Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Setting the Trends: Deciphering the Cook quandary

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Let's kick off this column with a little game. What do these six players have in common?:

Mike Napoli
Josh Hamilton
Andruw Jones
Anthony Gose
Chone Figgins
Jesus Montero

If you guessed they represent the only six players who have struck out facing Boston's Aaron Cook this season, you are correct! In 51 2/3 innings, Cook has struck out just six batters. To put that in perspective, 168 pitchers have as many or more strikeouts in the month of August. In his last three innings, Cardinals closer Jason Motte has struck out six batters. In four total innings pitched by position players Drew Butera, Chris Davis and Rob Johnson this season, the trio have managed four strikeouts.

And yet, he's being added in leagues. Way, way down at the bottom of the "Most Added" list sits Aaron Cook, whose ownership has risen from 5 percent to 6 percent. He has three wins, and, despite a rather-high 4.70 ERA, he sports a 1.22 WHIP, which is well below the league average of 1.31. He's never been known for his strikeouts, accruing a 3.8 K/9 over the course of a 10-year career before 2012, but his 1.0 K/9 rate this year is amazingly low.

Speaking in Fantasy terms, Cook is currently at war ... with himself. His low strikeout rate suggests he'll face a handful of poundings before the season is out, but his impressive WHIP points to an eventual lowering of his ERA. The best advice I can offer? Don't let that battle play out on your active roster. Six percent ownership is AL-only territory and there will probably be a lot of finger-crossing for the remainder of his starts for his owners in that format. Not to worry, though -- you have other options.

On to the rest of Roster Trends!

Most Added Players (as of 8/14)
Player % increase
1. Manny Machado, SS, BAL 65
2. Alex Cobb, SP, TB 29
3. Jim Henderson, RP, MIL 28
4. Eric Chavez, 3B, NYY 20
5. Clayton Richard, SP, SD 18
6. Miguel Gonzalez, RP, BAL 15
7. David Murphy, OF, TEX 13
8. Paul Maholm, SP, ATL 13
9. Kris Medlen, RP, ATL 13
10. David Phelps, RP, NYY 13

Most Added Highlights

Manny Machado, SS, BAL
Jump in Ownership: 65 percent (from 16 percent to 81)
Reason for the jump: Machado, Baltimore's top prospect, made his presence known in his first four games with the Orioles, hitting .375 with three home runs, seven RBI and a 1.500 OPS.
Why you should join the crowd: In his first week, Machado showed that he could play at the major league level, after a somewhat surprising promotion to take over everyday third base duties. In three minor league seasons, he twice hit double-digit home runs and steals in the same season (keep in mind, these seasons were markedly shorter -- 382 and 402 at-bats -- than a regular major league season), and managed a respectable .352 OBP this year. He has been compared, since he was drafted, to Alex Rodriguez.
Devil's Advocate: Machado is the third high-profile 19-year-old to break into MLB in the last two seasons, following Mike Trout in 2011 and Bryce Harper in 2012. Trout's success this year has somewhat clouded our memories of his sub-par campaign last year, when he was 19, in which he hit .220 with five home runs and four steals in 40 games. Harper has fared a little better in his debut this season, with a .249 average, 10 home runs, and 13 steals in 94 games. This came after his first four games, in which Harper looked like a no-brain Fantasy add, hitting .385 with three doubles and an OPS of 1.015. On top of all this history of players who aren't Machado, his own stats suggest he might be due for a major correction -- over 820 minor league at-bats, Machado, who never played above Double-A before his promotion, hit just .263. There's no guarantee that Machado will tail off, but it might be wise to temper excitement over his hot start.

Less than 50, more than 50
Players owned in less than 50% of leagues who should be owned in more than 50%
Player % owned
1. Lorenzo Cain, OF, KC 49
2. Todd Frazier, 3B, CIN 48
3. Carlos Gomez, OF, MIL 33
4. Justin Ruggiano, OF, MIA 32
5. Tyler Colvin, OF, COL 30

