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Waiver Wire: Looking for some relief?

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Junichi Tazawa and Heath Bell will likely get a handful of save opportunities over the next two weeks. But the two would-be closers are couched in a set of circumstances that make them somewhat-enigmatic adds.

Tazawa has, for all intents and purposes, been named the closer for the Red Sox, beating out fellow Roster Trender Koji Uehara for end-game duties. While Tazawa has seen his ownership numbers rise by 26 percent (a number that will probably climb even more over the next couple days), it's unclear how long he will remain in the role. Joel Hanrahan has a forearm strain, which will likely sideline him for at least a month, and maybe more, depending on how complicated his return is. Andrew Bailey has a much more vague biceps injury and could be back within a week thanks to DL backdating. However, the injury could be more serious and keep him out for an extended period of time. So one has to play a very delicate guessing game with Tazawa, weighing how long he will close and exactly how effective he will be as closer against the possible downside of releasing a Marco Estrada-type in order to roster him.

Bell recorded his third save of the season Wednesday night after being tabbed the closer for now while J.J. Putz recovers from elbow soreness on the DL. While David Hernandez sports slightly better numbers than Bell, Heath has 155 career saves, with three straight 40-plus save seasons from 2009 to 2011, while pitching in the NL West.

Recently, though, Bell has been a mess: a 5.03 ERA and 1.53 WHIP since the start of the 2012 season. Anyone who saw The Franchise on Showtime last year can understand the weird mind games Bell was put through in Miami, so giving him a pass for last year is fine. And if you take away Bell's first appearance of this season -- in which he gave up three runs in 1/3 inning -- he has a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings, with 18 strikeouts and two saves (Hernandez, meanwhile, can attribute most of his 4.02 ERA to a three-run outing against San Francisco last week).

I'm not sure there's a way to rank Bell and Tazawa, based on all the moving parts, injuries, speculation, and levels of intrigue. My strategy would be to add both (while passing on Hernandez). If I had to put priority on one over the other, it would be with Bell, who just has more factors working in his favor (long-term opportunity, experience).

The Big Leaps

Dee Gordon, SS, Dodgers (39 percent ownership, up from seven percent)

Anyone who listens to our daily podcast knows that we've been singing the praises of Gordon to the point where we thought his ownership would rise to about 70 percent by Wednesday. Our predictions fell a little short. Maybe it's from worries that Gordon could plunge to 2012 depths (.228 average with 32 steals and 10 caught stealing) and be irrelevant by the time Hanley Ramirez returns. Maybe owners just need power now more than speed. Perhaps Justin Sellers' constant lurking has turned people off.

All of these are valid points, but Gordon was having a nice run in Triple-A this year (.314 average, 14 steals and only two caught stealing) while sporting a career-high OBP (.397). Despite the poor steal percentage in 2012, he still managed 32 steals in 303 at-bats, and has three already this season. He's essentially a must-add in Roto leagues, even if this is just short-term steals potential. In a best-case scenario, Gordon sticks with the team when Ramirez comes back, shifting Ramirez to third base.

Over/under on steals (season): 39
Over/under on average (season): .285
Over/under on home runs (season): 1.5

Hector Santiago, RP, White Sox (32 percent, up from 28)

After a seven-inning, four-hit, eight-strikeout shutout performance on Tuesday against the Mets, Santiago pretty much announced his presence to the Fantasy world. He now has a 1.69 ERA and 0.98 WHIP on the season, with 14 strikeouts in the last two games.

Most Added Players (as of 5/8)
Player Name % change
1. Hector Santiago, RP, White Sox 35
2. Dee Gordon, SS, Dodgers 33
3. Junichi Tazawa, RP, Red Sox 26
4. Kevin Slowey, SP, Marlins 24
5. Ryan Raburn, OF, Indians 24
6. Marcell Ozuna, OF, Marlins 24
7. Heath Bell, RP, D-Backs 22
8. Justin Grimm, SP, Rangers 20
9. Kyle Kendrick, SP, Phillies 19
10. Jeremy Guthrie, SP, Royals 19

How could we have seen this coming? Well, Santiago quietly put together a stellar end to his 2012 season, with a 1.96 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 23 innings over his final seven appearances, four of which were starts. In those four starts last year, Santiago had a 1.86 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, with a 12.1 K/9. Making the feat even more impressive was Santiago's short three-start run in the minors last year, when he pitched 14 2/3 shutout innings. Additionally, when used exclusively as a starter in 2011 (High-A and Double-A), Santiago had a 3.60 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and 8.3 K/9 over 127 1/3 innings. It's not an overpowering line, but the ERA and WHIP were the lowest of any season with more than 35 innings pitched for him in the minors.

