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Down on the Farm: Under the radar

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Usually, for this top portion of Down on the Farm, I focus on the big boys -- the prospects most likely to matter in Fantasy from the moment they set foot in the big leagues. You know, the Taijuan Walkers and George Springers of the world.

But in the meantime, plenty of little guys arrive to significantly less fanfare. More often than you'd think, those little guys become big boys. It's not the most likely scenario, but it's common enough that they shouldn't go ignored.

So instead of looking at what's next in line, let's take this opportunity to play catch-up, examining a few of the recent call-ups worth monitoring in Fantasy even though they didn't prompt a mad dash to the waiver wire.

Keep in mind "little guys" is a relative term. These players are all still prospects on some level -- they got to the majors, after all -- and chances are most dynasty league owners have already heard of them.

But considering most are owned in less than 15 percent of leagues, they're going overlooked even in some of those formats.

Cody Asche, 3B, Phillies

One thing Asche has going for him is regular playing time. With Ryan Howard potentially out for the season and Darin Ruf now entrenched in right field, first base is wide open for at-bats leach Michael Young, leaving no one but Asche to play third. Unfortunately, with superior prospect Maikel Franco just a couple levels behind him, it's an opportunity he'll have to seize right away, and I'm just not sure he has it in him. His minor-numbers were ... OK, but he wasn't exactly pacing the home run leaders, and his poor plate discipline makes his solid batting average no certainty to translate. If he ends up being another Trevor Plouffe, which is my guess at this early stage of his career, he won't be long for the starting lineup. I wouldn't bother with him outside of NL-only leagues.

Wilmer Flores, 3B, Mets

Flores has his share of skeptics who believe his .321 batting average, 15 homers and 36 doubles at Triple-A this year were more a product of the heavy-hitting Pacific Coast League than anything else. But his emergence as a .300 hitter with pop actually came last year, in more neutral environments at Class A and Double-A. He was dreadful before then, but he was also a teenager whose potential was evident even to the scouts who grew impatient with him. Considering he never struck out even 80 times in a minor-league season, I buy him being a good source of batting average and suspect he'll deliver at least a dozen homers per year. The question is where he'll play. He doesn't profile at first base, has proven less-than-satisfactory up the middle and, at least with the Mets, doesn't have a future at third base.

Scooter Gennett, 2B, Brewers

Gennett might be the most perplexing of all the prospects to arrive this year. In fact, just calling him a prospect is generous, judging by his minor-league numbers. OK, so he hit .300 in the lower levels, but with minimal pop and even less on-base ability. Yet there Baseball America lists him, eighth in the Brewers system, touting his offensive potential and declaring him an eventual replacement for Rickie Weeks. Look, they know more than I do, so if they see something beyond the .745 OPS he compiled over four minor-league seasons, I'll certainly hear them out. Martin Prado compiled a .743 OPS over his minor-league career, and clearly, he turned out fine. Weeks' season-ending hamstring injury will give us a good, long look at Gennett over the final seven weeks, so though he doesn't excite me now, I could see how he might at season's end.
Most Added Relievers (as of 8/15)
Player % owned
1. Xander Bogaerts, SS, Red Sox 43
2. Tommy Milone, SP, Athletics 41
3. Tom Wilhelmsen, RP, Mariners 41
4. Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals 39
5. Michael Pineda, SP, Yankees 39
6. Billy Hamilton, SS, Reds 32
7. Taijuan Walker, SP, Mariners 30
8. Travis d'Arnaud, C, Mets 30
9. Tommy Hanson, SP, Angels 23
10. Tyler Skaggs, SP, Indians 22

Matt Davidson, 3B, Diamondbacks

Really, another third baseman? Haven't we had enough turnover at the position over the last two years, with Brett Lawrie, Mike Moustakas, Todd Frazier, Will Middlebrooks, Josh Donaldson, Manny Machado, Nolan Arenado and on and on and on? Look, another can't hurt, especially since so many of that group, at least to this point, haven't panned out. Among this group, Davidson is one of the safer bets, though right now, he doesn't have the same claim to at-bats that Cody Asche and Wilmer Flores do. He'll play some with Cody Ross on the DL, but the Diamondbacks don't need to move Martin Prado off third base to fill out their outfield. And in the heat of a pennant race, manager Kirk Gibson doesn't seem too thrilled with the idea of breaking in a youngster. Davidson didn't put up obscene power numbers over his minor-league career but could eventually develop into a steady .270-hitting, 30-homer type.

