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Waiver Wire: Rewards other than Tony

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Let's just take a minute to try and unravel "The Great Evan Gattis Conundrum of 2013."

Gattis has a very big bat. And he's proven his worth to the team by producing a 0.89 Catcher ERA, which beats the next-best cERA (2.85, A.J. Pierzynski) by almost two full runs. But there is a problem, and it will rear its ugly head at some point in the next month: Gattis is going to be stuck for playing time.

Owned in 84 percent of leagues, Gattis is a solid play for the next few weeks, especially with Brian McCann, the would-be Braves starting catcher, now experiencing some wrist soreness as he comes back from shoulder surgery. It's probably not serious enough to set back McCann too much, but it does buy Gattis owners some time to squeeze as much value as possible from their unlikely Fantasy contributor.

But what happens when McCann returns? Will they split time? (Maybe.) Will Gattis work his way around the diamond -- he's played first base and the outfield in the minors -- to get his bat in the lineup? (More likely.) Will the Braves deal their long-time catcher as soon as they can -- say, to the Yankees? -- as he's in the last year of his contract and could be lost this winter anyway? (Probably not, but you never know.)

The larger, more immediate problem, though, is how to value Gattis in a possible trade. Do you go the pessimistic path and sell high on Gattis, hoping that your trading partner is a believer who sees him supplanting McCann and playing 140 games? Or are you that optimistic owner looking to buy low, hoping that the Gattis owner sees him having an expiration date? It's a tough call. If somebody offered me Evan Gattis for my Everth Cabrera in a Roto league, I'd have to think. How bad is my second catcher? Who else do I have up the middle? Can I slot Gattis in the outfield if he's going to get regular at-bats? Will he play past Memorial Day??

Because I love power bats and taking gambles on players who can really make a season-long difference, I just might accept that trade and hope for the best (and then go out looking for cheap steals). But at the end of the year, I think there will be a clear winner and loser with the Gattis/Cabrera deal -- we just have no way of telling who it will be right now.

The Big Leaps

Tony Cingrani, SP, Reds (67 percent ownership, up from 14 percent)

Part of the reason the Reds felt so confident going with Aroldis Chapman as their closer instead of fifth starter was the presence of Tony Cingrani, a 23-year-old lefty who has been absolutely dominant in his young career. In 211 2/3 minor league innings, Cingrani has a 1.62 ERA and 0.93 WHIP, with 278 strikeouts. Through three Triple-A starts this season, he's allowed three total hits. In five innings last year with the Reds, Cingrani struck out nine and allowed a run. This isn't a Trevor Bauer-type case, where he's putting up mostly-stellar numbers, but still walks a lot of batters. Cingrani is dominant all around, like a young Mat Latos, but with lower ratios and more strikeouts.

Most Added Players (as of 4/18)
Player Name % change
1. Tony Cingrani, SP, Reds 49
2. Evan Gattis, C, Braves 47
3. Brandon Crawford, SS, Giants 37
4. Andrew Bailey, RP, Red Sox 36
5. Patrick Corbin, SP, D-Backs 29
6. Chris Carter, OF, Astros 26
7. Jake Westbrook, SP, Cardinals 26
8. John Buck, C, Mets 25
9. Jose Quintana, SP, White Sox 24
10. Carlos Villanueva, SP, Cubs 24

And while Johnny Cueto could be back in about two weeks, Cingrani could stick around after his return, instead supplanting Mike Leake, who has two bad starts and one good one in his first three and is coming off a down 2012, in which he had a 4.58 ERA. In fact, Leake's presence in the bullpen could help keep Cingrani's innings down, as he could work in long relief after Cingrani pitches five or six innings (which could then lead to Jonathan Broxton and Chapman for the end game). [Side note: this Chapman-to-the-bullpen "surprise" at the end of spring training is looking more and more like it was Cincinnati's plan all along, with this moment in mind, no?]

I tend to take the side of "let's not get too excited about the rookie coming up," but Cingrani -- like Latos and Stephen Strasburg -- is a rare exception. He's supremely talented and has a clear path to sticking around in the rotation.I'm adding him in every league I can.

Chances he has impact beyond June: 40 percent
Over/under on K/9 (season): 8.5
Over/under on ERA (season): 2.99
Over/under on starts (season): 20

Brandon Crawford, SS, Giants (39 percent, up from seven)

Brandon Crawford entered 2013 with a career .235 average, seven total home runs, and two steals over 631 at-bats. So far this season, he's hitting .304 with two home runs and three doubles. His minor league numbers don't really suggest he can sustain this, as he carried a .266 average in four seasons, only once hitting double-digits in home runs and steals. But, then again, neither did Pete Kozma's, and he's proven to be far better than his minor league numbers suggested. Plus, Crawford is just 26, and has yet to hit his peak.