There's a very good chance that what we're seeing from Santiago is legitimate. He showed the skill in the minors and now has a decent track record in the majors as a starter, as well. For players in Head-to-Head leagues, Santiago is even more valuable, as he will stay in the rotation while retaining RP eligibility.

Over/under on ERA (season): 3.50
Over/under on K/9 (season): 8.5
Over/under on his ownership by May 31: 87 percent

Unadvised Drop of the Week

Shaun Marcum, SP, Mets (53 percent, down from 45 percent)

Marcum has a career 3.80 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, with a K/9 of 7.3. So far this season, Marcum has been bad -- a 7.20 ERA and 2.10 WHIP in two starts (and an appearance in extra innings at the end of April). With the rather ugly start, Marcum is getting dropped in a lot of leagues. But there is plenty of hope for him to turn things around.

Marcum has a pretty long history of success, including a WHIP that is low for his career ERA. He struggled with nerve inflammation in his neck this spring, got a cortisone injection in his shoulder before that, and is coming off a truncated 2012 thanks to an elbow injury. In short, Marcum probably still isn't 100 percent just yet, but will be getting closer to that with every game. This makes him more of an add than a drop, as he steadily improves the deeper into the season he gets..

Over/under on starts (season): 25
Over/under on ERA (season): 3.70

The Flavors of Next Week

Justin Ruggiano, OF, Marlins (37 percent, up from 29)

Fantasy owners have every right to be skeptical about Ruggiano's prospects for 2013: he really only has one half of a good season under his belt in a five-year career. He has fewer than 600 career at-bats. He's 31 years old. And the Marlins lineup that Ruggiano is holding together was considered a wasteland before Giancarlo Stanton went down.

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But I am on the opposite end of the Ruggiano spectrum, owning him in nearly every one of my leagues. Ruggiano was given regular at-bats for the first time in his career last year, and that translated to a .313 average, with 13 home runs, 14 steals, 23 doubles, and a .909 OPS over 288 at-bats. In nine minor league seasons, Ruggiano stole 20 or more bases five times, and hit 15 or more home runs four times, despite getting over 450 at-bats twice, and playing a majority of those games (476) in the pitcher-friendly International League.

While Ruggiano is hitting just .230 this season, he already has six home runs and five steals. And he's hitting .265 with three of those home runs and two of those steals in his last 34 at-bats. Keep in mind that Ruggiano was sidelined for a good chunk of spring training with back issues and started the season getting himself into a groove. It's not going to be fun without Stanton in the lineup for another few weeks, at least, but things aren't as grim as the situation has been made out to be in Miami. The team does have some sly power bats in the lineup (Marcell Ozuna is developing; Miguel Olivo, Rob Brantly, Greg Dobbs and Matt Diaz aren't typical power bats, but do have some punch) and table-setters who can hit ahead of Ruggiano and get on base for potential RBI opportunities (Juan Pierre and Placido Polanco). Things aren't exactly working in Ruggiano's favor, but he has managed to put together some nice numbers already and put himself on pace for a run at a 20/20 season. For that, he deserves an ownership percentage higher than 37 percent.

Over/under on average (season): .265
Over/under on home runs (season): 20
Over/under on steals (season): 25

Stephen Drew, SS, Red Sox (31 percent ownership)

Fenway Park has worked its magic on a number of players recently, from Mark Bellhorn to Bill Mueller to Cody Ross. Stephen Drew, hitting .409 with two home runs and a 1.167 OPS in the month of May, looks to be next in line.

Drew didn't play his first game for Boston until April 11, after being hit in the head with a pitch March 7 and being put on the DL with concussion symptoms. After struggling to find a rhythm early, Drew has pretty much turned it on for the Red Sox, with hits in eight of his last 11 games. Buried in that .230 average is a player who is heating up at a position that is perennially thin for Fantasy owners.

