Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2013 Fantasy outlooks: Cincinnati Reds

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

After a one-year hiatus, the Reds returned to the playoffs in 2012, beating out the never-say-die Cardinals for the NL Central title.

Their pitching staff was the main reason for their success. While their lineup was at times a hodge-podge -- particularly during that period when Joey Votto was sidelined by a torn meniscus -- their starting rotation was a model of consistency, featuring five pitchers that accounted for 161 of the team's 162 starts.

2013 Fantasy Outlooks
A.L. East N.L. East
Orioles Braves
Red Sox Marlins
Yankees Mets
Rays Phillies
Blue Jays Nationals
A.L. Central N.L. Central
White Sox Cubs
Indians Reds
Tigers Brewers
Royals Pirates
Twins Cardinals
A.L. West N.L. West
Astros Diamondbacks
Angels Rockies
Athletics Dodgers
Mariners Padres
Rangers Giants

Johnny Cueto stayed healthy enough to break through as the ace. Mat Latos, after some initial struggles, adapted to the friendly confines of Great American Ballpark, demonstrating the same efficiency and strikeout-per-inning stuff that made him so successful with the Padres. Homer Bailey finally capitalized on his long-awaited potential, producing an impressive final line despite some ups and downs along the way. Even Bronson Arroyo delivered 202 quality innings, bouncing back from a disastrous 2011 with his usual command and guile.

And that rotation is about to get all the more intimidating. A year after taking the league by storm as a closer, Aroldis Chapman gets his shot at the fifth spot this spring. It's between him and Mike Leake, who was the weak link in the rotation last year. Few expect it to be much of a contest.

Of course, removing Chapman's 102-mile-per-hour fastball from the closer role leaves a 102-mile crater in the bullpen, but the Reds are confident former Dodgers closer Jonathan Broxton, who they acquired to set up for Chapman late last season, is capable of filling it. Sean Marshall, Jose Arredondo and J.J. Hoover are all reasonable fallback options and the kind of middle relievers worthy of consideration in deeper Fantasy leagues.

2013 projected lineup
Player Name Position
1. Shin-Soo Choo CF
2. Brandon Phillips 2B
3. Joey Votto 1B
4. Ryan Ludwick LF
5. Jay Bruce RF
6. Todd Frazier 3B
7. Zack Cozart SS
8. Ryan Hanigan C
Bench Devin Mesoraco C
Bench Jack Hannahan 3B
Bench Chris Heisey OF

As for the lineup, it's still heavily dependent on Votto, who's probably the best left-handed hitter in the game, but the ultra-patient Shin-Soo Choo is a dramatic improvement over the swing-at-anything Drew Stubbs in center field and could be poised for a career year at Great American Ballpark. Todd Frazier, fresh off a 19-homer rookie season, gets to step in full time for Scott Rolen, who will presumably (and mercifully) retire. Brandon Phillips remains one of the better offensive second basemen in the league, and Jay Bruce is a bona fide slugger, if nothing more.

Buyer beware ... Aroldis Chapman, relief pitcher

After a couple years of tantalizing everyone with his triple-digit-but-hard-to-locate fastball, Chapman finally made good on all the hype last year, putting up numbers that would have made him far and away the most dominant closer in baseball if, you know, Craig Kimbrel didn't exist. And now he's moving to the starting rotation, where he can make even more of an impact in Fantasy. Great news, right? Not so fast. The transition from the bullpen to the starting rotation doesn't always go smoothly, as Daniel Bard showed last year. Even in successful cases, the pitcher still typically loses something on his fastball. The concern with Chapman is only amplified because of his past control issues. Even with the reduced walk rate last year, he still ranked among the leaders in pitches per plate appearances. If he lasts only five innings at a time, who cares what his strikeout rate is? Granted, if he looks like Jonathan Sanchez out there, he'll just go back to closing, but with all the lumps he'll have taken along the way, you'll be wishing you had drafted Adam Wainwright or Yovani Gallardo instead.