Andrew Lambo, OF, Pirates

As prospects go, Lambo is the ultimate wild card. OK, so Evan Gattis was the ultimate wild card, but Lambo is of the same ilk. He was once so highly regarded that Baseball America ranked him 49th among all prospects, but that was back in 2009. Since then, he's battled substance abuse and a wrist injury, putting up mostly uninspiring numbers in between. To say he's come back strong this year would be an understatement. At the time of his promotion Monday, he was tied for the minor-league lead in homers with 31 in only 436 at-bats. And no, he wasn't playing in the Pacific Coast League. At age 25, Lambo is at a sink-or-swim stage of his career. He might not get too many opportunities after this one, and a slow start could bury him on the Pirates' bench. But if they're patient with him, I like his chances. The talent was always there.
Five on the Farm ... by Michael Hurcomb (@CBSHurc), CBSSports.com

It's time to take a trip down memory lane. Though, if you are a Phillies' fan, this could be painful.

Let's go back to the spring of 2011, when the Phillies entered the season with such promise and had a pretty healthy farm system, especially when it came to elite pitching prospects. If you recall, the Phillies had a quartet of starting pitcher prospects dubbed the "Baby Aces."

They were Brody Colvin, Jarred Cosart, Trevor May and Jesse Biddle. Once considered the potential replacements or rotation complements for the likes of Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Roy Oswalt and Cole Hamels, the "Baby Aces" are more like the "Baby Ace" nowadays.

Cosart and May are no longer in the system, and while Biddle is still on track to help the Phillies down the road, the same can't be said for Colvin, who was considered the team's top pitching prospect in 2011.

Although Colvin came with some off-the-field baggage, the scouts loved his live arm and felt he had the most upside of all the "Baby Aces." Sadly, Colvin seems the farthest away from maxing out his potential.

The 6-3, 195-pound right-hander has struggled with consistency and fastball command. His long-arm-circle delivery results in an inconsistent release point, which Colvin hasn't been able to overcome. He's walking a career-high 6.0 batters per nine innings in 2013 and 4.0 batters per nine innings in his career.

Colvin has spent the last two seasons bouncing between the rotation and bullpen, as the Phillies have tried to settle him down and get his promising career back on track. But on top of a career-worst 6.46 ERA this season, Colvin has walked more batters (47) than he's struck out (32), and his career might have reached the point of no return.

The former top 100 prospect isn't the first and won't be the last player to fail to live up to expectations. This week's Five on the Farm highlights a few other prospects whose struggles are impacting their long-term Fantasy keeper appeal.

Gary Brown, OF, Giants
Affiliate:Triple-A Fresno
2013 stats:.228/.286/.384/.670, six triples, 12 home runs, 26 doubles, 46 RBI, 70 runs, 13 stolen bases, 29 walks and 116 strikeouts in 116 games
After a breakout season in 2011, Brown was considered the Giants' top prospect heading into 2012. He was also considered a top 50 prospect by Baseball America and MLB.com last year. The Giants thought so much of Brown that when the Mets asked for the 2010 first-round pick in exchange for outfielder Carlos Beltran at the 2011 trade deadline, San Francisco instead parted ways with Zack Wheeler. In hindsight, the Giants probably wish for a mulligan. Brown was expected to be in the Giants' outfield by now. Sadly, his career has stalled. Brown, who rated off the charts by scouts for his ability to fill up the stat sheet, started to struggle last season at Double-A, but he finished strong, giving hope 2013 would bring better days. That hasn't been the case. I'm not of the belief Brown's 2011 numbers (.336/.519/.925) were inflated by the hitter-friendly California League. I just feel advanced pitching has gotten the better of Brown. He still has all the tools to succeed, but he's got plenty of work to do before getting a chance to start in the majors.

Matt Barnes, SP, Red Sox
Affiliate:Double-A Portland
2013 stats:5-8, 4.27 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 126 strikeouts, 41 walks, 101 hits and 11 home runs allowed in 22 starts (99 innings)
Barnes went eight picks behind fellow University of Connecticut standout George Springer in the 2011 MLB draft, and his career was on a similar trajectory after a standout 2012. But while Springer has only elevated his status in 2013, Barnes has taken a step back and might fall out of the mix as a top 100 prospect heading into 2014. Barnes still has great stuff, especially his fastball, which Portland pitching coach Bob Kipper calls "special," according to The Providence Journal. Where Barnes has struggled in 2013 has been with his delivery and secondary pitches. While he was overpowering in college and at Class A last season, he's learning the hard lesson -- advanced hitters aren't as easy to retire. While Barnes hasn't had a banner season, it's not time to give up on him. Not when he's still striking out 11.5 batters per nine innings. If he doesn't bounce back in 2014, then it might be time to worry, but the 23-year-old right-hander is just learning what it's like to deal with adversity. He's still very talented and has value as a long-term Fantasy keeper.

