Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

2014 Fantasy Outlooks: Philadelphia Phillies

Senior Fantasy Writer
  •  

Their payroll constricted by the long-term deals they doled out during their recent run of success, the Phillies have fallen into a rut over the last few years, giving Fantasy owners a good idea what to expect in 2014: A bunch of old guys who'll probably just be worse than last year.

Fortunately, that's not true for the starting rotation yet -- or at least not all of it. Roy Halladay had some shoulder issues that forced his retirement, but Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels still exhibit top-10 potential. Drafting either as your ace puts you in a good position in mixed leagues.

2014 Fantasy Outlooks
A.L. East N.L. East
Orioles Braves
Red Sox Marlins
Yankees Mets
Rays Phillies
Blue Jays Nationals
A.L. Central N.L. Central
White Sox Cubs
Indians Reds
Tigers Brewers
Royals Pirates
Twins Cardinals
A.L. West N.L. West
Astros Diamondbacks
Angels Rockies
Athletics Dodgers
Mariners Padres
Rangers Giants

Of course, they're about the only Phillies pitchers you'd want to draft. The other two in the discussion are closer Jonathan Papelbon, whose knockout stuff appeared to lose some of its bite in his age-32 season last year, and recently signed A.J. Burnett, who's back in a hitter's park after a two-year respite in Pittsburgh. Kyle Kendrick and Roberto Hernandez are assured spots but are just as likely to hurt your ERA and WHIP as help it in NL-only leagues -- and with hardly any strikeouts to boot.

The Phillies' big offseason acquisition was Marlon Byrd, which hardly constitutes a youth movement. Coming off a career season at age 36, he has his share of skeptics, but he isn't any riskier than Ryan Howard, who's now in jeopardy of becoming a platoon player because of his struggles against left-handed pitchers, which have only gotten worse with his body beginning to betray him at age 34. Hey, Darin Ruf hit 14 homers in 251 at-bats last year, and the Phillies talked like they wanted him to play every day until the Byrd signing forced him to the bench. His natural position is first base.

If the Phillies have one bright spot in their lineup, it's Domonic Brown. Chase Utley has remained fairly productive in between injuries, and Jimmy Rollins could end up going in the middle rounds just because of the position he plays, but Brown represents the one player in the Phillies lineup with honest-to-goodness upside. True, he already broke through as a Fantasy mainstay last year, but because of an Achilles injury that sidelined him off and on throughout the second half, he wasn't as steady as he could have been, hitting 12 of his 27 homers in May alone. He showed he's turned the corner, though, having finally settled on a swing after tinkering with his for most of his minor-league career, and is just scratching the surface of his potential at age 26.

Underappreciated ... Marlon Byrd, outfield

2014 projected lineup
Player Name Position
1. Ben Revere CF
2. Jimmy Rollins SS
3. Chase Utley 2B
4. Domonic Brown LF
5. Marlon Byrd RF
6. Ryan Howard 1B
7. Cody Asche 3B
8. Carlos Ruiz C
Bench Darin Ruf 1B/OF
Bench Bobby Abreu OF
Nobody would endorse drafting Byrd where he finished last year, ranked 27th among outfielders in Head-to-Head leagues and 23rd in Rotisserie. Buying into a career-best performance from a 36-year-old is generally a bad policy. But judging by early draft data, Fantasy owners are so convinced Byrd won't repeat those numbers that they hardly draft him at all. The opportunity cost is so low that, frankly, you're better off believing. And here's some food for thought: Byrd revealed this offseason that he was always taught to aim for the top of the ball, hitting it on the ground to make better use of his speed. He finally realized that staying through the middle of the ball elevates it, making better use of his power. It seems too simple to be true, but looking back at his minor-league numbers, he started out as much more of a power hitter. Believe me: I don't revel in backing an obvious regression candidate, but value is value. At Byrd's likely going rate on Draft Day, he can't possibly hurt you.

