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Waiver Wire: Rewards other than Tony

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Let's just take a minute to try and unravel "The Great Evan Gattis Conundrum of 2013."

Gattis has a very big bat. And he's proven his worth to the team by producing a 0.89 Catcher ERA, which beats the next-best cERA (2.85, A.J. Pierzynski) by almost two full runs. But there is a problem, and it will rear its ugly head at some point in the next month: Gattis is going to be stuck for playing time.

Owned in 84 percent of leagues, Gattis is a solid play for the next few weeks, especially with Brian McCann, the would-be Braves starting catcher, now experiencing some wrist soreness as he comes back from shoulder surgery. It's probably not serious enough to set back McCann too much, but it does buy Gattis owners some time to squeeze as much value as possible from their unlikely Fantasy contributor.

But what happens when McCann returns? Will they split time? (Maybe.) Will Gattis work his way around the diamond -- he's played first base and the outfield in the minors -- to get his bat in the lineup? (More likely.) Will the Braves deal their long-time catcher as soon as they can -- say, to the Yankees? -- as he's in the last year of his contract and could be lost this winter anyway? (Probably not, but you never know.)

The larger, more immediate problem, though, is how to value Gattis in a possible trade. Do you go the pessimistic path and sell high on Gattis, hoping that your trading partner is a believer who sees him supplanting McCann and playing 140 games? Or are you that optimistic owner looking to buy low, hoping that the Gattis owner sees him having an expiration date? It's a tough call. If somebody offered me Evan Gattis for my Everth Cabrera in a Roto league, I'd have to think. How bad is my second catcher? Who else do I have up the middle? Can I slot Gattis in the outfield if he's going to get regular at-bats? Will he play past Memorial Day??

Because I love power bats and taking gambles on players who can really make a season-long difference, I just might accept that trade and hope for the best (and then go out looking for cheap steals). But at the end of the year, I think there will be a clear winner and loser with the Gattis/Cabrera deal -- we just have no way of telling who it will be right now.

The Big Leaps

Tony Cingrani, SP, Reds (67 percent ownership, up from 14 percent)

Part of the reason the Reds felt so confident going with Aroldis Chapman as their closer instead of fifth starter was the presence of Tony Cingrani, a 23-year-old lefty who has been absolutely dominant in his young career. In 211 2/3 minor league innings, Cingrani has a 1.62 ERA and 0.93 WHIP, with 278 strikeouts. Through three Triple-A starts this season, he's allowed three total hits. In five innings last year with the Reds, Cingrani struck out nine and allowed a run. This isn't a Trevor Bauer-type case, where he's putting up mostly-stellar numbers, but still walks a lot of batters. Cingrani is dominant all around, like a young Mat Latos, but with lower ratios and more strikeouts.

Most Added Players (as of 4/18)
Player Name % change
1. Tony Cingrani, SP, Reds 49
2. Evan Gattis, C, Braves 47
3. Brandon Crawford, SS, Giants 37
4. Andrew Bailey, RP, Red Sox 36
5. Patrick Corbin, SP, D-Backs 29
6. Chris Carter, OF, Astros 26
7. Jake Westbrook, SP, Cardinals 26
8. John Buck, C, Mets 25
9. Jose Quintana, SP, White Sox 24
10. Carlos Villanueva, SP, Cubs 24

And while Johnny Cueto could be back in about two weeks, Cingrani could stick around after his return, instead supplanting Mike Leake, who has two bad starts and one good one in his first three and is coming off a down 2012, in which he had a 4.58 ERA. In fact, Leake's presence in the bullpen could help keep Cingrani's innings down, as he could work in long relief after Cingrani pitches five or six innings (which could then lead to Jonathan Broxton and Chapman for the end game). [Side note: this Chapman-to-the-bullpen "surprise" at the end of spring training is looking more and more like it was Cincinnati's plan all along, with this moment in mind, no?]

I tend to take the side of "let's not get too excited about the rookie coming up," but Cingrani -- like Latos and Stephen Strasburg -- is a rare exception. He's supremely talented and has a clear path to sticking around in the rotation.I'm adding him in every league I can.

