Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Fantasy Football Today Blog
Gameday Inactives
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Scores
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
Fantasy Baseball Today Blog
2015 Draft Prep Guide
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Reality Check: Early look at second base

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Remember on Draft Day, when everyone strained to fill second base early for fear of what might await them in the later rounds? Suddenly, the position doesn't look so bad anymore. In fact, some might even call it deep.

Granted, I took a similar stance with shortstop about this time last year, and it ended up being as weak as usual in 2013. While you could make a case for any position being deep if you assume a best-case scenario for every player, you have to account for some thinning of the ranks, whether because of injury or performance. I see a big enough drop-off after the top 25 or so that I would still consider second base a position to target early in 2014.

But right now, sticking with just the top 20, I like what I see.

Top 10 second basemen for 2014:
1. Robinson Cano, 2B, Yankees
2. Dustin Pedroia, 2B, Red Sox
3. Jason Kipnis, 2B, Indians
4. Matt Carpenter, 2B/3B, Cardinals
5. Ian Kinsler, 2B, Rangers
6. Martin Prado, 2B/3B/OF, Diamondbacks
7. Ben Zobrist, 2B/OF, Rays
8. Brandon Phillips, 2B, Reds
9. Chase Utley, 2B, Phillies
10. Jose Altuve, 2B, Astros

Polling my Twitter followers, the only suggestion I got for the top spot other than the insanely reliable Cano was Kipnis -- who, with the season winding down, has a decent shot at 20 homers and 30 steals. Personally, I think picking Cano first among second baseman is one of the easiest calls you'll make on Draft Day, right up there with Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout at first and second overall. Pick him, and you'll have nothing to worry about. It's been that way for the last five years, and even with him turning 31 this offseason, I'm not prepared to predict anything otherwise.

But by the same token, I get it. A true power-speed threat at a position where you'd normally be making compromises is a definite luxury. Pedroia and Kinsler had been the position's top power-speed guys, but Pedroia has never had a 20-homer, 30-steal season and Kinsler, given his decline over the last two years, might never again.

Check out our Fantasy Baseball podcast!
Stay a step ahead of your competition in 2014 by checking out our popular Fantasy Baseball Today podcasts. Adam Aizer, Scott White and Al Melchior will entertain you and help you dominate all season.
Latest episode | Subscribe!

For that reason, I can almost talk myself into moving Kipnis ahead of Pedroia (and, in the same vein, Kinsler ahead of Carpenter) in Rotisserie leagues, but reliability counts for something as well. Pedroia has been an early-round mainstay for half a decade and only recently turned 30. Even in a "down year," he's been the fourth-best second baseman in Rotisserie leagues and the third-best in Head-to-Head. And let's not forget he's been playing with a torn ligament in his thumb virtually all year. You don't think it's in some way responsible for his drop in home runs?

Plus, Kipnis' 17 homers and 28 steals haven't been evenly distributed over the course of the season, as any of his owners will tell you. In fact, he's been in a rut for almost the entire second half, batting .246. Sure, it's the final numbers that count, but if he tempts you to bench him from time to time, you'll inevitably miss out on some of what he has to offer. It's nitpicky, yes, but when deciphering between three players destined to go in the first two rounds, nit picking is the only way to go. Hooray for subjectivity!

On that note, Prado probably looks like he's ranked higher than he should be, judging by his season numbers. But remember, he was inexplicably batting .240 as recently as June 24. His .322 batting average since the All-Star break is much more indicative of his ability (he entered 2013 a career .295 hitter), and during that stretch, he's averaging 3.42 Head-to-Head points per game. By comparison, Carpenter is averaging 3.44 points per game this year. They're almost mirror images of each other when you consider their strengths and weaknesses. I slot Prado two spots behind Carpenter because, perception being what it is, he should come at something of a discount, but I can't justify taking him after the fading trio of Zobrist, Phillips and Utley.

Zobrist's walk rate will keep him plenty useful in Head-to-Head leagues, but he's never been a great source of batting average and, entering his age-33 season, is no longer a safe bet for even 15 home runs. Phillips' fluky RBI total has spared him from a fourth straight season of underwhelming production. Utley has been more productive than both on a per-game basis, but he's exactly why per-game production doesn't have the final say in player evaluation. I'd bet against any 35-year-old middle infielder playing a full season. He's lucky to have played as much as he has this year.

In fact, I'd drop Utley behind Altuve if I could trust the Astros offense to take a step forward next year. I'm still not sure I won't. Altuve is only 23, so I'm not sure he doesn't become a double-digit homer guy someday. And we know the steals are legit.

