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Third base tiers for Draft Day 2014

Senior Fantasy Writer
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For a position that features arguably the best hitter in the game, third base sure is lacking.

OK, so Miguel Cabrera will technically be playing first base in the majors this year, but where he played last year determines his eligibility in Fantasy.

The Tiers Approach to Draft Day
Tiers are designed to deliver the most efficient draft possible by using player rankings to reveal the distribution of talent at each position. A new tier begins whenever the next player down in the rankings has a vastly different projected outcome from the one preceding him. Reducing a position to five or six tiers instead of 30 or more individuals gives you a blueprint to follow as your league's draft unfolds. Naturally, the position to target is the one whose active tier is closest to completion. -- SW

Tiers: C | 1B | 2B | SS | 3B | OF | SP | RP

Print Scott's tiers for Draft Day!

Thank goodness.

Just imagine some of the reaching that would go on if one more owner had a need at the position. Safe to say Matt Carpenter wouldn't make it to the end of Round 3.

You think I'm exaggerating? Whether they divide the position into tiers or not, most people realize by now that third base thins out pretty quickly, at least in terms of mixed league-caliber talent. It has no shortage of injury-risk sleepers and bottom-feeder breakout possibilities, but those make better bench options than starters in a standard 12-team league.

The Unmatched: Miguel Cabrera
The Elite: David Wright, Adrian Beltre, Evan Longoria, Matt Carpenter, Josh Donaldson, Ryan Zimmerman
The Near-Elite: Martin Prado
The Next-Best Things: Kyle Seager, Pedro Alvarez, Manny Machado, Chase Headley
The Fallback Options: Pablo Sandoval, Aramis Ramirez, Xander Bogaerts, Brett Lawrie, Mike Moustakas
The Last Resorts: Will Middlebrooks, Nolan Arenado, David Freese, Todd Frazier, Chris Johnson, Matt Dominguez
The Leftovers: Cody Asche, Maikel Franco, Trevor Plouffe, Marcus Semien, Alberto Callaspo, Lonnie Chisenhall, Mark Reynolds, Matt Davidson

See what I mean by thinning out quickly? Two of the top three tiers are one player deep.

Granted, the first tier is an add-on designed to accentuate Cabrera's studliness (he outscored Adrian Beltre, quite often the second third baseman off the board, by about as many Head-to-Head points per game (1.13) as Beltre outscored Trevor Plouffe (1.15) last year, so pass him up at your own peril), but the third tier demonstrates how sudden the drop-off is. And considering half of The Elite -- Wright, Beltre and Longoria -- are typically gone by the end of Round 2, you have a small window to act.

So even though the second tier is large, I'm not so comfortable waiting on it. Going without would mean settling for a player not just one tier lower, but two, unless you time the Prado pick just right. With that in mind, I'm fine drafting one of Wright, Beltre and Longoria late in Round 2 unless a tier stands out at some other position (most likely, first or second base).

If that's too messy and you'd prefer to approach The Elite at third base like any tier at any other position, you may want to drop Donaldson and Zimmerman to The Near-Elite, joining Prado to create a distribution of four and three instead of six and one. The reason I don't is because it de-emphasizes Donaldson by putting him at the beginning of a tier instead of at the end. My ideal scenario is to land him in Round 5, believing him to be the best bang for the buck at the position after he performed about on the level of Beltre in Head-to-Head points leagues last year. Prado is more of a backup plan.

But drafts vary. You can't always anticipate three and four rounds ahead. Sometimes you're better off shoring up the shallow positions when you have the chance instead of holding out for the ideal scenario. Drafting Wright, Beltre or Longoria in Round 2 when you could potentially have Donaldson three rounds later is like drafting Troy Tulowitzki or Hanley Ramirez in Round 1 when you could potentially have Jean Segura four rounds later. The right time to take them is the right time to take them. Going off script would mean trusting everyone else to stay on script, which is a dangerous way to build a Fantasy team.

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If for some reason, you miss your window on The Elite and don't like where you'd have to draft Prado, you're not exactly sunk at the position, but you shouldn't count on more than middle-round production there. Even with an improved lineup in Seattle, Seager doesn't have the potential for more than that, and for as much power as Alvarez offers, his contact issues prevent him from becoming anything more.