Chances he has impact beyond June: 40 percent
Over/under on K/9 (season): 8.5
Over/under on ERA (season): 2.99
Over/under on starts (season): 20

Brandon Crawford, SS, Giants (39 percent, up from seven)

Brandon Crawford entered 2013 with a career .235 average, seven total home runs, and two steals over 631 at-bats. So far this season, he's hitting .304 with two home runs and three doubles. His minor league numbers don't really suggest he can sustain this, as he carried a .266 average in four seasons, only once hitting double-digits in home runs and steals. But, then again, neither did Pete Kozma's, and he's proven to be far better than his minor league numbers suggested. Plus, Crawford is just 26, and has yet to hit his peak.

The main reason for Crawford's jump in popularity -- and this is an educated guess -- is the injury to Blue Jays shortstop Jose Reyes. In deeper leagues, Crawford would be the first shortstop popping up in free agent searches for average, home runs and Fantasy points. And there's really nothing wrong with adding Crawford while he's hot. But when the cool down occurs, Reyes will likely still be shelved, leaving Crawford owners scrambling for replacements from a relatively thin wire.

So here's someone to consider: Twins second baseman Brian Dozier, who has shortstop eligibility carrying over from last year. Dozier is hitting .333 with a .500 OBP in his last three games (yes, I realize this is a small sample size), and hit leadoff for Minnesota on Tuesday. While his 2012 totals weren't pretty, Dozier has proven to be a solid defender, and had some very nice minor league numbers -- hitting .298 over four seasons and twice going over 15 steals. His .779 minor league OPS bests Crawford's .734, and Dozier was playing in far less hitter-friendly environments.

You want to root for the Olive Garden-loving Crawford (more details on that below), but it might not be a bad idea to have some other options ready, as there's a good chance he won't keep the average and home runs up the rest of the year. Again, it's fine to add Crawford while he's hot, but be prepared for alternate scenarios if/when he drops off.

Over/under on average (season): .255
Over/under on ownership percentage on May 31: 25 percent
Why you really, really want to root for him: The Brandon and Brandon blog. As Brandon Belt would say, "All kinds of awesome."

Unadvised Drop of the Week

Dayan Viciedo, OF, White Sox (58 percent, down from 68 percent)

Viciedo is not having what we would call a strong start to the season, with a .190 average, two home runs, and 14 strikeouts (with no walks) through 42 at-bats.

But he does have a few things going for him. Last season, Viciedo had a mini-breakout, hitting 25 home runs in 505 at-bats, with a .255 average. This came after two consecutive minor league seasons of 20 home runs in the pitcher-friendly International League.

Viciedo's BABIP last year was a below-average .286. So far this year, it sits at .231. In the minors, Viciedo's BABIP never went below .302. He's also hitting more fly balls this season than last, which works when you're playing in the cozy confines of U.S. Cellular (where Viciedo has hit both of his home runs this year), but not so much in some of the more cavernous road venues. It may also help to point to Viciedo's slow start last year, as he hit just .206 in March and April. He followed that with eight home runs in May, with a .351 average and .995 OPS.

Bench him if you'd like, but dropping Viciedo now may end up with you scrambling to add him again in a few weeks, if not sooner. The 24-year-old will eventually heat up, and a power barrage will come with it.

Over/under on home runs (season): 30
Over/under on batting average (season): .265

The Flavors of Next Week

Nate Schierholtz, OF, Cubs (29 percent ownership)

I'm not sure there are many people out there higher on Nate Schierholtz than me. But I know one of them is Jed Hoyer, GM of the Cubs. When the team signed Schierholtz, he pointed out that the 29-year-old had never really gotten regular playing time and had been stuck playing in San Francisco's cavernous park -- as well as the other large parks in the National League West -- for most of his career. "He's played in the NL West," Hoyer told MLB.com's Carrie Muskat, "and playing 100 games that are tough hitters ballparks."

Not only that, but Schierholtz -- whose career high in home runs is nine -- actually showed some nice power in the minor leagues, with five straight seasons of 14 or more home runs -- from 2004 to 2008 -- while getting 500 at-bats just once in that span. With Schierholtz now playing nearly every day for the Cubs, he not only has a chance to show what he can do with regular playing time, but gets to play half of his games in hitter-friendly Wrigley Field. And his current rate of one home run every 18 at-bats could improve as the weather gets nicer and Schierholtz warms up.

He won't hit .361 on the season, but Schierholtz does have some nice potential for 2013, and will probably continue to see a rise in ownership as more Fantasy players take note of his quietly productive ways in Chicago.