Sleeper ... Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, starting pitcher

I could address every Gonzalez question yet to be asked with the same two-word response: Nobody knows. Nobody has any clue what kind of pitcher he'll be because nobody really knows what kind of skill set he has. Access to Cuban ballplayers is so limited that scouting reports on them are always vague, and Gonzalez specifically hasn't pitched since 2011 thanks to surgery to remove bone chips from his elbow. So why draft a complete unknown? Like with Byrd, it's a matter of opportunity cost. The chance of striking gold with any player in the last round or two is so low that you may be better off gambling on the mystery man. Hey, the Phillies signed Gonzalez to a six-year, $48 million deal (before cutting it back to three years, $12 million because of concerns over his elbow) for a reason -- and they weren't the only ones bidding. With the A.J. Burnett signing, the gamble is much easier to justify in NL-only leagues than mixed, especially since Gonzalez is likely to begin the year in minors, but you'll want to monitor his performance in all formats. With only Roberto Hernandez standing in his way, a strong showing likely vaults him to the majors.

Impact prospect ... Maikel Franco, third base

2014 rotation/bullpen
Player Name Throws
1. Cliff Lee LHP
2. Cole Hamels LHP
3. A.J. Burnett RHP
4. Kyle Kendrick RHP
5. Roberto Hernandez RHP
ALT Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez RHP
Bullpen Breakdown
1. Jonathan Papelbon RHP
2. Antonio Bastardo LHP
3. Mike Adams RHP
4. Jacob Diekman LHP
5. Chad Gaudin RHP
If the Phillies hadn't already broken in a third baseman last year in Cody Asche, Franco would be a candidate for this year's Wil Myers -- that hitter everyone stashes before the season in anticipation of his arrival midseason. No, he's not quite as well-known as Myers, but judging by his breakthrough performance last year, when he hit .320 with 31 home runs and a .926 OPS -- numbers that only improved following a midseason promotion to Double-A -- he's a pretty big deal. A much bigger deal than Asche, by the way, who doesn't exactly profile as the next Scott Rolen. Translation: The Phillies may not be as committed to him as the world perceives them to be. It's not like he earned anything with his 162 at-bats last year. He didn't embarrass himself, but with a .235 batting average and .691 OPS, he didn't lock up the starting third base job forever and ever. If Asche gets off to a slow start and Franco continues to rake at Triple-A, a midseason switch could be in store.

Prospects Report

Franco isn't the only potential game-changer in the Phillies system. Jesse Biddle might already be in the big leagues if his control hadn't abandoned him down the stretch last year. It was never his strength, but the way he started out 2013, striking out 16 batters on April 22 and 10 in his next start, it didn't seem like it'd be too much of a hindrance. Until he makes some progress on that front, his arrival is difficult to gauge. The Phillies shouldn't have trouble making way for him as soon as he proves ready, but the indefinite timetable makes him a draft-and-stash better left for NL-only formats. ... Ethan Martin could technically win a job in spring training but was so unimpressive in his audition late last year, suffering from his own control issues, that Fantasy owners shouldn't put much faith in him. ... Cesar Hernandez has proven to be a prolific base-stealer in the minors, but getting him in the lineup isn't a priority for the Phillies. If he wins a reserve role, he could matter in NL-only Rotisserie leagues. ... Shortstop J.P. Crawford, the team's first-round pick in 2013, has gotten plenty of love from talent evaluators, but at age 19, he's more tools than polish and several years from reaching the big leagues.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite ..

  •  
 
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Jorge De La Rosa strikes out seven vs. Cubs Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(2:01 am ET) Rockies pitcher Jorge De La Rosa wasn't a factor in Tuesday's decision after giving up three earned runs on six hits and one walk in six innings and striking out seven in his team's extra-innings game against the Cubs.

De La Rosa was staked to a 3-0 lead after the top of the first inning but gave one back in the bottom half of the first. He then surrendered a two-run home run in the fourth inning and left with the game tied. De La Rosa owns a 4.20 ERA and 93:47 K:BB ratio in 122 innings. He's scheduled to face the Tigers Sunday.


Edwin Jackson lasts four innings in no-decision Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(2:01 am ET) Cubs pitcher Edwin Jackson wasn't a factor in the decision Tuesday, giving up three earned runs on six hits and three walks in four innings and striking out four in his team's extra-innings game against the Rockies.

Jackson gave up all three runs in the first inning, but he was inefficient throughout, needing a whopping 105 pitches to get through his four-inning start. He owns a 5.79 ERA and 108:53 K:BB ratio in 119 2/3 innings. Jackson is scheduled to face the Dodgers Sunday.