Sleeper ... Ryan Ludwick, outfield

Even after a resurgent season in which he hit 26 home runs, Ludwick still isn't getting much love in Fantasy. Understandably, owners have lumped him in with other dubious sluggers whose obvious shortcomings make them not so likely to repeat their 2012 seasons -- guys like Alfonso Soriano, Jason Kubel and Brandon Moss. The difference for Ludwick is he has a clear explanation for why his numbers came roaring back last year and why they went wrong in the first place: PETCO Park. A midseason trade brought him there midway through 2010. It was big. It was scary. It made him swing the bat differently. He became a dead pull hitter, and that swing carried over to his short stint in Pittsburgh late in 2011. It continued last year as well, but because the Reds stuck with him, he eventually righted himself, batting .298 with 21 homers and a .942 OPS over his final 91 games. He won't maintain that pace over a full season, of course, but when you consider who he was before he went to PETCO and where he plays now, perhaps his numbers aren't so dubious after all.

Impact prospect ... Billy Hamilton, shortstop

2013 rotation/bullpen
Player Name Throws
1. Johnny Cueto RHP
2. Mat Latos RHP
3. Bronson Arroyo RHP
4. Homer Bailey RHP
5. Aroldis Chapman LHP
ALT Mike Leake RHP
Bullpen Breakdown
1. Jonathan Broxton RHP
2. Sean Marshall LHP
3. Jose Arredondo RHP
4. J.J. Hoover RHP
5. Sam LeCure RHP

With his minor-league record 155 steals last year, Hamilton's speed has become the stuff and legend, and judging by his .311 batting average and 86 walks between Class A and Double-A, he gets on base enough to make the most of it. The Reds resisted the urge to call him up last season, but by moving him from shortstop to the outfield this offseason, they've given themselves more ways to slot him into the lineup if the need a rises. In a best-case scenario, an injury or slumping Zack Cozart opens the door for Hamilton to play full time, but his skill set is such that he doesn't need significant opportunity to make a significant impact in Fantasy. When he gets on base, he runs. It's a rare enough approach in this day and age that even if he arrives midseason and gets only sporadic at-bats as a fill-in around the infield and outfield, he'll still likely rank among the league leaders in steals. That kind of assurance deserves at least a late-round flier.

Prospects Report

Other than Hamilton, whose steals record last year makes him about as well-known as any prospect in Fantasy, the Reds farm system doesn't have many bats of note, but it does have three future members of the starting rotation in Tony Cingrani, Robert Stephenson and Daniel Corcino. Cingrani actually debuted last September, but as a reliever. The Reds don't have an opening in their rotation for him just yet, and for the sake of his Fantasy value, you should hope they keep him in the minors until they do. Given his 1.73 ERA between two stops last year, the Reds likely wouldn't want to confine him to the bullpen long term. Corcino has slowly worked his way up the minor-league ladder over the last five years, earning comparisons to Johnny Cueto along the way. He's just as likely as Cingrani to get a call midseason if the need arises. Stephenson, a first-rounder in 2011, actually has the highest upside of the three, but at age 20, he's still years away from contributing.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

  •  
 
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Yangervis Solarte stays hot with homer against Cardinals
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:59 am ET) Third baseman Yangervis Solarte continued to rake since joining the Padres with another big game Tuesday in a victory over St. Louis.

Solarte homered in the seventh inning and scored two runs. He has eight hits, including two taters, in 28 at-bats since the trade that brought him to San Diego from the Yankees.


Yasiel Puig remains on roll in defeat of Braves
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:50 am ET) Dodgers slugger Yasiel Puig fell a home run short of a cycle Tuesday night in leading a 15-hit attack that overwhelmed Atlanta.

Puig tripled, doubled, singled twice and scored twice in the win. His four-hit performance was his second in the last four games. His .317 batting average and .544 slugging percentage are at their highest points in about six weeks.