Drew, a former first-round pick, has shown some skill in the past, with 21 home runs and a .291 average in 2008, and a run of four seasons with 12 or more home runs from 2007 to 2010, averaging seven steals per season, as well. But the key here is the transformative power of Fenway Park, with the Green Monster providing a nice target for a hitter like Drew, who has a career-high of 44 doubles.

Over/under on home runs (season): 19
Over/under on average (season): .265

American League-only fun

J.D. Martinez, OF, Astros (Four percent ownership)

Martinez has had an odd 2013 so far, being optioned to Triple-A out of spring training, brought back, going on a bit of a run (two home runs in nine games), getting injured, and then returning from injury on Tuesday to a team that DFA'd two of his fellow outfielders.

This leaves Martinez, through all of the tumult, in a pretty good spot. Martinez has a stellar minor league track record, with a .333 average and .928 OPS in 1,228 at-bats. In each of his three minor-league seasons prior to 2012, Martinez reached double-digits in homers despite going over 350 at-bats just once. I'm not even relying on him for the power -- if he hits over eight home runs on the season, I'd consider that house money -- I'm adding Martinez in all my leagues for the batting average and everyday at-bats he'll be getting. Owned in four percent of leagues, it's only a matter of time until Martinez heats up and gets some much-deserved attention from Fantasy owners.

Over/under on batting average (season): .285
Over/under on home runs (season): 11

National League-only fun

Jordan Walden, RP, Braves (21 percent)

With Craig Kimbrel in a bit of a funk right now -- he has a 9.64 ERA in his last five appearances, giving up three home runs in his last 4 2/3 innings -- it might be a good idea to start poking around at possible replacements. We've seen enough outright domination from Kimbrel in the last three years to know that this isn't par for the course. In 160 1/3 career innings before 2013, Kimbrel has given up more than one earned run in an appearance just six times. And he has given up runs in back-to-back outings just four times (a three-game span in 2012 and three instances in 2011). Kimbrel has been so good that his ERA has only been higher than its current state (3.38) at any point in any season once before -- on May 15, 2010, three games into his MLB career.

I'm not suggesting Kimbrel is hurt, but he did have a little hiccup at the end of spring training with his mechanics having to be slightly tweaked, and he finished the spring with a 5.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. There was some hubbub about his velocity being down this spring, but he's been back up to his normal levels this season.

The other end of this supposition is that Walden would take over as the closer if something happens with Kimbrel. My guess is that Walden, who has 34 career saves and was great closing for the Angels in 2011 (2.98 ERA, 32 saves) would get the nod over Eric O'Flaherty, who has far better ratios, but may end up like a Joel Peralta type, having more value in those eighth-inning situations. With the lofty expectations of the Braves this year, the team may opt to go with the experience over the numbers. And this is all a scenario that may never play out, as chances are Kimbrel is fine and just going through a rough patch.

Still, it's never a bad idea to at least be prepared for a worst-case scenario, especially with all the closer shenanigans this season.

Over/under on saves (season): Four
Over/under on ERA (season): 3.10

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Showalter: Machado appears more likely for O's opener than Wieters
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(11:38 am ET) Orioles manager Buck Showalter conveyed third baseman Manny Machado has a better chance of being ready for the Orioles season opener than catcher Matt Wieters, according to CSNBaltimore.com. 

Machado had right knee surgery in August and Wieters underwent Tommy John surgery in June.

"With both of these guys, it will be when and not if. I think if you held a gun up to my head, I think Manny makes the start of the year, and I think Matt is very close thereafter, but we won’t put either one of these guys on the field until it’s time to go, and try to keep the finish line in mind," Showalter said.


Report: Rockies considering Kendrick as back-of-the-rotation arm
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(9:28 am ET) The Rockies are looking at free agent Kyle Kendrick as a potential back-of-the-rotation arm, according to ESPN. Kendrick is 1-1 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in seven career outings (six starts) at Coors Field.

Rangers' Daniels: Ryan Rua 'in a good position' to make roster
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(8:57 am ET) Ryan Rua received his first stint in the majors late last season and made such a strong impression in such a short period of time that the Rangers are looking to him to potentially be the starting left fielder in 2015, per MLB.com.

