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2014 Fantasy Outlooks: Atlanta Braves

Senior Fantasy Writer
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Having gone seven years without a division title, the Braves ended their drought in particularly convincing fashion last year, running away from a Nationals team that was favored to win not only the division, but the World Series. And just like during their 15-year run from 1991 to 2005, their starting rotation carried them.

This one was lacking in star power, though. Fantasy owners already knew of Kris Medlen because of his impossible finish to 2012, but even they underestimated the impact Mike Minor and Julio Teheran would have. Not that either's breakthrough was particularly surprising. Minor was nearly as dominant as Medlen to finish 2012 (though his overall numbers did a pretty good job of hiding it), and Teheran was long considered one of the game's top pitching prospects. Both are top 30 starting pitchers heading into 2014, with Medlen just on the outskirts.

2014 Fantasy Outlooks
A.L. East N.L. East
Orioles Braves
Red Sox Marlins
Yankees Mets
Rays Phillies
Blue Jays Nationals
A.L. Central N.L. Central
White Sox Cubs
Indians Reds
Tigers Brewers
Royals Pirates
Twins Cardinals
A.L. West N.L. West
Astros Diamondbacks
Angels Rockies
Athletics Dodgers
Mariners Padres
Rangers Giants

And there's more where that came from. Yes, Tim Hudson is gone, but that's a bigger loss for the clubhouse than for Fantasy owners. Brandon Beachy flashed ace potential when he first broke into the big leagues and should be fully recovered from Tommy John surgery this spring. Alex Wood has impressive ability but may have to wait his turn, especially if he hasn't claimed the role by the time Gavin Floyd returns from Tommy John surgery in May. Freddy Garcia and David Hale are also in the mix. The bullpen has long been one of this club's strengths, anchored by historically dominant closer Craig Kimbrel. He'll again be the first player selected at his position.

The lineup is a different story. Freddie Freeman emerged as the centerpiece with Chipper Jones retired, but Jason Heyward, who seemed a lock for that role just a couple years ago, can't decide how good he wants to be. He still has superstar potential, but Fantasy owners should know not to overpay for him by now. Justin Upton did fine coming over from Arizona and remains an early-round type with room to grow, but brother B.J. Upton completely fell apart with a .184 batting average, joining Dan Uggla to give the Braves two sub-.200 hitters. A first-place team never had it so good.

Apart from baseball's unpredictable nature, neither offers much hope for a rebound. For Uggla in particular, Fantasy owners are just counting down the days until he loses his job to Tommy La Stella, an on-base specialist with little to offer in terms of power or speed. Upton may be salvageable at age 29 -- he'll get every opportunity in light of his big contract -- but frankly, shortstop Andrelton Simmons and catcher Evan Gattis have become the hotter commodities in Fantasy. Both offer plus power for the positions they play but still have some refining to do.

Bounce-back candidate ... Brandon Beachy, starting pitcher

2014 projected lineup
Player Name Position
1. Jason Heyward RF
2. Justin Upton LF
3. Freddie Freeman 1B
4. Evan Gattis C
5. Chris Johnson 3B
6. Andrelton Simmons SS
7. Dan Uggla 2B
8. B.J. Upton CF
Bench Ryan Doumit C/OF
Bench Jordan Schafer OF
Beachy is a rare example of a player who doesn't make a clean return from Tommy John surgery, needing a second procedure to clear up discomfort in his elbow about a year after the first. Though it wasn't such a good thing for those who drafted him last year, it could be for those hoping to draft him this year. Another year out of the spotlight is another year under the radar, and the potential reward for investing a late-round pick in him is an ace, or at least close to it. Remember: This was one of the more exciting rookie pitchers in 2011, averaging 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 25 starts, and he followed it up with a 2.00 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 13 starts before his procedure in 2012. He wasn't quite as dominant during a five-start stretch late last season, but considering he was pitching with discomfort, he was more effective than he had any right to be. He's expected to enter spring training without limitations, and given his track record so far, that's a dangerous thing.