Adam Dunn homers, strikes out twice in win
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(11:50 am ET) White Sox designated hitter Adam Dunn had another all-or-nothing game Tuesday, in an 11-4 win over the Tigers.

Dunn had just one hit as he went 1 for 4 in the win, but he made it count. Dunn slugged a solo home run in the seventh inning, and added one walk while striking out twice.

Dunn now has 16 home runs and 43 RBI, while also ranking third in the American League in walks with 61. He is hitting .230/.364/.443 in 206 at-bats overall. 


No slowing down for Jose Abreu as July nears end
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(11:46 am ET) White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu continued his hot hitting Tuesday, in an 11-4 win over the Tigers.

Abreu drove in four runs in the massive performance, as he strung together his third multi-hit effort in the last four games. He went 3 for 4 with a two-run home run, and then followed that up with a two-run double in the eighth inning. He also scored twice in the blowout win.

Abreu has been red-hot for the last two months, and has taken his game to another level. He is hitting .359/.412/.652 in the month of July, raising his season batter average to .299. 


Taijuan Walker taken deep three times in Tuesday loss
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:40 am ET) Mariners premier pitching prospect Taijuan Walker continued to struggle at the Triple-A level Tuesday night by yielding three home runs. Included were two by Tommy Field, who entered with just four in 276 at-bats.

Walker did recover after the second Field blast to strike out five of the next six batters and fire fastballs that peaked at 98 miles an hour.

"He dialed it up a little more," Tacoma manager Roy Howell told the Salt Lake City News Tribune. "That's why he's still learning to pitch. Hopefully he'll take that lesson and understand it."

Walker is 4-2 with a 4.14 ERA this season with the Rainiers.


Xander Bogaerts goes deep, can't spark rally
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(11:29 am ET) Red Sox infielder Xander Bogaerts got his bat going late Tuesday against the Blue Jays, but it was not enough in a 4-2 loss.

Bogaerts went 2 for 4 with a pair of strikeouts, and also scored once and drove in one run with his ninth inning solo home run. He has been unable to snap out of his long slump as Bogaerts is hitting just .213/.241/.307 in 75 at-bats during the month of July.  

Bogaerts has failed to live up to expectations as a rookie, with a batting line of just .241/.311/.362 with eight home runs and 26 RBI in 98 games. 


Colby Rasmus homers, scores twice
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(11:24 am ET) Blue Jays outfielder Colby Rasmus was a main contributor to Tuesday's 4-2 win over the Red Sox, as he scored twice in the twin.

Rasmus  went 2 for 4 in the game, with a single and a solo home run in the second inning to start off the scoring. He later came around to score again in the fourth inning, the second game in a row he has crossed the plate twice. 

Rasmus has three home runs in the month of July and 14 overall, while hitting .223/.285/.459 in 242 at-bats. 


Coco Crisp a no-go again against Astros
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:23 am ET) Athletics center fielder Coco Crisp is again absent from the lineup Wednesday in Houston with a neck issue. He has not played since Saturday.

Crisp is not at this time destined for the disabled list, but an MRI has revealed a degenerative condition in his neck.


Hamstring problem keeps Marwin Gonzalez out Wednesday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:18 am ET) A tight hamstring has prevented Astros shortstop Marwin Gonzalez from taking his place in the lineup for a day game Wednesday after a night game. He is sidelined against Oakland.

Gonzalez homered in the Tuesday loss.


Ben Zobrist homers, doubles in two runs
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(11:14 am ET) Rays infielder Ben Zobrist played a big part in Tuesday's 5-1 win over the Brewers.

Zobrist went 2 for 4 in the win, and drove in the first two runs for the Rays in the win. He brought the first around on a sixth-inning solo home run, and then drove in another with a double in the eighth.

Zobrist is hitting .271/.361/.421 with nine home runs and 31 RBI in 93 at-bats. 


 
 
 
Rankings