Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Week 4 Pitching Forecaster

  •  

Fantasy Week 4 (April 22-28) is a pretty good week for two-start pitchers, but not neccesarily those that you can find on waivers or even on your bench.

There are no fewer than 18 pitchers due for two starts who are already active in at least 60 percent of the leagues on CBSSports.com. That number grows to just 23 for pitchers who are owned in at least 60 percent of our leagues. If you're hoping to pick up Ross Detwiler, Derek Holland or Tony Cingrani for their two-start weeks, chances are someone already has him.

The quality of the two-start pitchers who are more widely available is lacking for the most part. A few, including Patrick Corbin and Phil Hughes, are worth a claim, and one pitcher with an ownership rate below 30 percent -- Bartolo Colon -- could also help out owners in standard mixed leagues. Otherwise, your best option for the last spot in your rotation is probably a one-start pitcher.

Even with the lack of good waiver options, there are still 28 two-start pitchers on this week's top 70. Here's how those top options for standard mixed leagues stack up for the coming scoring period, along with the lowdown on several two-start options you may be considering for a variety of formats.

My Top 70 Starting Pitchers for Week 4
Rank Player Start 1 Start 2
1 Cole Hamels PIT (Locke) @NYM (Niese)
2 Felix Hernandez @HOU (Peacock) LAA (Blanton)
3 Clayton Kershaw @NYM (Niese) MIL (Gallardo)
4 David Price NYY (Hughes) @CHW (Quintana)
5 R.A. Dickey @BAL (Gonzalez) @NYY (Hughes)
6 CC Sabathia @TB (Moore) TOR (Happ)
7 Max Scherzer KC (Davis) ATL (Minor)
8 Cliff Lee PIT (McDonald) N/A
9 Justin Verlander KC (Mendoza) N/A
10 Stephen Strasburg STL (Garcia) N/A
11 Adam Wainwright @WAS (Detwiler) N/A
12 Chris Sale CLE (Kluber) N/A
13 Mat Latos CHC (Samardzija) N/A
14 Matt Cain ARI (Corbin) N/A
15 Madison Bumgarner ARI (Kennedy) N/A
16 Gio Gonzalez CIN (Arroyo) N/A
17 Jake Peavy TB (Hellickson) N/A
18 Yu Darvish @LAA (Hanson) N/A
19 Hisashi Iwakuma @HOU (Norris) LAA (Vargas)
20 Josh Johnson @NYY (Nova) N/A
21 Shelby Miller @WAS (Haren) PIT (Locke)
22 James Shields @DET (Sanchez) N/A
23 Matt Moore NYY (Sabathia) @CHW (Axelrod)
24 Yovani Gallardo @SD (Richard) @LAD (Kershaw)
25 Brandon Morrow @BAL (Britton) N/A
26 Ian Kennedy @SF (Bumgarner) N/A
27 A.J. Griffin @BOS (Doubront) BAL (Jurrjens)
28 Jordan Zimmermann CIN (Bailey) N/A
29 Matt Harvey LAD (Lilly) N/A
30 Kris Medlen @DET (Fister) N/A
31 Alexi Ogando @LAA (Vargas) @MIN (Correia)
32 Kyle Lohse @SD (Marquis) @LAD (Fife)
33 Ryan Vogelsong ARI (Miley) @SD (Richard)
34 Anibal Sanchez KC (Shields) N/A
35 Jon Lester OAK (Anderson) N/A
36 Lance Lynn PIT (Sanchez) N/A
37 Derek Holland @LAA (Blanton) @MIN (Diamond)
38 Doug Fister ATL (Medlen) N/A
39 Jeff Samardzija @CIN (Latos) N/A
40 Ross Detwiler STL (Wainwright) CIN (Cingrani)
41 Brett Anderson @BOS (Buchholz) N/A
42 Marco Estrada @SD (Volquez) N/A
43 A.J. Burnett @PHI (Pettibone) @STL (Westbrook)
44 Jonathon Niese LAD (Kershaw) PHI (Hamels)
45 Paul Maholm @DET (Porcello) N/A
46 Ryan Dempster HOU (Bedard) N/A
47 Mike Minor @COL (Francis) @DET (Scherzer)
48 Tony Cingrani CHC (Villanueva) @WAS (Detwiler)
49 Wade Miley @SF (Vogelsong) COL (Francis)
50 Roy Halladay PIT (Rodriguez) N/A
51 Justin Masterson @CHW (Axelrod) @KC (Davis)
52 Patrick Corbin @SF (Cain) COL (Garland)
53 Clay Buchholz HOU (Humber) N/A
54 Hiroki Kuroda TOR (Buehrle) N/A
55 Homer Bailey @WAS (Zimmermann) N/A
56 Tim Hudson @COL (Pomeranz) N/A
57 Hyun-Jin Ryu @NYM (Hefner) N/A
58 Jaime Garcia @WAS (Strasburg) N/A
59 Alex Cobb NYY (Pettitte) N/A
60 Phil Hughes @TB (Price) TOR (Dickey)
61 Andy Pettitte @TB (Cobb) N/A
62 C.J. Wilson @SEA (Harang) N/A
63 Wade Davis @DET (Scherzer) CLE (Masterson)
64 Jason Vargas TEX (Ogando) @SEA (Iwakuma)
65 Josh Beckett MIL (Peralta) N/A
66 Jose Fernandez @MIN (Pelfrey) N/A
67 Jason Hammel @OAK (Parker) N/A
68 Bartolo Colon @BOS (Aceves) BAL (Tillman)
69 Tim Lincecum @SD (Stults) N/A
70 Clayton Richard MIL (Gallardo) SF (Vogelsong)