"He's in a spot where he if continues progressing at the rate he has, then I would expect that he's in a good position to make our club and get at-bats," general manager Jon Daniels said. "It's not going to be handed to him, but he has a strong chance to earn that spot."

The 24-year-old Rua hit .295 with two home runs, seven doubles and 14 RBI in 28 games with the Rangers in 2014. He had a .285/.365/.489/.854 slash line in 382 minor-league games before his promotion to the majors.

"He's not a guy that was off the radar screen and only produced for a month," Daniels said. "He's always hit from Day 1, and is an extremely hard worker that I think is going to have a good big league career."


Hart: Braves expecting Markakis to be 'full go' in spring training
by Michael Hurcomb | CBSSports.com
(8:29 am ET) Braves outfielder Nick Markakis underwent fusion surgery to repair a herniated disk in his neck Wednesday, per MLB.com. The team expects Markakis to resume baseball activities before the start of spring training. 

"We talked to (Dr.) Steve Wray after the surgery and he said it really went well," Braves president of baseball operations John Hart said. "He said [the procedure] really went well, and he thinks that this guy will be ready to go full go in spring training. The only thing is that there will be a little bit of a disruption for his normal routine getting ready for spring training."

Markakis is expected to be cleared for physical activities within the next month, and the hope is he will be fully cleared within six weeks. Markakis agreed to a four-year, $44 million deal with the Braves in early December.


Three teams showing interest in Norichika Aoki
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Orioles, Reds and Mariners are among the teams looking at outfielder Norichika Aoki, according to CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman.

The 32-year-old Aoki hit .285/.349/.360 over 491 at-bats last year. With the Royals signing Alex Rios earlier in the week, Aoki will likely have to move on with a different club. 


Report: Athletics release Jorge De Leon
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Athletics have released pitcher Jorge De Leon, according to SB Nation.

De Leon was designated for assignment by the club last week, and the team couldn't find a way to deal him. De Leon appeared in eight games last season, posting a 4.91 ERA over 7 1/3 innings. 


Report: Padres' Seth Smith popping up in trade talks
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) Padres outfielder Seth Smith has come up in trade talks recently, according to ESPN.

If the Matt Kemp and Wil Myers trades go through, the team would have a surplus in the outfield. On top of those two players, San Diego would also have Carlos Quentin, Will Venable, Cameron Maybin and Smith. The 32-year-old Smith hit .266/.367/.440 over 443 at-bats last year. 


D-Backs, David Hernandez avoid arbitration
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Diamondbacks have reached an agreement with David Hernandez on a contract, according to the azcentral.com.

Hernandez was eligible for arbitration, but settled on a $2 million salary figure for next season. The 29-year-old posted a missed all of last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery.


Report: Three teams showing interest in Jake Peavy
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Marlins, Braves and Giants are showing interest in pitcher Jake Peavy, according to FoxSports.com.

The 33-year-old Peavy is coming off a season in which he posted a 3.73 ERA over 202 2/3 innings. Peavy had some issues in Boston, posting a 4.72 ERA to start the season, but settled in once he joined the Giants. With San Francisco, Peavy had a 2.17 ERA over 78 2/3 innings. The Marlins interest in Peavy is dependent on whether Dan Haren decides to pitch. If Haren comes back, the team would not have interest in Peavy.


Padres, Rays and Nationals on the verge of three-team deal
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12/17/2014) The Nationals, Padres and Rays are on the verge of a three-team deal, which would send outfielder Wil Myers to San Diego, according to CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman. 

Heyman has confirmed the multiple media reports outlining the full details of the trade. The Padres are set to receive Myers, catcher Ryan Hanigan, pitcher Gerardo Reyes and pitcher Jose Castillo from the Rays.

The Rays are getting two players from the Nationals -- outfielder Steven Souza and pitcher Travis Ott -- and three players from the Padres -- catcher Rene Rivera, first baseman Jake Bauers and pitcher Burch Smith.

The Nationals are getting pitcher Joe Ross from the Padres, as well as a player to be named later, which will be shortstop prospect Trea Turner. Because Turner was a 2014 draft pick, he can't be traded until June.


 
 
 
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