Trevor Story, SS, Rockies
Affiliate:Class A Modesto
2013 stats:.227/.295/.381/.675, three triples, 10 home runs, 29 doubles, 51 RBI, 57 runs, 157 strikeouts, 35 walks and 18 stolen bases in 111 games
Story entered the year as one of the Rockies' top prospects, just making the top 100 list for Baseball America and MLB.com. The 2011 first-round pick had great success to start his pro career. He was named the Pioneer League's top prospect in 2011 and came back in 2012 to slug .505 for low Class A Asheville. Unfortunately, the story has changed a bit for the 6-foot-1, 175-pounder this season. Playing in the hitter-friendly California League was only supposed to elevate Story's standing as a top shortstop prospect. Instead, Story is not even considered tops at the position within the Colorado organization, as MLB.com moved Rosell Herrera ahead of Story at its midseason rankings. Talk about a quick fall from grace. Perhaps the most alarming stat is Story's increased strikeout rate. He is striking out in 37.1 percent of his at-bats after striking out in 25.4 percent of at-bats in 2012. Much like Barnes, it's not time to toss away Story after one uneven season. He still has promising speed-power potential, and he hasn't even reached the high minors yet. The 20-year-old has plenty of time for a comeback story.

Mike Montgomery, SP, Rays
Affiliate:Triple-A Durham
2013 stats:7-5, 4.24 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 63 strikeouts, 39 walks, 86 hits and eight home runs allowed in 16 outings (87 innings)
Out of all the players on this list, Montgomery probably had the highest ceiling. He made Baseball America's top 100 list in 2010, 2011 and 2012 -- climbing as high as No. 19. While Montgomery dominated in the low minors and flashed ace potential, it hasn't been the same story in the high minors. He has a career 5.05 ERA and 1.46 WHIP at Double-A and a 5.14 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at Triple-A. The Royals got fed up with waiting on the left-handed hurler to develop, so they shipped him to Tampa Bay in the offseason. No matter how good Tampa Bay has been with developing pitchers, the Rays haven't figured out how to cure Montgomery's erratic ways. He might make it to the majors as a back-of-the-rotation arm or middle reliever, but long-term keeper owners don't need to waste a roster spot on Montgomery anymore.

Mason Williams, OF, Yankees
Affiliate:Class A Tampa
2013 stats:.262/.329/.353/.681, three triples, three home runs, 21 doubles, 23 RBI, 55 runs, 14 stolen bases, 60 strikeouts and 39 walks in 98 games
Williams had a tough start to the year. Not only did he hit below .300 in April and May, but he also had some legal problems (DUI) in late April. Though, he began to play better in June and July, hitting .313 and .325, respectively. But even if Williams finishes the year on a high note, he's going to take a stumble in the prospect rankings heading into 2014. The scouts love Williams for his athleticism. The Yankees love him for his upside. One club official told Baseball America the team compares Williams to former Yankees prospect Austin Jackson. We all know how valuable Jackson is in Fantasy, so Williams living up to expectations could pay huge dividends down the road. Although he hasn't shown it this year, Yankees' officials feel Williams has 20-homer potential. Williams is expected to start in the high minors in 2014, despite a less-than-spectacular season. It's advisable for long-term keeper owners to hold onto Williams in the offseason in hopes he bounces back next year.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .
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Player News
Report: Tommy Layne promoted to Red Sox
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:31 am ET) The Red Sox have called up left-handed reliever Tommy Layne from Triple-A Pawtucket, sources have told WEEI.com.

Layne has struggled at times with his control this season but has otherwise been solid with a 5-1 record, 1.50 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 48 innings. He also pitched 2/3 of a shutout inning for Boston during a brief stint with the team in early July.


Short porch could fuel a rise for Stephen Drew
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(11:23 am ET) The Red Sox waited two months and paid a pretty hefty sum to get 131 at-bats and a .583 OPS out of Stephen Drew this season. They were able to get out from under his deal by shipping him off to the Yankees just before the deadline, and now Drew will try to re-establish himself as a contributor as the Yankees everyday second baseman.

Drew has been a major disappointment this season, though there are reasons to believe he might be able to turn things around following this trade. First and foremost, when looking at Drew, we have to acknowledge that he has been the victim of some absolutely rotten luck, overall. He is hitting just .176 overall, though that comes paired with an abysmal .216 BABIP; that number was .320 a year ago, and .304 for his career.

