Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
Play Fantasy The Most Award Winning Fantasy game with real time scoring, top expert analysis, custom settings, and more. Play Now
      
Fantasy Football Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2013 Draft Prep: Al Melchior's Head-to-Head strategies

  •  

More Head-to-Head strategies: Scott White | Nando Di Fino

Head-to-Head leagues don't have the tradition or the purist appeal of Rotisserie. What it does have is the thrill of actual, you know, head-to-head competition on a weekly basis.

Not only does the format offer a chance to create and build rivalries with each scoring period, but as in real baseball, all kinds of player contributions count. Doubles, triples, walks, innings pitched ... these things matter in the real game and they matter in Head-to-Head. So if realism is what you want, Head-to-Head gets you closer to it than Rotisserie.

Check out our Fantasy Baseball podcast!
Stay a step ahead of your competition in 2014 by checking out our popular Fantasy Baseball Today podcasts. Adam Aizer, Scott White and Al Melchior will entertain you and help you dominate all season.
Latest episode | Subscribe!

The broader array of categories that goes into standard Head-to-Head point totals creates very different markets for players than standard Rotisserie drafts and auctions do. Doubles hitter Alex Gordon may not have the home run clout of Adam Jones or Jay Bruce, but he could actually be more valuable than either of them as long as he continues to hit 45 or more two-baggers per year. Similarly, Martin Prado is a top 10 third baseman in Head-to-Head due to his stinginess with strikeouts, but that skill doesn't take him nearly as far in Rotisserie leagues.

The 16-player roster, as compared to the 23-player version found in Rotisserie, also impacts players' values. For example, with three outfield spots to fill instead of five, there is less urgency to the get that position filled. However, the same logic does not apply to catchers, even though there is only one spot for them instead of two (more on this below).

For those more familiar with Rotisserie, the world of Head-to-Head may seem bewildering, but a few simple rules of thumb will help you to navigate the myriad of scoring categories and scaled-down rosters. The adjustment may seem awkward at first, and life without MI and CI spots will feel strange and unfamiliar, but you'll gain the satisfaction of having a chance to emerge the victor of a one-on-one battle week after week.

1. Look for innings eaters

In any Fantasy format, there is a benefit to drafting pitchers who tend to work deep into games. After all, a high innings count is indicative of avoiding crooked innings and pitching effectively on regular basis. In Head-to-Head, the knack for piling up innings takes a pitcher even further. For example, Bronson Arroyo put up a nice 1.21 WHIP last season, but with otherwise underwhelming numbers, he was no one's idea of a Rotisserie stud. Because he avoids walks and pitches to contact, Arroyo has been one of the majors' more efficient hurlers in recent years. The lack of strikeouts and mediocre ERAs may make him an afterthought for many Fantasy owners, but Arroyo's ability to consistently deliver 200-plus innings makes him viable in Head-to-Head. Tim Hudson, Ervin Santana, Mark Buehrle, Wandy Rodriguez, Hiroki Kuroda and Jason Vargas also deserve extra consideration in this format, as each has placed among the top 25 pitchers in numbers of starts equalling or exceeding six innings over the last three seasons.

In deeper Head-to-Head formats, the strategy of identifying pitchers who provide high innings totals works for relievers as well. Can't find a reliever who has even a remote chance at getting saves? Try for a middle or long reliever with a track record of 75-plus inning seasons. Durable types like Matt Belisle, Alfredo Aceves and Craig Stammen are rare among relievers, and those of their ilk are worth rostering in deep leagues as long as their other stats are reasonably good.

2. Find pitching sleepers by using unorthodox stats

A by-product of Head-to-Head's emphasis on innings is that pitchers can reward their owners by getting outs through means other than the strikeout. The K is still the most productive way for a pitcher to record an out for Head-to-Head owners, but having a special knack for avoiding baserunners in other ways can also enhance a pitcher's value. Pitchers like Jered Weaver and Mike Minor, who have had success in getting popouts at a high rate, can give Head-to-Head owners a little extra value. The same is true for pitchers who are able to get outs on balls in play at a higher rate due to the quality of their team's defense. The Nationals sport some solid gloves in their infield, and while that should benefit their whole staff, sinkerballer Ross Detwiler should get an especially pronounced boost. With the additions of Michael Bourn and Drew Stubbs, the Indians upgraded their outfield defense, and that can only help their starting pitchers -- and Ubaldo Jimenez (38 percent flyball rate in 2012) and Zach McAllister (39 percent) in particular -- in Head-to-Head.

3. Get to know ISO

Just as batted ball rates and defensive metrics have their place in identifying pitching sleepers, Isolated Power is a stat that goes a long way in finding hidden gems among hitters. Also known as ISO, the stat measures the rate at which a hitter gets extra bases per at-bat. You can use the formula SLG-AVG to calculate it, and because it treats all extra bases the same, it's a way to spotlight players with extra-base power, regardless of whether it's skewed toward home runs, triples or doubles. Owners accustomed to equating power with homers may view Shin-Soo Choo as being miles ahead of Angel Pagan in terms of value, but last season Choo (.159 ISO) was only marginally better than Pagan (.152) at accruing extra bases. ISO appreciates Pagan's triples power and helps to present a clearer reflection of the two players' relative value in Head-to-Head. Ben Zobrist, Alex Rios, Andre Ethier and Shane Victorino are among the hitters who have registered an ISO greater than .165 over the last three seasons but hit no more than 60 home runs over at least 1,500 at-bats. While they shouldn't be mistaken for major power sources, the reliance that each has placed on doubles and/or triples to create power may still leave them underrated in some Head-to-Head leagues.