Over/under on at-bats (season): 500
Over/under on home runs (season): 24.5

Edward Mujica, RP, Cardinals (17 percent)

The explanation behind this one is pretty simple: the St. Louis bullpen is a mess right now, and Mujica is probably the steadiest option the team has. He won't dazzle with strikeouts and won't overpower anyone with his 92 mph fastball, but Jim Johnson -- a year older than Mujica -- had 51 saves last year with little more (although his off-speed pitches are better).

Mitchell Boggs keeps blowing saves and Trevor Rosenthal has an electric arm but has been inefficient (and is a future starter). That leaves everyone looking at Mujica, who has a 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his last three seasons. He has the makeup where he won't strikeout the side, but he also won't give up two runs on two hits and a walk. And with a volatile back-end of the bullpen this year, Mujica may be the safest bet to go in and close out games.

Over/under on saves (season): 9.5
Chance he gets the next two saves for the Cardinals: 15 percent
Relievers I would drop for Mujica: Kelvin Herrera, Mitchell Boggs, David Robertson

American League-only fun

Jason Giambi, DH, Indians (Zero percent)

This isn't going to be the most ringing of endorsements, but with Michael Bourn on the DL, it seems likely that Drew Stubbs will play center, leaving Jason Giambi to start a decent amount at DH. There are other scenarios that will likely see Giambi on the bench -- Ryan Raburn playing a corner and Michael Brantley going to center, for instance -- but it looks like Giambi could get a decent amount of at-bats while Bourn is out. He recorded his first hit, homer and RBI Wednesday night with a bomb off Alfredo Aceves while starting at DH.

At 42 years old, Giambi is not the same slugger as years past, but he did manage 13 home runs a couple years ago with the Rockies, and ... well ... that's all we can really pin on him, objectively. Subjectively, though, Giambi has nothing to lose, and the team has already kind of tipped their hand at embracing free-swingers when they brought in Mark Reynolds and Stubbs (two players who once led their respective leagues in strikeouts) this offseason. So it's not like Giambi will get punished for taking some big hacks at home runs. This is a move for a very deep league. But if you've been dealing with injury and the top options on your wire include Brayan Pena and the recently-demoted Jose Iglesias (these leagues exist), Giambi may be a decent gamble for some power.

Over/under on home runs (season): Six
Over/under on home runs (next 15 days): Three

National League-only fun

Kevin Gregg, RP, Cubs (One percent)

I've been Carlos Marmol's biggest cheerleader this year, so this Kevin Gregg call comes with a caveat -- you should probably already own Marmol. But if someone else has him, or you just can't stomach the add -- fine. I can't force it on anyone. Owning Carlos Marmol is the Fantasy equivalent of liking liverwurst. I happen to enjoy both, but nobody else I know does.

Gregg is attractive because he averaged 29 saves from 2007 to 2011. With the Cubs bullpen suffering various injuries, implosions, and Marmols, Gregg instantly becomes the steadiest option at the back end. Weird things happen with closer decisions. While Dale Sveum told the Chicago Tribune that Marmol is " working his way back into" the closer's role, he also mentioned the committee approach a few times, and intimated (at least I think he intimated) that Gregg would find his way into the committee mix.

So to review: a bullpen in flux, a closer with 144 career saves (the eighth-most among all active pitchers) joins the staff, and he's only owned in one percent of leagues. Gregg, like Mujica, may not be the prettiest of options, but he's definitely worth a spot on a team desperately in need of saves.

Over/under on saves (season): 13
Asterisk on that over/under: he's going to end up either way above or way below that number
Chances he is the Cubs' closer at the All-Star break: 30 percent

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Nationals taking a cautious approach with Nate McLouth
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(10:39 am ET) Nationals manager Matt Williams said Thursday the team will take a cautious approach with outfielder Nate McLouth, who has started a throwing program coming off shoulder surgery in August.

"If we were to say at the end of this week that we're going to play a game and Nate was going to go two innings, we probably wouldn't do that at this point because he has got to go through that progression," Williams said, per MASNsports.com. "What that timeframe depends on is how he feels. You can look at the big picture and say well, you need X amount of rehab for this particular surgery. Everybody is different, of course. But we want to make sure that when he's ready to play, he's ready, because we don't want a setback.