Jim Henderson, RP, MIL
Jump in Ownership: 28 percent (from zero percent to 28)
Reason for the jump: All signs point to Henderson as the new closer for the Brewers.
Why you should join the crowd: Forget for a moment about Henderson's rootability factor -- a 29-year-old career minor-leaguer who spent 10 seasons in the minors before getting his chance this year -- there's a chance Henderson could finish the year with double-digit saves. He has 61 career saves in the minors, and, while his career ERA isn't as impressive as one would like (3.96), he had a 1.69 EA this season with Nashville, and has a 3.38 ERA so far this season with the Brewers. In two situations with Milwaukee, Henderson has yet to allow a hit or run, walking just one batter in two innings, striking out three, and getting two saves. Brewers manager Ron Roenicke says that while he won't name Henderson his closer, the 6-foot-5 righty will likely get most of the calls.
Devil's Advocate: Outside of the near-4.00 ERA in the minors, Henderson has some competition in the bullpen; most notably John Axford and Francisco Rodriguez. While both have failed miserably as the closer so far this year, it's not out of the question for Roenicke to insert the duo into save situations. Manny Parra and Kameron Loe also could stumble their way into opportunities with the Brewers, as well. Keep in mind that Roenicke played under Tommy Lasorda from 1981 to 1983, a stretch in which Steve Howe had 39 saves (eight in 1981, 13 in 1982, 18 in 1983), Tom Niedenfuer had 20 (nine in 1982, 11 in 1983), and Dave Stewart had 15 (six in 1981, one in 1982, eight in 1983) -- with all three essentially splitting opportunities over the three years.

Making room for Manny
The most-dropped shortstops
Player Ownership decrease
1. Rafael Furcal, SS, STL -7%
2. Yunel Escobar, SS, TOR -5%
3. Jed Lowrie, SS, HOU -4%
4. Willie Bloomquist, SS, ARI -3%
5. Alexei Ramirez, SS, CHW -3%

David Murphy, OF, TEX
Jump in Ownership: 13 percent (from 25 percent to 38)
Reason for the jump: Murphy has played in 19 straight games, hitting .348 with 10 RBI, one home run, one steal and an OPS of .895.
Why you should join the crowd: Over the last four years, Murphy has averaged just over 400 at-bats, with a .277 average, 14 home runs and 10 steals. He's on that pace again this season, but with a higher average and a bit more stolen base potential. Murphy has the ability to hit 20-23 home runs (he's hit as many as 17 in 128 games), and steal 16-19 bases (his career high is 14 steals, in 138 games). Owned in just 38 percent of leagues, Murphy could provide a nice boost to a team in a deeper league looking for boosts in point totals (he has four weeks of 20 or more points) in the outfield.
Devil's Advocate: Playing time has always been a concern for Murphy, and, while he has managed to play 19 games in a row, there's always a chance that Craig Gentry hits his way back into the rotation, or Julio Borbon and Leonys Martin nip away at Murphy's playing time with possible September call-ups.

Farmville
The most-added minor leaguers
Player Percentage increase
1. Jurickson Profar, SS, TEX 3
2. Billy Hamilton, SS, CIN 3
3. Steve Johnson, SP, BAL 2
4. Tyler Skaggs, SP, ARI 2
5. Kyle Zimmer, SP, KC 1

David Phelps, RP, NYY
Jump in Ownership: 13 percent (from 4 percent to 17)
Reason for the jump: Phelps took CC Sabathia's spot in the rotation, and is in the midst of a two-start week for the Yankees.
Why you should join the crowd: In 57 innings pitched for the Yankees this season, Phelps has a 2.53 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, with 59 strikeouts. He may not last past Sabathia's DL stint, but it isn't out of the realm of possibility to consider that Phil Hughes (0-2, 11.88 EA in his last two starts) and Ivan Nova (1-2, 9.17 ERA in last three) are not looking anywhere near as pretty as Phelps does right now.
Devil's Advocate: Simply put, there's not an obvious spot for Phelps to fill in the Yankees' rotation right now, despite his stellar numbers so far this year.

Chris Carter, 1B, OAK
Jump in Ownership: 5 percent (from 29 percent to 34)
Reason for the jump: Carter has 10 home runs in 105 at-bats this season.
Why you should join the crowd: Not only has Carter been pounding the ball this year, but he's also played his way into a full-time role with the A's, having started nine games in a row. His August hasn't been as pretty as the rest of his season (.256 average and .883 OPS in August vs. .273 average and 1.067 OPS in his previous 21 games), but he still is a threat to hit a home run every time up, and, while he's prone to plenty of strikeouts, he has the potential to hit around .270 to go along with the power.
Devil's Advocate: Remember Daric Barton? Kila Ka'aihue? Brandon Moss? Jonny Gomes? Dan Johnson? Michael Taylor? Brandon Allen? Conor Jackson? Kevin Kouzmanoff? Jack Cust? Hideki Matsui? The A's have a habit of rotating and recycling a host of would-be power hitters, in a way that makes it somewhat frightening to get attached, Fantasy-wise, to any Oakland slugger.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Blue Jays P Marco Estrada's recent woes with walks continue
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(1:02 am ET) Blue Jays pitcher Marco Estrada allowed four earned runs during Friday night's 4-3 loss to the Mariners. 

