Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
Play Fantasy The Most Award Winning Fantasy game with real time scoring, top expert analysis, custom settings, and more. Play Now
      
Fantasy Football Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Waiver Wire: How is Colon doing this?

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

In a season full of hot rookie fill-in enigmas (so many that it has created its own category), there may not be a bigger one than Yasiel Puig. Tony Cingrani was great in his short stint, but he pitched every five days and was added to a team that was already playing pretty well. Jurickson Profar has been stellar so far, but he's probably looking at the upside of an Elvis Andrus.

Puig, meanwhile, has become the would-be savior for a moribund Dodgers team. An energetic player with a big bat and power arm, drawing comparisons to both Bo Jackson and Mike Trout. Puig is an easy-to-root-for rookie who stands in stark contrast to the underperforming outfield trio of Carl Crawford, Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp. Through his first two games, Puig delivered two home runs and an OPS of 2.125. He was more than what was advertised and the team has won both games in which he's played. He failed to record a hit in four at-bats in his third game Wednesday.

However, the fact remains that when Crawford and Kemp return from injury, there will be no room for Puig in the outfield. In fact, the most realistic scenario of keeping Puig on the major league roster involves the Dodgers eating $40 million of Ethier's contract in a fully hypothetical trade, a move that seems like a no-brainer to some Puig rooters.

We could go through the same exercise we did with Profar and Cingrani to map out the "How can he stay up?" scenarios (he must play well, someone has to get hurt, etc.), but it's essentially a waste of time. Puig will probably be owned in 100 percent of leagues a week from now, and he should be started as long as he's up. In a Puig update earlier this week, I wrote that I wouldn't drop Brett Gardner for him. I should have qualified that with, "in a deeper league." If I'm playing in a 12-team standard Head-to-Head Points league, I make that move. But in a 12-team Roto league with five outfielders, I'm holding onto my Gardner (while finding a lesser player -- probably a lower-end pitcher -- to drop for Puig). Even if he's sent back down to the minors because of a roster squeeze, Puig's worth an add and a start for as long as he's on the major league roster.I'd just rather be in the position of hoping for a long-term solution instead of depending on it.

The Big Leaps

Anthony Rendon, 3B, Nationals (42 percent ownership, up from 22 percent)

Speaking of Cingrani, Profar and Puig, meet Anthony Rendon, the billionth talented youngster to get a call to the majors as an injury replacement with no particular place to go once the injured player comes back -- earlier this season it was Ryan Zimmerman, this time it's Danny Espinosa.

Rendon has the advantage of Espinosa being out a little longer (we're guessing) than the players who opened up spots for Cingrani, Profar and Puig -- Espinosa started the year with a tear in his shoulder and currently is out with a broken wrist. It's incredible that he was trying to play through both of those injuries, but the end result was an ugly line for Espinosa and a door swinging open for Rendon. And for Fantasy players wondering if Espinosa will just rest for a couple weeks and then return, I give you this quote from GM Mike Rizzo, via the Washington Post :

"We thought it was a prudent thing to get [Espinosa] healthy and see where he's at, and see if he can help us later on in the season."

The use of "later on" is a bit ominous. Rizzo also suggested Espinosa could return to a minor-league role when healthy, to work on his timing and rhythm. This leaves Rendon with a pretty wide-open future with the team, as opposed to his first go-round, when Davey Johnson reminded everyone more than once that it was just a fill-in role while Zimmerman was out.

Rendon's main contribution will probably come from his batting average. He has some power, but not a lot of speed. In the Washington lineup, he should score plenty of runs while getting the chance to drive in a bunch. And with regular at-bats at second base, Rendon should get eligibility there by early next week at the latest. While he shares future eligibility (2B, 3B) with fellow rookie Jedd Gyorko, I think Rendon is better compared to someone like Neil Walker -- some power potential and a good bet to hit for average.

Over/under on at-bats (season): 310
Over/under on average (season): .278
Over/under on home runs (season): Nine

Bartolo Colon, SP, Athletics (68 percent, up from 47)

Bartolo Colon is 40 years old, served a 50-game PED suspension in 2012, has given up three earned runs in his last 30 innings and somehow holds a 3.14 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, with a league-leading two shutouts and two complete games through 12 starts. Colon is owned in 69 percent of leagues and is in line for two starts in Fantasy Week 11 (also known as "next week" for those who have retained any semblance of normalcy). His propensity for complete games has jacked up his Fantasy point totals and will probably bring his ownership up to 80-85 percent by the time Monday rolls around.