Two-Start Options to Consider

Yovani Gallardo, Brewers (@SD, @LAD): After having trouble deceiving batters over his first three starts, Gallardo got 10 whiffs and six strikeouts in six innings against the Giants on Thursday, two days after being arrested for driving under the influence. With a start against a power-deprived Padres lineup and another against a Dodgers team that is struggling to score runs, Gallardo is worth using this coming week. Just be aware that there is some risk that he will lose the start to the Dodgers if the Brewers decide not to skip Hiram Burgos' spot in the rotation after Thursday's day off.
This week's rank: 24
My take: Solid standard mixed league start

Kyle Lohse, Brewers (@SD, @LAD): I keep waiting for Lohse to resume being the pitcher he was prior to 2011, but I may have to wait a little longer. He continues to throw strikes at a freakishly high rate, and ironically, the only home run he has allowed this year was at Busch Stadium, where he allowed all of eight homers last season as a Cardinal. The lack of strikeouts makes Lohse someone you can avoid in one-start weeks, but owners should get him active for these two starts.
This week's rank: 32
My take: Solid standard mixed league start

Most Added Starters (as of 4/19)
Player Name % change
1. Tony Cingrani, SP, Reds 48
2. Patrick Corbin, SP, D-Backs 36
3. Jose Quintana, SP, White Sox 31
4. Carlos Villanueva, SP, Cubs 28
5. Ross Detwiler, SP, Nationals 26
6. Wade Davis, SP, Royals 17
7. Jake Westbrook, SP, Cardinals 17
8. Bud Norris, SP, Astros 14
9. Jeremy Guthrie, SP, Royals 13
10. Zach McAllister, SP, Indians 13

Ryan Vogelsong, Giants (ARI, @SD): Vogelsong might scare some owners off, as hitters have batted .301 against him in his first three starts. However, he's been striking out batters at roughly the same pace as last season, but he's allowed a .292 batting average on grounders that is not likely of his doing. Just as he has been for the last two years, Vogelsong is a perfectly safe two-start option.
This week's rank: 33
My take: Solid standard mixed league start

Derek Holland, Rangers (@LAA, @MIN): Holland's fast start gives him the appearance of being a safe two-start pitcher, but that won't necessarily be the case all season long. His 1.64 ERA disguises the fact that he still isn't getting many grounders, as his rate is currently hovering under 40 percent. The Angels are a potential threat to Holland's Fantasy health, but they've been slow to crank up their home run power, and Holland has done a good job of avoiding homers at Angel Stadium in the past. He can be trusted this week.
This week's rank: 37
My take: Solid standard mixed league start