Bust ... Andrelton Simmons, shortstop

In a different time with a different player pool, Evan Gattis would be the choice here instead of Simmons. He exhibits more of the warning signs with his all-or-nothing approach. But given the current state of the catcher and shortstop positions, Fantasy owners are more likely to overextend themselves for Simmons than Gattis, who seems to be going in a reasonable spot for a player with his power potential. The mistake they make is one so many made with Starlin Castro last year: They bank on improvement. Granted, Simmons makes contact at a much higher rate, so he probably won't get worse, but with all the home run hitters in the Braves lineup, he's in no position to steal bases. His BABIP should improve if he doesn't elevate the ball so much, but then what happens to his 17 home runs? Maybe he gets stronger at age 24 and delivers the best of both worlds -- for an 11th- or 12th-round pick, it's a worthy gamble -- but if you select Simmons in Round 6, as happened in one of our recent mock drafts, prepare to be disappointed.

Sleeper ... Alex Wood, starting pitcher/relief pitcher

2014 rotation/bullpen
Player Name Throws
1. Kris Medlen RHP
2. Mike Minor LHP
3. Julio Teheran RHP
4. Brandon Beachy RHP
5. Alex Wood LHP
ALT Gavin Floyd RHP
Bullpen Breakdown
1. Craig Kimbrel RHP
2. David Carpenter RHP
3. Luis Avilan LHP
4. Jordan Walden RHP
5. Jonny Venters LHP
You wouldn't know it from the relative lack of hype, but Wood's career has mirrored Tony Cingrani's up to this point. Both were passed over in the first round of their respective drafts because most teams considered them relievers coming out of college. Both lack major league-caliber breaking balls but still managed to put up eye-popping minor-league numbers because of their deceptive left-handed deliveries. Cingrani of course did what he did last year. Wood had a 2.18 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in his first seven starts, but when he faded over his next three, the Braves shifted him to the bullpen, removing him from the spotlight and casting doubt over his future role. But in doing so, they made him dual-eligible in Fantasy. Clearly, they want him starting long-term, but the surplus of fallback options will keep some Fantasy owners from taking the plunge. Still, Cingrani-like numbers out of the relief pitcher slot win championships in Head-to-Head points leagues. Even if Wood begins in the bullpen, it's likely just to preserve his innings for later in the year.

Prospects Report

Tommy La Stella isn't the only rookie knocking on the door in 2014. Christian Bethancourt may eventually split catching duties with Evan Gattis, especially if an injury creates an opening in the outfield, Gattis' secondary position. Bethancourt is considered a better prospect than La Stella, but mostly because of his defensive prowess. Neither is a safe enough bet for mixed-league consideration, but a big spring would give La Stella fringe sleeper appeal. ... As usual, the Braves have no shortage of pitching in the pipeline. David Hale is first in line and opened eyes in two spot starts late last season, but Lucas Sims is the real prize. A first-round pick in 2012, he dominated lower Class A last year, but the Braves won't rush him at age 19. J.R. Graham should hold them over in the meantime. He missed most of last season with a shoulder injury, casting doubt over his long-term role, but he can hit 97 mph with his fastball and is nearly a finished product at age 24.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite .

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Player News
Dodgers' Puig, Crawford, Uribe out of lineup Sunday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:52 pm ET) Dodgers right fielder Yasiel Puig, left fielder Carl Crawford and third baseman Juan Uribe are not in the starting lineup for Sunday's series finale against the Rockies.

Puig was able to return from a tight hamstring Saturday and go 2 for 3 with a walk, but manager Don Mattingly said that the outfielder had a noticeable limp while playing nine innings. Crawford is out of the lineup for the second straight day due to illness. Uribe is sitting for the first time in four games.

With the trio sidelined, Justin Turner will bat second and play third base, Andre Ethier will bat fifth and start in right field and Scott Van Slyke will start in left field and bat sixth against Rockies right-hander Eddie Butler.