And yet I cannot bring myself to add him in any leagues. I've tried to justify it with advanced metrics, but there's not much there to back up a guaranteed regression: Colon's walks are way down, his BABIP is within the +/- of his career level, his strand rate is just slightly above normal, his xFIP is great, his ground ball rate is pretty much the same ... blah blah blah. He did start out strong last year, but eventually got hammered in May (that didn't happen this season) while managing to produce a 2.63 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in the second half of the year before being suspended. In short, there is nothing in the advanced metrics telling you to avoid Colon.

However, Colon is 40 years old. And I'm guessing he's off whatever substance triggered the positive test last year, so the grind of the season may eventually catch up to him. We've seen Colon falter before, with his career ERA a bit above 4.00, and the last time he managed 200 innings was in 2005. I'm not picking him up. I think there's a bottom about to come out here -- I just can't prove it with the numbers. I will be fine with following my instinct on this one and leaving Colon on the wire, but can't argue with anyone who may want to point at his peripherals and disagree (and then, as is tradition, say that they wish they played in a league with me and that it's a joke I have a job in Fantasy). Sure, Colon could be experiencing a late-career boost, but there isn't much in the history of the game that backs up a 40-year-old producing the best ERA of his 16-year career. I wish I had more than a Han Solo-esque bad feeling and a subjective history of baseball to back up my argument, but the fact is that he's old, he's off performance enhancers and he's probably going to hit a wall soon.

Over/under on ERA (season): 3.99
Over/under on wins (season): 13

Unadvised Drop of the Week

David Phelps, RP, Yankees (46 percent, down from 55 percent)

David Phelps' June 4 start against the Indians, in which he allowed no runs on one hit over six innings, may be enough to send people back to the wire to grab their recently dropped pitcher. Most of the dropping likely came from his previous start against the Mets, when Phelps -- who was hit in the arm with a batted ball in his May 24 start -- gave up four earned runs in one-third of an inning, getting pulled from the game before the second out of the first inning.

Most Added Players (as of 6/6)
Player % change
1. Yasiel Puig, OF, Dodgers 48
2. Matt Joyce, OF, Rays 29
3. Anthony Rendon, 3B, Nationals 26
4. Michael Wacha, SP, Cardinals 23
5. Tyler Skaggs, SP, Diamondbacks 23
6. Luke Gregerson, RP, Padres 23
7. Bartolo Colon, SP, Athletics 22
8. Tyler Chatwood, SP, Rockies 22
9. Eric Stults, SP, Padres 21
10. Marcell Ozuna, OF, Marlins 19

With a 4.15 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the season, Phelps looks pretty non-descript on paper. But he has potential to be a very good, if not great, starter. Phelps has started seven games this year. One was the disaster against the Mets and one was him basically getting stretched out. But even if you include the Mets start (and eliminate the stretch out start), Phelps has a 3.21 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, with 30 strikeouts in 33 2/3 innings.

Hisashi Iwakuma may be the best pitcher to bring into an argument for adding Phelps. Both were starters for most of their careers. Phelps made 91 minor league appearances in five seasons, 90 were starts; Iwakuma worked mainly as a starter in Japan -- in his final seven seasons there, all 146 of Iwakuma's appearances were starts. Last season, both pitchers initially worked out of the bullpen and put up relatively non-descript numbers. But after two stretch-out starts, Iwakuma finished the year with a 2.22 ERA in 14 starts. Phelps bounced back and forth from the rotation to the bullpen, never getting into any kind of starting groove, but did show flashes of potential.

This season, given the chance to begin the year as a starter, Iwakuma has been stellar, elevating himself to ace-like level. Phelps, once again converted to a starter in-season, has been great, as well. I'm not going to gloss over the fact that Iwakuma may simply be a better pitcher than Phelps, but I think there's something to be said for a pitcher being comfortable in a certain role, and Phelps being able to excel as a starter going forward.