The main reason for Crawford's jump in popularity -- and this is an educated guess -- is the injury to Blue Jays shortstop Jose Reyes. In deeper leagues, Crawford would be the first shortstop popping up in free agent searches for average, home runs and Fantasy points. And there's really nothing wrong with adding Crawford while he's hot. But when the cool down occurs, Reyes will likely still be shelved, leaving Crawford owners scrambling for replacements from a relatively thin wire.

So here's someone to consider: Twins second baseman Brian Dozier, who has shortstop eligibility carrying over from last year. Dozier is hitting .333 with a .500 OBP in his last three games (yes, I realize this is a small sample size), and hit leadoff for Minnesota on Tuesday. While his 2012 totals weren't pretty, Dozier has proven to be a solid defender, and had some very nice minor league numbers -- hitting .298 over four seasons and twice going over 15 steals. His .779 minor league OPS bests Crawford's .734, and Dozier was playing in far less hitter-friendly environments.

You want to root for the Olive Garden-loving Crawford (more details on that below), but it might not be a bad idea to have some other options ready, as there's a good chance he won't keep the average and home runs up the rest of the year. Again, it's fine to add Crawford while he's hot, but be prepared for alternate scenarios if/when he drops off.

Over/under on average (season): .255
Over/under on ownership percentage on May 31: 25 percent
Why you really, really want to root for him: The Brandon and Brandon blog. As Brandon Belt would say, "All kinds of awesome."

Unadvised Drop of the Week

Dayan Viciedo, OF, White Sox (58 percent, down from 68 percent)

Viciedo is not having what we would call a strong start to the season, with a .190 average, two home runs, and 14 strikeouts (with no walks) through 42 at-bats.

But he does have a few things going for him. Last season, Viciedo had a mini-breakout, hitting 25 home runs in 505 at-bats, with a .255 average. This came after two consecutive minor league seasons of 20 home runs in the pitcher-friendly International League.

Viciedo's BABIP last year was a below-average .286. So far this year, it sits at .231. In the minors, Viciedo's BABIP never went below .302. He's also hitting more fly balls this season than last, which works when you're playing in the cozy confines of U.S. Cellular (where Viciedo has hit both of his home runs this year), but not so much in some of the more cavernous road venues. It may also help to point to Viciedo's slow start last year, as he hit just .206 in March and April. He followed that with eight home runs in May, with a .351 average and .995 OPS.

Bench him if you'd like, but dropping Viciedo now may end up with you scrambling to add him again in a few weeks, if not sooner. The 24-year-old will eventually heat up, and a power barrage will come with it.

Over/under on home runs (season): 30
Over/under on batting average (season): .265

The Flavors of Next Week

Nate Schierholtz, OF, Cubs (29 percent ownership)

I'm not sure there are many people out there higher on Nate Schierholtz than me. But I know one of them is Jed Hoyer, GM of the Cubs. When the team signed Schierholtz, he pointed out that the 29-year-old had never really gotten regular playing time and had been stuck playing in San Francisco's cavernous park -- as well as the other large parks in the National League West -- for most of his career. "He's played in the NL West," Hoyer told MLB.com's Carrie Muskat, "and playing 100 games that are tough hitters ballparks."

Not only that, but Schierholtz -- whose career high in home runs is nine -- actually showed some nice power in the minor leagues, with five straight seasons of 14 or more home runs -- from 2004 to 2008 -- while getting 500 at-bats just once in that span. With Schierholtz now playing nearly every day for the Cubs, he not only has a chance to show what he can do with regular playing time, but gets to play half of his games in hitter-friendly Wrigley Field. And his current rate of one home run every 18 at-bats could improve as the weather gets nicer and Schierholtz warms up.

He won't hit .361 on the season, but Schierholtz does have some nice potential for 2013, and will probably continue to see a rise in ownership as more Fantasy players take note of his quietly productive ways in Chicago.

Over/under on at-bats (season): 500
Over/under on home runs (season): 24.5

Edward Mujica, RP, Cardinals (17 percent)

The explanation behind this one is pretty simple: the St. Louis bullpen is a mess right now, and Mujica is probably the steadiest option the team has. He won't dazzle with strikeouts and won't overpower anyone with his 92 mph fastball, but Jim Johnson -- a year older than Mujica -- had 51 saves last year with little more (although his off-speed pitches are better).