Estrada went seven innings and gave up six hits and three walks while walking five. Estrada has had some trouble with walking hitters of late. In his first seven starts he walked a total of five batters. 

However, in his past three he's surrendered nine walks. 

Estrada now holds an ERA of 3.90 for the season. 

His next start is projected for May 27 against the White Sox. 


Orioles SP Ubaldo Jimenez receives no-decision Friday
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(12:59 am ET) Orioles pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez failed to get past the fourth inning during Friday's 8-5 win over the Marlins on Friday.

Jimenez allowed three runs on seven hits over four innings of work. He struck out four batters and walked one. Jimenez received a no-decision for his effort and his ERA now stands at 2.82.

Jimenez had pitched seven innings in each of his last two starts before only going four Friday. His next expected start is scheduled for Wednesday against the Astros.


Mariners P Fernando Rodney gets save despite giving up HR
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(12:55 am ET) Mariners closer Fernando Rodney picked up his 11th save of the season in Friday night's 4-3 win over the Blue Jays. 

However, Rodney made things quite interesting with his performance. With the Mariners up 4-1, Rodney allowed two runs on a two-run home run from Chris Colabello in the ninth inning.

Rodney was able to escape the inning with the Mariners' win intact but it wasn't something Seattle had hoped for. 

Rodney's ERA is now at 6.61 for the year. 


Mariners P Felix Hernandez allows 1 earned run in win
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(12:45 am ET) Mariners pitcher Felix Hernandez had yet another strong game, allowing just one earned run in Friday night's 4-3 win over the Blue Jays. 

It was a great game for Hernandez, who was coming off a performance where he allowed four earned runs on May 16 against the Red Sox. Hernandez gave up only four hits and two walks while striking out eight batters. 

Hernandez now has 55 strikeouts in 54 2/3 innings this season. Hernandez now holds a 2.19 ERA for the season. 

His next start is projected for May 27 against the Rays. 


Brewers OF Khris Davis drives in two runs in Friday's win
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(12:35 am ET) Brewers outfielder Khris Davis had just one hit during Friday's 11-0 win over the Braves, but he made the hit count. Davis drove in two runs when he doubled off Trevor Cahill in the fourth inning. Davis finished the game 1 for 5 with two strike outs.

Over his last six games, Davis is 2 for 21 with two RBI and no home runs.


Yankees' Mark Teixeira hits second homer in past three games
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(12:29 am ET) Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira hit his 13th home run of the season during Friday night's 10-9 loss to the Rangers. 

Teixeira went yard in the ninth inning, taking a 2-1 pitch deep to right field. He finished the game 1 for 5 as the homer was his only hit. It's his second home run in his past three games. 

Teixeira is now slashing .250/.371/.596 for the season. Since May 1, he holds a .298 batting average. 


Brewers OF Ryan Braun drives in four runs in Friday's win
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(12:23 am ET) Outfielder Ryan Braun went 3 for 3 at the plate to help lead the Brewers to a 11-0 win over the Braves on Friday.

Braun also drove in four runs during the game, two of which came in the first inning when he hit a two-run home run off Eric Stults.

Braun is 8 for 20 with three home runs and 11 RBI in his last six games. During that time, he has raised his average from .252 to .273.


Yankees' Didi Gregorius, Garrett Jones hit first HRs of season
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(12:19 am ET) Yankees infielder Didi Gregorius and outfielder Garrett Jones hit their first home runs of the 2015 season in Friday night's 10-9 loss to the Rangers. 

Gregorius hit a three-run homer in the fourth inning. He's now hitting .217/.278/.278. Jones went yard with a three-run shot in the eighth inning that trimmed Texas' lead to two runs at the time. 

Jones is now slashing .171/.190/.317. 


Braves SP Eric Stults gives up seven runs in Friday's loss
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(12:17 am ET) Braves pitcher Eric Stults failed to get past the fourth inning during Friday's 11-0 loss to the Brewers.

Stults allowed seven runs on three hits over 3 2/3 innings of work. The seven runs were a season high for Stults. He also walked five batters and struck out five. His biggest mistake was surrendering a two-run home run to Ryan Braun in the first inning.

Stults has given up 12 runs in his last two starts and he has not pitched past the seventh inning in any of his eight starts this season. Stults started in place of Alex Wood, who was scratched due to an illness.


Braves expect Alex Wood (virus) to make next start
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(12:09 am ET) Although Braves pitcher Alex Wood was scratched from Friday's start, manager Fredi Gonzalez said he expects Wood to make his next start Wednesday at the Los Angeles Dodgers, reports the team's radio network.

A stomach virus caused Wood to miss Friday’s start.


 
 
 
Rankings