Over/under on ERA (season): 3.45
Over/under on strikeouts (season): 125

The Flavor of Next Week

Jacob Turner, SP, Marlins (13 percent ownership)

The case for adding Marlins starter Jacob Turner is pretty simple: as a Marlin, the 22-year-old top prospect has a 2.75 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. In two very quiet starts this season, Turner has a 0.69 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. While he had put up decent minor league numbers in the past, Turner had a 4.47 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in the hitter-friendly PCL this season, a line that was helped along by Turner serving up seven home runs in 10 starts. Put him in Miami's large park, though (or even Philadelphia's small one, after Wednesday's strong performance against the Phillies) and things could start to go his way.

Turner won't get your team a lot of strikeouts, and you can't really depend on too many wins as a member of the Marlins, but with much of the rotation banged up, and Turner one of the team's top prospects, you could see him sticking around all season and forming a surprisingly potent 1-2 punch with Jose Fernandez.

Additionally, Tuner is lined up for two starts in Week 11 -- at home against the Brewers and Cardinals. After two very good starts this season, coupled with his lofty status as the ninth overall pick in the 2009 draft, Turner should see his ownership shoot up and could follow that up with two solid performances in his spacious home park.

Over/under on ERA (season): 4.15
Over/under on WHIP (season): 1.27

AL-only fun

Lonnie Chisenhall, 3B, Indians (13 percent ownership)

After struggling through his first 26 games this season, Indians third baseman Lonnie Chisenhall was sent down to the minors, with vague promises that once he figured out his swing, he would be brought back up. After 17 games in Triple-A, Chisenhall looks ready to return.

Over 68 at-bats with the Columbus Clippers, Chisenhall is hitting .382, with six home runs, three doubles and a 1.190 OPS. Making the feat more impressive is the fact that the International League is considered pitcher-friendly, so Chisenhall's feats shouldn't be taken with a grain of salt. And in five previous minor league seasons, Chisenhall has shown some nice power and average potential, with plenty of doubles and a decent K:BB ratio.

There's a bit of a mini-opening in Cleveland right now, with Asdrubal Cabrera injured. If Cabrera is out for a while, the Indians have enough moving parts to allow for Chisenhall to come back up and play third, Mark Reynolds to move to DH, Nick Swisher to play first and the outfield to remain Stubbs, Bourn and Brantley.

Over/under on home runs (season): 14
Over/under on average (season): .280

NL-only fun

Roy Oswalt, SP, Rockies (6 percent ownership)

Through three games with Double-A Tulsa, Roy Oswalt has a 3.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and a 7.0 K/9. At 35 years old, Oswalt doesn't have a lot more to prove -- he has a 3.28 career ERA and 1.20 WHIP. But after an ugly run with the Rangers last year (5.80 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 59 innings), Oswalt signed a minor league deal with the Rockies and decided to give things another go.

Prior to the mess that was 2012, Oswalt had just one season with an ERA over 3.69 in a 12-year career. He's pitched a total of 36 innings in Coors, going 4-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. And he should be ready to join the Rockies by the end of the month. I doubt Colorado would try to slot Oswalt into a relief role, lest they prepare themselves for results similar to those he produced for the Rangers last season. Maybe somebody gets hurt, perhaps Tyler Chatwood's injury turns out to be more serious than the team is letting on, or Jon Garland keeps his 5.00-plus ERA up. If an NL-only owner is looking for some starting pitching help down the road (my guess is Drew Pomeranz has the first crack at an opening in the Colorado rotation), now might be the time to start considering Oswalt, as he quietly tiptoed back into the picture without much fanfare, but could start gaining attention as he draws closer to starting with the Rockies

Over/under on ERA (season): 3.95
Over/under on starts (season): 12

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Nando Di Fino at @NandoCBS . You can also send our staff an e-mail at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

Want an edge in your draft? Download the Fantasy Draft Kit App.

  •  
 
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Clayton Kershaw goes eight strong for win No. 15
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:10 am ET) Dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershaw had a no-hitter going against the Padres until the sixth inning. The ace surrendered his first hit to opposing starter Tyson Ross.