Kenley Jansen picks up four-out save vs. Braves
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(2:00 am ET) Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen earned his 31st save Tuesday by recording the final four outs of his team's 8-4 win over the Braves.

Jansen came on with two on and two outs in the top of eighth inning and retired the first batter he faced on just two pitches. His offense extended the lead in the bottom of the eighth, and Jansen took it from there, striking out two batters in the ninth while allowing one hit and one walk. He owns a 3.14 ERA and 68:13 K:BB ratio in 43 innings.


Anthony Varvaro takes loss vs. Dodgers Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(2:00 am ET) Braves pitcher Anthony Varvaro was stuck with a loss Tuesday after giving up three earned runs on four hits in one inning of action while striking out one in his team's 8-4 defeat against the Dodgers.

Varvaro (3-3) gave up a pair of singles to begin the bottom of the seventh and saw the first run cross the plate on the second out of the inning. He then surrendered a two-run home run, which was just his third homer allowed this season. Varvaro owns a 2.83 ERA and 41:9 K:BB ratio in 41 1/3 innings.


Aaron Harang surrenders four runs vs. Dodgers Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:59 am ET) Braves pitcher Aaron Harang didn't factor into Tuesday's decision, giving up four earned runs on nine hits and one walk in six innings and striking out three in his team's 8-4 loss to the Dodgers.

Harang gave up a two-run home run in the second inning to fall behind, then surrendered two more runs in the fifth to lose his lead. He had delivered six straight quality starts before failing to do so Tuesday. Harang owns a 3.43 ERA and 107:50 K:BB ratio in 136 1/3 innings. He's scheduled to face the Padres Sunday.


Brandon League earns win vs. Braves Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:59 am ET) Dodgers pitcher Brandon League picked up a win Tuesday, giving up one hit and one walk in one scoreless inning of work in his team's 8-4 victory over the Braves.

League (2-2) threw just nine of his 19 pitches for strikes in the seventh inning, but he was able to keep the game tied before the Dodgers scored three runs in the bottom of the seventh. He owns a 1.97 ERA and 26:17 K:BB ratio in 45 2/3 innings.


Josh Beckett pulled in fifth inning vs. Braves Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:58 am ET) Dodgers pitcher Josh Beckett couldn't make it out of the fifth inning in a no-decision Tuesday, giving up four earned runs on nine hits and four walks in 4 1/3 innings and striking out two in his team's 8-4 win over the Braves.

Considering the number of baserunners the Braves had against Beckett, he's lucky the damage was limited to just four runs. He threw 105 pitches in the short outing before being removed. Beckett owns a 2.74 ERA and 101:36 K:BB ratio in 111 2/3 innings. He's set to take on the Cubs Sunday.


Joaquin Benoit picks up third save Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:38 am ET) Padres closer Joaquin Benoit recorded his third save Tuesday, striking out two and hitting one batter in a scoreless ninth inning to finish off his team's 3-1 win over the Cardinals.

Benoit hasn't had the best July, taking two losses during a three-game stretch in the middle of the month, but he hasn't blown a save opportunity since inheriting the job. He owns a 1.88 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 51:13 K:BB ratio in 43 innings.


Lance Lynn strikes out six in loss vs. Padres
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:34 am ET) Cardinals pitcher Lance Lynn was hung with a loss Tuesday after giving up two runs (one earned) on four hits and three walks in six innings and striking out six in his team's 3-1 defeat against the Padres.

Lynn (11-8) needed 117 pitches to get through six innings one start after throwing 118 pitches against the Rays. He's topped 100 pitches in each of his last five games and 110 pitches four times during his five July starts. Lynn owns a 2.98 ERA and 123:52 K:BB ratio in 133 innings. He's slated to face the Brewers Sunday.


Tyson Ross walks five in win vs. Cardinals Tuesday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(1:33 am ET) Padres pitcher Tyson Ross picked up a win Tuesday, giving up just one earned run on four hits and five walks while striking out seven in his team's 3-1 victory over the Cardinals.

Ross (10-10) has been excellent in July despite the abundance of free passes Tuesday. He has given up just five earned runs in 41 innings over six starts while striking out 48 batters in July. Ross owns a 2.60 ERA and 150:52 K:BB ratio in 148 2/3 innings. He's scheduled to face the Braves Sunday.


 
 
 
Rankings