Even with that bad luck on his side, Drew has been much better recently, hitting .215 but with four home runs and 11 walks over his last 19 starts, a span of 28 games. And he has been doing that in a park that is less forgiving for left-handed batters than his new home stadium.

Drew is never going to provide much in the batting average category, but he is certainly better than the sub-Mendoza level he has managed so far. A change of scenery could be just what Drew needs to spark his bat, and he might be worth a look in deeper Fantasy leagues if you need middle-infield help.


Jose Bautista upset at team's inactivity at trade deadline
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:22 am ET) Blue Jays slugger Jose Bautista expressed disappointment Thursday at his team's perceived inability to add talent at the trade deadline.

"Of course it's a little disappointing that we somehow weren't able to get anything done, but everybody around us that's in contenteion ... somehow figured it out," he told the Toronto Star.

The Jays had been rumored to be interested in several players, but teams such as Detroit and Oakland landed the biggest fish in the trade market.


Martin Prado unlikely to find any Yankee Magic
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(11:22 am ET) The Yankees acquired super-utility man Martin Prado just before the trade deadline from the Diamondabcks, and will likely begin plugging him in around the diamond. However, he might find playing time a bit harder to come by in New York than Arizona, where he was seeing the majority of his playing time at third base.

The Yankees have no obvious hole which needs filling by Prado at this point, especially since their biggest need is at right field, a position Prado has logged just two innings at in his career. Prado should still play somewhat regularly, but is unlikely to have an everyday spot in the Yankees lineup locked down.

Prado is useful for Fantasy for many of the same reasons that he is in real life, since you can slot him anywhere a need arises and count on decent production. Unfortunately, he isn't a productive enough hitter to be worth counting on as a regular starter each week if he is only starting 3-4 times a week. Consider him droppable in many mixed leagues at this point.


Report: Henry Owens on the way to Pawtucket
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:02 am ET) The Red Sox have promoted premier pitching prospect Henry Owens to Triple-A Pawtucket, sources have told WEEI.com.

The 22-year-old southpaw earned the promotion by compiling a 12-4 record and 2.60 ERA. He has yielded just 89 hits in 121 innings with 126 strikeouts. Given the trades of Jon Lester and John Lackey on Thursday, Owens could be on the fast-track to Boston.


Report: Tyler Skaggs likely heading to DL
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:56 am ET) Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs expressed confidence that the forearm strain that knocked him out of the game Thursday against Baltimore is not serious. But it will likely land him on the disabled list, according to the Los Angeles Times.

That would mark his second trip to the DL this season.

Skaggs, who is scheduled for an MRI on Friday, is 5-5 with a 4.30 ERA in 2014.


Trade deadline not likely to save Emilio Bonifacio's value
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(10:50 am ET) After a hot start to the season that saw  him jump to Fantasy relevance, Emilio Bonifacio has been in a long decline that saw him benched by the Cubs over the last two months and relegated to part-time duty.

Despite this, Bonifacio is still owned in 48 percent of CBSSports.com leagues, even though he has just four stolen bases to his name since May 1. The deadline-day move to send him from Chicago to Atlanta is unlikely to open up too much more playing time for the super-utility man, so Fantasy owners still clinging to whatever semblance of hope is left would be wise to cut ties with Bonifacio now. 


Jose Abreu remains on fire with three-hit game in Motor City
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:48 am ET) The only unusual aspect of another big game for White Sox slugger Jose Abreu on Thursday was that he neither scored nor drove in a run. Other than that - typical Abreu.

The breakout star doubled twice, singled and walked twice in helping his team defeat Detroit. Abreu extended his hitting streak to 20 and has hit safely in 38 of his last 39 games. He leads the majors in home runs with 31 and RBI with 83.


Grady Sizemore continues to rake in leading Phillies to win
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:42 am ET) The comeback story of Phillies left fielder Grady Sizemore continued to move toward a happy ending with another productive game Thursday in Washington.

Sizemore slammed three more hits, including a two-run double in the fourth that launched the rout and an RBI single in the ninth that capped it. He has been lights-out since signing with Philadelphia. Sizemore has nine hits, five runs and five RBI in his last five starts.


Ben Revere smacks four hits to help Phillies beat Nationals
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(10:38 am ET) Phillies center fielder and leadoff hitter Ben Revere went from hot to hotter Thursday in Washington.

Revere slapped four singles, scored twice and drove in a run in a rout of the Nationals. He has 17 hits in his last 40 at-bats and has hit safely in eight of nine games to sweeten his stat line to .306/.326/.366.


 
 
 
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