4. Make catcher a bigger priority

With the possible exception of Buster Posey, even the best catchers in Fantasy come loaded with risk and question marks. There still is good reason to target Posey, Carlos Santana or Joe Mauer within the early rounds, but if you miss out on them, don't wait too long to fill your one-and-only catcher spot. At least in Rotisserie, if you wait to draft your first catcher, you can balance out the value you lose by passing over the catching elite by getting a high-end No. 2 catcher. In standard Head-to-Head leagues, you don't have that luxury, so if you wait too long, your options will come down to someone like Jonathan Lucroy, Ryan Doumit or Alex Avila. Those are fine alternatives in Rotisserie, but each could represent a loss of more than 100 Fantasy points as compared to the Big Three, and that gap could be hard to make up at other positions.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Al Melchior @almelccbs . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

Want an edge in your draft? Download the Fantasy Draft Kit App.

  •  
 
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Eric Surkamp optioned to Triple-A Omaha
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:19 am ET) The White Sox have optioned reliever Eric Surkamp down to Triple-A Charlotte following Saturday's doubleheader against Detroit. Surkamp was called up prior to the game but did not make an appearance. However, he could be back up when rosters expand on Sept. 1.

Jed Lowrie starts rehab stint Saturday
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:12 am ET) Athletics shortstop Jed Lowrie began a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Sacramento on Saturday. He singled in the fifth inning and played the field for seven innings. He finished 1 for 4 with a run scored. Lowrie could be back as early as Monday against Seattle.

Eric Hosmer collects two hits in first rehab game
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:11 am ET) Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer began a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Omaha on Saturday. Hosmer collected a pair of hits, finishing 2 for 6 with two RBI while playing first base. He has been sidelined since July 31 with a hand issue. 

Tigers considering resting Miguel Cabrera for a stretch of games
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:01 am ET) Tigers manager Brad Ausmus told reporters that he is considering sitting first baseman Miguel Cabrera for a stretch of game to rest his sore ankle, MLB.com reports.

"I've talked to him about that," Ausmus said. "We talked about that in Detroit a couple days ago, so it's a possibility. But this thing comes and goes. Prior to today, the last couple days, he said it felt really good. And then today it flared up again. Although we discussed it, I don't know if four or five days would do anything, because sometimes he comes in from sleeping overnight and feels good."

Cabrera re-aggravated his ankle while trying to leg out a hit in the fourth inning of Game 2 of a doubleheader against the White Sox. His status remains uncertain for Sunday because the team wants to see how he feels in the morning.

Santiago Casilla, Sergio Romo to share closer duties moving forward
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:56 am ET) Giants manager Bruce Bochy told reporters that relievers Santiago Casilla and Sergio Romo will be sharing the closer duties for now, the Bay Area News Group reports.

Casilla coughed up a run despite getting the save Saturday night. He owns a 1.82 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 49 1/3 innings of relief. Romo struck out the only batter he faced before Casilla entered the game Saturday. He owns a 3.96 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 50 innings of work.

Roenis Elias can't solve the Nationals
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:55 am ET) Mariners pitcher Roenis Elias was pegged with the loss Saturday night at home against the Nationals, dropping to 9-12 on the year. The left-hander permitted three runs -- two earned -- on six hits and two walks while striking out five over six innings of a 3-1 defeat.

Over his last four starts covering 20 2/3 innings, Elias has allowed six earned runs. He owns a 3.97 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 26 starts (149 2/3 innings). His next start will come Thursday at Texas.

Rafael Soriano picks up 30th save vs. Mariners
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:51 am ET) Nationals closer Rafael Soriano struck out one and permitted two hits in a scoreless ninth inning for the save Saturday night against the Mariners in Seattle. He has converted 30 of 35 save chances, with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 53 2/3 innings of relief.

Stephen Strasburg sets team's single-season strikeout record vs. M's
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:48 am ET) Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg dominated the Mariners in Seattle on Saturday, scattering one run on six hits over 7 2/3 innings of work to improve to 11-10 on the year. He struck out eight and did not issue a walk. Of his 95 pitches, 69 were strikes.

Strasburg also broke the team's single-season record of 207 strikeouts set by Gio Gonzalez two years ago. He owns a 3.49 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP and 210:40 K:BB ratio in 183 innings. He will make his next start Friday at home against Philadelphia.

Ian Kennedy goes seven strong in no-decision
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:43 am ET) Padres pitcher Ian Kennedy turned in a dominant outing but was unable to factor into the decision Saturday night at home against the Dodgers. The right-hander permitted one run on four hits and three walks while striking out eight over seven innings of work.

Over his last two starts covering 12 2/3 innings, Kennedy has allowed four earned runs. He owns a 3.65 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 28 starts (170 innings). His next start will come Thursday at home against Arizona.

Zack Greinke gets back on track in no-decision
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:40 am ET) Dodgers pitcher Zack Greinke bounced back with a dominant outing but was unable to factor into the decision Saturday against the Padres. The right-hander permitted one earned run on four hits and two walks while striking out eight over eight innings of a 2-1 defeat.

Over his last three starts covering 20 innings, Greinke has allowed only four earned runs. He owns a 2.72 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 27 starts (172 1/3 innings). His next start will come Friday at home against Arizona.

 
 
 
Rankings