (Shields) | SEA (Beavan) | Career 3.47 ERA vs. TB |
| In his relatively brief career, Nova has had more success against the Rays than any of his other divisional rivals. | ||||
| 47 | Jeremy Hellickson | @BAL (Hunter) | N/A | 46 percent ground ball rate (entering Sat.) |
| It's still hard to get a bead on what kind of pitcher Hellickson is becoming, but a sharp increase in his ground ball rate may be signaling that another transformation is in progress. | ||||
| 48 | Mike Minor | @STL (Garcia) | N/A | 59 percent strand rate (entering Sat.) |
| Last year, Minor was a BABIP victim; this year, his ERA is bloated by a fluky strand rate. He still looks like he could be a Fantasy star. | ||||
| 49 | Philip Humber | @CLE (Tomlin) | KC (Sanchez) | 27 Ks in 25 1/3 innings |
| Humber as a strikeout artist? It could be for real, as he's throwing his slider far more often with a higher rate of whiffs, according to PitchFX data. | ||||
| 50 | Johan Santana | @MIA (Buehrle) | N/A | Eight extra-base hits (seven doubles, one homer) |
| Hitters might be lucky enough to get a single or a walk off Santana, but that's nearly all he has given up so far. | ||||
| 51 | Colby Lewis | @BAL (Chen) | N/A | 5 BBs in 39 1/3 innings |
| Whether or not Lewis can cure his gopheritis is an unknown, but he has proven that he won't hurt himself with free passes. | ||||
| 52 | Brandon McCarthy | TOR (Morrow) | N/A | Career 3.23 ERA at OAK |
| The Blue Jays would be a challenging matchup for McCarthy in Toronto, but he has been tough to score upon at home. | ||||
| 53 | Jaime Garcia | ATL (Minor) | N/A | 2 BBs or fewer in four of six starts |
| Garcia was too wild on Saturday against the Astros, but that was more of an exception than the norm. | ||||
| 54 | Matt Harrison | @BAL (Matusz) | LAA (Williams) | .526 BABIP, last two starts |
| Even the worst major league pitcher doesn't allow hits on the majority of his balls in play, and Harrison has proven himself to be a solid major leaguer. Chalk this bad run up as a fluke. | ||||
| 55 | Josh Beckett | CLE (Lowe) | N/A | Four straight quality starts |
| Beckett was on a roll before hurting his lat muscle, and if he were healthier, he would rank much higher. | ||||
| 56 | Matt Moore | @BAL (Matusz) | N/A | 13 Ks and 3 BBs, last two starts |
| Moore has been much sharper his last couple of times out, but the Orioles could prove to be a tougher test than the Angels or Mariners. | ||||
| 57 | Brandon Morrow | @OAK (McCarthy) | N/A | Pitched six or more innings in every start |
| It's not clear if Morrow will keep getting Ks, but his control has clearly been better, allowing him to stay in games longer. | ||||
| 58 | R.A. Dickey | @MIA (Nolasco) | N/A | 0.33 ERA vs. MIA, last four starts |
| Dickey has simply dominated the Marlins this year and last. | ||||
| 59 | Bartolo Colon | DET (Porcello) | N/A | 12 percent popup rate (entering Sat.) |
| Colon's move to O.co Coliseum has further enhanced his ability to get easy flyball outs, making him a viable start when he is at home. | ||||
| 60 | Gavin Floyd | KC (Paulino) | N/A | Five straight starts with at least 6 Ks |
| Floyd's newfound ability to get batters to fan is becoming harder to ignore, though there is no precedent for this in his career. | ||||
| 61 | Jake Arrieta | TEX (Feliz) | TB (Shields) | 4.12 P/PA |
| Arrieta's improved command is serving him well, but batters are swinging at fewer offerings, as he piles up his pitch count. | ||||
| 62 | Jeff Samardzija | ATL (Hanson) | @MIL (Gallardo) | Only one start with more than 2 BBs |
| Consistent control is probably not what you expected from Samardzija, but that's been his most reliable asset so far this year. | ||||
| 63 | Trevor Cahill | SF (Cain) | N/A | 0.65 HR/9 over last 25 starts |
| Cahill is not a reliable source of WHIP, but he makes himself Fantasy-relevant in most formats by keeping the ball in the park. | ||||
| 64 | Chris Capuano | COL (Moyer) | N/A | 25 Ks over last 25 innings |
| Capuano is still not trustworthy in most road starts, but getting the Rockies away from Coors Field is a great matchup for nearly any pitcher. | ||||
| 65 | Bronson Arroyo | @MIL (Gallardo) | WAS (Jackson) | 3 BBs in 32 2/3 innings |
| Arroyo is not an advisable start in standard mixed Roto formats, but in Head-to-Head, his disdain for walks is a real boon, especially in a two-start week. | ||||
| 66 | Tim Hudson | @CHC (Maholm) | N/A | 13.3 percent swinging strike rate |
| It's only two games into his season, but Hudson has been relying far more on his cutter, and it's helping him to get more whiffs. | ||||
| 67 | Jason Hammel | TEX (Holland) | N/A | 61 percent ground ball rate (entering Sat.) |
| Hammel's new sinker is making his transition from the NL West to AL East look like a minor league rehab assignment. | ||||
| 68 | Ross Detwiler | @PIT (Bedard) | N/A | Opponents' .208 SLG vs. lefties |
| Detwiler has been tough on everyone, but especially so on lefties, so he just may be able to cool down Pedro Alvarez. | ||||
| 69 | Joe Blanton | NYM (Batista) | N/A | 2.95 BABIP |
| Blanton hasn't posted a normal BABIP since 2009, so many owners have forgotten why he was Fantasy-relevant once upon a time. He appears to be just that once again. | ||||
| 70 | Tim Lincecum | @LAD (Billingsley) | N/A | 9 percent line drive rate, last two starts |
| Lincecum's command is still suspect, but at least he hasn't been hit hard in his recent starts, and he continues to deliver Ks. | ||||
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