Mitchell Boggs keeps blowing saves and Trevor Rosenthal has an electric arm but has been inefficient (and is a future starter). That leaves everyone looking at Mujica, who has a 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his last three seasons. He has the makeup where he won't strikeout the side, but he also won't give up two runs on two hits and a walk. And with a volatile back-end of the bullpen this year, Mujica may be the safest bet to go in and close out games.

Over/under on saves (season): 9.5
Chance he gets the next two saves for the Cardinals: 15 percent
Relievers I would drop for Mujica: Kelvin Herrera, Mitchell Boggs, David Robertson

American League-only fun

Jason Giambi, DH, Indians (Zero percent)

This isn't going to be the most ringing of endorsements, but with Michael Bourn on the DL, it seems likely that Drew Stubbs will play center, leaving Jason Giambi to start a decent amount at DH. There are other scenarios that will likely see Giambi on the bench -- Ryan Raburn playing a corner and Michael Brantley going to center, for instance -- but it looks like Giambi could get a decent amount of at-bats while Bourn is out. He recorded his first hit, homer and RBI Wednesday night with a bomb off Alfredo Aceves while starting at DH.

At 42 years old, Giambi is not the same slugger as years past, but he did manage 13 home runs a couple years ago with the Rockies, and ... well ... that's all we can really pin on him, objectively. Subjectively, though, Giambi has nothing to lose, and the team has already kind of tipped their hand at embracing free-swingers when they brought in Mark Reynolds and Stubbs (two players who once led their respective leagues in strikeouts) this offseason. So it's not like Giambi will get punished for taking some big hacks at home runs. This is a move for a very deep league. But if you've been dealing with injury and the top options on your wire include Brayan Pena and the recently-demoted Jose Iglesias (these leagues exist), Giambi may be a decent gamble for some power.

Over/under on home runs (season): Six
Over/under on home runs (next 15 days): Three

National League-only fun

Kevin Gregg, RP, Cubs (One percent)

I've been Carlos Marmol's biggest cheerleader this year, so this Kevin Gregg call comes with a caveat -- you should probably already own Marmol. But if someone else has him, or you just can't stomach the add -- fine. I can't force it on anyone. Owning Carlos Marmol is the Fantasy equivalent of liking liverwurst. I happen to enjoy both, but nobody else I know does.

Gregg is attractive because he averaged 29 saves from 2007 to 2011. With the Cubs bullpen suffering various injuries, implosions, and Marmols, Gregg instantly becomes the steadiest option at the back end. Weird things happen with closer decisions. While Dale Sveum told the Chicago Tribune that Marmol is " working his way back into" the closer's role, he also mentioned the committee approach a few times, and intimated (at least I think he intimated) that Gregg would find his way into the committee mix.

So to review: a bullpen in flux, a closer with 144 career saves (the eighth-most among all active pitchers) joins the staff, and he's only owned in one percent of leagues. Gregg, like Mujica, may not be the prettiest of options, but he's definitely worth a spot on a team desperately in need of saves.

Over/under on saves (season): 13
Asterisk on that over/under: he's going to end up either way above or way below that number
Chances he is the Cubs' closer at the All-Star break: 30 percent

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Mike Olt hits fourth homer Tuesday
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(2:19 am ET) Cubs third baseman Mike Olt continued his all-or-nothing season Tuesday, clubbing his fourth home run of the season in a 9-2 win over the Diamondbacks.

Olt went 1 for 4 in the game and struck out twice, giving him eight strikeouts in the last four games. Still, he clubbed a three-run shot in the fifth inning to provide what would ultimately be the winning margin in the game.

Olt is hitting just .195, but is providing the kind of power that became his calling card in the minors. Of his eight hits in 16 games, four are home runs and five are for extra bases. He has a .195/.250/.512 line in 41 at-bats. 


Chase Headley hits second home run in big spot
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(2:12 am ET) Padres third baseman Chase Headley is showing some signs of life, as he ended a power drought and brought his batting average to the Mendoza line in a 2-1 win over the Brewers Tuesday.

Headley slugged his first home run in nine games Tuesday, and it couldn't have come at a more perfect time. He went deep in the 12th inning to provide the winning run in the game, and finished 2 for 4 overall with a  walk and strikeout added.