Kershaw went eight innings strong for the win at home on Thursday, improving to 15-3 on the year. The southpaw permitted one run on three hits and two walks while striking out 10 in a 2-1 victory. Of his 103 pitches, 69 were strikes. He improved to 15-3 on the year, matching Johnny Cueto, Wily Peralta and Adam Wainwright for the major-league lead in victories. 

Over his last three starts covering 25 innings, Kershaw has allowed five earned runs. He has gone eight-plus innings in seven of his last nine starts. He owns a 1.82 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over 21 starts (153 1/3 innings). He will make his next start Wednesday at Arizona.

Kenley Jansen slams door shut on Padres
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:07 am ET) Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen struck out two and worked past a walk in a scoreless ninth inning for the save Thursday night at home against the Padres. Jansen has converted 36 of 40 save chances, with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 52 1/3 innings of relief.

Tyson Ross goes the distance in losing effort
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:59 am ET) Padres pitcher Tyson Ross tossed a complete game but took a tough-luck loss to the Dodgers Thursday night, dropping to 11-12 on the season. The right-hander permitted two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out eight over eight innings of a 2-1 defeat.

Ross is 0-4 with a 2.67 ERA and 29 strikeouts over 27 innings pitched against the Dodgers this season. The offense has only backed him with two runs over that span. He'll look to bounced Tuesday at home against Milwaukee.

Travis Wood suffers 11th loss of the season
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:53 am ET) Cubs pitcher Travis Wood took the loss Thursday night at home against the Giants, dropping to 7-11 on the season. The left-hander permitted four runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out six over six innings of a 5-3 defeat.

Over his last two starts covering 11 1/3 innings, Wood has allowed seven earned runs. He owns a 4.91 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 26 starts (150 1/3 innings). He will look to bounce back Wednesday in Cincinnati.

Jason Heyward scores two runs Thursday
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12:50 am ET) Braves outfielder Jason Heyward scored two runs Thursday against the Reds.

Heyward singled twice during the game. He would come around to score in the third inning on a Justin Upton hit, and again in the fifth inning on a sacrifice fly. Heyward finished 2 for 4, with two runs scored and one RBI. 


Santiago Casilla closes out Cubs
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:47 am ET) Giants reliever Santiago Casilla struck out two and worked past a hit for the save Thursday night against the Cubs. He needed only 15 pitches to complete a scoreless inning. He has converted 11 of 14 save chances, with a 1.59 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 45 1/3 innings of relief.

Madison Bumgarner fans season-high 12 in win over Cubs
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:45 am ET) Giants starter Madison Bumgarner twirled a gem Thursday night against the Cubs, striking out a season-high 12 for the win, improving to 14-9 on the season. The left-hander pitched seven strong innings and allowed three runs on seven hits and one walk. Of his 116 pitches, 79 were strikes.

Bumgarner has struck out nine-plus in three of his last four starts. Over that span covering 22 innings, he has allowed seven earned runs. He owns a 3.17 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 27 starts (176 innings). His next start will come Tuesday at home against Colorado.

Buster Posey shrugs off injury concern with four-hit game
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(12:39 am ET) Giants catcher Buster Posey shrugged off any injury concerns, reaching base five times Thursday night at Wrigley Field against the Cubs.

Posey doubled in the third, homered in the fifth, singled in the seventh and doubled again in the ninth. He finished the game 4 for 4 with a walk, two runs scored and an RBI in a 5-3 victory.He is hitting .284/.345/.438 with 14 homers and 59 RBI over 425 at-bats.

Derek Holland could start Tuesday
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12:26 am ET) Rangers pitcher Derek Holland could make his first start of the season Thursday against the Mariners, according to the Dallas Morning News

Holland was able to go 87 pitches during his most recent rehab start. Following the game, he declared himself ready to pitch in the majors. The club will need a fifth starter Tuesday with Yu Darvish sidelined. Holland is being considered for that start. 

Holland has been sidelined the entire season after having offseason surgery on his knee. 


Justin Upton drives in three
by Chris Cwik | CBSSports.com
(12:03 am ET) Braves outfielder Justin Upton drove in three runs Thursday against the Reds.

Upton singled in two runs in the third inning, and drove in another on a sac fly. He finished 2 for 3, with one run scored and three RBI. Upton also walked during the contest. 


 
 
 
Rankings