Ross Detwiler, Nationals (STL, CIN): Detwiler doesn't get many strikeouts, and he has probably been lucky to hold batters to a .167 average on grounders, but he keeps the ball in the park and doesn't hurt himself with walks. It's hard to see benching Detwiler in any two-start weeks for the foreseeable future.
This week's rank: 40
My take: Solid standard mixed league start

Tony Cingrani, Reds (CHC, @WAS): Though he wasn't especially efficient in his debut as a major league starter, Cingrani kept the Marlins off balance, notching eight strikeouts in his five innings. Though he could be something of a risk to your team's WHIP due to walks, Cingrani should do a good enough job avoiding hard contact or avoiding contact altogether that he can be activated for his first two-start week.
This week's rank: 48
My take: Solid standard mixed league start

Justin Masterson, Indians (@CHW, @KC): Masterson had his worst outing of the year his last time out, but even in a five-inning start, there were bright spots, as he threw strikes, avoided walks and got ground balls. Even in a disappointing 2012 campagin, Masterson went through extended periods of effectiveness, so I'm still not convinced that this recent string of encouraging starts means that Masterson is back to his 2011 form. He has shown enough, though, to be trusted in a two-start week, barring better options on reserves or waivers.
This week's rank: 51
My take: Marginal standard mixed league start

Patrick Corbin, Diamondbacks (@SF, COL): Corbin has been throwing harder this season, but we didn't see a payoff in terms of swinging strikes and strikeouts until Thursday's start at the Yankees. With the increased velocity, he has also not shown the same degree of control, but Fantasy owners can live with an extra walk or two if he can help with Ks. There is enough uncertainty around Corbin that I would consider him a risky two-start option, but in a week where quality waiver wire options are scarce and Corbin's matchups are decent, he's worth streaming into your rotation for the coming week.
This week's rank: 52
My take: Marginal standard mixed league start

Phil Hughes, Yankees (@TB, TOR): There's no getting around it; Hughes is going to give up more than his share of homers. There is only the question of whether he can keep the basepaths otherwise clear so that the long balls don't do him in. Fortunately, this week Hughes faces the Rays and Blue Jays, who own two of the three lowest team batting averages in the American League, and he will help his own cause by not issuing many walks. Even so, Hughes is far from a must-start, but he is a reasonable option for filling out the back end of your rotation.
This week's rank: 60
My take: Marginal standard mixed league start

Wade Davis, Royals (@DET, CLE): Never much of a strikeout pitcher as a starter, Davis has been a pleasant surprise, racking up 15 Ks in his 16 innings. He has also possessed sharper control than in the past. Davis is probably due for some regression in his strikeout and walk rates, but then again, he should also improve upon a 27 percent line drive rate. Even in Rotisserie leagues, where Davis doesn't get a boost from being RP-eligible, he is a useful option for standard mixed league owners with two starts.
This week's rank: 63
My take: Margnial standard mixed league start

Jason Vargas, Angels (TEX, @SEA): Vargas can normally be trusted in pitcher-friendly venues, like last season when he posted a 2.74 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his 14 starts at Safeco Field. It hasn't worked out that way so far this season, as he was hit hard in his last two starts, which were at Minnesota and at home against the A's. The lefty has to demonstrate control in order to succeed, but he's been missing the strike zone too often of late. To give up on Vargas after only three starts would be premature, so if you need to get an extra start into your rotation, Vargas is a decent gamble.
This week's rank: 64
My take: Marginal standard mixed league start

Bartolo Colon, Athletics (@BOS, BAL): If you need strikeouts, Colon is not the pitcher for you, but if you need innings and WHIP, he's your guy. Colon has not walked a batter over his last four starts, spanning 27 innings and dating back to last August 12 (yes, there was that 50-game suspension sandwiched in there). In fact, he has gone 13 straight starts without walking more than two batters. Great control isn't always enough to earn an active roster spot in a one-start week, but for Colon, it can be in a two-start week.
This week's rank: 68
My take: Marginal standard mixed league start

Clayton Richard, Padres (MIL, SF): Richard hasn't had great control so far, but he's getting ground balls and has a pair of home starts. In past years, that has been enough to make it worthwhile to start Richard, and with just two earned runs allowed over 11 innings at PETCO Park this season, it's worth getting the lefty active for the coming week. Also, he shouldn't be impacted by the park's new dimensions much, as they mainly help left-handed hitters.
This week's rank: 70
My take: Marginal standard mixed league start