Headley is hitting just .200 through 18 games with two home runs and seven RBI, but has hit safely in four of five games to raise his average 40 points. 


Ben Revere racks up four hits in win
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(2:09 am ET) Phillies outfielder Ben Revere did his job Tuesday, reaching base four times in a 3-2 win over the win over the Dodgers.

Revere doesn't walk much in general, so each of his times on base came via a single, as he went 4 for 5 at the top of the order. He scored just once, while adding his sixth stolen base of the season.

Revere has raised his batting average in recent days, and is now hitting exactly .300 through 18 games. He has a .319 on-base percentage and .329 slugging percentage in 70 at-bats as well, with 10 runs scored. 


Dee Gordon passes concussion test
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(2:06 am ET) Dodgers infielder Dee Gordon took and passed a concussion test after leaving Tuesday's game, as he told the O.C. Register. He suffered a head injury while sliding into third base in the seventh inning, but appears to have avoided the worst-case scenario. His status is likely day to day moving forward. 

Jonathan Papelbon nearly flawless in return from illness
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(2:03 am ET) Phillies closer Jonathan Papelbon was able to take the mound for a save opportunity Tuesday against the Dodgers, despite missing the team's previous game with an illness. He had little trouble taking care of the Dodgers in the outing, retiring them on seven pitches despite allowing a two-out single. He induced a trio of flyballs to retire the side, earning his sixth save in seven chances.

Papelbon has allowed a run in just one of his nine appearances this season, as he has pitched better than his 3.24 ERA might indicate. He has seven strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings, while allowing three walks and seven hits total. 


Hyun-Jin Ryu settles for no-decision in extra-innings loss
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(1:59 am ET) Dodgers starting pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu continued his strong pitching Tuesday against the Phillies, though he did allow runs for just the second time in the 3-2 loss.

Ryu settled for a no-decision despite tossing his fourth quality start in six trips to the mound. He allowed just two runs despite scattering nine hits and a pair of walks. Ryu didn't have his best stuff, striking out just three batters for the second straight start, while throwing 68 of 106 pitches for strikes.

Ryu has been mostly stellar this season, and has a 3-1 record and 2.12 ERA in 34 innings of work. His next start is set for Sunday against the Rockies. 


A.J. Burnett remains solid, winless
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(1:53 am ET) Phillies starting pitcher A.J. Burnett had a good day at the mound and the plate Tuesday, but ended up having to settle for a no-decision in a 3-2, extra-innings win.

Burnett limited the Dodgers to just two runs in 6 2/3 innings of work, his third quality start in five trips to the mound. He scattered six hits and a walk in his six-plus innings while striking out five, but remains winless on the season, as the Phillies offense gave him little support in the no-decision.

Burnett is off to a solid start to the season, despite an 0-1 record. He has a 2.73 ERA in five starts, and will look for his first win in his next start, Sunday in Arizona. 


Dee Gordon forced out with head injury
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(1:49 am ET) Dodgers infielder Dee Gordon was forced to leave Tuesday's game against the Phillies late, due to an apparent head injury. He suffered the injury sliding into third base on a steal in the seventh inning, and left after scoring later in the inning.

The extent of Gordon's injury is not yet known, though he will likely go through the league's concussion protocol Tuesday night. He went 2 for 3 before suffering the injury to raise his season average to .369. 


Pedro Figueroa exits game Tuesday with elbow injury
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:47 am ET) Rangers pitcher Pedro Figueroa was removed from Tuesday's game against the A's after suffering an elbow injury, the Fort Worth Star-Telegram reports.

Figueroa threw just one pitch in the game, hitting a batter. He immediately began shaking his arm and was removed after a visit from the trainer. The team will likely have him undergo an MRI. Figueroa owns a 4.00 ERA and 3:3 K:BB ratio in nine innings.


LaTroy Hawkins pitches around trouble for save
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(1:45 am ET) Rockies closer LaTroy Hawkins didn't have to pitch the full inning for the save Tuesday, but still almost blew his first save before finding his way in a 2-1 win.

Hawkins entered the game with one out already recorded in the ninth, thanks to lefty-specialist Rex Brothers' work against Brandon Belt. Hawkins played with fre by allowing the first two batters faced to reach base via a walk and single, before ending the threat and recording his sixth save in as many tries.

Hawkins has six saves, a 1.23 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in eight appearances this season, though he also only has three strikeouts in 7 1/3 innings. 


 
 
 
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