Machado could be the exception. He performed about on Seager's level in Head-to-Head points leagues last year, but he did it at age 21. He has a superstar pedigree and could conceivably become one of The Elite any given year. Right now, though, he's recovering from knee surgery, meaning he couldn't be the only third baseman you draft, and 22 isn't historically a prime age for a breakout. Better to assume Seager-like production from him.

Pass on all of them, and good luck to you. Ramirez and Sandoval have already achieved a certain level of production in the majors, but age (Ramirez), inconsistency (Sandoval) and injuries (both) give them long odds of sustaining it over a full season. Lawrie, Moustakas, Middlebrooks and Arenado have untapped potential but have given little indication they're on the verge of meeting it.

Third base is fairly deep in Last Resorts, which counts for something in AL- and NL-only leagues. Players like Freese, Frazier, Johnson and Dominguez have established themselves as nothing more than waiver fodder in mixed leagues, but in formats where 15-to-20-homer guys are fewer and farther between, they offer cheap alternatives at a position in high demand.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott at @CBSScottWhite .

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Player News
Cubs designate RF Mike Baxter for assignment
by Ruben Palacios | Staff Writer
(12:29 pm ET) The Cubs designated right fielder Mike Baxter for assignment on Wednesday, the team announced.

Baxter was optioned to Triple-A Iowa in mid-July, after hitting just .246 with the Cubs in 57 at-bats earlier in the season.


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"I'm not hurt or anything like that, so there isn't any reason to think that I'm not going to pitch," he told the New York Daily News. "...I feel good."

Nova was removed from his last start after throwing 75 pitches. Joe Girardi confirmed that he was dealing with some fatigue in his triceps area. His outing was only his sixth since returning from Tommy John surgery.


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There has been no confirmation by the team. 

If Kershaw is indeed out, Mike Bolsinger will take his place on the mound and the left-hander will be pushed back to Friday.

Kershaw has had 13 consecutive quality starts and has not allowed a run since July 3. His ERA is at a season-low 2.51.


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(11:38 am ET) The Dodgers have acquired hot pitcher Mat Latos and first baseman Mike Morse from the Marlins for prospects that include at least one competitive balance pick, CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman has confirmed.

The Marlins will receive three minor leaguers, per the Miami Herald.

Latos has managed four consecutive quality starts in which he has allowed just six runs in 26 innings to lower his ERA from 5.49 to 4.48.

Morse lost his starting job to Justin Bour early in the year before losing time to injury. He has played sparingly since returning and owns a meager slash line on the year of .214/.277/.314.


Cubs yo-yo pitchers to and from Triple-A Iowa
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Pirates slugger Starling Marte back in lineup Wednesday
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(11:12 am ET) Pirates left fielder Starling Marte has returned to the lineup for the Wednesday game in Minnesota. He was out Tuesday with gastritis.

Marte returns on a seven-game hitting streak in which he is batting .436 (13-for-28).


Cubs place RP Neil Ramirez on disabled list
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(11:07 am ET) The Cubs have placed reliever Neil Ramirez on the disabled list with an abdominal ailment, per the Daily Herald.

Ramirez, who was unavailable to pitch Tuesday, has been getting hit hard recently. He has allowed two runs on nine hits in his last 4 2/3 innings.


Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton cleared to hit off tee
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(10:51 am ET) Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton continues to take baby steps in his recovery from left hamate surgery. He has been cleared to take swings off a tee, per Fox Sports.

Dan Jennings has not ruled out the possibility of Stnaton returning next week when the Marlins close out a nine-game homestand.

"His hand looks good," Jennings said. "It's healed. The scar looks well. Now he's going to start off the tee ... he'll progress at his timetable. It's good to see him making strides the right way."


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(10:44 am ET) Twins veteran outfielder Torii Hunter is catching a break Wednesday afternoon against visiting Pittsburgh. He is out of the lineup.

Hunter has remained productive in compiling a slash line of .254/.308/.439 and 54 RBI in 89 games. He has two home runs and five RBI in the last four contests.


 
 
 
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