J.A. Happ, Blue Jays (@BAL, @NYY): Happ got more whiffs and grounders last season, but the progress didn't show up in his results because of a .234 BABIP on flyballs that was more than 100 points above the major league norm. So he's due for a rebound and standard mixed league viability this year, right? Well, maybe not, as Happ has been wilder so far this season, and he continues to have issues with stranding runners. Especially with a couple of potentially tough matchups in hand, let's wait and see how Happ fares before trusting him in a 12-team mixed league.
This week's rank: N/A
My take: Deeper mixed league start

Jose Quintana, White Sox (CLE, TB): Back-to-back scoreless starts. Notable upticks in his strikeout and swinging strikes rates. These have made for an intriguing April for Quintana, but let's not forget his first start of the year, when he got shellacked at home by the Mariners. No American League park comes close to U.S. Cellular Field as a launching pad, and Quintana has a 4.54 career ERA there, albeit in 69 1/3 innings. A successful Week 4 would help to strengthen Quintana's resume, but for now, he is still too risky of a proposition with two home starts.
This week's rank: N/A
My take: Deeper mixed league start

Dan Haren, Nationals (STL, CIN): Unfortunately for Haren's owners, he has picked up where he left off last season, as his fastball is getting hammered over the wall with regularity. Maybe in a week where Haren wasn't facing two dangerous lineups, you could give him another chance, but there is just too much potential for disaster this time.
This week's rank: N/A
My take: Deeper mixed league start

Travis Wood, Cubs (@CIN, @MIA): Even though he is a flyball pitcher, Travis Wood has been able to avoid homers in some venues. Great American Ball Park is not among them, and as a Red, he made 13 starts and two relief appearances there. Wood should have no problem handling the Marlins, but his start in Cincinnati should be enough to deter owners in standard mixed leagues from using him.
This week's rank: N/A
My take: Deeper mixed league start

Carlos Villanueva, Cubs (@CIN, @MIA): Villanueva did show some promise as a strikeout pitcher in 16 starts last season, but a high homer rate left him with a 4.50 ERA in those outings. He's already yielded three home runs in his three starts to date this year, but he's been able to maintain a 1.29 ERA with help from a .192 BABIP. That won't last, and as with Wood, he has a strong chance of having his week ruined by the Reds.
This week's rank: N/A
My take: Deeper mixed league start

Bud Norris, Astros (SEA, @BOS): Thanks to an unsustainable .231 BABIP, Norris performed well through his first three starts, but in his last outing at Oakland, Norris' luck ran out. He is too prone to walks and homers to be trusted in mixed leagues unless he is facing weak lineups. He may be able to handle the Mariners, but the Red Sox could be real trouble for Air Bud.
This week's rank: N/A
My take: AL-only start

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Al Melchior at @almelccbs . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Mariners' Fernando Rodney allows homer, earns save Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:27 am ET) Mariners closer Fernando Rodney gave up a home run in the ninth inning Monday but was able to finish off his team's 3-2 win over the Angels for his eighth save.

Rodney retired the first batter he faced in the ninth inning but then served up a homer to center field to bring the Angels within one. After another out, the closer put a man on base with a walk, but catcher Mike Zunino was able to throw out a pinch-runner on a steal attempt to finish the game.

Rodney owns a 5.56 ERA and 11:7 K:BB ratio in 11 1/3 innings.


Athletics' Billy Butler snaps hitless skid Monday vs. Twins
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:23 am ET) Athletics designated hitter Billy Butler ended an 0-for-20 slump by hitting a single in the first inning Monday but couldn't find another hit across his final four at-bats in his team's 8-7 loss to the Twins.

"I got one, but I had other pitches to hit," Butler said after the game, per the Bay Area News Group. "It’s just not working out for me right now, you know? I got pitches from (Twins’ starter Phil) Hughes after that, pitches to hit from other guys, too."

Butler was unable to find success late against closer Glen Perkins, popping up with a man on base and his team down two.

"I got a pitch from Perkins," Butler said. "I was just swinging, and I’m not getting the results for reasons I can’t see right now."