Despite the multiple absences, the Dodgers are heavy favorites (-165) Sunday.


Brandon Workman still 2-3 weeks away from throwing for Red Sox
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:51 pm ET) Brandon Workman is still two-to-three weeks away from starting a throwing program, Red Sox manager John Farrell said. 

Workman received a PRP (platelet-rich-plasma) injection earlier in the week, to help stimulate healing of his injured elbow ligament. 

"He’s still probably two or three weeks away from initiating any type of throwing program," Farrell said, per WEEI. "So he’ll remain here in Boston. There are some changes to the ligament. To what extent, or percentage of tear, I don’t have that. But that is why he received the injection he did."


Jesse Hahn confident he'll make next start for Athletics
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:45 pm ET) Athletics starting pitcher Jesse Hahn was forced to leave Saturday's game with a blister on his right middle finger. 

On Sunday, Hahn was wearing a bandage on the finger, but he was confident he wouldn't miss a start, per the Bay Area News Group.

There's still a possibility that the blister will keep him out of the April 23 start, however, so that the blister can heal fully. Jesse Chavez would get the start in his place, per MLB.com.  


Masahiro Tanaka's next start up in the air for Yankees
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:28 pm ET) Yankees manager Joe Girardi isn't sure when Masahiro Tanaka's next start will be. 

The possibility of rain on Monday is causing the uncertainty. Girardi said that Tanaka could start Thursday or Friday, depending on whether Monday's game is played as scheduled, per MLB.com.


Yankees' Carlos Beltran still 'weak', may play on Monday
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:26 pm ET) Yankees right fielder Carlos Beltran still feels "weak" from the illness that has kept him out of the lineup for the last two games, according to manager Joe Girardi. 

The team is hopeful that Beltran will be able to play against Detroit on Monday, per MLB.com


Athletics' Brett Lawrie playing on Sunday, will have Monday off
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:24 pm ET) Athletics third baseman Brett Lawrie is in Sunday's lineup, despite being hit on the left elbow by a pitch in Saturday's game. Lawrie told the Bay Area News Group that his elbow was "good to go" on Sunday.

Lawrie will have Monday off, but that is a scheduled off day, not injury-related. 


Carlos Carrasco, Trevor Bauer trading spots in Indians' rotation
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:21 pm ET) The Indians are shuffling places in their starting rotation. Carlos Carrasco and Trevor Bauer will swap places, per MLB.com

Bauer is now going to start on Monday and Carrasco will get the ball for Tuesday's game. 


Tigers' Victor Martinez 'certainly not 100 percent' but will play
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:18 pm ET) Tigers DH Victor Martinez is still battling knee soreness, but it shouldn't force him from the lineup. 

Manager Brad Ausmus said that Martinez is "certainly not 100 percent", per the Detroit Free Press, but he doesn't anticipate sitting Martinez down against right handed pitchers in the near future. 


White Sox's Jake Petricka throws another scoreless inning in rehab
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(12:13 pm ET) White Sox pitcher Jake Petricka threw another scoreless inning on Saturday. Petricka is on minor league injury rehab in Triple-A Charlotte as he tries to return from the 15-day disabled list for an elbow injury.

Petricka walked two and struck out two in the sixth inning. He threw 12 strikes in 24 pitches.

White Sox manager Robin Ventura said he got good reports on the appearance, per MLB.com


Padres' Justin Upton (quad) out of lineup Sunday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:09 pm ET) Padres left fielder Justin Upton is not in the starting lineup for Sunday's game against the Cubs due to a quad strain.

It'll be the first game this season Upton hasn't started for the Padres. He's hit .326/.373/.630 with three home runs and eight RBI in 46 at-bats. He felt better after receiving postgame treatment, MLB.com reports, and the injury doesn't appear to be serious.

With Upton sidelined, Will Venable will draw the start in left field, while catcher Derek Norris will shift to the cleanup spot after not starting Saturday.

The Padres are underdogs (+120) in Chicago Sunday.


 
 
 
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