"That being said, he's going through the progression of all of his throwing, he's hitting right now. He doesn't have an issue with that. It's going to get sore, we know it. So there's going to be days where he's going to have to just shut it down for that particular day. Which is frustrating because you want to play. We'll get through spring training with him and kind of monitor him on an everyday basis to see where he is at and act accordingly."


Red Sox's Betts focused on preparing for season, not OF competition
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(10:32 am ET) Mookie Betts knows he will have to put his best foot forward this spring in order to land a starting spot in the Red Sox's outfield. Betts, however, is not trying to think as much about the competition and rather focus on what he needs to do to prepare for the 2015 season.

“I feel as if I’m just getting ready for the season,” Betts told WEEI.com. “Whether it’s in the big leagues, Triple-A, Double-A, wherever it is, I’m just getting ready for the season and not really focusing so much on making the big-league team, just really just getting ready."

If Betts doesn't win a starting job in the outfield, then he could be a bench option for Boston instead of heading back to the minors.

“Whatever [manager John] Farrell and [general manager Ben] Cherington, whatever they do is what’s going to be best for the Red Sox,” Betts said. “And if that’s me sitting and watching, that’s perfectly fine and I’ll just fill into my role.”


Red Sox's Mujica reveals neck injury played part in 2014 struggles
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(10:21 am ET) Red Sox reliever Edward Mujica got off to a rocky start in 2014, posting a 6.41 ERA through the first two months of the season. He eventually settled down, posting a 2.68 ERA and seven saves over the final four months.

On Friday, Mujica revealed a neck injury played a part in his early season struggles. Mujica was diagnosed with his C1 vertebrae being out of place when he signed with the Red Sox and added the issue didn't clear up until midway through the 2014 season.

“My neck was bothering me when I got here, I got treatment and in spring training I felt good because of the weather,” Mujica said, per WEEI.com. “But then I felt sore in the neck because of the cold weather. I was also adjusting to the American League, all the teams have pretty good hitters 1-9. I just kept working every single day, watching videos, got that [physical] adjustment and got going in the second half.

“The C1 was a little moved out of place, but they put it in the right place in spring training to get through the season. With treatment every single day it helped me a lot after the first two months.”


Cardinals' Adam Wainwright targeting 2-3 weeks for spring debut
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(10:12 am ET) Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright is targeting 2-3 weeks before he is able to pitch in a spring game, according to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Wainwright was diagnosed with an abdominal strain Thursday after heading back to St. Louis for further evaluation.

Wainwright will have 4-5 days of light activity before he can gradually increase his workouts. He will be re-evaluated Monday before the Cardinals decide if he can rejoin the starters’ throwing program.

“The good thing is it doesn’t hurt so I can continue to throw off the mound and face hitters,” Wainwright said. “I can throw live BP and just won’t field my position.”

With his current timetable and barring setback, Wainwright could make four starts during spring training. 

“Everybody was saying that you need to scale back your innings in spring training,” Wainwright said. “God just naturally found a way to make that happen without ticking me off. ‘OK, Adam, you don’t want to have time off? I’ll make you take time off.’”


Report: Bartolo Colon in the running to start opening day for Mets
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(9:55 am ET) The Mets are strongly considering veteran starting pitcher Bartolo Colon for the opening day start April 6 at Washington, multiple sources told ESPN. The sources added the Mets have narrowed the choices to Colon and one other pitcher, who was not named.

If Colon, who went 15-13 with a 4.09 ERA in 2014, gets the nod, then he would become the oldest pitcher (41 years, 317 days old) to start on opening day in the majors since Jamie Moyer (43 years, 136 days) and Randy Johnson (42 years, 205 days) in 2006. He also would become the oldest Mets' opening day starter, surpassing Tom Glavine in 2007 (41 years, 7 days). 

Colon has started six times on opening day. Dillon Gee started on opening day for the Mets last season.


Rays' Archer changes offseason program, already seeing benefits
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(9:45 am ET) Rays starting pitcher Chris Archer has spent the early days of spring training picking the brain of manager Kevin Cash about how Indians starting pitcher Corey Kluber transformed into the 2014 AL Cy Young winner, according to The Tampa Tribune. Before taking the job with the Rays, Cash was the Indians bullpen coach (2013-14).

“Kluber has always had stuff, he just hasn’t had the success on that level,” Archer said. “And I’m trying to apply those things, because he saw it firsthand.”