Butler, who sported a .377 batting average and 1.023 OPS on April 22, is hitting .257/.318/.396 with three home runs and 12 RBI in 101 at-bats due to his recent struggles.


Angels' David Freese collects fifth home run Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:18 am ET) Angels third baseman David Freese went 1 for 3 with a walk and a solo home run in his team's 3-2 loss to the Mariners Monday.

Freese delivered the fifth solo homer of the game in the bottom of the ninth inning to close the gap to one run, but the Angels were unable to complete the comeback, with a pinch-runner getting caught stealing for the final out of the game. The third baseman has hit .220/.262/.420 with five home runs and 19 RBI in 100 at-bats.


Angels' Matt Joyce knocks first home run Monday vs. Mariners
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:15 am ET) Angels left fielder Matt Joyce went 1 for 3 with a walk and a solo home run in his team's 3-2 loss to the Mariners Monday.

Joyce answered a pair of solo home runs in the top of the seventh with one of his own in the bottom half of the inning. He was then pulled for a pinch-runner after drawing a two-out walk in the bottom of the ninth inning with his team down one run, but the runner was caught stealing to end the game.

Joyce has hit .148/.195/.222 with one home run and seven RBI in 81 at-bats.


Mariners' Seth Smith hits second home run Monday vs. Angels
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:11 am ET) Mariners designated hitter Seth Smith went 1 for 4 with a solo home run in his team's 3-2 win over the Angels Monday.

Smith pushed his team's lead to 3-1 with his eighth-inning home run, and the insurance run would prove vital, as the Angels slugged a solo homer of their own in the bottom of the ninth. Smith has hit .274/.329/.516 with two home runs and seven RBI in 62 at-bats.


Mariners' Logan Morrison slugs fourth home run Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:09 am ET) Mariners first baseman Logan Morrison went 1 foe 3 with a walk and a solo home run in his team's 3-2 win over the Angels Monday.

Morrison was the only Seattle player to reach more than once on a day in which his team managed just four hits and one walk but scored three runs, all on solo homers. His home run was his third in his last four games and extended his hitting streak to six games.

Morrison has hit just .222/.271/.389 with four home runs and seven RBI in 90 at-bats, but he sported a .149 batting average less than a week ago before his recent offensive success.


Giants OF Angel Pagan gets two hits in victory
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(1:05 am ET) Giants outfielder Angel Pagan went 2 for 4 from the plate during Monday night's 2-0 win against the Padres. 

Pagan hit an RBI single in the third inning, which scored Nori Aoki. He also hit a single in the first inning. Pagan now has a slash line of .350/.373/.447. 


Mariners' Nelson Cruz keeps slugging, nabs 14th homer Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:04 am ET) Mariners right fielder Nelson Cruz went 1 for 4 with a solo home run in his team's 3-2 win over the Angels Monday.

The Mariners were only able to collect four home runs Monday night; incredibly, three were solo homers, with the first coming from Cruz, the major-league home-run leader. He broke a scoreless tie with his seventh-inning shot over the left field wall. It was his fifth home run in the last six games.

Cruz has hit .340/.382/.796 with 14 home runs and 26 RBI in 103 at-bats. He'll look to keep rolling as the series against the Angels continues Tuesday.


Giants' Santiago Casilla earns save against Padres
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(1:02 am ET) Giants closer Santiago Casilla earned his eighth save of the season in Monday night's 2-0 win over the Padres. 

Casilla pitched the ninth inning, struck out one batter and held the Padres without a hit. He now has an ERA of 2.13. 


Red Sox's Allen Craig 'ready' in case Hanley Ramirez misses time
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:01 am ET) Red Sox outfielder Allen Craig could be facing an increase in playing time after Hanley Ramirez suffered a shoulder injury while crashing into an outfield wall Monday. Craig said he'll "be ready" for the challenge if needed, the Boston Herald reports.

"I enjoy playing the game as much as possible," Craig said Monday night. "Like I said before, you never want to get an opportunity because of someone’s injury, but I don’t want to jump the gun on anything. I hope Hanley’s OK. If my name’s called, I’ll be ready."

Craig replaced Ramirez in Monday's game and went 1 for 4 in his team's 5-1 loss to the Rays. He has hit .146/.222/.220 with one home run and two RBI in 41 at-bats.


 
 
 
Rankings