Next 10 second basemen for 2014:
11. Aaron Hill, 2B, Diamondbacks
12. Brian Dozier, 2B, Twins
13. Daniel Murphy, 2B, Mets
14. Jedd Gyorko, 2B, Padres
15. Anthony Rendon, 2B, Nationals
16. Jed Lowrie, 2B/SS, Athletics
17. Howie Kendrick, 2B, Angels
18. Jurickson Profar, 2B, Rangers
19. Emilio Bonifacio, 2B/OF, Royals
20. Dan Uggla, 2B, Braves

Hill is the last of the second tier of second basemen, having scored as many Head-to-Head points per game as Zobrist this year. You would have liked to see him play a full season, obviously, but he's done enough in half a season to convince me he's closer to being the guy we saw in Arizona last year than in Toronto the previous two. He'll turn 32 next year, making him no sure bet to stay healthy, but whatever. You'll take the production when you can get it.

What follows are what I consider to be the most interesting five players at the position -- the ones with the capacity to force their way into the top tier at the position or become completely irrelevant. Gyorko and Rendon are obviously the upside picks, but their prolonged slumps have overshadowed their flashes of potential, dropping them behind the less exciting Dozier and Murphy. (Incidentally, Nick Franklin also fits the description, but he's fallen so far over the last couple months that I worry he's gotten trapped in whatever vortex sucks all the potential out of every Mariners hitting prospect and don't anticipate the masses going gaga over him in March.) I actually like Rendon a little more than Gyorko long-term, believing him to be the more complete hitter, but you can't be too safe with Danny Espinosa still lurking.

Speaking of safe, you shouldn't sleep on Dozier and Murphy just because they're lacking in pedigree. Though Kipnis, Pedroia and Kinsler are best known for contributing both home runs and stolen bases, Dozier and Murphy have shown they can provide at least a dozen of each, with Dozier offering a little more power and Murphy offering a little more speed. All those little contributions certainly add up in Head-to-Head leagues, where Murphy ranks fifth among second basemen to date and Dozier is performing about like Pedroia in terms of points per game (3.15 to 3.18) since stepping up his production June 15.

Lowrie is closer to Dozier and Murphy than Gyorko and Rendon in that he won't get much better from here, but given his extensive injury history and inability to stand out in any one category, I rank him last of the group, even with the dual eligibility (something Dozier, Murphy, Gyorko and Rendon won't carry into next year, by the way).

What's that? No Kolten Wong, who most publications will rate as the top second base prospect entering 2014? No Scooter Gennett, who's hitting .335 in place of an injured Rickie Weeks down the stretch this season? Wait, no Rickie Weeks? Yeah, now you see what I mean. I was sure I'd get all three -- who I consider sleepers, to some degree -- in my top 20, but it just didn't happen. Even Neil Walker, a mainstay in the middle tiers for the last two or three years, couldn't make the cut. Too much meh from him.

For Wong, Gennett and Weeks, the issue is playing time. Unless the Cardinals trade David Freese in the offseason, which is far from assured, Wong can't hope for much more than the part-time at-bats he's getting now. Gennett has been great and all but has overachieved to some degree and still has to contend with another year of Weeks in Milwaukee. I could see the Brewers trading Weeks a little easier than I could see the Cardinals trading Freese, but until it happens, I have to assume Gennett and Weeks will cut into each other's playing time.

Yes, Profar has his own playing-time concerns, but with his pedigree and skill set, he's going to be a monster someday. I want him on my team in case someday begins next year. And Bonifacio ... have you seen what he's done with the Royals? Something about playing in Toronto, man. You can't run unless your name is Rajai Davis. Even Jose Reyes isn't immune.

Uggla we could discuss removing given his struggles the last two years. But his power is still among the best at the position, and I have some small hope his corrected vision will get his batting average back up to the respectable range. I think the floor is high enough and the ceiling attainable enough that he deserves to be drafted in most leagues. I can't say that for all the guys behind him.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

Get player news notifications, manage your team and check scores
- all updated in real time. Download the CBS Fantasy App.

  •  
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Rockies scratch OF Carlos Gonzalez from Monday game
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(12:07 pm ET) Rockies outfielder Carlos Gonzalez has been scratched from the Monday lineup against the host Reds, per the Cincinnati Enquirer. There has been no word as to why he was removed.

Gonzalez, who did not play Sunday, has been unproductive in 2015 with a slash line of .206/.285/.326.

Trade rumors have been swirling around the Rockies recently. It remains to be seen if Gonzalez and star shortstop Troy Tulowitzki remain in Colorado.


Report: Elbow of Reds SP Johnny Cueto still not right Monday
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:55 am ET) Concern is growing that the right elbow ailment plaguing Reds ace Johnny Cueto is worse that first anticipated, per Associated Press.

Cueto is having the elbow examined Monday after missing his Sunday start in Cleveland with stiffness. Though he exclaimed Sunday that he was not worred about it, the elbow was still not feeling right Monday.

The loss of Cueto for any significant period would be devastating for a Cincinnati team on an eight-game losing streak. He has eight quality starts in nine outings and a 3.03 ERA.