Thus far, Cash has raved about Archer's bullpen sessions and said Archer appears to be game-ready. Archer believes the change in his offseason program is contributing to his promising start to spring training.

“In September, I had success but the body was tired, so I paced myself better in the offseason and I feel really good now,” Archer said. “I would just cycle it a little better to pace myself, because I’m thinking those (less intense) weeks in the offseason are going to help me feel better on the back end (of this season).

“I got to pump the brakes a little bit, because I don’t want to overdo it right now. Because what good is February and March? I’m trying to be good April through October.”


Ernesto Frieri hoping Rays pitching coach can revive career
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(9:32 am ET) Rays reliever Ernesto Frieri said one of the reasons he signed with Tampa Bay was for the opportunity to work with pitching coach Jim Hickey, per The Tampa Tribune.

“That’s why I’m here,” Frieri said. “I’ve seen Hickey, he’s the man. He knows what he’s doing. He fixed a couple of guys before, and I hope I’m not the exception. I’m pretty sure he’s going to give me the right information and I’m going to take advantage.”

The 29-year-old Frieri had a good run as the Angels closer in 2012 and 2013 before the wheels came off in 2014. He lost the closer's job with Los Angeles and was eventually traded to Pittsburgh. Unfortunately, he was only there a few months before more struggles led to his release.

Frieri said his 2014 struggles were because he developed bad habits. Instead of getting quicker to the plate, he was taller in his delivery, which robbed him of the deception, and caused his fastball to flatten out. The results were a 6.39 ERA with the Angels and a 10.13 ERA with the Pirates.

"(Fernando Rodney was) decent before he got here, but when he got here, wow, he got amazing,” Frieri said. “Hickey said something to him that really worked for him. Hopefully he says something to me that really works for me.”

Thus far, Frieri appears to be the ideal student.

“He seems to be extremely eager to hear what we have to say,” Hickey said. “You never know (how it will turn out), but at least it demonstrated his willingness to be open and try things.”


Report: Angels' Hamilton likely to receive suspension
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(2:05 am ET) Angels outfielder Josh Hamilton will likely be suspended for at least 25 games, according to FoxSports.com.

Hamilton met with Major League Baseball on Wednesday for a disciplinary hearing. CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman reported that Hamilton experienced a drug relapse a few months ago, and confessed that relapse to MLB. 

This is technically Hamilton's second violation as a major-leaguer. Hamilton was on the Rays 40-man roster during his first suspension, making him a major-league player. Typically, players who violate their drug treatment program for the first time are subject to a 15-25 game suspension. Given that this is Hamilton's second violation of his drug treatment program, it's unclear how severe the punishment will be.

With that said, commissioner Rob Manfred is reportedly trying to be lenient with any punishment. The league has a "favorable view of Hamilton's efforts to remain sober." Since his return to the majors, Hamilton has spoken honestly about his struggles with addition.

On top of that, Manfred is concerned about making the punishment too harsh. Hamilton's past relaspes have come when he's been away from the game. Manfred reportedly is not close to making a final decision on Hamilton's punishment at this time. 

Hamilton was already expected to miss the beginning of the season due to a shoulder surgery. It's unclear how much longer he'll be out due to a suspension.


Angels, Huston Street haven't talked extension yet
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(1:11 am ET) The Angels and closer Huston Street have not talked about an extension yet, according to MLB.com.

Both sides are reportedly interested in a deal, but Street wanted to wait a week in order to settle in to camp. Once that happens, the two sides are expected to start negotiating a new deal. Street is entering the final year of his contract, and will make $7 million in 2015.

Street, 31, posted a 1.37 ERA over 59 1/3 innings last year.


Phillies' Ryan Howard working on his swing
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12:20 am ET) Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard is working on his swing, according to the Philadelphia Inquirer

Howard has spent time working with Charlie Manuel during camp. Manuel was brought in as spring training hitting instructor. Manager Ryan Sandberg has noticed the change in Howard's approach already. "As far as making some adjustments there, to really zone in to something that can really be productive for him and a little bit more consistent," Sandberg said. "I think there has been a little tweaking going on there."

Howard apparently has looked different at the plate. His stance has been described as "looser" and his hands are much lower when he starts his swing. 

The 35-year-old hit .223/.310/.380 over 569 at-bats last year. 


 
 
 
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