Sandoval returns to Red Sox lineup, Holt out
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(11:39 am ET) After missing five straight starts with a knee injury, third baseman Pablo Sandoval returns to the starting lineup for the Red Sox on Monday against the Twins. 

Sandoval pinch-hit from left side in Sunday's game and with right-hander Ricky Nolasco starting for the Twins, he will be able to hit lefty against a pitcher he's had a lot of success against, going .476 with three homers and seven RBIs. 

Sandoval's replacement at third base, Brock Holt, is out of the lineup Monday after he was hit by a pitch on his arm Sunday and began to lose feeling in his hand. 


Struggling SS Danny Santana sits again for Twins
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(11:25 am ET) Twins shortstop Danny Santana is out of the lineup for a second straight game Monday, replaced by Eduardo Escobar for the game against the Red Sox. 

Santana has had a rough week at the plate, going 1-for-16 with five strikeouts and no wallks. The free-swinging Santana has just two walks in 157 plate appearances this season. 

The Twins (+103) are slight underdogs per VegasInsider.com. 


Cubs happy 2B Javier Baez 'calming things down' at plate
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(11:23 am ET) It's all good at the moment for Cubs premier second base prospect Javier Baez. He't not trying to hit home runs at Triple-A Iowa, but baseballs are flying over the fence anyway.

The Cubs wanted Baez to stop swinging for the downs, which led to too many strikeouts in his stint with the team a year ago. He slugged two home runs Sunday, giving him five on the season, but his strikeouts are indeed down. He has 24 in 87 at-bats, which is still disturbing, but far off the pace he set last year.

"Both (home run at-bats Sunday), he laid off borderline pitches before getting good pitches to hit," Iowa batting coach Brian Harper said via milb.com. "That's the key for Javy. What he's done the most lately is not overswinging. He's not trying to hit 800-foot home runs any more. He's just trying to hit 350 to 400-foot home runs, that's all. He's working really hard to calming things down."

Baez owns a slash line of .322/.404/.540. He has fanned in 24.2 percent of his plate appearances, down from 30 percent a year ago.


Yankees' Brian McCann in, Carlos Beltran out Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(11:10 am ET) Yankees catcher Brian McCann is in the starting lineup on Monday, while Carlos Beltran remains out for his team's matchup with the Royals.

McCann left Sunday's game due to cramping in his left foot/calf, but the issue won't keep him from missing a start. Beltran is sitting for the second straight game due to an illness.

The Yankees are favorites (-125) at home on Monday, per VegasInsider.com.


Orioles RP Brian Matusz receives 8-game suspension
by Elliott Smith | Staff Writer
(11:09 am ET) Orioles reliever Brian Matusz was issued an eight-game suspension by MLB Monday as punishment for being caught with a "foreign substance" on his arm during Saturday's game against the Marlins. 

Matusz was ejected in the 12th inning on Saturday after it was brought to the umpires' attention that Matusz had a visible substance on his arm. When the home plate umpire determined it was an illegal substance, he discussed with Orioles manager Buck Showalter briefly before ejecting Matusz from the game.

Matusz will appeal the suspension, which is the same doled out to Brewers reliever Will Smith after he was caught with an illegal substance on his arm earlier in the week. Matusz is 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA in 14 appearances this season. 


Brewers' Khris Davis batting second Monday vs. RHP
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(11:02 am ET) Brewers left fielder Khris Davis is batting second on Monday against the Giants and righty starter Tim Lincecum.

It's just the second time this season that Davis has been slotted second against the righty and his sixth time batting second against any pitcher. He's been much better against righties than lefties this season, hitting .257/.361/.396 with two home runs in 101 at-bats, while posting a .452 OPS against lefties. Lincecum has also seen more struggles against righties (.720 OPS against) than lefties (.455 OPS against).

The Brewers are favorites (-120) on Monday, per VegasInsider.com.


Mets start Danny Muno at third base Monday vs. Phillies
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(10:50 am ET) Mets infielder Danny Muno is starting at third base and batting seventh in Monday's matchup with the Phillies.

Muno was called up after Sunday's game and will be immediately inserted into the lineup at third base. Normally a second baseman, Muno has seen 46 appearances at third base in the minors, with 20 coming this season.

Muno has hit .280/.354/.400 in 100 at-bats with Triple-A Las Vegas. His only other start with the Mets came in late April when he served as the designated hitter in an American League park.

The Mets are heavy favorites (-165) at home on Monday, per VegasInsider.com.


Mets' Juan Lagares, Lucas Duda return to lineup Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(10:47 am ET) Mets center fielder Juan Lagares and first baseman Lucas Duda are back in the lineup for Monday's game against the Phillies.

Lagares, who is batting second, was scratched from Sunday's lineup with soreness in his armpit and elbow. Duda, who is batting third, was held out Sunday due to hamstring tightness.

The Mets are heavy favorites (-165) at home on Monday, per VegasInsider.com.


 
 
 
Rankings